September 27th, 2010
03:02 PM ET
12 years ago

Poll: Majority may vote against Obama in 2012

(CNN) - A new national poll suggests that a majority of Americans are considering voting against President Barack Obama in 2012, but the survey indicates Obama would come out on top if Sarah Palin is the Republican presidential nominee.

According to Politico/George Washington University Battleground poll, 38 percent of those questioned say Obama deserves reelection as president, with 44 percent saying they will vote to replace Obama, 13 percent saying they will consider voting for someone else, and six percent unsure.

The results of the survey are similar to a CNN/Opinion Research Corporation survey conducted early last month, in which 45 percent of registered voters said they would back Obama for re-election with 50 percent saying they would back the Republican presidential nominee.

According to the Politico poll, if the 2012 presidential election were held today and Palin was the GOP nominee, 42 percent say they would definitely, probably, or maybe vote for the former Alaska governor and 2008 Republican vice presidential nominee, with 51 percent saying they would definitely, probably or maybe vote for Obama. Eight percent are undecided.

Fifty-eight percent of those questioned say Palin's actions since stepping down as Alaska governor in the summer of 2008 have made them less likely to vote for her if she runs for president, with 31 percent saying her actions have made them more likely to support her.

The Politico/George Washington University Battleground poll was conducted September 19-22, with 1,000 registered voters questioned by telephone. The survey's overall sampling error is plus or minus 3.1 percent.


Filed under: Polls • President Obama • Sarah Palin
soundoff (133 Responses)
  1. rolandfan

    You do realize that Barack starting campaigning more than two years before he was elected. so that means these polls have merit. He will soon be in campaign mode for his reelection.

    September 27, 2010 04:09 pm at 4:09 pm |
  2. Sniffit

    "How about a poll of how many Americans would veot for Palin if she ran against a hamster?"

    Seriously...if you know anything, then you know that CNN and the rest are all about propping up Jabberwocky Barbie, not tearing her down. She's too valuable as a source of controversy, ergo ad revenue, to tell the truth about her. Therefore, you'll never see articles with real information about that Vanity Fair article about her sham political speech operations. As a result, poll results showing she would lose a general POTUS election by a landslide to a shaved butt-gerbil won't ever be taken...those results would be like pouring sugar in the MSM's controversy gas tank.

    September 27, 2010 04:09 pm at 4:09 pm |
  3. KidCanada

    Sarah Palin is the female G.W.Bush! This is maybe what the Aztek's have warned us all about!

    September 27, 2010 04:10 pm at 4:10 pm |
  4. LouAz

    Who are the Flat Earth and No Nothing TPers going to run against him, P.T.Barnum ? Half Gov. Palin ? Everybody Loves Newt ? If They could resurrect Abe Lincoln, he would not run for such a bunch of Wall Street controlled Robber Barons.
    Post Office has some nice candidates for Repubs. At least we know going in those guys are crooks.

    September 27, 2010 04:11 pm at 4:11 pm |
  5. Close But No Cigar!

    Sensationalist propaganda is what it is. I don't see Obama losing his reelection bid in 2012 simply because some people are disenchanted with his work, mainly the 'let's go back to the failed policies of the past' Republicans. Remember that Dubya was not well liked either yet got reelected for a second term. The same will hold true for Obama no matter who is competing. He will get two full terms despite the opposition which will not sway voters when the time comes. The vote may be close but they will look at the alternatives and then realize that he is their best choice, all things considered.

    September 27, 2010 04:11 pm at 4:11 pm |
  6. Me

    Again CNN tells you who they're afraid of 🙂

    September 27, 2010 04:12 pm at 4:12 pm |
  7. U No Who

    I voted for O'Bama. I did it to see Cheney in wheel chair, I was sad when Cheney did not uncontrollably urinate. Now O'Bama kisses BP's a-s. Now O'Bama wants to illegally wiretap internet, etc. O'Bama is a 9-11 denier. O'Bama now attacks American war dissenters. At least O'Bama is not humping guys in the White House like GW. Time to vote for Big Ugly white guy, that will kill commies in G(ay)O(iled)P(erverts) & Demoncrat parties.

