Poll: Palin making gains but most in GOP don't want her to run
September 21st, 2011
08:42 AM ET
9 years ago

Poll: Palin making gains but most in GOP don't want her to run

(CNN) - While she still hasn't made up her mind on a run for the White House, a new national poll suggests that former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin is making gains against President Barack Obama in a hypothetical 2012 general election matchup.

According to a McClatchy-Marist survey, the GOP's 2008 vice presidential nominee trails Obama 49 to 44 percent in a hypothetical showdown, after trailing by 21 points in an August poll and 26 points in a June survey. The poll indicates that Palin now leads the president among crucial independent voters.

But while the survey, which was released Tuesday, indicates Palin may be closing the gap with the president, it also suggests that most Republicans are not enthusiastic about her launching a bid for the nomination. By a 72 to 24 percent margin, Republicans and independents who lean toward the GOP do not want Palin to run for the White House.

As for her plans for the 2012 Republican presidential nomination, Palin says they’re still up in the air.

"I think people are still going to be coming and going because there is still time, and I'm still one of those still considering," she said Tuesday night in an interview on the Fox News Channel.

But Palin did acknowledge that the calendar will soon force a decision, as some of the early voting states in the primary and caucus season have November deadlines for candidates to appear on the ballot.

"You have to start getting your ducks lined up to have your names on these ballots," said Palin. "But I do think this is going to be such an unconventional election cycle … A lot is going to happen in these next fourteen months. Mark my word, it is going to be an unconventional type of election process."

According to the poll, 49 percent say they definitely plan to vote against the president next year, with 36 percent saying they definitely plan to support Obama. By a 53 to 28 percent margin, independents say they plan to vote against the president in November 2012.

The poll indicates that Texas Gov. Rick Perry leads the field in the race for the GOP presidential nomination, with the support of 30 percent of Republicans and independents who lean toward the GOP. Former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney, who's making his second run for the White House, received 22 percent support. Rep. Michele Bachmann of Minnesota was at 12 percent, with everyone else in the single digits.

In hypothetical 2012 general election matchups, the survey shows Obama with a two point margin over Romney, 46 to 44 percent, and the president with a nine point advantage, 50 to 41 percent, over Perry.

The McClatchy-Marist poll was conducted September 13-14, after the CNN/Tea Party Republican debate in Tampa, Florida, with 1,042 adults questioned by telephone. The survey's overall sampling error is plus or minus 3.5 percentage points.

- Follow Paul Steinhauser on Twitter: @PSteinhauserCNN.

Filed under: 2012 • Polls • Sarah Palin
soundoff (392 Responses)
  1. Geoz

    Just because ignorance is shared, doesn't make it wisdom.

    September 21, 2011 02:17 pm at 2:17 pm |
  2. Robert

    So, she's out there, making money for the Tea Party, but spending none on advertising herself... hmmm.. I see her getting into this sometime around November/December.. That saves her 5 to 7 months of cash that she didn't have to spend on debates, campaigning, signs.. Smart!

    September 21, 2011 02:18 pm at 2:18 pm |
  3. Indy

    President Obama has no chance of being re-elected. He reminds us too much of President Obama.

    Founders 1791: Have you been sleeping and missed all the lies from Sarah Palin, she is most famous for being the biggest liar in politics. Did you not know she was found guilty of expense fraud ? Did you not know she was found guilty of abuse of power ? Did you not know she was caught red handed making back door deals with Trans Canada gas, and has messed up the Alaskan pipeline project that might never happen now ? All of this was happening while she was pretending that she was against corruption

    September 21, 2011 02:20 pm at 2:20 pm |
  4. Martin

    People are probably only saying that they would vote for her if she was the nominee because they realize that she has a very limited chance of winning the nomination.

    She will wait until the current slew of debates ends to announce one way or another, she is terrified of having to debate the issues with her peers, she would rather criticize what was said by others through the safety of staffers putting postings on twitter and facebook, and through interviews with friendly networks and hosts such as FOX News and Sean Hannity.

