Romney prediction: Obama won't win Iowa in 2012
August 10th, 2011
05:27 PM ET
12 years ago

Romney prediction: Obama won't win Iowa in 2012

Pella, Iowa (CNN) - The Republican presidential candidate who's been missing from political action recently in Iowa returned here on Wednesday with a fresh prediction: President Obama won't win Iowa in 2012.

And Mitt Romney upped the ante, proclaiming he would win the state's seven electoral votes if he becomes the Republican presidential nominee.

Romney spoke to reporters in Pella, Iowa, after speaking at a company that manufactures agricultural, environmental and industrial equipment. In the back-and-forth with business people, Romney repeated his slams against the Obama administration: decrying its "job-killing" economic policies, saying he believes officials intend to have a government-run health care system, and blasting Democrats as being beholden to special interests like public worker unions.

In his exchange with reporters, Romney mentioned the president's upcoming bus tour.

"I hope that on his bus tour he actually takes the time to get off the bus and sit down with business people...and ask them whether the policies he's put in place over the last two and a half years have helped or hurt enterprise and jobs in America," Romney said.

The candidate then donned the hat of political punditry.

"I think you'll find that on policy after policy, that if he [Obama] does that he'll learn from the American people and from business people just what I do...that the president's policies have made it more difficult for enterprises to grow and thrive at a time when the economy was in trouble. And that's why I think this president is going to have a tough re-election bid."

Romney added: "Let me make this prediction: he won't carry Iowa in November 2012."

In 2008, then-Senator Obama won Iowa, beating GOP presidential nominee Sen. John McCain by nine-points in the state. Obama, then a senator from Illinois, also won Iowa's critical caucuses in January of that year.

Meanwhile, there's a question of whether or not Romney can make good on his prediction: of winning Iowa should he become the nominee.

In the 2008 race, he actively campaigned for a win in the Iowa caucuses - but lost that contest to former Arkansas governor Mike Huckabee.

Currently, Romney has not been aggressively campaigning in Iowa. Wednesday's visit is his first since May and that visit was his first of the 2012 cycle.

Other candidates - such as Minnesota Rep. Michele Bachmann, former Minnesota governor Tim Pawlenty and businessman Herman Cain - have been far more visible and vocal in and around Iowa in the hopes of winning Saturday's crucial Ames Straw Poll. That contest is seen as a barometer of a candidate's organization and popularity.

Various polls in Iowa have recently shown Romney either holding a lead above his fellow contenders or slipping behind them.

Romney was asked about his chances of winning the state, given his lengthy absences in between visits thus far.

"You'll see me plenty in Iowa," he said. "We'll be doing a lot of debates."

Romney added: "I'll be participating in the Iowa caucus process hoping to win the delegates that I'd like to have to win the nomination. And if I'm the nominee, of course I'll be aggressively campaigning – Iowa will be a swing state. I don't think the president will win it. I think I'll win it if I'm the nominee."

Some Iowans have grumbled that Romney is skipping the state thus far.

The candidate was asked if he can win their support for the caucuses, though he's isn't aggressively campaigning for their support in the Ames contest.

"Sure hope so," Romney said. "My view is that what I want to do is go out and talk to Iowans and express my views for how to get the economy going again. And I think the people of Iowa are far less concerned with the process of politics and far more concerned with the future of America."

–Follow Shannon Travis on Twitter: @ShanTravisCNN

Filed under: 2012 • Mitt Romney • President Obama
soundoff (44 Responses)
  1. Sniffit

    "And I think the people of Iowa are far less concerned with the process of politics and far more concerned with the future of America."

    Translation: "Please step back and don't look behind the curtain. I asssure, the $1M in laundered money I received from W Spann, LLC is totallyk legit...promise."

    August 10, 2011 06:46 pm at 6:46 pm |
  2. Four and The Door

    Based on results of the Obama Administration programs having had their run for over 2 years now, I would be surprised if he carried the City of Chicago in 2012. Every other City in America ( except maybe San Francisco ) will be carried by " whoever is not Obama ".

