POLL: Nelson under 50 percent in 2012 showdowns
February 15th, 2011
10:02 AM ET
12 years ago

POLL: Nelson under 50 percent in 2012 showdowns

Washington (CNN) - A new poll suggests Democratic Sen. Bill Nelson of Florida could face rough road to re-election next year.

The two-term Nelson is under the 50 percent mark against possible Republican challengers in five 2012 hypothetical general election matchups, according to a survey commissioned by Ron Sachs Communications and conducted by Mason-Dixon Polling and Research.

The poll indicates former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush leading Nelson 49 to 41 percent among Sunshine state voters. But Bush is not considered a likely candidate for the Senate.

In a possible matchup between Nelson and Rep. Connie Mack, Nelson is ahead by a 45 to 40 percent margin. In a hypothetical general election showdown between Nelson and former Sen. George LeMieux, Nelson leads 49 to 35 percent. Nelson is also ahead of state Senate President Mike Haridopolos 48 to 25 percent and leading state House Majority Leader Adam Hasner 46 to 22 percent.

"Bill Nelson will clearly have a much more difficult path to victory next year than he had in 2006," says Mason-Dixon Managing Director Brad Coker. "The fact that Sen. Nelson currently can't crack 50 percent against any GOP challenger in a head-to-head match-up, including several lesser-known lawmakers, is a clear sign of vulnerability."

The Ron Sachs Communications/Mason-Dixon Polling and Research survey was conducted Feb. 9-10, with 625 Florida registered voters questioned by telephone. The poll's overall samping error is plus or minus 4 percentage points.

- Follow Paul Steinhauser on Twitter: @psteinhausercnn

Filed under: 2012 • Bill Nelson • Polls
soundoff (7 Responses)
  1. Wire Palladin, S. F.

    Connie Mack, resident of California, who is our SW Florida congressman is completely out of touch with voters, votes against seniors, workers, and middle class would get 40%. That is hard to believe.

    February 15, 2011 10:22 am at 10:22 am |
  2. gt

    nelson needs to retire ... been there way to long.... to many of the senators think that is a postion for life.....when they show the senate there old men and women....bearly getting around the floor .... retire old man...retire...

    February 15, 2011 10:49 am at 10:49 am |
  3. FloridaRes

    I am a Florida Resident as you can see and Nelson gets my vote – he is a decent, compassionate man who works hard for his constituents.

    February 15, 2011 10:51 am at 10:51 am |
  4. a in austin

    CNN, before you start this poll after poll, when Main Street wakes up – look out!

    February 15, 2011 10:59 am at 10:59 am |
  5. Brian in MD

    Well, he did vote for the Obamacare boondoggle. You deserve to be fired. Don't worry though, you'll have plenty of company.

    February 15, 2011 11:05 am at 11:05 am |
  6. CB FLA

    Mark Twain said "Politicians are like diapers both need to be changed regularly and for the same reason."

    February 15, 2011 11:30 am at 11:30 am |
  7. Proud member of "Global Zero"

    Don't worry Senator...nobody called anyone I know. I have told your staff that we have your back. I will work very hard to make sure you stay in office. As I told your staff in the past.....your vote on Iraq was a bad one.....but your latest votes almost make up for it. The Senate Arms Service Committee will miss your vote this year. It seems you are the most responsible one to be on that committee. You have my vote and millions that were not called for this poll.

    February 15, 2011 11:52 am at 11:52 am |