Poll: Cain takes top position, Perry falls to fifth
October 25th, 2011
12:22 PM ET
11 years ago

Poll: Cain takes top position, Perry falls to fifth

(CNN) – Businessman and conservative radio talk show host Herman Cain came out on top in a CBS/New York Times poll measuring support among likely Republican primary voters that was released Tuesday.

In the first poll since CNN's Western Republican debate, Cain is ahead of former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney by four percentage points, within the sampling error for the survey.

One quarter of GOP primary voters support Cain, who has surged in national polls recently due in part, perhaps, to his easy-to-understand "9-9-9" economic plan and consistent debate performances. Romney received 21% support.

Former House Speaker Newt Gingrich netted 10% followed by Texas Rep. Ron Paul at eight percent.

Texas Gov. Rick Perry has fallen to fifth place after early stumbles in candidate debates. He's also been hemmed in with stinging critiques from rivals on his positions regarding immigration and his support for a mandatory HPV vaccine.

Perry received 6% support in the poll, half the amount he received in early October.

Minnesota Rep. Michele Bachmann has also fallen out of favor it seems, after winning the critical Iowa straw poll in August. With two percent support, the congresswoman has struggled to stay relevant as public bickering between former and current staffers exploded in New Hampshire.

Former Pennsylvania Senator Rick Santorum and former Utah Gov. Jon Huntsman tied at one percent.

But with 14% of likely Republican primary-goers undecided and roughly four out of five saying it is too early to say for sure who they back for the nomination, a chunk of potential supporters is still in play.

The poll was conducted among 1,650 adults by telephone including 455 voters who said they plan to vote in a Republican primary. The overall sampling error for the survey is plus or minus two percentage points. The sampling error for the subgroup of likely Republican primary voters is plus or minus 4.5 percentage points.

Filed under: 2012 • Herman Cain • Mitt Romney • Polls
soundoff (92 Responses)
  1. Rudy NYC

    DaveinSC wrote:
    I'm still waiting for the tea party freshman Republicans from last fall to introduce a jobs plan. Where are the jobs plan that they all ran on?
    Didn't they tell you? They changed their game plan just before the election. One day (on or about 09/30/10) the Republicans in Congress quietly all got together and signed a pledge to make reducing spending a priority. That reducing spending was the path to economic growth. This resulted in a new message, economic growth, that sounded like the old one, but it really wasn't. The media gave this pledge little attention, but cover it they did for a day or two.

    In case you are still wondering when are they going to move forward on this new plan, look around you. We are living it.

    October 25, 2011 01:21 pm at 1:21 pm |
  2. Darrell


    Mitt was the Gov. of MA...Job creation position: 47th out of 50 states...that does not give me comfort that he can turn the economy around...Look, this economy has been growing for the last 12 months, albeit slower than anyone would like. If you can come up solutions to the large number of un-sold houses, distressed properties, and get the Republicans to stop being jerks in Congress, than the economy would pick up much better.

    Please don't fool yourself- The Republican's ideas, including Mitt, for doing something positive for the economy is more Tax breaks for the rich....We have tried that...it does not work.

    October 25, 2011 01:24 pm at 1:24 pm |
  3. Realman9414

    There is none. That scheme was used to get votes. I saw it coming before the 2010 elections. The dems although they are very soft, to me they did the smartest thing to date. Get that same GOP that ran on jobs in 2010 to vote against a jobs bill twice. Lying to the american people will be the low blow that will possibly cost them the white house in 2012 and congress later down the road. There might be a super majority. These are the words of a swing voter. GET THE JOB DONE OR ELSE!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    October 25, 2011 01:24 pm at 1:24 pm |
  4. Stacey

    Cain doesn't stand a chance in hades so quit trying to pretend he does. In the end Perry will be the nominee.

    LOL! And Perry will lose to Obama in the general election. Perry is the male version of Sarah Palin – stupid and ignorant redneck. The more the GOP clowns open their big, stupid mouths, the more this is looking like a shoe-in for Obama, even with the economy so bad.

    October 25, 2011 01:26 pm at 1:26 pm |
  5. Lolo

    I can not believe any of these republicans. Now Romney says let the economy play out and let the homes go in forclosure and then the investers can buy the homes and rent them out . Who do you think the investers are? How much will they be charging the renters each month? Americans please wake up. These gop/tea partiers are trying to ruin America. They are heartless people. Vote Democrat across the board!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    October 25, 2011 01:31 pm at 1:31 pm |
  6. tor5

    How lucky is Obama? A zombie would probably beat him in the election, but the Republicans can’t seem to nominate anyone who rises to that level. Romney and Huntsman are the only plausible candidates but they get nothing but hate from the teabagger base. Instead the R’s go goo-goo over the likes of Trump, Bachmann, Perry, Cain… Yes, please, nominate one of these loons!

