October 19th, 2010
03:27 PM ET
12 years ago

Poll: O'Malley up five in Maryland re-match

(CNN) - With two weeks until Election Day, a new poll indicates that Democratic Gov. Martin O'Malley of Maryland holds a five point advantage over his Republican challenger, former Gov. Bob Ehrlich.

According to a Gonzales Research and Marketing Strategies survey released Tuesday, 47 percent of likely voters in Maryland support O'Malley, with 42 percent backing Ehrlich, four percent supporting other candidates and six percent undecided. O'Malley's five point advantage over Ehrlich is within the poll's sampling error.

The survey indicates that O'Malley holds large leads in Maryland's Washington D.C. suburbs and in Baltimore, with Ehrlich holding an advantage in Baltimore's suburbs, western and southern Maryland and the Eastern Shore.

A Washington Post survey conducted in late September indicated that O'Malley had an 11 point lead over Ehrlich. Other recent polls suggested O'Malley held a single point advantage.

O'Malley leads as well in the battle for campaign cash, and has slightly outspent Ehrlich on television ad time, according to figures from Campaign Media Analysis Group. But the Republican Governors Association has spent more than $1.3 million on ad time in support of Ehrlich. The RGA spent half a million dollars last week on ad time in Maryland, down from just over $617,000 the week before.

"Just like candidates are working on multiple speeches right now the party committees are working on multiple media plans – they change every day based on poll numbers," says Evan Tracey, CMAG president and CNN's television advertising consultant.

In 2002, Ehrlich become the first GOP governor of Maryland since Spiro Agnew, but he was defeated in his 2006 re-election bid by O'Malley, who was mayor of Baltimore at the time.

Earlier this month President Barack Obama teamed up with O'Malley at a rally in Bowie, Maryland and former President Clinton joins O'Malley at a campaign event Thursday.

Democrats greatly outnumber Republicans and independents in Maryland, and the key to an O'Malley victory would be to ensure that Democrats go to the polls. That was the logic behind the Obama event with O'Malley, which was held at Bowie State University, the oldest historically black college/university in the state. The school is located in Prince George's County, which has a large African-American population and a heavily Democratic electorate. And the Clinton event will be held in Baltimore, the state's largest city.

The Gonzales Research and Marketing Strategies survey was conducted October 11-16, with 816 registered voters questioned by telephone. The survey's overall sampling error is plus or minus 3.5 percentage points.

Follow Paul Steinhauser on Twitter: @PsteinhauserCNN

Filed under: 2010 • John Ehrlich • Martin O'Malley
soundoff (11 Responses)
  1. sky

    In Monday's New York Times, Maureen Dowd wrote that we are living in "the era of Republican Mean Girls, grown-up versions of those teenage tormentors who would steal your boyfriend, spray-paint your locker and, just for good measure, spread rumors that you were pregnant. These women - Jan, Meg, Carly, Sharron, Linda, Michele, Queen Bee Sarah and sweet wannabe Christine - have co-opted and ratcheted up the disgust with the status quo that originally buoyed Barack Obama. . . . They are the ideal nihilistic cheerleaders for an angry electorate." Some of this strikes me as projection, torment being one of Dowd's own many talents, and she, too, has been known to question a man's manhood, as when she described presidential candidate Al Gore as "so feminized he's practically lactating."

    Still, it's true that most, though not all, of the women mocking an adversary's lack of political cojones are Republican, and that's actually quite odd to me. According to their own narrative, weren't conservative women supposed to be the ones who liked men – and hated seeing them put down? Isn't there something disconsonant about touting womb-to-tomb respect for life, then shouting about testicles in any language?

    October 19, 2010 03:42 pm at 3:42 pm |
  2. Sniffit

    "O'Donnell is right. The idea of a "wall of separation between church and state" comes not from the Constitution, but from a letter Thomas Jefferson wrote to a church committee in Connecticut in 1802. "

    You called the reporter "half-educated" but you focus on only half th equote from that letter. The "wall of separation between church and state" was something Jefferson said SPECIFICALLY EXPLAINING THE MEANING OF THE LANGUAGE IN THE FIRST AMENDMENT. You can't get around it by taking it out of context then pretending that he was not explicitly telling that church association what the Constitution was intended to mean. Your'e so wrong and warped on this point that it's not even funny...it's SAD.