    Just like Michelle Bachmann, once she has to face the press, make statements on her own merit, she will be exposed as the know nothing air head that she really is.

    September 21, 2011 02:22 pm at 2:22 pm |
  5. doug

    Sarah Palin is a a better, more decent, caring, loving, honest, respectful person than any Democrat in America today, that is fact, but while she would run the country way better than Obama has, I don't think she should be president.

    Sarah has her place in history, what she does to Democrats making them admit to who they really are when they foam at the mouth from their hate and just spew the only thing they have from their hearts, hate, this allows all decent Americans to see that the Democrat party is the last place they want to be and that it truly has become a moral obligation to vote Republican.

    Sarah makes Democrats remove their masks and show that they are the most disgusting beasts to ever grace this continent, the mention of her name makes a Democrat so irrational that they expose who they truly are, and that is an evil that most Americans want to avoid and fight back agianst.

    September 21, 2011 02:23 pm at 2:23 pm |
  6. SCOTO

    My guess is this dopey woman would crack up psychologically within a very short time of becoming President. Stupid pointless bus tours and continually throwing unchallenged barbs at Obama coupled with a docile (and equally dopey) following for an audience have led this woman to think that she is somehow qualified to run for the most powerful job in the world. You want to see the ultimate embarrassment to this country? Vote Palin (if she decides to run)

    September 21, 2011 02:26 pm at 2:26 pm |
  7. normajean

    I haven't got much, but I'd bet all I have that Sarah Palin will never run for president......It is hard work and no way "fun and games"...it's a fight to get anything done and will age a person unmercifully....All she wants is to stay in the public eye and have her picture in every magazine and a book on sale somewhere. SHE WILL NEVER RUN FOR PRESIDENT!!!!!

    September 21, 2011 02:27 pm at 2:27 pm |
  8. pd123

    I’m not real happy with Obama right now, he was too soft in the beginning, but if 44% of the voters in this country actually voted for Palin then I’m going to have to believe some of those zombie movies are not fiction. It would have to be brain dead votes. Please run Palin and get the nomination, I’m hoping there are not as many zombies out there as it appears there may be. If there are that many and she gets elected I guess I’ll just have to hunker down until the storm blows over until the next election, if the country still exist, and hope for the best.

    September 21, 2011 02:30 pm at 2:30 pm |
  9. Newmoon2

    HAHAHAHAHA! Run, Sarah, run! You're well practiced at running... away when things get tough. If you couldn't manage to finish your term as governor, why on earth would anyone trust you to not quit as president.

    September 21, 2011 02:31 pm at 2:31 pm |
  10. Bill in Florida

    If anybody needed any further evidence of the pointlessness of "hypothetical matchup" polls 13.5 months before the election, this is it.

    If the quitter half-wit were to win the GOP nomination - which she won't - Obama would smother her probably 75-25, or at worst, 70-30 in the general election.

    September 21, 2011 02:31 pm at 2:31 pm |
  11. Kevin

    Once she picks John McCain as her running mate, the GOP has a real winner! <-Extreme sarcasm.

    September 21, 2011 02:32 pm at 2:32 pm |
  12. Kevin

    Founders1791, if you think Palin can't be bought, you're not paying any attention. That's the ONLY THING she can do. Moron.

    September 21, 2011 02:37 pm at 2:37 pm |
  13. Orchid333

    Let's see.... continue MAKING millions by leading on the media and continuing to write books, make pointless speeches and "contribute" to Fox News, or SPEND millions on an election she can't win. If she has one braincell left in her head, she won't be running for Prez anytime soon.

    September 21, 2011 02:37 pm at 2:37 pm |
  14. FajitaBob

    Obama's gone. Looks like ANYBODY would beat him. I'm surprised there are still 36% would say they will definitely vote for him. How much more damage do you want him to do?

    September 21, 2011 02:52 pm at 2:52 pm |
  15. Evil Hollywood Liberal

    mmmmm. nice sweater. She's got my vote, and i never vote Republican. MILF-in-Chief.

