September 27th, 2010
03:02 PM ET
12 years ago

Poll: Majority may vote against Obama in 2012

(CNN) - A new national poll suggests that a majority of Americans are considering voting against President Barack Obama in 2012, but the survey indicates Obama would come out on top if Sarah Palin is the Republican presidential nominee.

According to Politico/George Washington University Battleground poll, 38 percent of those questioned say Obama deserves reelection as president, with 44 percent saying they will vote to replace Obama, 13 percent saying they will consider voting for someone else, and six percent unsure.

The results of the survey are similar to a CNN/Opinion Research Corporation survey conducted early last month, in which 45 percent of registered voters said they would back Obama for re-election with 50 percent saying they would back the Republican presidential nominee.

According to the Politico poll, if the 2012 presidential election were held today and Palin was the GOP nominee, 42 percent say they would definitely, probably, or maybe vote for the former Alaska governor and 2008 Republican vice presidential nominee, with 51 percent saying they would definitely, probably or maybe vote for Obama. Eight percent are undecided.

Fifty-eight percent of those questioned say Palin's actions since stepping down as Alaska governor in the summer of 2008 have made them less likely to vote for her if she runs for president, with 31 percent saying her actions have made them more likely to support her.

The Politico/George Washington University Battleground poll was conducted September 19-22, with 1,000 registered voters questioned by telephone. The survey's overall sampling error is plus or minus 3.1 percent.


Filed under: Polls • President Obama • Sarah Palin
soundoff (133 Responses)
  1. Erik

    The "man" will be unemployed on Jan 1 2013. Done. End of story. Time for a new fresh outlook. Too bad a Republican or Tea Party moron will replace him. We are screwed. Now maybe if they started by moving the capitol to somewhere like Des Moines i would believe in change.

    September 27, 2010 03:51 pm at 3:51 pm |
  2. Concerned

    Education is a valuable thing in this country. I find it quite interesting that many who have the right to vote are not in possession of such a valuable tool, enabling one to think on their own. Voting for Obama was one of the best things to happen to this country. Learn to read and think. Look at the job he is doing for this country and for Americans alike, instead of allowing foreigners to tell that he is a good president. It is a shame my vote is equal to that of belligerent infidel.

    September 27, 2010 03:51 pm at 3:51 pm |
  3. MHA

    You have my vote Mr. President. You have done and still are doing an incredible shop (he is one of the hardest working president ever) - am quite sick of all these polls and stupid-ass comments attaching the president .. really ... are you guys living in the same country and have you lived in this country for the past 10 years (more specifically during W's reign!!!!!). I am not even sure why the attacks on this president are so poisons and I hate to think it is bc of his skin color or the rubbish 1/3 of republican think that he is a Muslim. But I know this if the republican tea party took power (Palin, and her ilk included) this November and in 2012, God help us all (all, every citizen of earth) since those nuts are drooling to start one war after another)…. The world is not going to be a pretty place to live in

    September 27, 2010 03:54 pm at 3:54 pm |
  4. jjh

    I have sadly come to accept that the US is a plutocracy and a national security state. Reform. Hell no. Never! Don't bother. Bust the unions. Dismantle the New Deal, Social Security, Medicare and Medicaid. So lets return to those glory days of November 2007.

    September 27, 2010 03:55 pm at 3:55 pm |
  5. Keith

    If Sarah Palin is considered a serious alternative to Obama, I think it's time to retire to an island in the south Pacific.
    If people believe "it can't get any worse", think about a nation led by President Palin, House Speaker Boehner, Senators Christine O'Donell and Sharron Angle.

    September 27, 2010 03:57 pm at 3:57 pm |
  6. Michael French

    The only circumstance in which I would vote Obama is if he were to run against a republican.

    September 27, 2010 03:58 pm at 3:58 pm |
  7. Laurie

    Stock market up, manufacturing jobs up, GM & Chrysler saved, respect renewed around the world, health care reform, Iraq pullout, education funding up, alternative energy moving again, we no longer abuse prisoners, support for small business, expanded support for Veterans...Go Obama 2012!

    September 27, 2010 03:58 pm at 3:58 pm |
  8. stufit

    All it will take is shining the light on him, something that was never done during the 2008 cycle. He is totally corrupt, inept and incompetent. The lying and all the rest is secondary.

    September 27, 2010 03:59 pm at 3:59 pm |
  9. Florida Joe

    CNN must have money to waste talking a poll like this now..............Worthless, meaningless poll

    September 27, 2010 03:59 pm at 3:59 pm |
  10. diridi

    I shall vote for any Democratic guy....I don't care.....I care for America....If GOP thugs win they loot this nation....give it to rich idiots....enough of GOP, Republican thugs....Thugs.....Thugs.............wars, looted, sold to China, vote any Dem....I vote for Obama in 2012......................................

    September 27, 2010 03:59 pm at 3:59 pm |
  11. Chris-Chicago

    Al though I pray Obama is not re-elected, it is FAR too soon to consider him doomed for 2012. One must only look to a post 82 Reagan and post 94 Clinton to see that if a sitting President switches gears and learns to govern from the CENTER, there is no limit to how much better their approval ratings can become.

