October 4th, 2010
11:35 AM ET
12 years ago

Poll Watch: Toomey leads Sestak by 9 in Pennsylvania

(CNN) – A new poll in the Pennsylvania Senate battle indicates Republicans have a good shot at regaining a Democratic-held seat they lost just a little over a year ago.

According to a McClatchy-Marist survey released Monday, 51 percent of likely Pennsylvania voters say they are backing Republican Senate nominee Pat Toomey, with 42 percent supporting Rep. Joe Sestak, the Democrat's nominee, with six percent undecided.

Other recent polls give Toomey anywhere from a three point to a nine point margin over Sestak, including a CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation poll that indicated Toomey had a five point advantage.

According to the McClatchy-Marist survey, Toomey leads by 12 points among likely independent voters. Among the larger sampling of all registered voters, Toomey has an insignificant 40 percent 38 percent advantage, with one in five undecided.

Sestak's a former Navy admiral and two-term congressman from southeastern Pennsylvania. Toomey is a former congressman and is also the former head of the Club for Growth, a limited-government and anti-tax organization.

Sestak beat Sen. Arlen Specter in the Democratic primary in May. Specter, a five-term senator, switched parties from Republican to Democrat in the spring of last year. At the time of the party switch, he cited the difficulty in winning the Republican primary against Toomey as a factor.

The McClatchy-Marist poll was conducted September 26-28, with 817 registered voters in Pennsylvania, including 468 likely voters, questioned by telephone. The survey's sampling error for registered voters is plus or minus 3.5 percentage points, with a sampling error of plus or minus 4.5 percentage points for likely voters.

–Follow Paul Steinhauser on Twitter: @psteinhausercnn

Filed under: 2010 • Joe Sestak • Pat Toomey • Pennsylvania • Polls
soundoff (23 Responses)
  1. Dennis

    I think Pennsylvania is a state where Obama will have a lot of difficulty in 2012.

    October 4, 2010 11:39 am at 11:39 am |
  2. Fair is Fair

    Maybe Sestak can get Biden in there to "help" him.


    October 4, 2010 11:44 am at 11:44 am |
  3. William Jefferson

    I've been wondering where the Admiral is? We are being barraged with the sleaziest ads on earth from teahadi toomey, but not a peep from Admiral Sestak. he is my congressman, I've met him on several occasions, and he is the best, most honest politician i have ever met to date. toomey by contrast is a lying scum dog whose teahdi styled "club for growth" is an Orwellian named front organization for big business. toomey himself is a millionaire from his Wall Street days. A filthy lying dangerous sack of dung if ever there was one. He is rand paul but a rand paul who was beaten so badly when he actually represented his positions in previous races that he knows not to say anything until after the elction - well, nothing true about himself or his opponent.

    October 4, 2010 12:05 pm at 12:05 pm |
  4. GL

    These polls only polled people with land lines which is a useless poll. People 40 and under do not have land lines. Way to go with not pointing that out. THE POLLS ARE USELESS and in Nov. we will all see just how useless these polling that continue to poll only people with land lines.

    October 4, 2010 12:16 pm at 12:16 pm |
  5. Dave

    I remember being on here after the 2008 election and all the Dems were on here predicting the end of the GOP. I tried to say that politics are cyclical and the GOP will return. So here we are two years into a failing presidency and what's happening. It is cyclical because the two party system is a scam. Wake up to this America!!!

    October 4, 2010 12:16 pm at 12:16 pm |
  6. GL

    Sorry their is no return for the GOP and if you on here want to continue to believe these out dated pollings go right ahead.

    Read the fine print. All the people they poll was by land lines with are so so uesless.

    October 4, 2010 12:20 pm at 12:20 pm |
  7. Dave

    Yes, just give the keys back to who drove you in the ditch in the first place. Some Americans are just too stupid to realize
    that they have to continue to vote for their OWN best interest. What have the republicans done for you lately besides
    obstruct the good that President Obama has already done in trying to move the country forward. Voters must realize that
    progress is a continuous process and if they go backwards they only serve to cut off their noses in spite of their faces.
    If you really want to HELP, get to the polls and vote for Democrats, not republicans.

    If they Republicans take over again, will you really have an instant job? Ask yourself.

    October 4, 2010 12:21 pm at 12:21 pm |
  8. GL

    The McClatchy-Marist poll was conducted September 26-28, with 817 registered voters in Pennsylvania, including 468 likely voters, questioned by telephone.

    So that mean must of the people that were polled were SENIOR who voted and votes out of fear for Republicans. How quick you people forget that McCain won over 65 percent of the Senior voters and President Obama still won. So these telephone polls are so useless, but you can not tell some people that.

