Poll: Palin making gains but most in GOP don't want her to run
September 21st, 2011
08:42 AM ET
10 years ago

Poll: Palin making gains but most in GOP don't want her to run

(CNN) - While she still hasn't made up her mind on a run for the White House, a new national poll suggests that former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin is making gains against President Barack Obama in a hypothetical 2012 general election matchup.

According to a McClatchy-Marist survey, the GOP's 2008 vice presidential nominee trails Obama 49 to 44 percent in a hypothetical showdown, after trailing by 21 points in an August poll and 26 points in a June survey. The poll indicates that Palin now leads the president among crucial independent voters.

But while the survey, which was released Tuesday, indicates Palin may be closing the gap with the president, it also suggests that most Republicans are not enthusiastic about her launching a bid for the nomination. By a 72 to 24 percent margin, Republicans and independents who lean toward the GOP do not want Palin to run for the White House.

As for her plans for the 2012 Republican presidential nomination, Palin says they’re still up in the air.

"I think people are still going to be coming and going because there is still time, and I'm still one of those still considering," she said Tuesday night in an interview on the Fox News Channel.

But Palin did acknowledge that the calendar will soon force a decision, as some of the early voting states in the primary and caucus season have November deadlines for candidates to appear on the ballot.

"You have to start getting your ducks lined up to have your names on these ballots," said Palin. "But I do think this is going to be such an unconventional election cycle … A lot is going to happen in these next fourteen months. Mark my word, it is going to be an unconventional type of election process."

According to the poll, 49 percent say they definitely plan to vote against the president next year, with 36 percent saying they definitely plan to support Obama. By a 53 to 28 percent margin, independents say they plan to vote against the president in November 2012.

The poll indicates that Texas Gov. Rick Perry leads the field in the race for the GOP presidential nomination, with the support of 30 percent of Republicans and independents who lean toward the GOP. Former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney, who's making his second run for the White House, received 22 percent support. Rep. Michele Bachmann of Minnesota was at 12 percent, with everyone else in the single digits.

In hypothetical 2012 general election matchups, the survey shows Obama with a two point margin over Romney, 46 to 44 percent, and the president with a nine point advantage, 50 to 41 percent, over Perry.

The McClatchy-Marist poll was conducted September 13-14, after the CNN/Tea Party Republican debate in Tampa, Florida, with 1,042 adults questioned by telephone. The survey's overall sampling error is plus or minus 3.5 percentage points.

- Follow Paul Steinhauser on Twitter: @PSteinhauserCNN.

Filed under: 2012 • Polls • Sarah Palin
soundoff (392 Responses)
  1. Marry

    Listening to our President speak before the General – Assembly of the UN makes me proud! Smart, decent, truthful, encouraging the world to continue to solve the difficult challenges we are all facing! I shudder at the thought to have someone like Palin or Bachmann or Perry or Romney stand there! It would be such an embarrassment for our great Nation!

    September 21, 2011 10:55 am at 10:55 am |
  2. Doreen Johnson

    Please...where do these polls come from? Leading Obama? Honestly, either independent voters are downright stupid or the polls are skewed. This woman is an idiot...'nough said.

    September 21, 2011 10:56 am at 10:56 am |
  3. Palin Power

    BEHOLD our next and greatest President Sarah Palin! She will easily sweep this election and win both electoral and popular votes by a landslide. She will easily win at least 500 electoral votes and win OH, CA, WA, OR, WI, MI and all traditionally DEM states.

    September 21, 2011 10:57 am at 10:57 am |
  4. Loopman

    Sarah, Oh, Sarah. Although you really actually believe that you are the best person for the job, you will never see a day in your life as POTUS. You make a whole lot of noise about what you would do if you were running, but that is just a smoke screen for your lack of knowledge and experience required to actually do the job. I'm not saying that Obama is the best president we've ever had. Not by a long shot. All I'm saying is that you and your cronies in the GOP tear him down and smack-talk him for the poilices he proposes but none of you have even offered up anything viable to counter his proposed actions. All you offer are sound bites and snipes. You all remeind me of school yard kids. Grow up!! Obama propses that the rich need to pay their fair share in taxes and the GOP members poo-poo on that idea saying that if you tax the rich, they can't afford to create new jobs. Just a little FYI, we've been providing them with tax breaks for several years and guess what, still no new jobs. To coin one of your own phrases, 'How's that working for you?' I didn't think so!!

    September 21, 2011 11:00 am at 11:00 am |
  5. Lynda/Minnesota

    "If palin runs, its an insult to our nation, to our democracy."

    The bigger insult to our country is that CNN (and others) continue to push Palin as a candidate - viable or otherwise.

    September 21, 2011 11:00 am at 11:00 am |
  6. Lost in Texas FOREVER

    Karl Rove is right about ONE thing Sarah Palin is too thin skinned to be POTUS. She can dish out critcism in droves but can NOT handle it back. When someone disagrees with her she runs to her FaceBook, Twitter or FoxNews and complains people are picking on her. No HOW is the leader of our nation supposed to be like this? Presidnet Obama gets hit from the right every day, heck they have 24/7 news channels that just attack him along with the right wing talk shows, heck even some on the LEFT have gone after him on occasion. These people that support her to run for POTUS have no vision and are united only in their dislike for the current president. The GOP just kills me with their admiration for folks that just are NOT that bright. Look at their love for Rick Perry and Michelle Bachmann. This is why the GOP doesn't support education as much. Gotta keep you dumb.

    September 21, 2011 11:00 am at 11:00 am |
  7. FactCheck

    The key to a good candidate is this: Are they honest? Can they be bought? Are they affective in their duties?

