Poll: Romney overwhelming front-runner in N.H.
September 21st, 2011
11:30 PM ET
12 years ago

Poll: Romney overwhelming front-runner in N.H.

(CNN) - Texas Gov. Rick Perry may be the leader in national polls in the race for the Republican presidential nomination, but a new survey indicates that in New Hampshire, Mitt Romney's still way ahead of the rest of the pack.

According to a Suffolk University/7 News poll released Wednesday night, 41 percent of likely New Hampshire GOP primary voters say they support Romney. The survey indicates that Romney, the former governor of neighboring Massachusetts who's making his second bid for president, has a 27 point lead over his nearest competitor in the state that holds the first primary in the race for the White House.

In second place at 14 percent is Rep. Ron Paul of Texas, who's making his third bid for the presidency, followed by former Utah Gov. and former U.S. Ambassador to China Jon Huntsman at 10 percent.

According to the poll, Perry's at eight percent, followed by former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin at six percent. The GOP's 2008 vice presidential nominee has flirted with a bid for the nomination, but hasn't taken any concrete steps to start up a campaign. The survey indicates that Rep. Michele Bachmann of Minnesota is at five percent, with former House Speaker Newt Gingrich at four percent, and everyone else in the lower single digits. Eleven percent of likely GOP primary voters in the Granite State were undecided.

The survey indicates Romney's gained five points from June, with Huntsman and Paul each increasing six points.

"Mitt Romney is saying 'get out of my back yard' and making New Hampshire his strong firewall despite showing some weakness in the other states' early primaries," says David Paleologos, director of Suffolk University's Political Research Center. "The anti-Romney candidate at this point could be either Ron Paul, who has polled consistently over the past year, or Jon Huntsman, whose numbers are really growing in the Granite State."

Romney has made a few appearances in Iowa this year, but has spent much more in New Hampshire. Huntsman appears to be putting all his chips into a strong showing in the Granite State, which comes second after Iowa in the primary and caucus calendar.

The Suffolk University/7 News poll was conducted September 18-20, with 400 likely New Hampshire GOP primary voters questioned by telephone.

The survey's sampling error is plus or minus 4.9 percentage points.

Also see:
In South Carolina, Perry and Romney lead the pack

New Poll: Perry & Romney remain one-two in nomination hunt

New CNN Poll: Social Security needs changes, but it's not a failure

Filed under: 2012 • Mitt Romney • New Hampshire • Polls • Rick Perry
soundoff (80 Responses)
  1. Sniffit

    "All of the areas of this country where the people value the lives of their fellow americans are republican, all the areas where they put lives at risk without a care on the roads and in their violent gang areas are Democrat."

    Seriously dude...did yuo get in a fender bender or something in new england and then found to be the one at fault? You bring this nonsensical "point" up constantly...trying to claim that rude driving habits somehow have a causal relationship with party affilliation. It's rather hilarious, because it's so utterly whacko, but enquiring minds would like to know what's driving it (pun intended).

    September 22, 2011 10:21 am at 10:21 am |
  2. Lynda/Minnesota

    OK then Mitt Romney. YOU want to be President (at least you say you do, anyway). You want me and many millions of others to support your candidacy. So my question to you is, why? Why should I turn my allegiance to you. Your challenge, Mitt Romney: INSPIRE me with YOUR vision for America. INSPIRE me with YOUR willingness to go the extra mile for we the little people. Perhaps even more important, Mitt Romney, is the chaotic and total disarray of YOUR divided House absolutely crying out for real leadership at a time when it needs leadership more than ever. Show those leadership abilities you flaunt, Mitt Romney, by bringing it back to a respectful and working order. P.S., Buddy. I'm not talking La Jolla, CA here. Otherwise you are nothing more than a bag of wind primping for prime time photo ops right along with the other 7 or so wind bags calling themselves "leaders", "job creators", "compassionate Christians", and "truth seekers".

