Poll: Palin making gains but most in GOP don't want her to run
September 21st, 2011
08:42 AM ET
9 years ago

Poll: Palin making gains but most in GOP don't want her to run

(CNN) - While she still hasn't made up her mind on a run for the White House, a new national poll suggests that former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin is making gains against President Barack Obama in a hypothetical 2012 general election matchup.

According to a McClatchy-Marist survey, the GOP's 2008 vice presidential nominee trails Obama 49 to 44 percent in a hypothetical showdown, after trailing by 21 points in an August poll and 26 points in a June survey. The poll indicates that Palin now leads the president among crucial independent voters.

But while the survey, which was released Tuesday, indicates Palin may be closing the gap with the president, it also suggests that most Republicans are not enthusiastic about her launching a bid for the nomination. By a 72 to 24 percent margin, Republicans and independents who lean toward the GOP do not want Palin to run for the White House.

As for her plans for the 2012 Republican presidential nomination, Palin says they’re still up in the air.

"I think people are still going to be coming and going because there is still time, and I'm still one of those still considering," she said Tuesday night in an interview on the Fox News Channel.

But Palin did acknowledge that the calendar will soon force a decision, as some of the early voting states in the primary and caucus season have November deadlines for candidates to appear on the ballot.

"You have to start getting your ducks lined up to have your names on these ballots," said Palin. "But I do think this is going to be such an unconventional election cycle … A lot is going to happen in these next fourteen months. Mark my word, it is going to be an unconventional type of election process."

According to the poll, 49 percent say they definitely plan to vote against the president next year, with 36 percent saying they definitely plan to support Obama. By a 53 to 28 percent margin, independents say they plan to vote against the president in November 2012.

The poll indicates that Texas Gov. Rick Perry leads the field in the race for the GOP presidential nomination, with the support of 30 percent of Republicans and independents who lean toward the GOP. Former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney, who's making his second run for the White House, received 22 percent support. Rep. Michele Bachmann of Minnesota was at 12 percent, with everyone else in the single digits.

In hypothetical 2012 general election matchups, the survey shows Obama with a two point margin over Romney, 46 to 44 percent, and the president with a nine point advantage, 50 to 41 percent, over Perry.

The McClatchy-Marist poll was conducted September 13-14, after the CNN/Tea Party Republican debate in Tampa, Florida, with 1,042 adults questioned by telephone. The survey's overall sampling error is plus or minus 3.5 percentage points.

- Follow Paul Steinhauser on Twitter: @PSteinhauserCNN.

Filed under: 2012 • Polls • Sarah Palin
soundoff (392 Responses)
  1. CaliforniaBC

    Palin gains with independents BUT GOP leaning independents don't want her to run. What? Yeah, not contradition there.

    And to all those who want to vote against Obama and have already made up there mind YOU need to remember the debt debacle and what the GOP/tea party did to the country and the recovery. THEY brought it to a skidding stop. If you people elect on of those people into the Oval Office the country will stagnate for decades. We've already seen the impact of the do-nothing GOP/TP led House. Do you SERIOUSLY want more of THAT!

    Think about the bigger picture people instead of the narrow world you're living in now.

    September 21, 2011 03:17 pm at 3:17 pm |
  2. BENJI

    All this poll shows is more and more people are racist idiots.

    September 21, 2011 03:17 pm at 3:17 pm |
  3. Clowncar Palin is off 'er meds

    Thoughts of the officers in the photo starting at the left, going clockwise: 'Somebody take this f'in photo quick. My performance appraisal is in another day and I know they better be giving me a bonus for doing this crappy job.' 'The more this chick talks the more I'm craving a fresh box of doughnuts, chased by a lithium.' ' I'm just going to pretend I keep getting pushed forward by the crowd.'

    September 21, 2011 03:17 pm at 3:17 pm |
  4. Paradigm Shift Anyone?

    Hang on...
    "The poll indicates that Palin now leads the president among crucial independent voters."
    "most Republicans are not enthusiastic about her launching a bid for the nomination."

    The Republican base is now more rational and level-headed than independents? How times have changed.