    August 10, 2011 06:49 pm at 6:49 pm |
  3. Indy

    Neither will Joseph Smiths candidate ! Romney is so 2008 and that aint going to work.Old news,Obama bad,teleprompter,birth certificate,Robama Care. Just because Romney cant find a corporation that wants to hire him does not mean the majority of Americans want to hire him.

    August 10, 2011 06:59 pm at 6:59 pm |
  4. RINO Bil

    There goes Mitt, exhibiting his keen grasp of the obvious.

    August 10, 2011 07:20 pm at 7:20 pm |
  5. Claudia, Houston, Tx

    With all due to respect to Romney he's not a member of the FLDS as Warren Jeff, so don't hang that on him. I don't support him, I'm just saying.

    August 10, 2011 07:24 pm at 7:24 pm |
  6. thomas

    He might be right , but he's no help !

    Mitt , why didn't any of your five sons do any military service ?

    August 10, 2011 07:28 pm at 7:28 pm |
  7. Haap

    Wow, go out on a limb wild man. I'll bet he won't win his home state though.

    August 10, 2011 07:31 pm at 7:31 pm |
  8. Name king

    Hey Romney outwitting jobs over seas won't work. Experience is the best knowledge, too bad the American people felt and saw what you guys are all about. They've seen your willingness to crash this economy just because you hate Obama and you want to take government out of the equation so that big businesses can screw the little man. They also felt the bush policies that destroyed our economy, and how much you guys are fighting to bring his policies back. Obama need to stop allowing these repugs to draw him into a manufactured crisis and start dealing with the real crisis to get us out of our situation and that is jobs. And no you repugs will not stop him no matter what you do, the people of America has his back.

    August 10, 2011 07:35 pm at 7:35 pm |
  9. Anonymous

    Iowa will only have 6 electoral votes in 2012 due to the 2010 census- not 7 as the article says.

    August 10, 2011 07:36 pm at 7:36 pm |
  10. Jen

    and you will NEVER be president.

    August 10, 2011 07:37 pm at 7:37 pm |
  11. mark whitt

    he should not count his chickens before they are hatch! a lot can happen before 2012!

    August 10, 2011 07:47 pm at 7:47 pm |
  12. Philly

    This guy is a joke all he do is talk about obama talk about how would you fix the problem people we should cut every person congres salay to $30.000 ayear so they can feel what its like to strugle paying there bills i bet they fix this econy quick cause they wouldnt want to lose there home and boats why havent they offered to give up there 300.000 salarys until they fix the problem they work for us remember

    August 10, 2011 07:50 pm at 7:50 pm |
  13. C. Howe Yulikit

    My Prediction: Romney won't win the Presidency.

    August 10, 2011 08:00 pm at 8:00 pm |
  14. Paul

    Sad to note no not one politician has a clue on how to solve the economic situation .Stop lying and come clean democrats and republicans.

    August 10, 2011 08:12 pm at 8:12 pm |
  15. To tell the truth

    this dude sounds like he hurt his head.. you lost it in 2008, and you predicting somebody that won it will loss to u? dude outta his mind

    August 10, 2011 08:13 pm at 8:13 pm |
  16. usualone

    People who don't like the President and talk about his ego really aren't observant. Romney has the biggest ego, perhaps even bigger than Palin. She is a pest, but he is the one who goes beyond confidence. He is a pretty boy with no substance, just a flip-flopper.

    August 10, 2011 08:19 pm at 8:19 pm |
  17. IVOTE

    And you Mitt will not win the IOWA straw poll. Back at you.

    August 10, 2011 08:45 pm at 8:45 pm |
  18. Independent Texan

    STOP THE PRESSES !!!!!! A Repub predicts a Repub win !!!!!

    August 10, 2011 08:57 pm at 8:57 pm |
  19. Ha Ha !

    Romney you won't even win your own parties nomination ! You should spend less time worrying about general election politics and worry about the people who you are competing against now ! No wonder Romney's been keeping a low profile because he seems to keep putting his foot in his mouth almost every time he speaks !

    August 10, 2011 09:04 pm at 9:04 pm |
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