Poll: Palin making gains but most in GOP don't want her to run
September 21st, 2011
08:42 AM ET
9 years ago

Poll: Palin making gains but most in GOP don't want her to run

(CNN) - While she still hasn't made up her mind on a run for the White House, a new national poll suggests that former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin is making gains against President Barack Obama in a hypothetical 2012 general election matchup.

According to a McClatchy-Marist survey, the GOP's 2008 vice presidential nominee trails Obama 49 to 44 percent in a hypothetical showdown, after trailing by 21 points in an August poll and 26 points in a June survey. The poll indicates that Palin now leads the president among crucial independent voters.

But while the survey, which was released Tuesday, indicates Palin may be closing the gap with the president, it also suggests that most Republicans are not enthusiastic about her launching a bid for the nomination. By a 72 to 24 percent margin, Republicans and independents who lean toward the GOP do not want Palin to run for the White House.

As for her plans for the 2012 Republican presidential nomination, Palin says they’re still up in the air.

"I think people are still going to be coming and going because there is still time, and I'm still one of those still considering," she said Tuesday night in an interview on the Fox News Channel.

But Palin did acknowledge that the calendar will soon force a decision, as some of the early voting states in the primary and caucus season have November deadlines for candidates to appear on the ballot.

"You have to start getting your ducks lined up to have your names on these ballots," said Palin. "But I do think this is going to be such an unconventional election cycle … A lot is going to happen in these next fourteen months. Mark my word, it is going to be an unconventional type of election process."

According to the poll, 49 percent say they definitely plan to vote against the president next year, with 36 percent saying they definitely plan to support Obama. By a 53 to 28 percent margin, independents say they plan to vote against the president in November 2012.

The poll indicates that Texas Gov. Rick Perry leads the field in the race for the GOP presidential nomination, with the support of 30 percent of Republicans and independents who lean toward the GOP. Former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney, who's making his second run for the White House, received 22 percent support. Rep. Michele Bachmann of Minnesota was at 12 percent, with everyone else in the single digits.

In hypothetical 2012 general election matchups, the survey shows Obama with a two point margin over Romney, 46 to 44 percent, and the president with a nine point advantage, 50 to 41 percent, over Perry.

The McClatchy-Marist poll was conducted September 13-14, after the CNN/Tea Party Republican debate in Tampa, Florida, with 1,042 adults questioned by telephone. The survey's overall sampling error is plus or minus 3.5 percentage points.

- Follow Paul Steinhauser on Twitter: @PSteinhauserCNN.

Filed under: 2012 • Polls • Sarah Palin
soundoff (392 Responses)
  1. don

    PALIN WILL NOT RUN. She's too big a coward

    September 21, 2011 08:44 am at 8:44 am |
  2. We ALL Know, Mami

    Ah! Looks like the president WILL beat the Governor GoodHair! Excellent!

    Still wondering, what they told the Governor GoodHair about his hair?! [Que le dijieron del pelo?!]

    September 21, 2011 08:46 am at 8:46 am |
  3. Brendan H., San Antonio, TX

    Leads among crucial independent voters? Would they be the voters whose parents are blood relatives?!

    September 21, 2011 08:47 am at 8:47 am |
  4. Anonymous

    Most Democrats do want this idiot to run. She's going to make an even bigger fool of herself than she did in 08.

    September 21, 2011 08:49 am at 8:49 am |
  5. Rudy NYC

    It has been a couple of months and several weeks since the proverbial window of opportunity to join the race closed. She *still* works for FOX News, which means she ain't running for POTUS because it makes her paychecks look like illegal campaign contributions. Get over it.

    September 21, 2011 08:52 am at 8:52 am |
  6. Joe

    What part of 'tainted' does Palin not understand?

    September 21, 2011 09:04 am at 9:04 am |
  7. Indy

    All this tells us is that there is a percentage of Americans that are clueless and would consider putting the country in grave danger by even considering Palin. Even though Palin is just milking the gravy train and using tax loop holes while pretending she might run for the hardest job in the land, it is still troubling that there are people that think she could in any way manage the highest job in the land. We all know Palin is most famous for being a proven liar and quitting every job when it gets tough and has zero appeal to mainstream and the majority.

    September 21, 2011 09:08 am at 9:08 am |
  8. marci

    Making gains..I don't think so!

    September 21, 2011 09:09 am at 9:09 am |
  9. Rick McDaniel

    She will not run.

    September 21, 2011 09:11 am at 9:11 am |
  10. Martha in CF

    Run Sarah Run!!!!!!!!!!! You are NO match for President Obama.........................

    Obama/Biden 2012

    September 21, 2011 09:12 am at 9:12 am |
  11. Larry L

    Amazing that anybody could select this person as their choice for President of the United States. I guess you really do get the government you deserve.