    September 21, 2011 02:55 pm at 2:55 pm |
  16. JR

    Didn't Todd Palin just file for divorce? CNN you need to step up your game.

    September 21, 2011 02:55 pm at 2:55 pm |
  17. ThinkAgain

    Founders1791: "Governor Sarah Palin PROVED her HONESTY multiple times, the biggest being her "unwillingness" to "go along to get along" when she exposed corruption between Big Oil and "fellow" Republicans. MANY WENT TO JAIL because of Sarah Palin."

    First of all, she's NOT a governor; she's a QUITTER who left mid-term to pursue fame and profit.

    Second of all, she's NOT honest:

    – She stole money from the State of Alaska by accepting a housing allowance while living in her home.

    – She said there were "death panels" in the healthcare reform act (when she endorsed the exact same thing – end of life counseling – while governor of Alaska, as part of "Health Care Decisions Day," April 16, 2008).

    She claims to be a Christian while smirking and nodding when someone yelled "Kill him!" at her rallies about then-candidate Obama.

    She claims to be for "smaller government" when Alaska is the top recipient for earmarks per capita, than any other state. (BTW, she also lied when she claimed to have refused the funds for the "Bridge to Nowhere." Initially, she accepted them; only later, after public outcry, did she return the funds.)

    Palin always was and always will be a Quitter, a Liar and a Mooch.

    You don't believe me? Do an Internet search on my above examples or better yet, search on "sarah palin hypocrisy" and wade through the over 5 million hits you get.

    September 21, 2011 02:57 pm at 2:57 pm |
  18. ThinkAgain

    Three FACTS everyone should consider about Palin and the GOP:

    1.The GOP cares solely and exclusively about its rich contributors. Why do you think Chief Justice Roberts brought the Citizens United case before the court?

    2.They worship at the altar of Mars, the god of war. If you want to clean up after a natural disaster, tough, but there's always money in the kitty to wage war!

    3.Give me that old time religion. Pandering to fundamentalism is a full-time vocation in the GOP. Everyone else is a heathen, plain and simple.

    Just check out what former GOP congressional staffer Mike Lofgren has to say on the subject if you want more info on what the GOP – and Palin and all the other Repub wannabes – is really up to.

    September 21, 2011 03:01 pm at 3:01 pm |
  19. TAM/otlset

    This ain't no foot race coming up - Obama will be forced to run on his miserable and failed record, even though he'll spend his billion dollars attacking his opponent cause he's got nothing else. So he'll just attack, and try to obscure and lie about his own sorry record as president. But he's going TO LOSE ANYWAY!

    Sarah Palin 2012 - Restoring America! (to its greatness)

    September 21, 2011 03:04 pm at 3:04 pm |
  20. Vandstra

    If she actually ran it would be a landslide in Obama's favor. This hypothetical matchup means nothing. Seriously, it's as newsworthy as the dream I had about unicorns last night.

    September 21, 2011 03:05 pm at 3:05 pm |
  21. Ed Zumar

    I am convinced America is gettng dumber by the day and articles like this validate my theory. Thank you Palin supporters

    September 21, 2011 03:05 pm at 3:05 pm |
  22. kathy

    SHe's too stupid and I think even she knows she'd be in over her coiffed head. SHe's just milking this for every penny or dollare she can. What a piece of work.

    September 21, 2011 03:06 pm at 3:06 pm |
  23. George

    Listen to you pathetic libs! Your lame comments proves your fear that your dear leader will get beat by a woman who stands for truth. Anyone but obama is the new catch phrase and we have almost 1 year left till this i d i o t is booted from OUR White House! Bye Bye "Mr worst president in my lifetime"!

    September 21, 2011 03:08 pm at 3:08 pm |
  24. jb1963

    I was in the survey and I said she should run. I want her in so she can be trampled by everyone. This sleaze bag needs to be humiliated on a national stage.

    September 21, 2011 03:08 pm at 3:08 pm |
  25. Reagan80

    I guess the theory is that if Obama could win, anyone could win. But, this is putting the theory to a stern test.

    September 21, 2011 03:13 pm at 3:13 pm |
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