    September 27, 2010 03:59 pm at 3:59 pm |
  12. Ben Ben

    So if this poll comes true, what will the Republicans do for us? Give tax breaks to the rich, support deregulation so the rich can run wild, get rid of the new Healthcare law so nobody will be able to afford health care except the rich they are helping. Once they get done ruining this country , Americans will be begging for the era of Obama again. Americans are stupid if they actually think Republicans are going to do anything to help them.

    September 27, 2010 04:00 pm at 4:00 pm |
  13. Aaron

    Irresponsible poll and story CNN. Anything done this far out means nothing and it is clear you are posting this simply to garner more viewers and cause waves. How about actually focusing on journalism that means something? I won't hold my breath. I miss the days before CNN felt the need to follow the FOX News format. Shame on all of you for pandering.

    September 27, 2010 04:01 pm at 4:01 pm |
  14. Sniffit

    YAWN! Apparently, CNN and the rest started polling this question on January 21, 2009. I haven't checked, but I'll bet you my left leg that Clinton polled similarly 2 years into his FIRST term. Yeah, that's FIRST term, not ONLY term. We're only rounding the bend here folks...we're not anywhere near the home stretch yet. We've got a whoel 2 years more for the GOP to keep assuring our suffering in order to blame Obama, but they're about to land themselves in a position in which they can't shirk the blame any longer. Enjoy their defunding of your SS, grandma's Medicare and their attempts to repeal your sick child's ability to obtain insurance and to dismantle the Dept. of Education and Dept. of Environmental Protection. Who needs objective text books and clean drinking water when you can die early and happy knowing you helped make some other jackhole rich?

    September 27, 2010 04:02 pm at 4:02 pm |
  15. Rickster

    Six words.......Barack Hussein Obama, Worst President Ever.

    September 27, 2010 04:04 pm at 4:04 pm |
  16. Dominican mama 4 Obama

    The Right has NO ONE, NO ONE to compete against this man. His stamina, his intelligence, and his true belief in doing what is RIGHT versus what is politically expedient. NO ONE can touch him.

    You keep giving voice to to crackpots CNN. You're doing a this coutnry a HUGE disservice. Whether you deserve him or not, we've got the BEST President ever. And we WILL re-elect him again in 2012.

    September 27, 2010 04:04 pm at 4:04 pm |
  17. Myron

    You don't just get to vote against Obama and let the chair sit empty. You have to vote FOR someone else. That's where the GOP will run into a problem.

    It's the problem John Kerry ran into. Remember when Bush losing was a sure-thing?

    September 27, 2010 04:05 pm at 4:05 pm |
  18. Republicans is smart in the head area

    I don't which was a bigger waste of time – someone writing this article or my reading it.

    September 27, 2010 04:06 pm at 4:06 pm |
  19. Florida Joe

    For the love of God, what Repub would they run...The quitter from Alaska? The healthcare guy from Mass? The "I let the bridges collapse" Gov from Minn? Yeah, fine choices on that side..............
    What Obama needs is FEWER Repubs in the Congress so he can get MORE things done.........

    September 27, 2010 04:06 pm at 4:06 pm |
  20. Joe

    II think this is a valid poll as it is measuring the mood of America right now. We are alittle over 1 month away from the 11/2 elections, and am hoping Americans do not forget what course we are on right now. A Democratic President and Congress is not good for this country as there is no "checks and balances". Republican's, regardless of what is being portrayed right now, are not in power. Therefore, everything that has been done has been rammed down our throats by this Administration. I won't vote for Obama (or any DemocRAT) ever!!!

    September 27, 2010 04:07 pm at 4:07 pm |
  21. Mr. Wilson

    President Reagan in his first term had an approval rating in the 30's. This President's rating is 10 points above that.

    Come back and talk to me in 2012. By the way, Sarah Palin is probably going to be his opposition. if they do that, Republicans will get killed.

    September 27, 2010 04:07 pm at 4:07 pm |
  22. cobra

    I would vote for a junk yard dog before ever voting for a democrat again!!

    September 27, 2010 04:07 pm at 4:07 pm |
  23. Harry(NJ)

    This is getting more entertaining by the minute. The major problem is that there is not one Republican Challenger that has any serious solution to america's problems. Here is one problem: folks in Alaska voted for the tea party candidate, yet his stance is for privatizing Social Security and Medicare, Restricting unemployment benefits. And folks when asked do you think that social security is good thing will respond yes. There is a disconnect between people are voting for and what the candidates are running their campaigns on.
    It is also as if, folks are saying," I hate the government, so anyone who is anti-government, I am voting for."
    Some people will be in for a rude awakening once these individuals actually start implenting their agendas.

    September 27, 2010 04:09 pm at 4:09 pm |
  24. Sam

    This is absolutely ridiculous. Why is CNN wasting our time with this, and why was this poll even taken? The polls for this November are jumping around all over the place, and the election is about 5 weeks away! How is this an indicator of anything at all?

    September 27, 2010 04:09 pm at 4:09 pm |
  25. JohnCup

    This is no BIG suprise! C"mon most american people hate him at this point. I cannot stand to even hear him speak. I voted for him and he proven to be all talk. We all got fooled. Now let's move on.

    September 27, 2010 04:09 pm at 4:09 pm |
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