Poll: Palin making gains but most in GOP don't want her to run
September 21st, 2011
08:42 AM ET
10 years ago

Poll: Palin making gains but most in GOP don't want her to run

(CNN) - While she still hasn't made up her mind on a run for the White House, a new national poll suggests that former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin is making gains against President Barack Obama in a hypothetical 2012 general election matchup.

According to a McClatchy-Marist survey, the GOP's 2008 vice presidential nominee trails Obama 49 to 44 percent in a hypothetical showdown, after trailing by 21 points in an August poll and 26 points in a June survey. The poll indicates that Palin now leads the president among crucial independent voters.

But while the survey, which was released Tuesday, indicates Palin may be closing the gap with the president, it also suggests that most Republicans are not enthusiastic about her launching a bid for the nomination. By a 72 to 24 percent margin, Republicans and independents who lean toward the GOP do not want Palin to run for the White House.

As for her plans for the 2012 Republican presidential nomination, Palin says they’re still up in the air.

"I think people are still going to be coming and going because there is still time, and I'm still one of those still considering," she said Tuesday night in an interview on the Fox News Channel.

But Palin did acknowledge that the calendar will soon force a decision, as some of the early voting states in the primary and caucus season have November deadlines for candidates to appear on the ballot.

"You have to start getting your ducks lined up to have your names on these ballots," said Palin. "But I do think this is going to be such an unconventional election cycle … A lot is going to happen in these next fourteen months. Mark my word, it is going to be an unconventional type of election process."

According to the poll, 49 percent say they definitely plan to vote against the president next year, with 36 percent saying they definitely plan to support Obama. By a 53 to 28 percent margin, independents say they plan to vote against the president in November 2012.

The poll indicates that Texas Gov. Rick Perry leads the field in the race for the GOP presidential nomination, with the support of 30 percent of Republicans and independents who lean toward the GOP. Former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney, who's making his second run for the White House, received 22 percent support. Rep. Michele Bachmann of Minnesota was at 12 percent, with everyone else in the single digits.

In hypothetical 2012 general election matchups, the survey shows Obama with a two point margin over Romney, 46 to 44 percent, and the president with a nine point advantage, 50 to 41 percent, over Perry.

The McClatchy-Marist poll was conducted September 13-14, after the CNN/Tea Party Republican debate in Tampa, Florida, with 1,042 adults questioned by telephone. The survey's overall sampling error is plus or minus 3.5 percentage points.

- Follow Paul Steinhauser on Twitter: @PSteinhauserCNN.

Filed under: 2012 • Polls • Sarah Palin
soundoff (392 Responses)
  1. DumbasRocks [R]s

    I came on here to write that this article is really about the stupidty of the American voter....well SOME American voters.

    But I see that Jim in San Mateo already had it eloquently covered.

    I mean, come on people, just how stupid can YOU get. You have all the benefits of living in the most advanced country in the world, brought about by the most LIBERAL form of government in the world, with a vast amount of information available to you.....and yet you still choose to support a leader (sic) who proposes policies that are detrimental to the very economic and governmental base of our American culture, a leader who purposefully wold take us back into the Dark Ages???? This is what you freely vote to inflict on America??? Apparently you people have been visiting the rightwing madrassas.

    September 21, 2011 04:42 pm at 4:42 pm |
  2. Texas Doc

    Run Sarah run! Your country needs you.

    September 21, 2011 04:46 pm at 4:46 pm |
  3. B

    the pain democrats are going to feel after the ellection is probably going to lead to violence when they lose all 3 branches of gov. they will try some lyba crap that will only anger the rest of americans more. Just like the union thugs that got arrested in portland.

    September 21, 2011 04:48 pm at 4:48 pm |
  4. Country John

    Americans don't have the guts to stand behind whoever wins the White House. It's "flavor of the month" stuff, and "let's all get together and have an argument and hate everything" time. No wonder nothing gets done, no wonder the country is in rough shape.

    September 21, 2011 04:48 pm at 4:48 pm |
  5. Woman In California

    This independent WILL be voting for President Obama AGAIN.

