October 11th, 2010
05:22 PM ET
12 years ago

Poll: Brewer holds advantage in Arizona gubernatorial battle

(CNN) - Republican Gov. Jan Brewer of Arizona has a narrow lead over Democratic challenger Terry Goddard in her bid for a full term in office, according to a new survey.

A Rocky Mountain Poll released Monday indicates that Brewer faces stiff competition from Goddard, the state's attorney general, when it comes to registered voters, with Brewer holding a 38 to 35 point advantage among registered voters, with more than one in five undecided.

With a sampling error of plus or minus four percentage points for registered voters, the survey indicates that this race is a statistical dead heat. Brewer led by 20 points in a Rocky Mountain Poll conducted in July.

Among voters most likely to cast ballots in the midterm elections, Brewer's lead widens to eleven points. Likely voters prefer the former Arizona secretary of state 46 to 35 percent over Goddard, who also served as mayor of Phoenix. Fifteen percent of likely voters are undecided.

The Rocky Mountain poll also indicates that Goddard largely benefits from Latino support, with 60 percent of the community stating that they are committed to voting for him. Thirteen percent of the Latino community supports Brewer, who has received scrutiny for the controversial immigration and border security bill that she signed into law. It requires individuals who are not American citizens to carry registration documents required by federal law. The bill, titled "Support Our Law Enforcement and Safe Neighborhoods Act," authorizes state and local law officers to enforce federal immigration laws.

Still, Brewer remains in fighting form with support from her base, voters who classify themselves as "very conservative." Sixty-three percent of those voters back Brewer for governor while one-fifth of conservatives are drawn to Goddard. Brewer also draws more of the independent vote, attracting 33 to 26 percent over Goddard.

The survey indicates that Goddard leads among women voters in Arizona 43 to 31 percent while male voters break for Brewer 44 to 28 percent. Both candidates will need to convince those who have yet to make up their minds about Arizona's gubernatorial election if they want to move into the governor's mansion this fall. There are plenty of voters to reach, as fifteen percent of likely Arizona voters remain undecided.

The Rocky Mountain Poll was conducted October 1-10, with 555 registered voters in Arizona questioned by telephone. The survey's overall sampling error is plus or minus 4.2 percentage points.

Brewer became governor early last year, when then Democratic Gov. Janet Napolitano stepped down to become Secretary of Homeland Security in the Obama administration.

Filed under: 2010 • Arizona • Jan Brewer • Polls
soundoff (36 Responses)
  1. Person

    Only Rethuglicans would elect a bumbling idiot like this.

    October 11, 2010 05:26 pm at 5:26 pm |

    If CNN says 3, then we know that the results will be Brewer by AT LEAST 10...

    October 11, 2010 05:29 pm at 5:29 pm |
  3. Four and The Door

    The good people of Arizona have a habit of electing public servants who actually do their job.

    October 11, 2010 05:38 pm at 5:38 pm |
  4. D. Bunker

    Notice how the propagandists who write the CNN headlnes don't accurately cite the facts contained in the actual article. Here's an example:

    "With a sampling error of plus or minus four percentage points for registered voters, the survey indicates that this race is a statistical dead heat. Brewer led by 20 points in a Rocky Mountain Poll conducted in July."

    Got that? The media is complicit in trying to maintain a false narrative about how the angry teatards are moving the election. This is false. Not all, or even most, angry voters are voting GOBP. The majority of sane and rational Americans recognize that the GOBPbaggers have offered no new ideas, and instead rely on the same disproven rehash from their Friedman/Rand cult of deregulation, globalism and tax cuts for the ultrarich. Returning these pathetic clowns to Congress would be like choosing a pedophile to run a preschool, or the captain of the Titanic to run your cruise ship.

    October 11, 2010 05:41 pm at 5:41 pm |
  5. Claudia, Houston, Tx

    This woman has a son in the Az State mental institution due to criminal charges and she refused to fund the mental institution, in fact, she tried to hide him away until he was discovered having been there for 27 years.

    October 11, 2010 05:41 pm at 5:41 pm |
  6. John

    Aside from her incompetence and general stupidity.....

    October 11, 2010 05:52 pm at 5:52 pm |
  7. Mark

    Awesome, I hope she wins. Latinos and the Federal Government especially Obama need to learn to listen to the American people and uphold the rule of law, we don't want to become like Mexico.

    October 11, 2010 05:54 pm at 5:54 pm |
  8. spudrooski

    the people of Nv cant be stupid enough too put her back in office

    October 11, 2010 05:59 pm at 5:59 pm |
  9. rs

    Remarkable in that Brewer only opens her mouth to change lies! Arizona is faced with huge and mounting deficits, yet she claims to have balanced the budget; she claims crime is rampent and Phoenix is a "kidnap capital:, yet all crime indicators are down; she claims the border isn't secure, yet we have the most National Guard, and INS/ICE officer present ever! She hates the federal government (tarashing it and Obama 24 x7), the touts all the federal money being spent in AZ. Brewer is a mess! The "accidental Governor" must go.

    October 11, 2010 06:00 pm at 6:00 pm |
  10. ThinkAgain

    Brewer is a nasty opportunist, willing to do anything and everything to get elected.

    Arizona didn't have a problem with illegal aliens when the economy was good; now, instead of admitting their mistakes and taking constructive steps to fix things, they're scape-goating.

    BTW, all you Republicans, you can thank Ronald Reagan for our problems with illegal immigration. In the 80s, Reagan worked hard to bust the unions – members of which verified that workers at union shops were indeed part of the union (which you could only join if you were in the U.S. legally).

    With the unions reduced in the workplace – and no one checking immigration status – employers started hiring illegal immigrants at drastically lower wages, paying no benefits and often putting them up in sub-standard housing.

