Poll: Voters divided between Obama and a Republican
February 16th, 2011
08:29 PM ET
10 years ago

Poll: Voters divided between Obama and a Republican

(CNN) - Registered voters are split over who they will support in the next presidential election, according to a new poll. The Gallup survey released Wednesday showed 45 percent of registered voters would support President Obama and 45 percent would support a no-name Republican candidate in a hypothetical 2012 match-up.

Four percent said they would support a different candidate and six percent had no opinion. But the new figures show little change from the same survey taken in February 2010 when President Obama received support from 44 percent of registered voters and the Republican candidate received 42 percent.

Independent voters were also split on who to support. Forty-one percent said they would back Obama and 41 percent said they would back a Republican candidate. Eighteen percent would support a different candidate or were unsure.

A CNN/Opinion Research poll taken in January showed 48 percent of those surveyed would definitely or probably vote for Obama in 2012 and 51 percent would definitely or probably not. Forty-six percent of those surveyed thought Obama would win re-election in 2012, compared with the 51 percent that did not.

Gallup surveyed 1,015 adults between February 2 and February 5. The poll's overall sampling error is plus or minus four percentage points.

- CNN's Paul Steinhauser and Gabriella Schwarz contributed to this report


Filed under: 2012 • Polls • President Obama • Republicans
soundoff (31 Responses)
  1. Bj

    Any Republican but obami, the one hit blunder.

    February 16, 2011 08:42 pm at 8:42 pm |
  2. Margie

    Guess if the MSM was reporting on the outrageous behavior of the republicans in office now the poll would say 100% for Obama and 0% for the republicans. And by the time voting comes around the Democrat will win in a landslide over the republican. I would hate to be the republican who embarass himself by running.

    February 16, 2011 08:57 pm at 8:57 pm |
  3. Jeff Brown in Jersey

    Anyone who would support a Republican over President Obama does not deserve to vote!

    February 16, 2011 08:59 pm at 8:59 pm |
  4. michele dillman

    II am now embarresd to be a registerd Democrat, where did the people for the people go

    February 16, 2011 09:00 pm at 9:00 pm |
  5. Right Leaning Independent

    Well, well... Looks like us Independents have continued to see through Obama and the free spending Dems... Obama's social engineering has been a disaster for the Dems and will cause them major losses once again in 2012...

    February 16, 2011 09:05 pm at 9:05 pm |
  6. Kara

    Oh good, more ponitless polling from CNN, the all politics, all the time, continuous combat station.
    It's no wonder no one in washignton gets anything done, with the press making every moment into a battle for political survival.
    The mess the country is in is down to this kind of pointless, irrelevant and destructive reporting.
    Well done.

    February 16, 2011 09:09 pm at 9:09 pm |
  7. Pretzel Logic

    The problem is when one of the Republican candidates acquires a "name" – like Palin or Bush or Huckabee or Romney – the President's numbers jump 10 points. Perhaps the Republicans should run "nobody" as their candidate. Would work well with their "No ideas and no solutions" platform.

    February 16, 2011 09:10 pm at 9:10 pm |
  8. Mr. Moderate

    Of course when you put him up against the flat out nut cases and perpetual malcontentents on an individual basis there is no contest.

    February 16, 2011 09:15 pm at 9:15 pm |
  9. Half Term Quitter Hides Behind Facebook

    Funny part is that new voters are overwhelmingly Democratic. Repugs and teahadists are on the road to extinction. Can't alienate minorities and the youth and expect them to vote for them. Obama big in 2012.

    February 16, 2011 09:48 pm at 9:48 pm |
  10. kakaraka

    Stupid poll.How can u compare somebody with nobody at all and say they split. Rudicule is not tiring these biased journalists.

    February 16, 2011 09:54 pm at 9:54 pm |
  11. Charlie

    After the Republicans finish cutting social security, medicare, education, EPA, etc., the middle class voter will be sure to know who to vote for in 2012. They were hoodwinked in November by the tea party lies and propaganda, but it won't happen
    next time.

    February 16, 2011 09:55 pm at 9:55 pm |
  12. Bill

    I worked for Obama and at this point, No Name sounds like a winner to me..

    February 16, 2011 10:53 pm at 10:53 pm |
  13. jo rossello

    I always read about pollls that you take to show how we will vote in the future or where our president stands right now.
    It upsets me a lot since I have never been asked. Who votes on these polls? I go on line a lot but never see a poll where I can vote my preference. I support Obama all the way. I voted for him and I stand for all his decisions. Ledt that be known.

    February 16, 2011 11:33 pm at 11:33 pm |
  14. Veritas

    I did in 08 and will continue to support Mr Obama. There's not another candidate democrat or rethug/pee partyer who can hold a candle to our President. He's getting our country back from w. stealing elections, catering to the rich and starting a war for oil. Bush ran us into the gutter Mr Obama is pulling us out.