    September 21, 2011 03:18 pm at 3:18 pm |
  5. Starman

    Sarah hasn't made up her mind? See anything wrong with that comment? No, Sarah won't run. She knows she couldn't win the nomination, much less the election.

    September 21, 2011 03:21 pm at 3:21 pm |
  6. The Real Tom Paine

    @ Doug:

    Sarah makes Democrats remove their masks and show that they are the most disgusting beasts to ever grace this continent, the mention of her name makes a Democrat so irrational that they expose who they truly are, and that is an evil that most Americans want to avoid and fight back agianst.

    Really, Doug? The only thing she makes Democrats do is laugh, since she has people like you willing to rationalize away her mistakes, missteps, lies, etc. As for disgusting beasts-well, the acres of film of the Right doing their thing is enough to negate that statement. Frankly, you need to relax. She is a perfect example of a person rising to level inversely proportional to their actual level of ability. Her accomplishment in life is getting people who angry, shallow, and desperate to believe she is some kind of savior without seeing that she has done nothing to deserve that status. No, my friend, the joke is on you, adn palin is lining her pockets with your hard-earned money, laughing all the way to the back while you scream about "disgusting beasts". I have not had this much fun in years, thanks!

    September 21, 2011 03:22 pm at 3:22 pm |
  7. JT

    I hope she runs and wins the nomination. She'll get annihilated in any debate with Obama. That will give Obama only a slight lead however because intelligence has become an undesirable trait amongst Republicans.

    September 21, 2011 03:24 pm at 3:24 pm |
  8. CdnJIm

    A lot of people want her to run, but they come from several different groups:
    1) Idiots who are as clueless as she is.
    2) Democrats who want an easy win for Obama
    3) Comedians who are looking for a free source of material
    4) Guys who think she's pretty, or has a great rack.

    September 21, 2011 03:24 pm at 3:24 pm |
  9. Tony

    I am sorry, if you like Sarah Palin, you are either RE-TARDED, or an illiterate IM-BECILE. So which one is it?

    September 21, 2011 03:24 pm at 3:24 pm |
  10. Brandt Hardin

    Palin doesn’t need to be our president. The salary isn’t enough for her and she’d just abandon the post like she did in Alaska. Do you want someone in office whose main focus isn’t on the people but on her bank account? What Sarah’s after is fame and fortune and everything that goes. See the ways she sells herself at http://dregstudiosart.blogspot.com/2011/06/ecstasy-of-sarah-palin_15.html

    September 21, 2011 03:30 pm at 3:30 pm |

    Snookie Palin is making noise again. Does unconventional mean that Snookie Palin and the teabaggers plan to demote the GOBP to Whig status? Wingnut heads explode nationwide.

    September 21, 2011 03:31 pm at 3:31 pm |
  12. Cedar Rapids

    'doug – Sarah Palin is a a better, more decent, caring, loving, honest, respectful person than any Democrat in America today, that is fact'

    Im impressed you managed to say that with a straight face. I tried and couldnt make it to the end without laughing.

    September 21, 2011 03:33 pm at 3:33 pm |
  13. Founders1791

    Corruption exists in both the Democrat and Republican Parties and "regardless of party" we should all be angry at Washington for this untenable financial mess they have caused.

    The Establishments in both parties "caused these problems" in our government and have failed to do anything about it FOR DECADES. Lies upon lies, promises on top of more promises. Bought and paid for by special interests.

    Sarah Palin is a proven honest anti-corruption public servant.

    She took great career risks and financial loss to expose criminal activity. Would Hussein Obama, or you, give up $122,400 per year job, and your career, to expose "your own people" for engaging in corruption? Sarah Palin did.

    We know Obama would not give up a perk or payoff. Tony Rezco is just one of many deals of "personal enrichment" that Barrack and Michelle availed themselves of based on "Crony Capitalism and Chicago Corruption". There is a huge mountain of corrupting evidence mounting with Barrack's name all over it.

    The 4 C's; cut, clarity, color, carat weight. The only diamonds the Democrat Hussein Obama sees are those that line his pockets and his crony friends.