    September 22, 2011 10:29 am at 10:29 am |
  3. The Real Tom Paine


    " Call me crazy but I would think that it would be the people with a total disregard for human life, the Democrats, who are evil. The people who show compassion, courtesy, and kindess, aka Republicans as every red area will show you in contrast to the blue, would be the true patriots and America's best."

    If you insist: you're crazy. Every Red state is a leech off of the states that actually work. The vast majority of states that take more from Washington than they put in are Red states, and they lead the country in every category that is negative: education, life expectancy, quality of life, etc. The blue states have been subsidizing their parasitic life style for generations, and you actually come on here with a daily blast of distortions of the "evil" of the Democrats? If its evil to want your children to have a good education so they can support themselves, if its its evil to recognise that a social safety net is a good thing on a temporary basis, than I guess we are evil. Have you ever shown an interest in trying to turn the lives of the disadvantaged around? I doubt it. Like a lot of Cons, you are all hat and no cattle ( used a Red state reference to help you understand). We don't cheer at the idea of a person dying ( reference Ron Paul's comment in the recent debate), but I've seen plenty of people on the con side express joy at the thought of killing, maiming, or silencing anyone who disagrees with them. Their post are on here daily, yet you cheerfully ignore them since it violates your carefully crafted reality. I guess you really are crazy.

    September 22, 2011 10:32 am at 10:32 am |
  4. moderatejoe

    The poll clearly shows NH is a thoughtful and pragmatic fiscally conservative but moderate state. It clearly rejects the un-electable types like Perry and Bachmann, but hold on for strong libertarian values with Paul. Huntsman has gained ground and could give Romney a run for his money.

    September 22, 2011 10:35 am at 10:35 am |
  5. Johnson

    Mitt is just not going to make it. Very few can trust him. We have no idea what his true beliefs are in Politics, Social issues, or international. We do know he is committed to big business and planning on a San Diego White House for vacations.

    September 22, 2011 10:38 am at 10:38 am |
  6. Abe

    Its going to be Romney, Perry, or as a long shot Santorum. It looks like Romney has the weight of the media so that gives him an extra boost. Any one of them is a major upgrade over President "ZERO". And by the way LDS affiliation is not going to hurt Romney as people are way past that as a point of contention in getting rid of Obama.

    September 22, 2011 10:39 am at 10:39 am |
  7. Let's get rational now

    Thank god. He is the only one (other than Huntsman) that I would consider voting for in the republican ranks. I am concerned about his pandering to the tea party. He needs to tone that down before I would consider voting for him as an independent.

    September 22, 2011 10:42 am at 10:42 am |
  8. ThinkAgain

    @Doug: "All of the areas of this country where the people value the lives of their fellow americans are republican, all the areas where they put lives at risk without a care on the roads and in their violent gang areas are Democrat."

    Really? So you're saying that all the first responders at Ground Zero – in the heart of Liberal NYC – didn't "value the lives of their fellow Americans" and that all those first responders were Republican?

    Doug, your inability to actually THINK is astounding, cruel and utterly lacking in compassion or any real knowledge of human nature.

    Do us all a favor: Next time you need anyone's help, be it a total stranger or a police/fire/EMT personnel, be sure to ask them first what their political affiliation is. And if they say "Democrat," be sure to refuse their help. Wouldn't want your head to explode over the possibility that Democrats are actually "good" and not "evil," now would you?

    September 22, 2011 10:51 am at 10:51 am |
  9. ThinkAgain

    Romney will never get the nomination; he's a Mormon and the religious Republican base thinks he belongs to a cult.

    September 22, 2011 10:52 am at 10:52 am |
  10. skarphace

    Romney, Paul, and Huntsman on top? Am I dreaming? Are the Republicans finally coming to their senses? Or are NH voters just that much more intelligent than the rest of the country?

    Oh, and to see that Palin is still polling above Bachmann even though she isn't officially running yet just cracks me up. There can be only one wild-and-crazy Republican woman, and Bachmann is not it.

