September 27th, 2010
03:02 PM ET
12 years ago

Poll: Majority may vote against Obama in 2012

(CNN) - A new national poll suggests that a majority of Americans are considering voting against President Barack Obama in 2012, but the survey indicates Obama would come out on top if Sarah Palin is the Republican presidential nominee.

According to Politico/George Washington University Battleground poll, 38 percent of those questioned say Obama deserves reelection as president, with 44 percent saying they will vote to replace Obama, 13 percent saying they will consider voting for someone else, and six percent unsure.

The results of the survey are similar to a CNN/Opinion Research Corporation survey conducted early last month, in which 45 percent of registered voters said they would back Obama for re-election with 50 percent saying they would back the Republican presidential nominee.

According to the Politico poll, if the 2012 presidential election were held today and Palin was the GOP nominee, 42 percent say they would definitely, probably, or maybe vote for the former Alaska governor and 2008 Republican vice presidential nominee, with 51 percent saying they would definitely, probably or maybe vote for Obama. Eight percent are undecided.

Fifty-eight percent of those questioned say Palin's actions since stepping down as Alaska governor in the summer of 2008 have made them less likely to vote for her if she runs for president, with 31 percent saying her actions have made them more likely to support her.

The Politico/George Washington University Battleground poll was conducted September 19-22, with 1,000 registered voters questioned by telephone. The survey's overall sampling error is plus or minus 3.1 percent.


Filed under: Polls • President Obama • Sarah Palin
soundoff (133 Responses)
  1. Michael in Houston

    Sorry...the Tea party, CNN, FOX, Rush and Palin herself may be enamored with Sarah Palin, but her appeal is so narrowed and the distaste for her so profound that this poll is ridiculous. For some reason the media assumes that we didnt put her in office under McCain because we didnt know her at all. Well, we know her now and like her even less. SHE is the one consumed by HER not the rest of us....another thing to consider here.....she has staked out her ground with the Tea party and just because mid term primaries at this moment point to an uptick in tea party candidates, this does not translate into a mandate at the mid terms and certainly not ina general election. this poll is nothing more then gimmick by the media to keep Palin in the discussion

    September 27, 2010 03:43 pm at 3:43 pm |
  2. jet

    I'm not saying obama is doing what he's suppose to be but give the man a break...he can't fix the mess bush messed up in 1 1/2 year

    September 27, 2010 03:43 pm at 3:43 pm |
  3. slipthalo

    Less than 2 years into office and they've been taking polls on this already? Too soon to make a poll valid for 2012.
    I wonder how this nation would have fared if McCain/Palin had been voted into office? I think we would have been much worse off but no one wants to even try to imagine that scenario with what's happened to this country due to all the unfunded wars and tax cuts of the previous administration.

    September 27, 2010 03:44 pm at 3:44 pm |
  4. Name

    I can't wait to vote for pres. Obama...he is doing a GREAT JOB!!! Thank you pres. Obama for the health care for all America and ending the WAR...

    September 27, 2010 03:44 pm at 3:44 pm |
  5. David

    Unfortunately most people have a very short and quite limited memory.

    September 27, 2010 03:44 pm at 3:44 pm |
  6. Obama 2012

    Name one Republican that can beat Obama...thought story. Thanks Barack. You are doing a good job.

    September 27, 2010 03:44 pm at 3:44 pm |
  7. Sam's yer uncle

    Ridiculous, CNN. Look at other polls. The Democrats aren't popular, but the Republicans are HATED. People are in an anti-incumbent mood, but they still loathe Republicans... and well they should, because Republicans destroyed our economy. People are just impatient because the damage Bush did is taking more than two years to fix... and they're also mad at Dems for voting along with Republicans when they re-took the house and senate in 2008. We voted them in to stop Republicans and they voted along with them over 90% of the time!

    Obama will be re-elected because the Republicans don't have anyone in their stable to run against him. All the GOP has left are crackpots and crazies and theocrats, and the American people won't go for that. Unless some unknown arises within the next two years, Obama will get a second term with no problem.

    September 27, 2010 03:44 pm at 3:44 pm |

    President Obama is the worst President ever. I hope all those who voted for him in 2008 got an education in the last two years and sees what kind of damage a person like this can do to this country. Vote 100% Republican in 2010 and 2012.

