CNN 2012 Poll: Obama and Palin going in different directions?
December 28th, 2010
10:00 AM ET
12 years ago

CNN 2012 Poll: Obama and Palin going in different directions?

Washington (CNN) - As the start of the next presidential campaign nears, a new national poll suggests that President Barack Obama's tax-cut compromise with congressional Republicans did not hurt his standing among Democrats, while former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin may be dropping in the eyes of Republicans.

According to a CNN/Opinion Research Corporation survey released Tuesday, 78 percent of Democrats questioned in the poll say they want to see Obama at the top of their party's ticket in 2012, with only 19 percent saying they would prefer someone else as the Democratic presidential nominee. The 19 percent figure is the lowest figure since March, when the question was first asked.

Full results (pdf)

Many liberal Democrats opposed the tax rate compromise because it included provisions that helped the wealthy. Although previously released numbers indicate the president's approval rating among self-described liberals dropped from 79 percent in November to 72 percent in December, the survey suggests that when it comes to the next presidential election, the tax deal may not be hurting him with the progressive wing of the party.

"Among liberal Democrats, 85 percent say they want to see the party re-nominate Obama in 2012," says CNN Polling Director Keating Holland. "Among moderate Democrats, his support is almost that high."

In the battle for the GOP presidential nomination, the survey suggests Palin may have some work to do if she throws her hat in the ring. Only 49 percent of Republicans say that they are likely to support Sen. John McCain's running mate in 2008 for the Republican nomination in 2012.

"That's a huge 18-point drop since December of 2008, when two-thirds of GOPers said they were likely to support Palin. It also puts her well behind potential rivals Mike Huckabee and Mitt Romney, and a bit behind Newt Gingrich as well," adds Holland.

Two-thirds of Republicans questioned say they would likely support Huckabee as their nominee in 2012. The former Arkansas governor and 2008 GOP presidential candidate is considering another bid for the White House. So is another candidate from the last election, former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney. Fifty-nine percent of Republicans say they would likely support Romney. That number drops to 54 percent for former House Speaker Newt Gingrich of Georgia, who is also contemplating a run for the White House.

The CNN/Opinion Research Corporation poll was conducted December 17-19, with 1,008 adult Americans questioned by telephone. The survey's overall sampling error is plus or minus three percentage points.

- CNN Deputy Political Director Paul Steinhauser contributed to this report

Follow Paul Steinhauser on Twitter: @PsteinhauserCNN

Check out CNN's new Polling Center, which provides the most comprehensive polling data covering national questions and the top 2010 election races of any news organization in the political landscape.

Filed under: 2012 • CNN poll • Polls • President Obama • Sarah Palin
soundoff (80 Responses)
  1. Living in America

    First of it is no contest. President Obama a Harvard grad, intelligent and well spoken and well read. Palin took 7 schools and 5 years to get a degree, see's Russia from her house, doesn't know what magazine she has read and quit as governor. DUHHHHHHHH

    December 28, 2010 11:46 am at 11:46 am |
  2. RUexperienced

    Sarah Palin was acceptable as a Vice Presidential candidate. She could attend the funerals, host the dinners, shake hands, kiss babies and throw out pitches at baseball games.

    But most Republicans know she is not presidential material. If they didn't know it before, they have figured it out in the last two years.

    December 28, 2010 11:47 am at 11:47 am |
  3. Rickster

    "The federal government has accumulated more new debt–$3.22 trillion during the tenure of the 111th Congress than it did during the first 100 Congresses combined, according to official debt figures published by the U.S. Treasury."
    This is the so-called "Bush debt" which more accurately should be called the "democrat congress debt".

    December 28, 2010 11:48 am at 11:48 am |
  4. Kenneth Krieger

    I do not think any poll CNN does means anything. If their polls were helpful and believeable why is CNN so low in the polls? Cape Coral Florida

    December 28, 2010 11:48 am at 11:48 am |
  5. Paul

    Its nice to see the change in strategy by Obama and his staff during the lame duck sessions. I just hope he continues to keep that train on track and work more closely with the GOPrs to get even more done with the new Congress. I support Obama but wouldn't mind seeing someone like Romney run to make for an exciting election. May the best person win.

    December 28, 2010 11:49 am at 11:49 am |
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