    February 16, 2011 11:46 pm at 11:46 pm |
  15. J.V.Hodgson

    When in effect you have 10% not really decided its situation normal. The so called swing voters or independents will be the decider.
    Having said that we are 21months away from the real election and so much can change in that time so this poll is costly and meaningless exercise in my opinion.
    Regards,
    Hodgson.

    February 16, 2011 11:46 pm at 11:46 pm |
  16. BeverlyNC

    Once Americans see more truth about the Republicans like Boehner revealing he cares nothing about jobs, cares nothing about reducing the deficit, and is no leader – they will begin to move towards Obama and the Democrats who tell the truth and are actualy doing really work to create jobs, restore the economy, and offer a realistic budget that doesn't cut 1M jobs like Boehner's budget does. If the FCC would do something about the intentional lies, hate speech, and absurd conspiracy theories FOX just makes up – then the People will get access to FACTS and will learn what an outstanding President we have and what progress he is bringing to our country. He cares about the PEOPLE. Republicans care about no one but themselves and the wealthy and are corporate robots. They hate the American People and Boehner just proved it twice in one day with his arrogant flippant comments saying he didn't care 1M people would lose their jobs with his irresponsible budget and yet will not make the wealthy or corporations pay taxes that would solve the debt problem all at once. Republicans can't govern and Bush proved that by destroying our country. Now we have a whole new set of Republicans set on more destruction of our nation and our People. Stand with President Obama and our nation will continue to recover. He is 100% focused on the PEOPLE as a great leader would be. Stand with Obama.

    February 17, 2011 12:06 am at 12:06 am |
  17. Four and The Door

    There are a number of capable fine Republicans who can beat Obama in next year's election. The only thing left to decide is which one the Republican Party will nominate. It can't get here soon enough.

    February 17, 2011 12:52 am at 12:52 am |
  18. Chris

    Morons. Pure and simple, Americans will never learn and we are a nation of morons. All you have to do is watch that CPAC convention and come back and tell me if the CONservatives represent you?!?

    February 17, 2011 01:40 am at 1:40 am |
  19. thomas

    half live in the past , half in the future !

    February 17, 2011 01:46 am at 1:46 am |
  20. Ram Riva

    CNN is becoming more and more right wing / tea pary supporters by the minute...
    Republicans and Tea Party members get ample coverage only surpassed by Fox News
    Bachman, Palin and all the attacks on the President and sadly on the First Lady Michelle Obama, get extended coverages on CNN....
    They are no longer an impartial news organization, therefore CNN has lost all credibility ... don't believe us...observe their reporting for the next two years...

    February 17, 2011 02:56 am at 2:56 am |
  21. Pravaa

    Who comes up with these dumb questions for polling ? I mean, we are still talking about electing the leader of the free world here, right?

    February 17, 2011 03:14 am at 3:14 am |
  22. Bob

    Nothing against President Obama but when he kept mentioning the word "CHANGE" against the Bush Administration.
    Obama differently change BUT the change was even worse than what the Bush Administration was! I couldn't believe this man-once President Obama was swore in – 2 months later I lost my job, then I lost my house. Now remind you when Bush was in I still had a job and my house just the other crazy things Bush has done mostly the war and taxes. It's sad to President Obama truly did not serve the American people at a 100% performance of his job. People like myself lost a job and a home, Obama made promises to the people which he never kept. – in the long run President Obama will definitely NOT be re-elected – a Republican will win the next election very easily. Even if President Obama SUDDENLY made jobs come back NOW and cut the spendings – its too late for his early cause- Obama will suffer in the end loosing the election for President.

    February 17, 2011 05:56 am at 5:56 am |
  23. Catie

    If everything Obama says were true we would be in great shape. However, I am finding, upon researching what he actually does on paper, he is full of balogna. It is sad to because he could have surpased Kennedy if he really cared about America. He could have given blacks such a boost, now they have to deal with the anger people are feeling toward Obama. Not because he is black but for how he manipulated his black half to win their vote. We need a good role model for blacks, I thought years ago Harry Ford Jr should have run, there are so many great great black contenders, why why why Obama for the first black President. A shame

    February 17, 2011 06:19 am at 6:19 am |
  24. Catie

    Harold Ford Jr. of Tenn. I didnt mean to call him Harry. He is so wonderful

    February 17, 2011 06:22 am at 6:22 am |
  25. Catie

    Why dont we prove we can all get along and vote a Cuomo/Christie ticket for 2012. We may not be in love with these men but we know they will get us back on track !!!

    February 17, 2011 06:25 am at 6:25 am |
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