    October 4, 2010 12:24 pm at 12:24 pm |
  9. smc, central PA

    Toomey is really running as a stealth candidate here in PA. He's learned to not admit what he's in favor of from prior lost races, otherwise he'd scare the vast majority of Pennsylvanian's off with his wacko viewpoints (so far to the right that Republicans turned out in numbers 6 years ago to vote against his craziness in the primary). One can only hope in this last month before the election, folks from PA will wake up and smell the coffee, because Toomey in office representing PA for the next 6 years is a scary, scary thought.

    October 4, 2010 12:25 pm at 12:25 pm |
  10. oldsoldierboy

    Polls, smolls, trolls, Democrats don't trust the polls. Trust your vote.

    October 4, 2010 12:38 pm at 12:38 pm |
  11. Stop Soros

    Go Toomey!

    PA needs real local leadership–not Obama, Pelosi and Reid cronyism (actually, Soros cronyism).

    October 4, 2010 12:53 pm at 12:53 pm |
  12. 29 Days until Socialism dies in the United States

    Sestak is just as far left as Obozo is! Hard to believe this guy is electable given the disaster Obozo's leftist policies have been. I hope they bring in Obozo to campaign to seal the victory for Toomey.

    October 4, 2010 12:55 pm at 12:55 pm |
  13. ICanHazTeeParti

    Sestak is a veteran with an independent streak, who has given his pound of flesh for his country, and will work tooth and nail for Joe Sixpack.

    Toomey is a douchebag who will fight for tax cuts for his buddies. That's $700 billion more in debt the rest of us will suffer from.

    And the latter is 9 points ahead? What a backwards time we live in...

    October 4, 2010 01:06 pm at 1:06 pm |
  14. Bill

    Sounds to me that the Dems on this site are a little scared. Don't worry we won't stop all your entitlements all at once.

    October 4, 2010 01:08 pm at 1:08 pm |
  15. GL

    Get out in vote and do not let the media discougage you with these usless polls. The media just wants a story and CNN is all for a it.

    October 4, 2010 01:13 pm at 1:13 pm |
  16. Daniel

    Sestak has the experience, personal, political, and military over Toomey, hands down. Don't vote for someone solely because they're against something or someone.

    October 4, 2010 01:15 pm at 1:15 pm |
  17. leo PA

    I'm from PA there is no way pat Toomey going to win

    October 4, 2010 01:29 pm at 1:29 pm |
  18. chris

    The regime in power is solid disciples of the teachings of Alinski, Cloward, and Piven. Soros is supplying the funding to push the Marxist agenda forward. Read Obama's writtings and listen to his speeches and you will clearly understand he intends to destroy the economy of the US by creating entitlements and encouraging people to insist on handouts from government. That money can only come from taking taxpayers money to pay entitlements to oxygen thieves.

    October 4, 2010 01:32 pm at 1:32 pm |
  19. Right Leaning Independent

    Ah Ha Ha Ha! Several fools are know quoting the "these folks were polled on land lines" story... I do not care if they were polled by smoke signals, the majority of polls coming out today heavily favor the Republicans. If it makes you folks feel better to think that cell phone polls would help your poll numbers, than you just continue keeping your heads in the sand and you will finally figure it out come November.....

    October 4, 2010 01:36 pm at 1:36 pm |
  20. Vote for Toomey? If You're Stupid...

    A vote for Toomey is a vote for stupidity and policies that only protect Big Business, not actual people, not LIFE. Vote Sestak: a good guy who works so hard to help people and will fight for YOU, not for a faceless corporation that only wants to poison your water, rape your land and leave you broke!

    October 4, 2010 02:06 pm at 2:06 pm |
  21. gt

    the admiral will be another rubber stamp for this disfunctional government .....

    October 4, 2010 02:23 pm at 2:23 pm |
  22. No More

    Kick all socialist/communist democrats down the gutter. Thanks to One Nation Rally, they've shown me the people behind the Democrat Party, socialists and communists. Vote all socialist/communist democrats from state to federal office OUT OF OFFICE not unless you want your state to be a a DYING STATE like California.

    October 4, 2010 02:57 pm at 2:57 pm |
  23. D. Bunker

    Behold our so-called "liberal" media lying to Americans with phony polls that ignore non-landline voters. This is all just an attempt to discourage Dem supporters from voting. Don't let these weasels play you for a fool. Get out and vote and make sure your family, neighbors and co-workers do as well!

    October 4, 2010 02:57 pm at 2:57 pm |