September 27th, 2010
03:02 PM ET
11 years ago

Poll: Majority may vote against Obama in 2012

(CNN) - A new national poll suggests that a majority of Americans are considering voting against President Barack Obama in 2012, but the survey indicates Obama would come out on top if Sarah Palin is the Republican presidential nominee.

According to Politico/George Washington University Battleground poll, 38 percent of those questioned say Obama deserves reelection as president, with 44 percent saying they will vote to replace Obama, 13 percent saying they will consider voting for someone else, and six percent unsure.

The results of the survey are similar to a CNN/Opinion Research Corporation survey conducted early last month, in which 45 percent of registered voters said they would back Obama for re-election with 50 percent saying they would back the Republican presidential nominee.

According to the Politico poll, if the 2012 presidential election were held today and Palin was the GOP nominee, 42 percent say they would definitely, probably, or maybe vote for the former Alaska governor and 2008 Republican vice presidential nominee, with 51 percent saying they would definitely, probably or maybe vote for Obama. Eight percent are undecided.

Fifty-eight percent of those questioned say Palin's actions since stepping down as Alaska governor in the summer of 2008 have made them less likely to vote for her if she runs for president, with 31 percent saying her actions have made them more likely to support her.

The Politico/George Washington University Battleground poll was conducted September 19-22, with 1,000 registered voters questioned by telephone. The survey's overall sampling error is plus or minus 3.1 percent.

LINK TO POLL: http://www.politico.com/static/PPM156_bg_41_questionnaire.html


Filed under: Polls • President Obama • Sarah Palin
soundoff (133 Responses)
  1. Rick

    He has my vote,as a matter of fact I'm voting a straight ticket from now on. I've learn a hard lesson from the Bush years and the total mess he made and now we're paying for it.

    September 27, 2010 03:30 pm at 3:30 pm |
  2. Whatever

    The majority (how many people????). STOP with all these dang polls!!!! Now I will vote for him again because the Republicians do not have any candidate that I could support that would not turn this country back to the things that have not worked!!!! To be so spiritual they should know even God told Lot NOT to look back. They should take that piece of advice!!!

    September 27, 2010 03:30 pm at 3:30 pm |
  3. Seth Hill

    To heck with the 2012 election, I need to know who's most likely to win in 2016! Please, keep these polls coming!

    September 27, 2010 03:30 pm at 3:30 pm |
  4. Pat

    I am sick of these polls. They are meaningless at this point. Let's talk about the tax cut extension for the middle class. Stop the rhetoric about that taxing the rich will stop job creation. Is all this political mumbo jumbo more important than reality. Give the people the facts and let them make up their minds.

    September 27, 2010 03:31 pm at 3:31 pm |
  5. chris

    it all depends on what group sponsors the poll. 99% percent of this stuff is politically motivated. the worst thing the opposition could do is have palin on the ticket. the media has beat her up so bad most of the brainwashed morons spit blood at the sound of her name. my challenge to them is to read her book. it's quite eye opening how mainstream politicians control this country and the media.

    September 27, 2010 03:31 pm at 3:31 pm |
  6. Mark

    It's 2010! And you're asking about 2012?? He inherited one of the worst situations ever! Has he been perfect: No. But the alternative would have been far worse. Can you imagine what would have happened if he'd tried to cut $1.5 trillion from the budget in the middle of a sharp recession in an economy that is fueled 70% by consumer spending? Great Depression II.
    People are delusional and this poll is ridiculous.

    September 27, 2010 03:31 pm at 3:31 pm |
  7. BD70

    Still researching what it is that Obama has done that is so damning to this country. Facts please. Still trying to find hard core evidence where liberals are tax and spend maniacs. So far from all data I have gathered its the republicans who have put this country into recession every time. I am an Independent that loves facts and truth. And this poll means nothing other than those polled are probably in the worst part of the states for jobs and the economy.

    September 27, 2010 03:31 pm at 3:31 pm |
  8. Larry

    the fact that this is even talked about show how stupid americans are becoming. i mean really! palin

    September 27, 2010 03:32 pm at 3:32 pm |
  9. Rick

    Trickle down only worked for the ones doing the trickling. Raise taxes for everyone that makes over 250k per year.

    September 27, 2010 03:32 pm at 3:32 pm |
  10. ELIZABETH

    Please tell what President Obama has done to the media because these constant witch hunts wiith these stupid poll are becoming ridiculous. Enough with the dumb polls! Apparently, you guys only poll a certain segmant of the population anyway.

    September 27, 2010 03:32 pm at 3:32 pm |
  11. Justin

    I don't understand how a ditz like her who served as governor for less than three years and counts living adjacent to another country as foreign policy experience is even in the conversation for leader of the free world. She is clearly not the GOP's first choice unless they want to lose in 2012.