    September 27, 2010 04:12 pm at 4:12 pm |
  8. Justin S

    Considering he won huge less than 2 years ago and already there has been such a change in public opinion, wouldn't it be just as likely for there to be another change and him regain the confidence of voters over the next 2 years? If the economy turns around he wins (no matter what), if it doesn't he may still win if the republicans put forth morons like Romney, Palin, or Gingrich.

    September 27, 2010 04:13 pm at 4:13 pm |
  9. Sandy

    I think the media should address current concerns, not what might happen a couple of years into the future! Report news, not crystal ball magic!

    September 27, 2010 04:13 pm at 4:13 pm |
  10. shadysider

    Republicans criticize Obama for not following through on his more liberal campaign pledges and think Democrats won't vote for him as a consequence of their complaining? If the Republican Party loses the insanity, there is a chance I would vote Ron Paul/Gary Johnson in 2012, but we all know they would rather push forward a Palin/Bachmann ticket. The Republican Pledge is the same things they said in 1994. Our economy has tanked since Clinton left. How is their pledge going to help? They'll keep spending on tax breaks for the rich. Period. I'll reap the benefits of said pledge, but it isn't better for our country as a whole.

    September 27, 2010 04:13 pm at 4:13 pm |
  11. valwayne

    Trillions and Trillions in corrupt spending and Debt. Los Angeles just did an audit of $111 million in stimulous funds and found all that money created only 55 jobs! 55 jobs! That's $2,000,000.00 a job! Yet Obama and the Democrats keep telling us the corrupt stimulous bill was a great success? Obama keeps tellling us were in a "Recovery Summer"? Well summer is over, UNEMPLOYMENT is at 9.6%, and we don't feel recovered! Worse, Obama is out this very day saying we are NOT in a jobless recovery? Earth to Obama....9.6% UNEMPLOYMENT!!!!!! Millions and millions of people out of work and on extended UNEMPLOYMENT! What is amazing is that after 2 years of arrogance and failure 38% of the American people still intend to vote for Obama in 2012! Surely Hillary will step in and spare us? Hillary 2012!!!!

    September 27, 2010 04:14 pm at 4:14 pm |
  12. jenn

    Hmmm, well, in 2006, all the pundits and polls said that either Hillary Clinton or Rudy Guiliani would be elected in 2008, so I can't say that a 2010 poll about the 2012 election means much. Heck, Reagan had abysmal approval ratings two years into HIS presidency, and we all remember the landslide of 1984. So much time is wasted on polls and speculation, and so little time is spent on reporting today's facts. I suppose guessing and punditry is easier than reporting.

    September 27, 2010 04:14 pm at 4:14 pm |
  13. vickie

    Just who are you polling anyway? I never get these calls.

    September 27, 2010 04:15 pm at 4:15 pm |
  14. Harry(NJ)

    This is what the Tea Party folks want:

    America before the new deal and the populist (unionist) movements of the early 20h century.
    No unions
    No Social Security, disability benefits, or medicaid/medicare.
    No working age restrictions
    No workplace or business regulations

    So we now want to return to the glory days of this country?

    elderly people become the largest number of impoverished americans.
    American citys blankend with industrial smoke
    businesses with folks making nothing and kids cleaning out machines while they are still running.

    Be careful of anyone claiming that america was better off 100 years ago.

    September 27, 2010 04:15 pm at 4:15 pm |
  15. Joan

    How about doing a poll asking these questions?

    Do you believe in the reliability of polls?

    Do you realize that polls can be skewed just by the location, time of day and wording of the questions?

    Do you think that the people who judge these polls are really and truly psychic and can predict the future?

    Are you sick and tired of meanigless polls?

    September 27, 2010 04:20 pm at 4:20 pm |
  16. Hugo

    I cannot imagine what our Nation will be like if this guy is re-elected...oh wait, yes we can, a third world Nation where everyone is employed or controlled by the Government.

