November 3rd, 2010
06:14 AM ET
12 years ago

Will the economy save Obama's job?

New York ( - The economy was a Democrat's worst enemy in this year's midterm elections. Will President Obama face the same fate in 2012?

Political scientists say the direction of the economy is what colors an incumbent's re-election chances most. And even though sluggish growth is widely expected to continue next year, economists are generally forecasting better growth, and improvements in the job market in 2012. That could well be enough to save Obama's job.

"The next two years will be more important for [Obama's] prospects than the first half of his first term," said Douglas Hibbs, a retired professor at the University of Gothenburg who has studied the impact of the economy on voter choices over the last 60 years.

Filed under: 2010 • Economy • issues • President Obama
soundoff (8 Responses)
  1. Anonymous

    Long answer: yes.

    November 3, 2010 06:15 am at 6:15 am |
  2. keepstuffingthis

    Switched between Fox and MSNBC last night. The amazing thing was Fox did not demean or degrade the Democratic winners, simply reported the straight news. Olberman, Maddow and Matthews, true to form, had to degrade and demean every Republican winner, in an especially obnoxious way. CNN played it pretty straight and was fairly good. Congratulations.

    November 3, 2010 06:45 am at 6:45 am |
  3. Russinmaine

    If he does not lose the childish tantrum mentality of everything my way nothing will save his job!

    November 3, 2010 06:54 am at 6:54 am |
  4. AB Baltimore MD

    The 2010 election has sent a clear and unmistakeable message to President Obama and the Democrats: It's the economy stupid!! President Obama and the Democrats need to focus on reviving the economy and formulating job creation initiatives for the next two year. If the economy improves and people are back to work enmass, Obama will be re-elected to the White House and the Democrats will regain the House Majority and strengthen their majority in the Senate in 2012.

    November 3, 2010 07:27 am at 7:27 am |
  5. Four and The Door

    Obama's problems are deeper than that. His failures with the economy are legendary, but his other issues involve both a distorted view of the role of the federal government in America and a total lack of connection with the American people. This was a referendum on Obama, not the economy. He does not know how to make things work.

    November 3, 2010 07:27 am at 7:27 am |
  6. Right Leaning Independent

    Ba Ha Ha Ha!!! I guess someone forgot to tell all those folks with cell phones that the election was yesterday!!!

    November 3, 2010 07:28 am at 7:28 am |
  7. Right Leaning Independent

    Time for the Dems to move to the back seat and let someone that knows how to drive get the car out of the ditch!!!

    November 3, 2010 07:30 am at 7:30 am |
  8. Indiana Voter

    Republicans will save Obama's job by fixing the economy that they ruined, starting in 2006. Much like 1994, where the Republicans fixed the economy and gave Clinton another four years, the same could happen here. History shows that Democrats in control of Congress results in bad economies.

    November 3, 2010 07:40 am at 7:40 am |