    September 27, 2010 03:34 pm at 3:34 pm |
  12. Orlando Patriot

    Yes that may be the case right now but it is WAY too early to be discussing something like that. Obama has CLEARLY moved away from the will of the people and will be slammed in the upcoming midterm election. The question is how quickly will Obama move to the middle and actually desire WORKING with the Republican Party. If he moves quickly (like Clinton did in '94) and the economy turns around under Republican conservative ideas (like it did in '94) then it is quite possible that the growing economy at that time (under the changes implemented by the Republicans) will actually make Obama then look successful you very well may see a change in voter belief. Way to early to talk about this now and two years away is a LONG TIME and MANY things can change between now and then.

    September 27, 2010 03:34 pm at 3:34 pm |
  13. Molly

    I know I won't vote for him. It will also be a goal of mine to educate the folks that were duped by his "hope and change" the first time, to vote correctly this time!

    September 27, 2010 03:34 pm at 3:34 pm |
  14. Norm

    President Obama has been very smart in the way he's handling this first term. He has taken on all the difficult issues, some not so "popular", in the first 2 years. Watch and learn, the last year or so he will tackle easier, more popular, issues and his polling numbers will climb. My bet is that the economy will be doing much better by then as well.

    I give President Obama a lot of credit for doing the things he believes in. He has done a lot to help this country in the last couple of years. Imagine what could be done if the Republicans would pitch-in instead of being the "party of NO" or just watching from the sidelines. Sure the Dems and Pubs have different philosophies but I refuse to believe that there isn't common ground on ANY issues. Unfortunately, within our current political environment, the party who doesn't have the power spends all their effort trying to get it.

    We are all Americans, lets start acting like it, work together and make this a better place for our children.

    September 27, 2010 03:35 pm at 3:35 pm |
  15. anagram_kid

    I personally think the poll result stating that eight out of five people have trouble with fractions is more relevant.

    September 27, 2010 03:36 pm at 3:36 pm |
  16. Morgan

    Funny.....I don't remember voting in this poll. Must be because it was a selected group of 1,000 people!
    Yeah, that really shows how the nation feels!
    Fail!

    September 27, 2010 03:37 pm at 3:37 pm |
  17. Marry

    CNN, sorry but all these “polls” are stupid and ridiculous! Why can’t you just wait? Two more years to go – let’s see what happens and perhaps along the way, you could give us a little bit of good solid information about what is happening in the country and Washington? That would be very nice! That way people might just get a bit more informed and the voting (when the time cones!) more responsible and smart – in the interest of the people and the country!
    By the way, the President does a great job!! If you consider he has to deal with very complicated issues, knowing that the GOP not only refuses to participate, they want him to fail; one can only admire the President!

    September 27, 2010 03:38 pm at 3:38 pm |
  18. smarty

    Cnn loves to post negativity regarding Obama and the Dems. When it post predictions and polls, I consider it more entertainment than anything really legitimate, especially this early in the game.

    September 27, 2010 03:38 pm at 3:38 pm |
  19. Rush Goebbels

    Im going to enjoy watching these wingnuts on the right choke on their predictions and fantasies again,hahaha.

    September 27, 2010 03:38 pm at 3:38 pm |
  20. Can't We All Just Get Along?

    Let's see - the GOP don't want anyone intelligent in the White House, and the lemmings and sheeple that follow the GOP and FAUX News don't want anyone intelligent in the White House - yeah, I can see why they wouldn't want Obama re-elected. He's intelligent and has proven that everything Bush did was wrong and/or illegal. The GOP will not ever admit that what they did was wrong or criminal, so they have to try to make everyon believe a lie. Too bad - too many of us know the truth. President Obama has been an excellent president so far. He's done the job, and he's done it well in the face of utter stupidity by the GOP.

    September 27, 2010 03:38 pm at 3:38 pm |
  21. Kathleen

    I will definitely vote FOR President Obama again in 2012.

    September 27, 2010 03:39 pm at 3:39 pm |
  22. Really?

    This has to be a joke. Who's going to run against him?? This is much to early in the election process to be soliciting potential votes for 2012.

    September 27, 2010 03:41 pm at 3:41 pm |
  23. Not All Docs Play Golf

    If that's the case, then Run, Sarah, Run! The man is brilliant, and has done what's right for our country. Does America really think we would have done better under McCain/Palin? That the economy would have recovered overnight? That terrorists would have laid down their weapons for Sarah? That jobs would be aplenty and all would be right with health care? The man is wasted on the average dumb American. I'm proud of our President.

    September 27, 2010 03:41 pm at 3:41 pm |
  24. Jason

    I'll never forgive McCain for forcing Palin on us. He worked so hard his whole life and THAT frankenstein is his legacy. I'm sure he pinches himself every day praying that he'll wake up, and it will all have been just a horrible nightmare.

    September 27, 2010 03:42 pm at 3:42 pm |
  25. Donna

    Did you all know that included in the health care bill is a 3.8% tax on any real estate that you sell? Most of Congress does not know that is in there (they never read the bill). Is this the "change" that you voted for? Better sell your home before 2012 to avoid this tax. Look it up if you don't believe me.

    September 27, 2010 03:42 pm at 3:42 pm |
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