Poll: Palin making gains but most in GOP don't want her to run
September 21st, 2011
08:42 AM ET
10 years ago

Poll: Palin making gains but most in GOP don't want her to run

(CNN) - While she still hasn't made up her mind on a run for the White House, a new national poll suggests that former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin is making gains against President Barack Obama in a hypothetical 2012 general election matchup.

According to a McClatchy-Marist survey, the GOP's 2008 vice presidential nominee trails Obama 49 to 44 percent in a hypothetical showdown, after trailing by 21 points in an August poll and 26 points in a June survey. The poll indicates that Palin now leads the president among crucial independent voters.

But while the survey, which was released Tuesday, indicates Palin may be closing the gap with the president, it also suggests that most Republicans are not enthusiastic about her launching a bid for the nomination. By a 72 to 24 percent margin, Republicans and independents who lean toward the GOP do not want Palin to run for the White House.

As for her plans for the 2012 Republican presidential nomination, Palin says they’re still up in the air.

"I think people are still going to be coming and going because there is still time, and I'm still one of those still considering," she said Tuesday night in an interview on the Fox News Channel.

But Palin did acknowledge that the calendar will soon force a decision, as some of the early voting states in the primary and caucus season have November deadlines for candidates to appear on the ballot.

"You have to start getting your ducks lined up to have your names on these ballots," said Palin. "But I do think this is going to be such an unconventional election cycle … A lot is going to happen in these next fourteen months. Mark my word, it is going to be an unconventional type of election process."

According to the poll, 49 percent say they definitely plan to vote against the president next year, with 36 percent saying they definitely plan to support Obama. By a 53 to 28 percent margin, independents say they plan to vote against the president in November 2012.

The poll indicates that Texas Gov. Rick Perry leads the field in the race for the GOP presidential nomination, with the support of 30 percent of Republicans and independents who lean toward the GOP. Former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney, who's making his second run for the White House, received 22 percent support. Rep. Michele Bachmann of Minnesota was at 12 percent, with everyone else in the single digits.

In hypothetical 2012 general election matchups, the survey shows Obama with a two point margin over Romney, 46 to 44 percent, and the president with a nine point advantage, 50 to 41 percent, over Perry.

The McClatchy-Marist poll was conducted September 13-14, after the CNN/Tea Party Republican debate in Tampa, Florida, with 1,042 adults questioned by telephone. The survey's overall sampling error is plus or minus 3.5 percentage points.

- Follow Paul Steinhauser on Twitter: @PSteinhauserCNN.

Filed under: 2012 • Polls • Sarah Palin
soundoff (392 Responses)
  1. unsub

    was this poll before or after the news about pailin/rice "poll or pole"...lol!

    September 21, 2011 01:08 pm at 1:08 pm |
  2. jim k

    I get a kick out of liberals who have been saying for almost three years now that she doesn,t have a chance against Obama. I am a decorated viet Nam veteran who knows alot of veterans fom viet nam to the present and at least 90 percent said they would never vote for Obama. It amazes me how much dirt they are trying to dig uo on sarah Palin and her family. Its like all you liberals are scared to death about her running or you would just forget about her.

    September 21, 2011 01:10 pm at 1:10 pm |
  3. allens

    special news break: palins poll numbers are up and sat scores are down. scientists are looking to see if there is a connection

    September 21, 2011 01:11 pm at 1:11 pm |
  4. Founders1791

    CNN censors.....you do realize that "no one else" is producing comments that 'others are reacting too'........they call it "lively debate".

    When you censors posts from those profess "a different point of view / me", however much you dislike it, you do no service to CNN or the subject.

    Just saying....

    September 21, 2011 01:12 pm at 1:12 pm |
  5. Hector

    Please let her run...pleaaaase!! That would be just wonderful!!! Run Palin Run!!!

    September 21, 2011 01:15 pm at 1:15 pm |
  6. Jim Billy

    Keep wearing those tight sweaters Sweetie Pie. Those are the only assets you have.

    September 21, 2011 01:16 pm at 1:16 pm |
  7. Senor Ed

    And in other news today, SAT scores continue to drop at an alarming rate. Palin's support is increasing and people are getting dumber. I see a trend here.

    September 21, 2011 01:16 pm at 1:16 pm |
  8. seriously???

    If there are really that many dumb people who would vote for Palin over Obama, I am truly in the wrong country.

    September 21, 2011 01:23 pm at 1:23 pm |
  9. Gary, Hunt Valley, Md.

    YAWN...................................any more hypotheticals? YAWN............................

    September 21, 2011 01:24 pm at 1:24 pm |
  10. MiddleOfTheRoad

    Running for president will take more effort than her present gig at Fox. Plus she will then have to say goodbye to Fox. I think she will choose easy money over ego. She can't afford to run.

