Poll: Palin making gains but most in GOP don't want her to run
September 21st, 2011
08:42 AM ET
9 years ago

Poll: Palin making gains but most in GOP don't want her to run

(CNN) - While she still hasn't made up her mind on a run for the White House, a new national poll suggests that former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin is making gains against President Barack Obama in a hypothetical 2012 general election matchup.

According to a McClatchy-Marist survey, the GOP's 2008 vice presidential nominee trails Obama 49 to 44 percent in a hypothetical showdown, after trailing by 21 points in an August poll and 26 points in a June survey. The poll indicates that Palin now leads the president among crucial independent voters.

But while the survey, which was released Tuesday, indicates Palin may be closing the gap with the president, it also suggests that most Republicans are not enthusiastic about her launching a bid for the nomination. By a 72 to 24 percent margin, Republicans and independents who lean toward the GOP do not want Palin to run for the White House.

As for her plans for the 2012 Republican presidential nomination, Palin says they’re still up in the air.

"I think people are still going to be coming and going because there is still time, and I'm still one of those still considering," she said Tuesday night in an interview on the Fox News Channel.

But Palin did acknowledge that the calendar will soon force a decision, as some of the early voting states in the primary and caucus season have November deadlines for candidates to appear on the ballot.

"You have to start getting your ducks lined up to have your names on these ballots," said Palin. "But I do think this is going to be such an unconventional election cycle … A lot is going to happen in these next fourteen months. Mark my word, it is going to be an unconventional type of election process."

According to the poll, 49 percent say they definitely plan to vote against the president next year, with 36 percent saying they definitely plan to support Obama. By a 53 to 28 percent margin, independents say they plan to vote against the president in November 2012.

The poll indicates that Texas Gov. Rick Perry leads the field in the race for the GOP presidential nomination, with the support of 30 percent of Republicans and independents who lean toward the GOP. Former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney, who's making his second run for the White House, received 22 percent support. Rep. Michele Bachmann of Minnesota was at 12 percent, with everyone else in the single digits.

In hypothetical 2012 general election matchups, the survey shows Obama with a two point margin over Romney, 46 to 44 percent, and the president with a nine point advantage, 50 to 41 percent, over Perry.

The McClatchy-Marist poll was conducted September 13-14, after the CNN/Tea Party Republican debate in Tampa, Florida, with 1,042 adults questioned by telephone. The survey's overall sampling error is plus or minus 3.5 percentage points.

- Follow Paul Steinhauser on Twitter: @PSteinhauserCNN.

Filed under: 2012 • Polls • Sarah Palin
soundoff (392 Responses)
  1. David

    74% Iin the GOP dont want her to run,hmmmm well lets see theres 8 candidates,who all have each a % of supporters.If you add up all their % #s of supporters in that latest survey its roughly 78%.It seems to me anyone who has a favorite candidate would of course not want another candidate in a race.Or anyone who has a favorite who is still undeclared wouldnt want her in either.If its a 3 way race which most people agree it will be if she enters,she only needs 25-30% to win it.That is not unrealistic given Pauls 13% and the % of one or 2 others who will stay in untill the end will take up at least 15% – 20 % of the votes.Right now theres over 24% wanting her to run.That tells me shes got a great chance of getting that 24% and being as you people know in the top 3.Anyone with half a brain can figure out this poll people use as an excuse of GOP voters is a scam due to the points I just mentioned.

    September 21, 2011 11:30 am at 11:30 am |
  2. AZMN

    Palin says, "I love all this media attention"!!!

    September 21, 2011 11:30 am at 11:30 am |
  3. JPX

    How frightening that we live in a world where the vapid, reality star, fame whore Palin would recieve support from anyone. People are such dopes.

    September 21, 2011 11:36 am at 11:36 am |
  4. Dominican mama 4 Obama

    "According to a McClatchy-Marist survey, the GOP's 2008 vice presidential nominee..."

    It's a 2012 poll Rudy. The media just likes to find official and important sounding ways of referring to this irredeemable POS trailer-trash.

    @ 1791 who wrote:

    The key to a good candidate is this: Are they honest? Can they be bought? Are they affective in their duties?

    Sarah Palin can answer yes to all these and more....
    I'm ROFLMAO at your answer because as YOU so Freudian-slip-like stated Sarah Palin CAN be bought....and has been!!!! I believe you own a piece of her right now if you've been foolish enough to have contributed one penny to her PAC, but I know that the Koch brothers via the Teatards OWN MOST OF HER.
    You other two assertions about her also have me laughing!
    Thanks I needed that. lol

    September 21, 2011 11:38 am at 11:38 am |
  5. Buster Bloodvessel

    Soon the headlines will read PALIN QUITS AGAIN. She's only in it for the money.

    September 21, 2011 11:39 am at 11:39 am |
  6. toad

    There's not a canidate running that has a better poker face than Sarah Palin. I'd hate to play cards with her!

    September 21, 2011 11:39 am at 11:39 am |
  7. Big George in Big D

    This woman is becoming an embarasment. I'm an independent and would NEVER vote for the current incumbent fool but wouldn't vote for Palin either. That woman is a loose cannon!

