Poll: Obama advantage in crucial battleground state?
October 26th, 2011
09:52 AM ET
11 years ago

Poll: Obama advantage in crucial battleground state?

(CNN) - A new poll suggests President Barack Obama has the advantage right now over three of his possible GOP opponents in next year's election in an important battleground state.

According to a Quinnipiac University poll of Ohio voters, Obama holds a four point margin over former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney in a hypothetical 2012 general election matchup. The president's 45% to 41% margin over Romney is within the survey's sampling error. The poll indicates that Obama holds a 47% to 39% advantage over businessman and former Godfather's Pizza CEO Herman Cain and has a 47% to 36% lead over Texas Gov. Rick Perry.

But according to the survey, only 43% of Ohio voters approve of the job the president's doing in office, with 51% saying they disapprove of how he's handling his duties in the White House. And by a 49% to 44% margin, Ohio voters say Obama doesn't deserve a second term in office.

"Ohio voters are not happy with the president's performance and don't think he deserves a second term. But elections are about choices," said Peter Brown, assistant director of Quinnipiac University polling. "At this point none of the Republicans are able to take advantage of these presidential negatives. The next year will determine if the GOP is able to nominate a candidate who can do so."

Ohio's 18 electoral votes are expected to be pivotal in the 2012 presidential election. George W. Bush sealed his 2004 re-election by narrowly winning the state over Sen. John Kerry. In 2008, Obama beat Sen. John McCain in the state by 5 points. But the GOP won big there in last year's midterm elections, taking back the governor's office and five House seats held by Democrats.

In the battle for the Republican nomination, the poll indicates 28% of Republican primary voters say they would support Cain, with 23% backing Romney, who's making his second bid for the White House. All other candidates listed on the questionnaire are in single digits, with Perry near the bottom of the list at 4%.

"Herman Cain's rise has been meteoric. He has increased his share of the vote among Ohio Republicans four times since Quinnipiac University's September 28 survey in which he registered 7 percent," added Brown. "Gov. Mitt Romney hasn't moved and Rick Perry has fallen off a cliff, down to 4 percent from 20 percent."

Ohio is in the process of moving its presidential primary to June, which would be at the end of the primary and caucus calendar.

The Quinnipiac University poll was conducted between Oct. 17 and Oct. 23, with 1,668 registered voters, including 542 Republican primary voters, questioned by telephone. The survey's overall sampling error is plus or minus 2.4 percentage points.

Also see:

Perry sidesteps 'birther' question

Gingrich cites fundraising spike

Perry takes sides in Ohio union fight after Romney dodges issue

Filed under: 2012 • Herman Cain • Mitt Romney • Polls • President Obama • Rick Perry
soundoff (37 Responses)
  1. Joey

    The President is a "Shoe In" over these "Koch Brothers Lunatic squad!! Specially Kochcaine,Perry the dicatator,and Mittens! Boehner,McConnell, Can,tor,are history in 2012! The worst leaders in Congress in U.S. History!! Obama-Biden 2012 ! E. Warren- Hillary 2016!!

    October 26, 2011 11:00 am at 11:00 am |
  2. Eddy

    GOP=unamerican.Destroy the middle class.Turn the USA into a third world country

    October 26, 2011 11:00 am at 11:00 am |
  3. Jay Gorrell

    Ron Paul won the most recent GOP straw poll in this state by a landslide. Why are we comparing Obama to the middle of the pack? Try a hypothetical match-up vs. Paul.

    October 26, 2011 11:05 am at 11:05 am |
  4. gt

    obama has a shipwreck economy and he is the captain... ck your stocks lately ?... your retirement accounts... this captain needs a long walk on a short plank....and ohio knows he is the captain...

    October 26, 2011 11:09 am at 11:09 am |
  5. Lynda/Minnesota

    "Gov. Mitt Romney hasn't moved and Rick Perry has fallen off a cliff, down to 4 percent from 20 percent."

    Mitt Romney's polling hasn't moved since 2008, when he was forced to back out from a GOPer caucus which favored John McCain. Unbelievable that Romney might actually be pushed aside this time around for ... well ... Herman Cain of all people. Wonder how many GOPers have sat back and rethought their original "approval" of $arah Palin, and all she has "accomplished" for the betterment of the Republican Party since first being picked by McCain in 2008? No doubt about it, the Palin political contribution to the Grand Old Party has been absolutely priceless.

    October 26, 2011 11:13 am at 11:13 am |
  6. sid

    People need to shut up about Ron Paul. He has NOOOO chance of EVER getting the nomination for one reason and that's his looks. He just doesn't look "Presidential", unfortunately that counts big. Rick Perry is a complete bumbling moron, but he has supporters because he has the look. I agree Paul has the intelligence and some great ideas to possibly get us out of this economic slump, but Americans are just too hung up on looks. Obama will win without a doubt. It won't be a landslide, but it will be a victory nonetheless.

    October 26, 2011 11:14 am at 11:14 am |
  7. george of the jungle

    president Obama is the only choice. He is introducing new ideas every day to help the economt. The repo clowns are still wondering about his birth certificate What a bunch of loosers. The won't move forward and they won't move back the pres has to go around them to get anything done. Anyone not feed up already will be by 2012 vote Obama and Biden

    October 26, 2011 11:15 am at 11:15 am |
  8. Bill

    Bottom line – Obama wins in 2012 unless the GOP has some secret candidate in the wings to challenge the president in the general. Americans have wised up to the GOP garbage and while not all are happy with Obama, when you make it a choice between him and a Republican, he wins.

    October 26, 2011 11:15 am at 11:15 am |
  9. justin

    In the Obama will win a 2nd term. I just cant believe people would think they would be better off with any of the GOP canidates. They dont care about the middle class & they are barbaric in thier thinking. Its always Obamacare this Obamacare that you know what thier right Obama does care! He cares a hell of aloy more then ANY of them ever would! Its scary to think what would happen under a Romney, Perry or Cain presdencey. Obama\Biden 2012

    October 26, 2011 11:16 am at 11:16 am |
  10. Ann Marie

    This is the writing on the wall. The Rethugs think the American people are stupid, but guess what we get it. America has voiced their disapproval with our President over some issues, but the consensus is that he is a hard worker, good husband, good family man and none of the GOP lunatics hold a candle to him. I watched Harry Connick Jr on Piers the other night and he said it best, "I like the man he is". and that my friends is why their is no one else to vote for but our POTUS. Saw him on Leno last night. Class act.

    Obama 2012!!

    October 26, 2011 11:22 am at 11:22 am |
  11. Sniffit

    "Ron Paul won the most recent GOP straw poll in this state by a landslide. Why are we comparing Obama to the middle of the pack? "

    Because Rondroid has no chance of winning the primary. Ergo, the comparison is irrelevant.

    October 26, 2011 11:25 am at 11:25 am |
  12. phoenix86

    Yea, keep drinking that koolaid.

    October 26, 2011 11:26 am at 11:26 am |
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