    My favorite three Republicans at the moment are: Paul, Huntsman, Romney, in that order. So this poll is a breath of fresh air. I am still hanging on to my gas mask, mind you, but for now this is nice.

    September 22, 2011 11:02 am at 11:02 am |
  11. Mitt Who ?

    New Hampshire ? Is that a state ?

    September 22, 2011 11:06 am at 11:06 am |
  12. Ol' Lefty

    The best of a bad lot.

    September 22, 2011 11:07 am at 11:07 am |
  13. Panties

    Rick Perry is the best man to get the job done. We need him in DC.

    September 22, 2011 11:17 am at 11:17 am |
  14. Bob

    I don't care much who get the republican nomination because they are all idiots. BUT I would suggest you who care do some reading on the Mormon Church. I have a lot of mormon relatives who won't talk to me (good) because I am not a member of the church.

    September 22, 2011 11:20 am at 11:20 am |
  15. 27Reasons

    In polls that REAL PEOPLE actually get to vote in, no one comes even close to Ron Paul; enough of this propaganda garbage! Ron Paul in 2012 (The ONLY honest and intelligent candidate, period)

    September 22, 2011 11:25 am at 11:25 am |
  16. Steve

    Thank goodness for the folks in the northeast! Hopefully this trend will continue as Scarey Parry rides off into the Texas sunset never to be seen or heard of again. Except, perhaps for he and his state to proceed with it's secession!

    September 22, 2011 11:26 am at 11:26 am |
  17. Lynda/Minnesota

    @ Karen:


    "One that comes to mind is Obama trying to force Israel to return to the 1967 borders."

    Google 1967 borders. Netanyahu's response ... albeit with conditions ... might surprise you
    Not surprised at all. May 20, 2011 while in the Oval Office Netanyahu tells Obama Israel can not go back to the 1967 borders. Mr. Netanyahu was such a gentleman when he was so polite telling Obama Israel will not be forced by anyone, not even Obama, to go back to the 1967 borders.

    I have no wish to disparage your assessment of Mr. Netanyahu's gentlemanly attributes. I will remind you, however, that his ... indeed ... Israeli ... progress IS dependent upon the goodwill of all America, not just Jewish-America.

    September 22, 2011 11:46 am at 11:46 am |
  18. aubrie

    The popular vote doesn't mean a hill of beans anymore, so all of this hoopla is meaningless..... the winners are chosen by the electoral college, and however they are determined, scammed, bought off or bribed, determines our president... Look at the last few elections.......The facts don't lie.

    September 22, 2011 11:47 am at 11:47 am |
  19. Woman In California

    Are ANY of your sons serving this county they love so much or are they STILL sponging off the deaths of others while they enjoy their freedom and wealth?

    September 22, 2011 11:47 am at 11:47 am |
  20. Marie MD

    @eric-romneycare's dog was stashed on top of the romneycare station wagon? If I was a teapublikan that would do it for me. Anyone who treats his dog like baggage doesn't deserve anything!
    I don't care whether he didn't do it again. He did it once and that's enough animal cruelty for me from the flip flopper I take it that the whole family is also clueless. I would have felt better if it had been him or one of those sons who never enlisted!

    September 22, 2011 11:50 am at 11:50 am |
  21. Sequoia

    If Mullah Perry and Flip-Flopper Mittens Romney are the Republican frontrunners, Obama will win in another landslide. Easy.

    September 22, 2011 11:56 am at 11:56 am |
  22. Citizen

    Go Ron Paul Go!!!!

    September 22, 2011 12:07 pm at 12:07 pm |
  23. bill

    Anyone but obama, 2012.

    September 22, 2011 12:09 pm at 12:09 pm |
  24. Mar

    Go Mitt, we need you!!!

    September 22, 2011 12:16 pm at 12:16 pm |
  25. Vince

    More of this Ron Paul 2012 bs? This man wished someone dead on national television. He's got no chance (even before those stupid comments).

    September 22, 2011 12:24 pm at 12:24 pm |
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