    September 21, 2011 01:26 pm at 1:26 pm |
  11. Me

    She quit as governor of Alaska. That ended any chance of her holding elective office ever again. The dems would love for her to run. It would guarantee Obama a second term.

    September 21, 2011 01:26 pm at 1:26 pm |
  12. Drogo, who bit the dust

    These polls are totally worthless just as the reporting done by CNN.

    September 21, 2011 01:31 pm at 1:31 pm |
  13. lynn

    their teeth that is

    September 21, 2011 01:32 pm at 1:32 pm |
  14. 1CentFree

    Palin should run for president with Glen Rice as her running mate.

    September 21, 2011 01:33 pm at 1:33 pm |
  15. sainJoseph

    If this poll is a true indication of America's electorate, then we are lost as a country.

    September 21, 2011 01:33 pm at 1:33 pm |
  16. Observer

    There's more people wanting her to run than they think. They are called Democrats.

    September 21, 2011 01:33 pm at 1:33 pm |
  17. Big Al

    We love Sarah Palin. She is the only one who can deliver and save us from evil.

    Onward Christian soldiers, marching for Sarah Palin, with our crosses and bibles, we will fight for her (Repeat)

    September 21, 2011 01:34 pm at 1:34 pm |
  18. Kelly

    Um, would this be the same Sarah Palin who thought that Africa is a country not a continent, that South Africa was a region in Africa instead of a separate country and also couldn't name the three countries in NAFTA??

    And we wonder why the US is going down the tubes when such a significant percentage think that this dingbat could lead the country in the 21st century, the knowledge century no less. LOL!!

    September 21, 2011 01:35 pm at 1:35 pm |
  19. 1CentFree

    Palin should run for president with GRice as her running mate.

    September 21, 2011 01:35 pm at 1:35 pm |
  20. Founders1791

    Liberal Democrats will find that, out of the entire field of candidates, that "your best friend" will be Sarah Palin.

    After you "actually read her record" you will find that she "fly's straight" and includes Democrats in her decision making. The 24,000 emails proved it which is why she earned "the highest rated Governor".

    This is what you Democrats will "have to deal with" this election:

    (1) Hussein Obama is "damaged goods" and only a miracle will save him. If your old enough you will see this "malaise" economy as a repeat of Carter.

    (2) Republicans will not vote for Romney if given a choice. And there are choices. To us, he is an unacceptable and unprincipled Rino. That we rejected in George HW Bush and voted for Perot. He will suffer the same fate as in 2008.

    (3) Paul (good guy), Bachman (a bit off kilter), Cain (naval mathematician..good guy), and the rest ARE DOOMED and SHOULD CUT BAIT soon for obvious reason.

    (4) Rick Perry "is going to be it" for you Liberals "IF" Sarah Palin does not get into this race. That will be the "..W2 for You..." and "...The Texas Two Step...". Do you want that?

    Governor Sarah Palin versus Governor Rick Perry will be the contest between "Fiscal Conservatives and Independents" this election cycle. Both are acceptable. Both have pluses and minuses.

    The big differences is Governor Sarah Palin "has electricity" running through her veins and supporters and a "better record' as a conservative without ties to Crony Capitalism

    Sarah Palin will "win this election" on a campaign based on:

    ......Anti Corruption, Anti Crony Capitalism, and Pro Small Business Platform......

    September 21, 2011 01:35 pm at 1:35 pm |
  21. Ohio man

    @SPA Knight
    Can you list sum of the policies that Obama has created that are in place now that has made your life worst n as you say makes him the worst Prez ever.. and then name sum of the policies that the new Tea party congress has made that has made your life better.. we will wait ....

    September 21, 2011 01:36 pm at 1:36 pm |
  22. Just As I Thought

    Tee hee hee.....even with the unrelenting attacks from ALL you Left Wing goon hacks and anybody who can strike a keyboard.......aginst Sarah Palin, she still yet GAINS ground! What does that say about your Hate Mongering????
    Have a Nice Day Palin haters! Tee hee hee

    September 21, 2011 01:37 pm at 1:37 pm |
  23. iceworm

    Opinion: Alarming drop in SAT scores
    Ticker: Big gains for Palin

    Hilarious juxtaposition of headlines on the CNN,com front page

    September 21, 2011 01:38 pm at 1:38 pm |
  24. George

    RUN Sarah RUN !! We want you to run. Run run run run run....Sarah, run !! Is she running yet? That's it, keep running , running running running....is she out of sight yet?

    September 21, 2011 01:40 pm at 1:40 pm |
  25. Jamie from Riverside

    Sarah Palin is the GOP's Rosie Ruiz for 2012. If you don't remember Roise was the fake New York "marathoner" some years back who slipped into the race at the very end to 'win'.

    September 21, 2011 01:42 pm at 1:42 pm |
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