Poll: Cain takes top position, Perry falls to fifth
October 25th, 2011
12:22 PM ET
11 years ago

Poll: Cain takes top position, Perry falls to fifth

(CNN) – Businessman and conservative radio talk show host Herman Cain came out on top in a CBS/New York Times poll measuring support among likely Republican primary voters that was released Tuesday.

In the first poll since CNN's Western Republican debate, Cain is ahead of former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney by four percentage points, within the sampling error for the survey.

One quarter of GOP primary voters support Cain, who has surged in national polls recently due in part, perhaps, to his easy-to-understand "9-9-9" economic plan and consistent debate performances. Romney received 21% support.

Former House Speaker Newt Gingrich netted 10% followed by Texas Rep. Ron Paul at eight percent.

Texas Gov. Rick Perry has fallen to fifth place after early stumbles in candidate debates. He's also been hemmed in with stinging critiques from rivals on his positions regarding immigration and his support for a mandatory HPV vaccine.

Perry received 6% support in the poll, half the amount he received in early October.

Minnesota Rep. Michele Bachmann has also fallen out of favor it seems, after winning the critical Iowa straw poll in August. With two percent support, the congresswoman has struggled to stay relevant as public bickering between former and current staffers exploded in New Hampshire.

Former Pennsylvania Senator Rick Santorum and former Utah Gov. Jon Huntsman tied at one percent.

But with 14% of likely Republican primary-goers undecided and roughly four out of five saying it is too early to say for sure who they back for the nomination, a chunk of potential supporters is still in play.

The poll was conducted among 1,650 adults by telephone including 455 voters who said they plan to vote in a Republican primary. The overall sampling error for the survey is plus or minus two percentage points. The sampling error for the subgroup of likely Republican primary voters is plus or minus 4.5 percentage points.

Filed under: 2012 • Herman Cain • Mitt Romney • Polls
soundoff (92 Responses)
  1. R

    "About eight in 10 Republican primary voters say it is still too early to tell whom they will support, and just four in 10 say they have been paying a lot of attention to the 2012 presidential campaign, according to the latest New York Times/CBS News poll."
    The above comes from CBS/NYT article announcing the results. The comment above was paragraph #2, clearly setting the results as frivolous due to the 80% undecided. So Cain is at 24% od 20%, or 4.8%, Mitt ROmney at 4.2%

    Sad commenary on the American people, only 40% interested, and 80% undetermined. People need to use their heads and find the stance of every candidate, and make an informed decision, instead of letting the media misrepresent the facts. Most will find that they DONT HAVE a platform. Only Ron PAul has a solid platform and has published it where the people can see it.

    October 25, 2011 02:16 pm at 2:16 pm |
  2. mickey

    I could vote for Huntsman. He makes some very good points and presents well.

    A perfect illustration of what's wrong with the republican party. The most electable canidate they got is tied for dead last with a body fluid.

    October 25, 2011 02:17 pm at 2:17 pm |
  3. MaxNatoma

    I wish I had more confidence that American voters would grasp the fact that the tax plans being advocated by the Republican candidates favor the rich at the expense of the middle class and the poor.

    I do think it would be entertaining for the race to be Obama vs. Cain. It would be amusing to watch the raciists become apoplectic. However, I agree with others that Cain will not be nominated.

    October 25, 2011 02:18 pm at 2:18 pm |
  4. NudeTruth

    Perry never should of jumped into the race he is just soaking up debate time with candidates that are better suited to be the next President.

    Bachman, Perry, Sanctorm, are better off endorsing.

    Ron Paul the best candidate for 2012

    October 25, 2011 02:19 pm at 2:19 pm |
  5. Justin

    GOP better hope to God its's Romney. He's the only guy with a brain and any reason. Honestly though... Even with the brutal economy any of these guys will be an Obama punching bag.