    This is a complex and dangerous world. Our leaders must be well educated, informed and willing to sacrifice for the good of the Nation. Those who support Palin (or Bachman or Perry) seem to want a physically attractive person who uses folksy, over-simplified sound bites to offer critical comments without proposing any real solutions. They want people like the Koch brothers to run America using these mindless puppets as their mouthpiece and Fox News as their megaphone.

    September 21, 2011 09:14 am at 9:14 am |
  12. UnitdWeStand

    I'd go one step further and bet they'd like her to Run... away.

    September 21, 2011 09:15 am at 9:15 am |
  13. The Real Tom Paine

    I want to see her run, if for no other reason than her record in Alaska being exposed for the tissue of lies that it is. The real question that needs to be asked is, would she quit if she did not get her way?

    September 21, 2011 09:16 am at 9:16 am |
  14. Madtown

    "While she still hasn't made up her mind on a run for the White House"
    Ah, these articles are hysterical!!! The media again playing the gullible fool. Actually, she made up her mind a long time ago, in regards to running for nomination...she's not. She's still playing her little game, trying to keep her name in the spotlight, grow her celebrity brand, and manipulate the media to the fullest extent and for the biggest payday possible. CNN and others play right into her hand, how embarrassing. Good for us, though......comedy!!

    September 21, 2011 09:18 am at 9:18 am |
  15. Lolo

    These polls are baloney. Please let her run. The republicans have nothing but quacks running for office. It won't matter to add her to the mix. These polls consist of people who are not up to par with what is going on in the world and of people who have not caught up with the 21st century.

    September 21, 2011 09:18 am at 9:18 am |
  16. Tony

    With 49% saying that they will definitely vote against the president, Obama still leads Romney by 2%, Perry by 9%, and Palin by 5%. So, the poll is saying that a majority of voters will definitely vote against the GOP, whoever is selected, because they like the GOP choice even less.

    September 21, 2011 09:19 am at 9:19 am |
  17. Founders1791

    Other "declared candidates" have spent millions in dollars and time to what former Governor Sarah Palin has achieved "for free". Once again she has shown that in this upcoming election, the one with the charisma and "electricity" is Sarah.

    She is, by far, the best candidate out there....why? Sarah has ruffled the feathers of The Republican Establishment even greater than the Democrats. Neither side can "buy" her and that earns my vote!

    You Betcha in 2012!

    September 21, 2011 09:20 am at 9:20 am |
  18. Clwyd

    To think that there are 44% of American voters who would vote for this idiot, bimbo, loony tune for president is beyond comprehension! The dumbing down of America is taking place and Americans need to read, study and explore the issues rather than looking at a pretty face (Questionable) and otherwise stupidity. A steady diet of FOX Propaganda will convince you that black is white! Americans, "in sarah's case, "Stupid lasts forever!"

    September 21, 2011 09:21 am at 9:21 am |
  19. AntiFringe

    She still has time to decide. That really means she still has a couple more Fox paychecks before she has to make a decision. I want her to run. Style or substance? We'd find out in a hurry.

    September 21, 2011 09:28 am at 9:28 am |
  20. Ryan

    I'm not putting too much stock in these polls. I highly doubt Palin could ever do that well.

    September 21, 2011 09:29 am at 9:29 am |
  21. Fair is Fair

    "The poll indicates that Palin now leads the president among crucial independent voters."
    She's not running... BUT if Obama is losing the independents to Palin, is in deep doo-doo.

    September 21, 2011 09:31 am at 9:31 am |
  22. Republicans - The Not Intended To Be Factually Accurate" Party

    A bit of accountability is called for.

    "Independents who LEAN Republican" ? What kind of double-talk is that?

    Sounds to me like they are NOT Independents at all. Rather they are Republicans poising as Indies or GOP`ers too ashamed to admit it.

    No, open-minded, clear thinking, independent could bring themselves to put Palin ANYWHERE close to a replica of the Oval Office.

    September 21, 2011 09:32 am at 9:32 am |
  23. mario

    she only appeals to extremist which happens to be a small minority she wont run she makes a lot more money in the public sector plus she needs to show some knowledge of world affairs and we all know she lacks.

    September 21, 2011 09:32 am at 9:32 am |
  24. FM

    These polls make me laugh. The lady from Alaska was not able to make it as a VP in 2008 and people think she can make it running for president??? Please think again!

    September 21, 2011 09:34 am at 9:34 am |
  25. Founders1791


    The sheep, who live by television and their controllers, have bought into their narrative on when is the right time to declare. Clinton and HW Bush declared in October, Reagan declared in December, the states laws say it's November.

    So to what benefit does any candidate do for themselves by declaring early? None! She is doing a masterful job of not letting the media make decisions for her.

    Way cool Sarah....

    September 21, 2011 09:35 am at 9:35 am |
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