    September 21, 2011 11:39 am at 11:39 am |
  8. sortakinda

    If Palin does run, how about this for a campaign slogan:


    September 21, 2011 11:39 am at 11:39 am |
  9. vic , nashville ,tn

    We have to vote for Palin but Problem is whether she will stay in the office 4 years

    September 21, 2011 11:40 am at 11:40 am |
  10. SPA Knight

    krg, you are willing to re-elect a President that has demonstrated he is willing to transforming America from a the greatest country on the planet to one that is a footnote to a new world led by terrorist organizations and thugs that control the UN? All this because of fear of electing anyone from the GOP? At this point, Mickey Mouse can do no worse than this cartoon character. I say let him join the ranks of the 10% unemployed and perhaps he can give back his retirement benefits that will continue for decades.

    September 21, 2011 11:40 am at 11:40 am |
  11. Maine LIberal

    O yeah we liberals are not afraid of Palin we hope she runs, its part of the plan. whenever i am polled or take a poll I always answer Palin over Obama 🙂 its working

    September 21, 2011 11:41 am at 11:41 am |
  12. TAM/otlset

    Once she gets in the race and starts setting the agendas, driving the issues and laying out her campaign themes and strategy - then watch the polls really start swinging her way.

    Sarah Palin 2012 - "Restoring America!" YES!

    September 21, 2011 11:41 am at 11:41 am |
  13. toad

    74% Iin the GOP dont want her to run that should tell you something! The good old boys club don't want her in their club!

    September 21, 2011 11:42 am at 11:42 am |
  14. K3Citizen

    If Palin can't decide whether to run for president or not than how will she make important decisions that presidents have to make? We can't have her blubbering at the 3:00 a.m. call.

    September 21, 2011 11:42 am at 11:42 am |
  15. Carol

    founders1791: you must have fallen for all the garbage in her movie "Undefeated." Alaska had to clean up a lot of the mess she made.

    September 21, 2011 11:42 am at 11:42 am |
  16. Palin Sucker

    Sarah Palin has my vote!! Our country is in such a mess that I have given up. Our country has no hope under any promises made by Rep. or Dems., Tea Party, or other. Yes, this includes Palin! However, she does bring a sense of comedy to the process. She is also unique in her approach and demeanor. You have to ask yourself, if I vote for Palin, will we be better off? Probably not! But to see her as President will be sure to put a smile on your face for 4 years!!

    September 21, 2011 11:42 am at 11:42 am |
  17. Woman In California

    Our president sure captured the spotlight this morning. What a hard working, professional and giving man he is.

    September 21, 2011 11:43 am at 11:43 am |
  18. Stacey

    She is, by far, the best candidate out there....why? Sarah has ruffled the feathers of The Republican Establishment even greater than the Democrats. Neither side can "buy" her and that earns my vote!

    LOL! Hysterical! Since when has ruffling feathers made some idiot "the best candidate?" What about solutions for fixing the country's problems and getting Americans back to work? Of course Palin has no solution nor even an idea. She is pushing her christian dominion views on America. This shows how low the IQ of Palin's ardent supporters are. They could care less about facts; they could care less about the country so long as the candidate looks good and talks garbage about the President and the people who don't think like them. I do want Palin to run so that she can be exposed to the entire world for what she really is. But of course, she isn't running. She's too greedy to give up that salary she gets at FAUX SNOOZE.

    September 21, 2011 11:43 am at 11:43 am |
  19. NoTags

    I believe this poll is just a poll of who is the most unfavorable of the pack from the Grand Obstructionist Party.

    September 21, 2011 11:45 am at 11:45 am |
  20. Ernie

    The smartest thing Sarah Palin can do is keep on doing what she is doing. Like I have commented before as long as she stays a thorn in Obama's side and give speeches about what Obama is doing this helps the Republcian party. As long as she is doing her cheer leading and seeing that the Republicians can defeat Obama in November 2012 she will have done her job. It is in her best interest not to run for President. She may believe that she can beat Obama but the numbers aren't there and she know this. She is making a ton of money giving speeches and interviews she is making more money that she every has in her life. She a millionaire now. The Republicians are right Sarah Palin shouldn't run President. The more times she is asked when she is going to run for President the more she puts people off this can go against her because people will stop asking and write her off as someone who is just talking and not doing.

    September 21, 2011 11:48 am at 11:48 am |
  21. LagunaBeach

    Palin is correct, it will definitely be an unconventional election cycle. It appears that this will be the first time that a complete idiot becomes the Republican nominee. Palin, Perry, and Bachmann could all fit in nicely.

    September 21, 2011 11:50 am at 11:50 am |
  22. Casual Observer

    Wow – what a literary genius – I didn't think anyone could use the word "STILL" in a sentence 4 times – and be serious about it!

    "I think people are still going to be coming and going because there is still time, and I'm still one of those still considering,"

    September 21, 2011 11:52 am at 11:52 am |
  23. Harry Baxter

    Either the end of the world is near, or we've dumbed ourselves down to the point where life is pointless? Who did they poll? All the senile old farts in The Villages?

    September 21, 2011 11:54 am at 11:54 am |
  24. John

    This poll is so stupid. Do you think that i believe this BS.

    September 21, 2011 11:54 am at 11:54 am |
  25. FM

    I have read this article again. What a controversy!!!
    72% Repubs + Indep. dont want her to run and still she gets 44% when matching with the Presidents! Where are these 44% coming from? Are they same people saying NO and YES at the same time?

    September 21, 2011 11:56 am at 11:56 am |
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