    October 25, 2011 02:20 pm at 2:20 pm |
  6. Mike Johnson

    At the end of the day ... I suspect Gingrich is the smartest and most qualified of them all, even thought I don't care for him either.

    October 25, 2011 02:20 pm at 2:20 pm |
  7. Eric

    Please! Please! Please let him get the nomination! He has no shot of winning against Obama and that election would be worst than Reagan vs. Mondale where Mondale only won one state. Cain probably couldn't win a state against Obama.

    Obama/Biden 2012

    October 25, 2011 02:20 pm at 2:20 pm |
  8. Al-NY,NY

    Tough USA

    Newt and Paul in the end!!!!

    Thinking americans would love to see this loser slate put up against Obama. Newt he serial liar/philanderer/bloated loumouth and Paul the wack-job would be lucky to win 100 electoral votes

    October 25, 2011 02:20 pm at 2:20 pm |
  9. dkcoke

    Okay, okay the republicans must have something up their sleeves, cus there is NO WAY these contenders are serious. They put these clowns up against Obama because they know there is no way in heck any one of them can beat him. Maybe they really don’t want a republican president this time around so that they will not have to inherit this economy; they are just setting up the stage for 2016. I’m thinking that has to be the case.

    October 25, 2011 02:21 pm at 2:21 pm |
  10. Guest

    I can't help but find this poll to be a bit dubious, being based on responses from only 455 Republican voters nationwide.

    October 25, 2011 02:23 pm at 2:23 pm |
  11. sparky

    All these clowns are a complete joke, insects. Wait until they're involved in a real debate. With some real independant thinkers. Not an audience full of repukes

    October 25, 2011 02:23 pm at 2:23 pm |
  12. Jersey George


    Cain made his own money, Obama just stole his from the American tax payer.
    Your comment is very baffling, but there hasn't been any tax increase since Obama took office. Sorry to stun you with facts. Perhaps you should spend less time watching fox news 24/7 and/or listening to Limbaugh for your talking points. Why don't you troll on the fox news website where facts and truths don't matter.

    October 25, 2011 02:23 pm at 2:23 pm |
  13. NoBama 2010

    Doesn't matter what Dems or Repubs think about the candidates; the independents will choose the next President.

    October 25, 2011 02:23 pm at 2:23 pm |
  14. Geoffrey in Lowell MA

    After three years of lying and deceit the Republican party is finding out that nobody can run on their fantasy. You are watching the Republican party implode. When the dust has settled, years from now, someone will rise up with real policies that actually hold together, are genuinely conservative and so on. It's ironic because Reagan won his second term when the Democrats entered the silly season in the 80s. This is the Republican Silly season and it will last until new ones have come up through the ranks. That will be a couple more presidential elections at least.

    October 25, 2011 02:24 pm at 2:24 pm |
  15. Freedom

    Herman Cains 999 plan does nothing more than give the government a new pipeline straight into your pocket. The income tax started as a 1 % tax on the rich and quickly grew. How long before his 999 plan become the 10,10,10 plan, 11,11,11 plan and so on. DON'T LET THE GOVERNMENT CREATE A NATIONAL SALES TAX. Ron Paul 2012!!!

    October 25, 2011 02:24 pm at 2:24 pm |
  16. Aaron

    I like that news. Keep it up Repukes. The only shot at the whitehouse goes through Mitt Romney for yall. But please put one of these other idiots up. Barack is already working on his speech for Term#2.

    October 25, 2011 02:27 pm at 2:27 pm |
  17. Jake in rural Iowa

    The aggregate tax on our lower strata working class is now close to 40% (when you add up Social Security and Medicare with-hold paid by worker + employer + sales tax + property tax (built into their rent), gas tax, etc. They now pay at a much higher "total tax" rate than does Warren Buffett. Let's get back to progressive taxation rather than this current regressive scheme now imposed on our lower middle class

    October 25, 2011 02:28 pm at 2:28 pm |
1 2 3 4