    September 21, 2011 04:49 pm at 4:49 pm |
  6. DumbasRocks [R]s

    Here is an American FACT. Founders1791, and anyone else who seriously supports Palin and her Teatard political minions, is dumber than a bag of broken hammers.

    September 21, 2011 04:50 pm at 4:50 pm |
  7. minx42

    @Switters, yeah Run Sarah Run.....Away!

    September 21, 2011 04:50 pm at 4:50 pm |
  8. dcol

    I love a good sideshow act. Hey if she gets elected, she can start a new reality show. Life in the big house.

    September 21, 2011 04:53 pm at 4:53 pm |
  9. The Real Tom Paine



    Libs love to attack but missing from their attacks are any real examples or facts to back up what they are saying. There is a reason for that, everything to ever come out of the mouth of a Democrat is a lie, they think the truth is a hate crime.

    I have yet to see a fact in any of your posts, Doug. Can you back up anything you post?

    September 21, 2011 04:54 pm at 4:54 pm |
  10. John K.

    Thoughts regarding Sarah Palin:

    1) She is gorgeous. Democratic women are ugly. Really ugly.

    2) No other Republican can make Liberals/Democrats foam at the mouth like Palin, except maybe Rush Limbaugh or Dick Cheney. Say the word "Palin" to a Liberal and watch them go ballistic. This is not unlike poking a rabid dog in a cage with a stick.

    3) Palin has to be paying somebody at CNN to run these stories. She could not afford to buy the publicity she gets for free from CNN.

    September 21, 2011 04:56 pm at 4:56 pm |

    I still think that she recently had a Breast Implant ! Too bad she couldn't get a Brain Implant.

    September 21, 2011 04:58 pm at 4:58 pm |
  12. Founders1791


    (1) In Alaska, the Attorney General does not represent the sitting governor when ethics accusations and complaints are filed. That leaves paying the bills to the governor to pay for her defense personally.

    "The National Democratic Committee used its Alaska chapter, the Alaska Democratic Party (ADP), to create a website with one stated goal: "Keep Sarah Palin Out of Public Office."

    The Democrats used this website to publicly seek donations for funding bogus "legal challenges involving issues related to Sarah Palin."

    The ADP's "Keep Sarah Palin Out of Public Office" campaign used our own legal system to sponsor more than two dozen ethics complaints against Governor Palin.

    The so-called "independent counsel" who started this investigation was an attorney from....President Barack Obama's law firm...!

    (2) The Palin Family did not have the money to fight 27 NUISANCE LAWSUITS based on the governors salary. It is that plain and simple. She was $600,000 in personal debt because of these suits with no way to pay for them.

    Even without more cases being filed (and more would be filed), Palin would have gotten little else done as governor. She WON all the lawsuits

    (3) The "time" to take depositions over and over (2-3 days each) was another cause because she would be forced, by law, to divert resources from governing the people to litigation not for the people. (Obama Trial Attorneys)

    Governor Sarah Palin "had to resign" for the good of the Alaskan Citizens and The Palin Family.

    -She did the right thing for the Citizens of Alaska and The Palin Family-

    And least we not forget what she accomplished from 2006-2009 was a blueprint of solid governance that all executive leaders would be proud of.

    Her record proves it....just read those 24,000 emails and her budgets....she rocked with 93% bipartisan support for a reason, just check Wikipedia for proof.

    September 21, 2011 04:59 pm at 4:59 pm |
  13. The Real Tom Paine

    Founders 1791:

    That's what you talk about as an example of corruption? What about no-bid contracts under Halliburton, Tom Delay, Bob Ney, Duke Cunningham, the connections between the loobyists on K-Street and all the others that the GOP racked up in their 8 years? I noticed you have a very selective editing tendency.

    September 21, 2011 04:59 pm at 4:59 pm |
  14. freidamurray

    Run Sarah Run. I love entertainment, especially of the political kind. Please!!!