    October 19, 2010 03:47 pm at 3:47 pm |
  3. Gale

    Bet ole Gov. O'Malley is shaking in his loafers. When it is that close, remember, most people undecided will vote Republican. They just don't think it is anyone else's business!!

    October 19, 2010 03:54 pm at 3:54 pm |
  4. Sam

    Isn't it Bob Ehrlich?

    October 19, 2010 04:04 pm at 4:04 pm |
  5. PalmReader

    Worth repeating:

    Soprry, had to respond to this, especially since CNN will likely avoid covering this FACT because it's just that disgusting and damaging to one of their little controversy darlings:

    The GOP in NV is running advertisements encouraging the hispanic population not to vote. The ad literally says "Don't Vote." It was created by, oddly enough, a fellow hispanic man, but one who has deep historical ties to the GOP. He covers up for his overt voter suppression effort by claiming that he's just upset with both parties on their failure to enact immigration reform, especially the Dems "for failing to keep their promises," but he is on record in the past as slamming everything the Dems have proposed and supporting the GOP's obstruction of it. It's a thinkly veiled voter suppression drive and an attempt to get the latino community in NV to stay home to benefit Angle.
    Sniffit: Univision has stated it will not run the ad. To your point of CNN not covering this story, there is much which CNN isn't covering, including other points in the the Angle article. She implied to those Latino (Asian) children that the terrorists were coming from the Nothern border - one assumes she meant Nothern State borders - which has Canadians upset. All very revelant, but left out of CNN coverage.

    October 19, 2010 04:12 pm at 4:12 pm |
  6. jacob

    It's Bob Ehrlich, way to check your facts

    October 19, 2010 04:24 pm at 4:24 pm |
  7. Sniffit

    Oh, trust me PalmReader, I know. There seems to be a limit to the criticism CNN allows me to level at them on a daily basis though. They don't mind "you're the liberal media" or "how's that ad revenue doing CNN?" nonsense because they can brush it off, but they seem to have a problem with someone posting a ton of facts that they refuse to report...you know, because ommitting those facts allows them to lend credibility to batsh-t crazy morons like Angle in order to facilitate creating the perception of something legitimately controversial, ergo sensational. In fact, I'm suprised they let you supplement my rant. But hey, had they printed the unadulterated version, it might cost Angle credibility and make the idiots yammering about "reverse racism" look even stupider...can't have that...oh no...we must pretend that both sides are equal so there's something to bobblehead about.

    October 19, 2010 04:32 pm at 4:32 pm |
  8. LacrosseMom(real one)

    @ PalmReader, thank you for the information! This IS horrible!

    I believe that the November 2nd elections will be close! We NEED everyone to get out to vote. Especially Minorities. The Republicans-TeaPartiers have insulted Gays, Latinos, Asians, Blacks, the Poor, Middle Class, Union workers and Women!

    Who's going to vote for the GOP-TeaPartiers?

    October 19, 2010 04:32 pm at 4:32 pm |
  9. T'SAH from Virginia

    The headline should have read: Republican in TROUBLE in MD; O'Malley up 5 points!"

    I mean, that is what the headlines read when a Democrat was in TROUBLE or FIGHTING for their Political LIFE!!!

    All summer we had to go through the so-called ENTHUSIASM coming from the RIGHT and now, we can't even get a GOOD HEADLINE!!!

    Can your headlines FOR ONCE say that a RepubliCAN'T is in TROUBLE!!!???

    This is T'SAH from Virginia and I approve this message!!

    October 19, 2010 04:41 pm at 4:41 pm |
  10. Marie MD

    ehrlich hasn't got a chance in my State of Maryland but that witch better keep her mittens off him or he will lose by even more!
    The only reason he won was because he ran against Catherine (I think) Kennedy and she had no chance.
    He's now running against, O'Malley, a real contender.

    October 19, 2010 04:48 pm at 4:48 pm |
  11. Sniffit

    "Isn't there something disconsonant about touting womb-to-tomb respect for life, then shouting about testicles in any language?"

    Yes there is. In fact, scientists are hard at work trying to figure out how to capture and use the overwhelming white noise generated by ninny Republican twits screaming their ideological talking point blather...the plan is to use it to reduce the hearing-damaging ambient noise in urban neighborhoods so that at least SOMETHING good might come from these idiots being allowed to pollute our national discourse with nonsense.

    October 19, 2010 05:40 pm at 5:40 pm |