    October 25, 2011 01:32 pm at 1:32 pm |
  7. Kris Jackson

    The candidates range from the simple-minded to the outright mad, and they're pitching to the gullible, the greedy and the mad. And one of them has a good chance of winning. Obama, save us!

    October 25, 2011 01:35 pm at 1:35 pm |
  8. Steveo


    You know as well as I do, IF they presented a plan, it would NEVER make it past the Senate! Thats how the game is played by BOTH sides!

    October 25, 2011 01:36 pm at 1:36 pm |
  9. Jake

    please put Cain up against Obama! (was praying for Bachmann or Perry)

    October 25, 2011 01:38 pm at 1:38 pm |
  10. Tough USA

    Newt and Paul in the end!!!! Romobama is done. Obama would love Mitt on stage for debates. They could rehash old memories like tarp and healthcare. LOL

    October 25, 2011 01:39 pm at 1:39 pm |
  11. Michael Schmitt

    Ron Paul is virtually tied in third place with blowhard Gingrich. Cain is going to pop and fade. We can not allow Romney to be nominated; he is the same as 0-bama. Ron Paul IS going to be the next Republican nominee and therefore the next President of the United States. Ron Paul: Pro-Peace, Pro-Life, Pro-Liberty.

    October 25, 2011 01:41 pm at 1:41 pm |
  12. jb1963

    This terrorist right keeps saying they passed five jobs bills in the hose and are waiting for the senate to vote on them yet you never hear them give any details or are they pushing for a vote.

    I wonder if that's there plan just say they did something and we vote for them again.
    It is time to vote Bohner and McConnell out of office.

    October 25, 2011 01:46 pm at 1:46 pm |
  13. The Real Tom Paine

    Even the GOP wants people who can speak in complete sentences.....amazing!

    October 25, 2011 01:46 pm at 1:46 pm |
  14. Reality check

    What we need is a true Fair tax. Get rid of everthing else. I'll pay 25 % extra sales tax, if I know i won't have to file every year and they arn't coming after me for anything else. Thsi way if the Drug dealers and illegals will pay when they by something.

    October 25, 2011 01:46 pm at 1:46 pm |
  15. Dano

    How many Debates do we need to come up with the same conclusion- these Republicans are the worst crop EVER.
    If you weed out the CRAZIES there wouldn't be any of them left.
    OBAMA 2012

    October 25, 2011 01:46 pm at 1:46 pm |
  16. ton

    Didn't Ron Paul just win the Ohio straw poll this weekend? Did that not happen?

    October 25, 2011 01:47 pm at 1:47 pm |
  17. Karen

    Those Republican candidates look so weak. I see Barack Obama 4 more years....

    October 25, 2011 01:47 pm at 1:47 pm |
  18. Texas Billy

    Cain will never be president. This guy has way to much common sense for the job. We only elect a president that has
    track record of having " hoof and mouth" disease. ( for you city folks hoof and mouth disease is the ability to put your foot
    in your mouth regularly.)

    October 25, 2011 01:47 pm at 1:47 pm |
  19. Robert

    Yes! I want Cain! And Abel too!

    Obama 2012!

    October 25, 2011 01:47 pm at 1:47 pm |
  20. Thomas, Baton Rouge, LA

    the pinhead du-jour...

    October 25, 2011 01:47 pm at 1:47 pm |
  21. Reality check

    Besides think of all those IRS folks that we would no longer have to pay for......

    October 25, 2011 01:48 pm at 1:48 pm |
  22. smknbluebear

    didnt think the repubs could find a bigger idiot than palin...i think theyd do better if they found a candidate who doesnt talk...

    October 25, 2011 01:50 pm at 1:50 pm |
  23. Pan3


    October 25, 2011 01:51 pm at 1:51 pm |
  24. jnpa

    After his ridiculous tax plan he deserves to be in 5th place.

    October 25, 2011 01:51 pm at 1:51 pm |
  25. insert sarcastic remark here

    I love 9-0-9 and 9-9-9. If you are at or below the poverty line, zero taxes. But once you go above, BANG! 9% income tax on everything. That will teach people for trying to get out of poverty. Tax them back into it.

    October 25, 2011 01:51 pm at 1:51 pm |
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