    September 27, 2010 04:20 pm at 4:20 pm |
  17. Shelby

    I don't know why anyone would trust sarah palin. This is the woman who told NBC's Brian Williams that there is something controversial in her medical records, and then pulled a fast one on the voters by WAITING UNTIL THE NIGHT BEFORE THE ELECTION to release not her med records, but rather just a letter from her doctor. I feel sorry for sarah's gullible followers. She has got a huge closet just rattling with skeletons waiting to come out. And you can bet the Dems will hang on to info about her skeletons until just days before the general election.

    As an Independent, I'm hoping the Repubs choose a viable candidate; not someone sneaky and with tons of baggage like sarah. These types of candidates' skeletons make them bad choices if a party wants to win in the general election.

    September 27, 2010 04:20 pm at 4:20 pm |
  18. ingrid

    Anyone who would vote for a republican now, really must have had amnesia and forgotten how the Republicans led this country down this deep hole with two ultra-expensive wars, tax cuts that hurt the middle class and did not lead to the trickle down theory as promised, more deregulations that allowed the wall street barrons to rob Americans and lastly a patriot act that severely undermined civil liberties! If Obama is not digging out of the hole fast enough for you, look at the Republicans who have hindered his efforts all along!!! I support our president. He has had only two years to pull us out of the worse economic downturn since the great depression! Moreover, although we are not seeing results yet...he technically got us out of the recession. Also, as a foot note...for those who argue that the dems have had control since 96..not vote does not lend itself to the majority needed to make a difference,esp when you have lockstep republicans.

    September 27, 2010 04:22 pm at 4:22 pm |
  19. kd

    Polls done on land lines with old, crusty, ignorant and racist white people. No young people, none of the progressive folks that voted for Obama in the first place.

    Keep thinking that way you backward conservatives.

    September 27, 2010 04:23 pm at 4:23 pm |
  20. Terry from West Texas

    II'm afraid America will do just that: dump Obama for whatever lackwit the Republican Party comes up with this time. Right now, Americans are comparing Obama to the perfect fantasy President, who by this time would have won both wars, brought the troops home balanced the budget, ended the recession, paid off the national debt, and captured bin Ladin. Hopefully when they compare him to a reality (Palin, Gingrich, Boehner, Romney) they will view Obama in a better light. Obama is certainly head and shoulders above recent Republican nominees: McCain, Bush2, Cheney, Dole, Bush1, Reagan, Nixon, Hoover, Coolidge, and Harding. Reagan-Bush-Bush added $8.5 trillion to the national debt and we can only expect the next Republican to double the debt like the last three did.

    September 27, 2010 04:24 pm at 4:24 pm |
  21. Howie

    I find it very hard to believe that ANYONE would actually vote for Palin for any office. She could be running against Adolf Hitler, and would not be considered the lesser of two evils. . .

    September 27, 2010 04:24 pm at 4:24 pm |
  22. Aviate

    File under: Pointless and meaningless stories.

    September 27, 2010 04:25 pm at 4:25 pm |
  23. Byron

    2012 is not right around the corner in terms of politics. Anything can happen Good or Bad that can change this direction of this country. I don't vote against canidates, I only vote for. I don't know if I would vote for Obama again, because I simply don't know who else I would vote for and I just don't hand out a default vote. To sum it up, he is not keeping up with the expectations of the American people, and I don't know if any other American President could. The current condition of this country is not President Obama's blame. However, I do blame him for his lack of commuication and success on selling the American people a vision.
    To be fair, If the economy gets better, so will Obama's Polling.

    September 27, 2010 04:25 pm at 4:25 pm |
  24. Ser Scot

    Waaaaay too early to tell.

    September 27, 2010 04:27 pm at 4:27 pm |
  25. Fed Up

    One can only hope. He was a community organizer. He still is – just opposite from the way he would like.

    September 27, 2010 04:28 pm at 4:28 pm |
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