    President Sarah Palin will end the free ride of corruption on both sides of the aisle.

    September 21, 2011 03:34 pm at 3:34 pm |
  14. tired

    truly remarkable! if palin runs, i will run .......away from america. we will have reached bottom as a country.

    September 21, 2011 03:36 pm at 3:36 pm |
  15. Carrington1

    Personally, I like her. She has a lot of common sense. But, all the polls say her many detractors have managed to trash her reputation. The sad truth is that she cannot win. She would best serve her party by sitting this one out.

    September 21, 2011 03:37 pm at 3:37 pm |
  16. oldsoldierboy

    When you vote for the republican ticket 4 out every 5 years, you are not independent. This is really nothing independent about so called independents. Follow their history of who they vote for.

    September 21, 2011 03:38 pm at 3:38 pm |
  17. The Real Tom Paine


    You say she has "electricity running though her veins", and that she has no ties to crony capitalism. Bull. She ran from her elected responsibilities to the people of Alaska, and she has taken huge speaker fees from organizations with ties to people like the Koch Brothers. She has been bought and paid for, period. The only electricity she feels is when a large check is dangled in front of her, and she feels rage when bendy straws are not included in the deal. She has cancelled engagements, quit a television show when it became apparent she was not widening her appeal, and dared to play a victim after the Giffords shooting. Has she written papers on weighty topics, or is she limited to Twitter? The answer is obvious. Too bad you expend your intellectual capital defending the indefensible, but, hey, if you and the rest of the GOP want their electoral Alamo, please put her in. One poll indicating increased support among Independents won't put her in the White House.

    September 21, 2011 03:39 pm at 3:39 pm |
  18. The Real Tom Paine


    If the corruption is that apparent, why has the House not investigated?

    Please answer.

    September 21, 2011 03:41 pm at 3:41 pm |
  19. ThinkAgain

    @doug: "Sarah Palin is a a better, more decent, caring, loving, honest, respectful person than any Democrat in America today ..."

    Really? ANY Democrat? You know all of us personally on which to base your judgment?

    Doug, I wish for you to be on the receiving end of someone as hate-filled, ignorant and prejudiced as you are, so you have the opportunity to learn a little perspective.

    September 21, 2011 03:42 pm at 3:42 pm |
  20. Duke

    Palin: President. Me: Brain Surgeon. Not x 2.

    September 21, 2011 03:46 pm at 3:46 pm |
  21. suecav

    Honestly, who are they polling to get there kinds of numbers? Even if you agree with Palin on the issues, she lacks the basic knowledge and competence to lead a nation. That said, the Palin/Obama debates would be fun to watch....

    September 21, 2011 03:47 pm at 3:47 pm |
  22. shoegazer

    Palin making gains ?? !!! Oh please,just cue the music from Deliverance. Yeehaww.....

    September 21, 2011 03:49 pm at 3:49 pm |
  23. bill

    Anyone but obama, 2012.

    September 21, 2011 03:51 pm at 3:51 pm |
  24. Dennis

    In another poll, the majority of Americans think the United States is on the wrong path. When you see most of the slate of Republican candidates, and the level of support they have, one really does have to believe this country is on the wrong path. Clearly our educational system is broken.

    September 21, 2011 03:52 pm at 3:52 pm |
  25. Expat American

    You must be writing in jest when you describe Democrats as ‘hateful’. You are ridiculous. Did you not see endless coverage of red state America during the last election? The McCain (but mostly Palin) mobs were some of the most uneducated, bigoted, racist and ultimately laughable excuses for human beings ever caught on tape – so much that global new sources had a field day while people as far away as Kuala Lumpur had a real time laugh at people like you.
    As to Palin’s place in history; she will be remember as a bigot, a coward and a liar who managed to make a couple dollars marketing her faded Alaska pageant bikini from 25 years ago. She’s as hopeless as her pointy hat redneck supporters who send her all of their 'socialist' food stamps and welfare checks.

    September 21, 2011 03:53 pm at 3:53 pm |
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