    September 21, 2011 05:08 pm at 5:08 pm |
  15. 1CalNative

    Oh, Ms. Palin will run, but on her terms and she won't come out until she thinks she can get around the press. She's alway done things her way and she thinks she can out fox the Media but as always, shes sadly mistaken.

    September 21, 2011 05:12 pm at 5:12 pm |
  16. JW

    Looks like these law enforcement people are endorsing Palin in uniform. I guess that must be OK for LE.

    September 21, 2011 05:16 pm at 5:16 pm |
  17. Founders1791

    @The Real Tom Paine
    What about no-bid contracts under Halliburton, Tom Delay, Bob Ney, Duke Cunningham, the connections between the loobyists on K-Street and all the others that the GOP racked up in their 8 years? I noticed you have a very selective editing tendency.

    Both sides do wrong and are ethically challenged. That is why Sarah Palin is the correct choice. Sarah will tell a Republican where the sun doesn't shine as fast as she will a Democrat.

    No one is safe in Washington, DC if Sarah Palin is elected to office.

    That is the number one reason, this Small Business Owner since 1982, chooses Sarah Palin.

    September 21, 2011 05:18 pm at 5:18 pm |
  18. Monty

    Run Sarah run – the country needs your leadership and insight.

    September 21, 2011 05:22 pm at 5:22 pm |
  19. DumbasRocks [R]s

    Here are some other FACTS, 1791:

    The Democrats had every right to go after Palin politically in Alaska, just as [R]s do to the [D]s in EVERY state. Palin didn't have to spend money to defend herself legally against politically motivated nebulous "complaints". What Palin did have to legally defend herself against were lawsuites brought by people against her unethical behavior in office. If the lawsuites were ALL bogus, they would have been thrown out, and she would have incurred no or little cost. Unfortunately for her, her behavior in office was so over-the-line, a number of lawsuites were found to have merit, and they went forward in the courts. If you can't pay the dime, don't do the crime. And you people still call yourselves the "law and order crowd"? What a bunch of hypocritical, politically motivated drama queens!!!!

    Your uber-partisan attemp to re-write history, and make excuses for your inept and immoral candidate is pathetic, but par for the Teatard course. You people are proven, malignant FAILURES!

    September 21, 2011 05:22 pm at 5:22 pm |
  20. Sniffit

    "Libs love to attack but missing from their attacks are any real examples or facts to back up what they are saying."

    You must skip my posts because they scare you.

    September 21, 2011 05:25 pm at 5:25 pm |
  21. ck1721

    This is a stupid an inaccurate poll. 2 people aren't even candidates, yet pull 27% collectively, and another 14% are undecided. What that tells me is....THEY ARE STILL UNDECIDED. The best part about having so many candidates is that we have options. It's now a game of "wait and see"

    20% for Texas Governor Rick Perry
    14% for former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani
    13% for former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney
    13% for former Alaska Governor Sarah Palin
    6% for Minnesota Congresswoman Michele Bachmann
    6% for former Georgia Congressman Newt Gingrich
    6% for Texas Congressman Ron Paul
    4% for businessman Herman Cain
    2% for former Pennsylvania Senator Rick Santorum
    2% for former U.S. Ambassador to China Jon Huntsman
    14% are undecided

    September 21, 2011 05:29 pm at 5:29 pm |
  22. retrostar1000

    Why are we still chatting about this woman. We've all moved on along time ago.

    September 21, 2011 05:30 pm at 5:30 pm |
  23. Squealy

    Must be because she has kept her mouth relatively shut the past couple weeks. Once she starts yappin' again, her gains will go out the window.

    September 21, 2011 05:32 pm at 5:32 pm |
  24. Keith L

    I see two possible outcomes for Mrs Palin.

    1) She is elected President....I'll vote for her if she runs.

    2) She doesn't run and continues to pull in piles of money....great outcome for a woman so ruthlessly attacked from every segment of the looney left; politicians, media, Hollywood.

    September 21, 2011 05:33 pm at 5:33 pm |
  25. witchiepoo

    in that picture, whats that cop doin with his finger??

    September 21, 2011 05:35 pm at 5:35 pm |
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