Poll: Palin making gains but most in GOP don't want her to run
September 21st, 2011
08:42 AM ET
11 years ago

Poll: Palin making gains but most in GOP don't want her to run

(CNN) - While she still hasn't made up her mind on a run for the White House, a new national poll suggests that former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin is making gains against President Barack Obama in a hypothetical 2012 general election matchup.

According to a McClatchy-Marist survey, the GOP's 2008 vice presidential nominee trails Obama 49 to 44 percent in a hypothetical showdown, after trailing by 21 points in an August poll and 26 points in a June survey. The poll indicates that Palin now leads the president among crucial independent voters.

But while the survey, which was released Tuesday, indicates Palin may be closing the gap with the president, it also suggests that most Republicans are not enthusiastic about her launching a bid for the nomination. By a 72 to 24 percent margin, Republicans and independents who lean toward the GOP do not want Palin to run for the White House.

As for her plans for the 2012 Republican presidential nomination, Palin says they’re still up in the air.

"I think people are still going to be coming and going because there is still time, and I'm still one of those still considering," she said Tuesday night in an interview on the Fox News Channel.

But Palin did acknowledge that the calendar will soon force a decision, as some of the early voting states in the primary and caucus season have November deadlines for candidates to appear on the ballot.

"You have to start getting your ducks lined up to have your names on these ballots," said Palin. "But I do think this is going to be such an unconventional election cycle … A lot is going to happen in these next fourteen months. Mark my word, it is going to be an unconventional type of election process."

According to the poll, 49 percent say they definitely plan to vote against the president next year, with 36 percent saying they definitely plan to support Obama. By a 53 to 28 percent margin, independents say they plan to vote against the president in November 2012.

The poll indicates that Texas Gov. Rick Perry leads the field in the race for the GOP presidential nomination, with the support of 30 percent of Republicans and independents who lean toward the GOP. Former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney, who's making his second run for the White House, received 22 percent support. Rep. Michele Bachmann of Minnesota was at 12 percent, with everyone else in the single digits.

In hypothetical 2012 general election matchups, the survey shows Obama with a two point margin over Romney, 46 to 44 percent, and the president with a nine point advantage, 50 to 41 percent, over Perry.

The McClatchy-Marist poll was conducted September 13-14, after the CNN/Tea Party Republican debate in Tampa, Florida, with 1,042 adults questioned by telephone. The survey's overall sampling error is plus or minus 3.5 percentage points.

- Follow Paul Steinhauser on Twitter: @PSteinhauserCNN.

Filed under: 2012 • Polls • Sarah Palin
soundoff (392 Responses)
  1. James


    -She resigned as governor halfway through her term.
    -She thinks the ability to see Russia from her house makes her a Foreign Policy expert.
    -She seems to think that journalists who ask tough questions are just "out to get her".
    -She is an intellectual lightweight, a narcissist, and a loud mouth.
    -She has no chance of being elected president.

    That pretty much sums it up.

    September 21, 2011 07:10 pm at 7:10 pm |
  2. Laura518

    This is the woman that said, when she QUIT as governor, told Andrea Mitchell that she knew she wasn't going to re-run for governor and doesn't believe in playing the game of letting people wonder whether she is in or out. And yet that is all she has been doing. And she is milking it for everything it's worth. She said she would let people know by September, but on Hannity she hinted that candidates can enter the race at an even later date. But being a democrat, I would LOVE for her to run against Obama. Can you imagine that debate?

    September 21, 2011 07:12 pm at 7:12 pm |
  3. bigwilliestyles

    The CONS keep yelling: "run sarah run"! Didn't she "run" once before? What WAS the outcome? Oh yeah, she got CREAMED, and took McCain down with her. Now THAT'S a FACT. You cons (and I call you cons because so many of you end up indicted) seem to have forgotten that Obama beat the pants off of her before, and will easily do so again. You can stop the charade. You won't bluff your way into the white house the way you BLUFFED your way into congress in 2010. Get a life. By the way sarah: how's that BLOCKBUSTER MOVIE coming along? Has it broken the 100 million mark domestically yet? How about the worldwide numbers? I hear its doing really well in Albania! Tea Party: the party of self-delusion (see Herman Cain).

    September 21, 2011 07:17 pm at 7:17 pm |
  4. nevanderh

    Oh I so hope she runs and permanently seals her fate in politics. Because we all know she'll fail miserably and she can then go away for good (even Faux News will not want her). And it would be a riot watching this idiot sink on such a grand scale.

    September 21, 2011 07:18 pm at 7:18 pm |
  5. Debby

    She won't run, the Palins just like the publicity!

    September 21, 2011 07:27 pm at 7:27 pm |
  6. Or

    Who is Sarah Palin?

    September 21, 2011 07:31 pm at 7:31 pm |
  7. Aaron

    CNN is outdoing itself with all this gibberish. Only the extremely demented would want Palin as president. The numbers presented here are made up at best.

    September 21, 2011 07:39 pm at 7:39 pm |
  8. Aaron

    And while you're at it, why not see whether more people want Palin for president than Donald Duck.

    September 21, 2011 07:40 pm at 7:40 pm |
  9. The Elephant in The Room

    Sarah –

    Saturday Night Live called. Their NEW SEASON is about to begin. They are at a loss for material and were hoping you would say a few words.

    September 21, 2011 08:03 pm at 8:03 pm |
  10. otermbachmann

    Please run. Also talk, say whatever you want, as much as you want. Pleeease run. Any bets that CNN and Fox merge.

    September 21, 2011 08:30 pm at 8:30 pm |
  11. The decider

    What a lovely article about a wonderful person

    September 21, 2011 08:54 pm at 8:54 pm |
  12. Mike

    America is like California-ungovernable. So, being the wise, deep thinker I am, I think all politicians should be scantily-clad babes, which would rekindle an interest in at least watchin the stuff on tv. I mean, I would be more interested. Until then, my criteria for selecting a candidate will be whoever looks best in a swimsuit, so at this point my vote is for Ms. Palin.

    September 21, 2011 11:32 pm at 11:32 pm |
  13. chuck

    She is really AGING, HAGGARD looking. Shriveling up. kind of like her career-

    September 22, 2011 01:04 am at 1:04 am |
  14. iizthatiiz

    palin seems to consistently lead on every issue .. seems whatever she speaks about .. soon everyone is talking about .. sounds like leadership to me

    September 22, 2011 01:34 am at 1:34 am |
  15. iizthatiiz

    I don't understand why "most don't want her to run" is even part of the story. Um, maybe because most are supporting other hopefuls. 24% want her to run !! Sounds like a formidable entry. How solid is the support of the leading candidates? How many would be open to a Palin run? She would enter as a top tier candidate. No question about that.

    September 22, 2011 01:41 am at 1:41 am |
  16. Just Sayin'

    Gov Palin's 5-Point Plan for America is the most brilliant platform of any of the candidates. She will run and win. I don't buy any of the smear tactics. Have read the original text of all of the lib sound-bites. She has a brilliant political mind and is a great American to be admired.

    September 22, 2011 06:52 am at 6:52 am |
  17. martin

    The empty vessel makes the loudest noise.

    September 22, 2011 08:55 am at 8:55 am |
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