    Sarah Palin can answer yes to all these and more....Obama has utterly failed in them all.

    Time to step up on your medications because you are truly delusion. Or perhaps you think that quitting halfway through one term makes someone very effective at doing their job.

    September 21, 2011 11:01 am at 11:01 am |
  8. Middle America

    Gingrich is the only one in the field that really knows how to balance a budget on the federal level because he has done it before.

    September 21, 2011 11:01 am at 11:01 am |
  9. rearden215

    Republicans: please, please run her!

    Oh, please do!

    September 21, 2011 11:01 am at 11:01 am |
  10. krg

    If Perry WINS the 2012 election, America will be in worse shape than it is now. I am not a fan of Obama but I will vote for him because he is better than ANY of the Republican candidates out there.

    September 21, 2011 11:03 am at 11:03 am |
  11. Mike

    She can't make up her mind? You have to have a 'mind' to make it up!

    September 21, 2011 11:04 am at 11:04 am |
  12. Rudy NYC

    If someone called you up and asked you to participate in an opinion poll about Sarah Palin, how seriously would you answer some of the questions?

    September 21, 2011 11:09 am at 11:09 am |
  13. Rickster

    lol.......wow, what a long, hard fall from grace for skinny Barry. He was once so full of hope & change. Why, he was going to "lower the sea levels" and cure the ills of the world and now........... well, turn in your jersey, Barry, we're sending you back to the junior varsity team where you belong.

    September 21, 2011 11:09 am at 11:09 am |
  14. Darth Cheney

    The world needs your leadership, discipline, and integrity Sarah! Please Run!!!

    September 21, 2011 11:10 am at 11:10 am |
  15. Susan

    it will be in 2012, any apocalypse can happen.
    Obama is not doing that great but Palin?? come on!!!!

    September 21, 2011 11:11 am at 11:11 am |
  16. Vigla

    It just goes to show you how idiotic independents are. They are not paying attention now. They are just frustrated with the state of affairs and seem to latch on to whomever makes them feel good rather than seriously look at their policies. That's how we got George W Bush as president. However, the poll doesn't hold water. It shows almost 50% would definately vote against Obama, yet he wins all the hypothetical matchups... That means the folks that say they are definately not voting for him didn't vote for him last time. It's his own base of support that is a bit wishy washy. Once they see the alternative, they will flock back, just like they did for GWB in 2004. Dems were up a lot in the lead up to 2004, yet Bush still won the race - barely. Defeating an incumbent is really hard to do. But I will be extremely joyful when Obama is re-elected and all you conservative punks are crying about moving to Canada and how stupid we are for re-electing him. In 2004, it turns out we really were stupid. In 2016, we shall see.

    September 21, 2011 11:13 am at 11:13 am |
  17. glyder

    for many of you it seems you follow what the media tells you to think.obama is nothing more than a media creation.called well educated,smart,well informed etc.common sense has no virtue in this pathetic culture.you closed your eyes and voted for a thug.you ignore his transgressions.your told to hate the tea party and so you do.your told to hate capitalism,and so you do.you will be told to embrace a one world government and so you will.but i guess i should thank you for doing your part to fulfill the prophecies in the holy bible.

    September 21, 2011 11:16 am at 11:16 am |
  18. Todd

    Why are these cops standing around her? She is not a presidental candidate? Therefore she is not entitled toa sercret service protection detail. Granted these guys are not secret service but why does she have cops standing around her let alone why is that one cop grabbing and look and smiling at the same time? Embarrassing. I simply dont understand the protection issues. Unless she feels she needs it and is paying for these guys out of her own book....uh I mean money why the " Dont get near her or we'll hurt you" pose?

    September 21, 2011 11:19 am at 11:19 am |
  19. kevin

    run run palin i support you

    September 21, 2011 11:19 am at 11:19 am |
  20. Mary

    Keep in mind that our populace is getting dumber by the day. The dumber they are, the more they believe in Keep in Simple, something Palin is good at, because she isn't any smarter than they are. People with brains usually don't go when she shows up to speak, but maybe they should, so they can ask the hard questions she always manages to avoid answering. She is such a joke, but unless we keep an eye on her and call her on her lies and insanity, the joke could be on us. Be Vigilent.

    September 21, 2011 11:20 am at 11:20 am |
  21. kevin

    I'm Democrats if Palin run i will vote for her

    September 21, 2011 11:23 am at 11:23 am |
  22. Madtown

    Darth Cheney
    The world needs your leadership, discipline, and integrity Sarah! Please Run!!!
    Since you used the words "leadership", and "integrity", I assume you've got the wrong article. You've certainly got the wrong Sarah. This article is about $arah Palin, and those words do not apply to her in any sense. In fact, both words contain too many syllables for her to even consistently spell correctly!

    September 21, 2011 11:23 am at 11:23 am |
  23. testerbill

    In the election there will be many who will stay home and not vote because they don't want to vote for Obama or whoever the GOP picks. They are just fed up with politics. They see no value in their vote. Neither candidate will do what is best for America. That's just not the way politicians see it. They are only interested in re-election and maintaining their power and income.

    September 21, 2011 11:24 am at 11:24 am |

    The only place Palin is making gains is adding pounds to her butt. Your desperation is evident CNN,.. trying to keep Palin in the news and relevant.

    September 21, 2011 11:27 am at 11:27 am |
  25. SPA Knight

    Get a grip on reality. Obama is a total failure on both domestic and especially on foreign policy matters. 4 more years of him and America will just be another 3rd world country.

    September 21, 2011 11:28 am at 11:28 am |
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