    September 27, 2010 03:44 pm at 3:44 pm |
  9. Rad4d

    These polls are a waste of time for everyone involved. The questions and information given is too vague, and too much can and will happen in the coming months with all candidates.

    September 27, 2010 03:44 pm at 3:44 pm |
  10. Dave

    Ummmm.....ya think?!

    September 27, 2010 03:44 pm at 3:44 pm |
  11. Donna

    Justin, and what foreign policy experience has Obama had???? Stop listening to the liberal media and try thinking for a change,.

    September 27, 2010 03:44 pm at 3:44 pm |
  12. Spiker715

    I canNOT believe that this is even a story. The same could have said about Bill Clinton at exactly this point in his administration yet, he moped the floor with Bob Dole in the '96 election. Besides that incompetent boob Palin, no one even knows who will run in 2012! To say that CNN is part of the so called "liberal media" is ridiculous. If that were the case, this would NEVER have made the news.

    September 27, 2010 03:45 pm at 3:45 pm |
  13. ddango

    Silly polls. Who exactly are they polling? Not me or any of my 200 plus friends, family or acquaintances, most of whom would vote to re-elect Obama. You have to be a true dimwit to buy into the Republican or Tea party propaganda machine.

    September 27, 2010 03:46 pm at 3:46 pm |
  14. Lindsay

    As ususal, the media is about six months behind on this one... No, really?!

    September 27, 2010 03:46 pm at 3:46 pm |
  15. SayWhat

    How about a poll of how many Americans would veot for Palin if she ran against a hamster? It would have just as muuch meaning. CNN you are wading way too deep in the pool of sensationalism.

    September 27, 2010 03:47 pm at 3:47 pm |
  16. 31mMD

    This PUMA will indeed vote against O in addition to the Dems in November.

    September 27, 2010 03:47 pm at 3:47 pm |
  17. lefty avenger

    Bush and his repbulicans destroyed america for the renegade hedge fund managers from wall street. Obama can't fix the mess. Obama will lose in 2012 to Romney and Palin who will install a neo-fascist police state theocracy. The country will totally tank then for good. The 5% wealthy will barricade themselves inside their luxury condo loft mansions protected by the national guard. We will be in ruins and then it will be up to us on the outside who survive to pick up the pieces. Simple movie plot and ultimately predictable.

    September 27, 2010 03:47 pm at 3:47 pm |
  18. Patrick

    It's too early – two years in politics is a lifetime. That said, if the GOP puts up a good candidate, I'm voting for that person. President Obama means well but he is doing more harm than good.

    September 27, 2010 03:48 pm at 3:48 pm |
  19. Lindsay

    Ah, King... You DID NOT just say he's about "balancing the budget" did you? Really? Really.

    September 27, 2010 03:48 pm at 3:48 pm |
  20. Alan

    The minute a Republican is running directly against Obama and American voters are reminded what Republicans stand for, Obama will have a landslide victory again.

    September 27, 2010 03:48 pm at 3:48 pm |
  21. Bob, Virginia

    What a nonsensical poll. Who among any of the GOP hopefuls - using that term as broadly as possible, to encompass anyone who has even been mentioned as a possible candidate - would beat Obama?

    September 27, 2010 03:49 pm at 3:49 pm |
  22. Chris

    Um. 1,000 people is pretty standard sample group for a national poll.

    September 27, 2010 03:49 pm at 3:49 pm |
  23. Joan

    CNN should change it's name to CPN, the Cable Poll Network since that seems to be all it is interested in lately.

    September 27, 2010 03:49 pm at 3:49 pm |
  24. Moderate

    Wake UP AMERICA. If you think President Obama can clean up a recession in 2 years you do not have a grasp of economics. We were losing 700K per year when he took office. The stimulus package saved millions of jobs. So if you think voting in the same losers who had control for 8 years is going create jobs. Then you should think twice. The rich will continue to get richer while the middleclass is left out. This polls is not relevent. We gave George Bush 8 years to get us in two wars and on the brink of economic collapse, surely we can give this man 4 years to try and clean it up.'..

    September 27, 2010 03:50 pm at 3:50 pm |
  25. DocSteveO

    Wow! if 44% vote against him, then – give or take – 53 or 54% vote for him? What a landslide!! Bigger than '08.

    September 27, 2010 03:51 pm at 3:51 pm |
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