    During Reagan's presidency, our population of illegal immigrants went from 3 million to 11 million.

    So if you don't like our current illegal immigration situation, thank a Republican.

    In particular, thank Ronald Reagan.

    October 11, 2010 06:04 pm at 6:04 pm |
  11. li

    Who in the name of God would vote this mental case into office, let alone this women is un medicated..yikes...only the dumb people of Arizona...go figure

    October 11, 2010 06:05 pm at 6:05 pm |
  12. Tea Tard or Dem bulb take a pick, not your nose

    GOP the GOBP? I think not when in fact Obama was the largest recipient of BP campaign donations during the last election. Jan Brewer is an awesome patriot trying to defend her State against an onslaught of illegal immigration and the subsequent crime and drug trafficking that is associated with it. Plain and simple our Federal Government no longer enforces our laws as required under our Constitution, an impeachable offense.

    October 11, 2010 06:06 pm at 6:06 pm |
  13. Clwyd

    A candidate who runs on telling lies is a fitting candidate for the repulsicans. What a bimbo who has only one issue that she can run on. ignorance!

    October 11, 2010 06:06 pm at 6:06 pm |
  14. barry

    Poor Jan yet another woman attacked by the media. Why the assault on women by liberals and the media? Sad

    October 11, 2010 06:07 pm at 6:07 pm |
  15. LouAz

    Default Gov Jan Brewer is a one trick pony. She did exactly what her boss (State Rep Pearce) said to do and signed SB 1070, thus creating the United AState of Aridzona. That is it, signed one stupefying Bill . . . nothing else, nada, zilch, zero.
    She is truely a political pawn of "real American patriots", that would reintroduce slavery if they could. You betcha !

    October 11, 2010 06:11 pm at 6:11 pm |
  16. Nonie

    Well, Well, Well looks like the growing demograhics in this country is going to put the GOP out of Business in the next couple of election cycles. I will make a bold predictions that GOP will not gain the house nor Senate and I believe there will be plenty of upsets because of their anti-stance on so many americans in this country. They are anti-gay, anti-black, anti-muslim, anti-hispanic, anti-poor, anti-asian or anyone that isn't white or christian. THE GOP is in a rude awakening cause if they don't take back the house or senate this election cycle, they are DONE!! Put a fork in them. The only demographics they can beat President obama is 65-and up and white and they ares dying off. Obama has the women vote, the black vote, the hispanic vote, the young vote, jews, muslims, and the list goes on and on. GOP don't have the numbers on their side and the evidence is mounting considering ARIZONA is a RED state but yet GOODARD is in striking distance from her ith over 60% of latinos voting against her. Serves her right. I smell an upset and i predict the arizona voters will send her PACKING!!

    October 11, 2010 06:14 pm at 6:14 pm |
  17. Susan

    I am ashamed to live in AZ.
    Terry Goddard is a weak politician. He is a nice adminitrator but very weak campaigner.
    After all the stupidity Brewer has been throwing (not to mention her excellant debate performance), she is still leading.
    Rightly, AZ is a nutty place to live in.

    October 11, 2010 06:17 pm at 6:17 pm |
  18. GOP Scorched Earth Politics

    Wow AZ is a right-wing extremist red state, yet the Democrat candidate is actually within striking distance of Brewer. Maybe if she didn't resort to lies and making-up bogus stories of decapitated bodies in the AZ desert, she wouldn't be struggling so much. Or maybe if she actually admitted she made a mistake instead of running away from reporters like Sharon Angle it would help.

    October 11, 2010 06:18 pm at 6:18 pm |
  19. Annie, Atlanta

    GOP = the best that billionaires and foreign monied interests can buy.

    October 11, 2010 06:19 pm at 6:19 pm |
  20. Rock God

    Brewer and Republican voters dragging the state into Idiocracy. Really, Arizona?

    October 11, 2010 06:24 pm at 6:24 pm |
  21. T'SAH from Virginia

    WOW – I thought this RED STATE was going to stay RED!!!! I am shock that it is so close. I thought Brewer will be winning by over 50%!!! Dang, what happened??

    You know – I think it's because AZ news got BORING and the National media was not paying attention to it. The LOCAL voters – who are the ones who can VOTE only were able to do so without OUTSIDERS interfering!!!

    DEMOCRATS in AZ – You need to continue to STATE the CASE and mean it – UNITE the BASE and be proud of it – and doggone it – YOU JUST MIGHT WIN THIS RACE in AZ!!!

    This is T'SAH from Virginia and I approve this message!!!

    October 11, 2010 06:34 pm at 6:34 pm |
  22. keeth in cali

    After her dismal performance in the televised debate and repeatedly being caught in lie after lie, if AZ voters still elect her to office, then they deserve her and all the negativity that comes with and from her.

    October 11, 2010 06:45 pm at 6:45 pm |
  23. AZ DEM

    I hope voters in AZ get Brewer out of office...she is such a sham of a Governor its ridiculous...the fact that the Immigration law is a big element of her support in AZ is sickening...she can't even answer simple questions about previous statments SHE MADE instead she runs from reporters and could barely articulate a sentence during the governor's debate..give me a freakin break she MUST GO!!!

    October 11, 2010 06:50 pm at 6:50 pm |
  24. Alistair

    I'm sending money to Goddard's campaign because I smell an upset.

    October 11, 2010 06:58 pm at 6:58 pm |
  25. ThinkAgain

    Job description of a Republican these days:

    1. Must be willing to lie, spread fear, promote division, and encourage hate of all who disagree with you.

    2. Do the above while claiming to be a patriot and a "Christian."

    3. Ability to smile, even though your soul is rotten: REQUIRED.

    October 11, 2010 07:05 pm at 7:05 pm |
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