Poll: Romney & Cain on top in Arizona
October 26th, 2011
02:29 PM ET
10 years ago

Poll: Romney & Cain on top in Arizona

(CNN) - A new survey of Arizona Republicans indicates that Mitt Romney and Herman Cain are tied at the top in the race for the GOP presidential nomination.

And a Rocky Mountain Poll released Wednesday also indicates that President Barack Obama holds a slight advantage over three possible Republican challengers in hypothetical 2012 general election matchups.

Arizona may be more of a player in the battle for the Republican nomination, as the state has moved up the date of its primary to February 28. CNN and the Arizona Republican party are holding a debate in the state on November 30. The state may also be competitive in the general election.

According to the survey, 25% of Arizona Republicans say if the state's primary were held today, they would vote for Cain, a businessman, former Godfather's Pizza CEO and radio talk show host, with 24% saying they would back Romney, the former Massachusetts governor, who's making his second bid for the White House. Cain's one point margin is well within the survey's sampling error.

Texas Gov. Rick Perry is at 10%, with all other candidates in single digits and one in five Arizona Republicans undecided.

Among independent voters, Cain and Romney are tied at 15%, with Rep. Ron Paul of Texas at 14% and everyone else in single digits and 28% undecided. Republicans and independents are allowed to vote in Arizona's GOP presidential primary.

The survey indicates that Obama holds a 45-40% margin over Romney in a hypothetical general election showdown, with Obama holding 44-38% advantage over Perry and a 45-38% advantage over Cain. All of Obama's margins are within the poll's sampling error.

The Rocky Mountain poll was conducted Oct. 13-14, with 581 registered voters in Arizona questioned by telephone. The survey's overall sampling error is plus or minus 4.1 percentage points.

Also see:

Perry sidesteps 'birther' question

Gingrich cites fundraising spike

Perry takes sides in Ohio union fight after Romney dodges issue

Poll: Cain takes top position, Perry falls to fifth

Filed under: 2012 • Arizona • Herman Cain • Mitt Romney
soundoff (45 Responses)
  1. We ALL Know, Mami

    "Texas Gov. Rick Perry is at 10%"

    Ah, the good guv'nuh GoodHair is not poling well... BUT, you gotta luv da hair!

    If the election WERE held today, we wonder, what WOULD they tell him about his hair?

    [Que le dijieron del pelo?]

    October 26, 2011 02:37 pm at 2:37 pm |
  2. Al-NY,NY

    this was done before Mittens basically told people who were going to lose their home......tough luck, but deal with it.

    October 26, 2011 02:38 pm at 2:38 pm |
  3. David

    45-40 over Romney (5 point margin), 44-38 over Perry (6 point margin), 45-38 over Cain (7 point margin), and yet:

    "All of Obama's margins are within the poll's sampling error."
    "The survey's overall sampling error is plus or minus 4.1 percentage points."

    Am I missing something?

    October 26, 2011 02:40 pm at 2:40 pm |
  4. razmataz

    Look closely at the above picture folks. Those two individuals will be the next President and VP of the US of A. Romney probably wouldn't be my first choice, but Obama would not stand a chance against a Romney/Cain ticket!

    October 26, 2011 02:51 pm at 2:51 pm |
  5. Max

    No surprise!

    Mitt the flip flopper will continue to reverse in Arizona and the nation. Perry the awkward one is becoming a non-entity and at this stage he's laughable. Herman Cain will eventually win the GOP nomination, but will lose the general election. It is now so obvious that the tea party right wing agenda is sinking the republican party, it is no wonder they have become so quiet these days.

    We are all witnessing a republican party with no viable candidate. Isn't this a sad state for them to be in? If the focus is on Mitt Romney, which Mitt is really getting the focus?

    It is no surprise that Perry and Romney are both in reverse mode and Cain is in forward drive mode. e don't even need to waste time talking about Gingrich, Huntsman, Paul, Santorum and the very least Bachmann. They have all been relegated to the fringes.

    October 26, 2011 02:53 pm at 2:53 pm |
  6. Mike

    So the dumbing down of America continues. Every President since the late, great Ronald Reagan has been worse then the President before him and the polls apparently have shown that American voters want to continue this trend by voting for "more of the same." Unbelievable..., especially when there is a candidate who is so vastly different from "more of the same," and who understands how we got into the messes we're in and thusly, how to get us out of the messes we're in. But he doesn't promise the voters a Bed of Roses in your garden or a chicken in every pot like ALL of the other candidates do, so he is ignored. We deserve what we ask for folks. Please remember that on electon day.

    October 26, 2011 02:54 pm at 2:54 pm |
  7. Rudy NYC

    David asked:
    Am I missing something?
    Yes. A figure of 44%, plus or minus 4 percentage points means that the actual figure falls within the range of 40% to 48%.

    October 26, 2011 03:00 pm at 3:00 pm |
  8. Gary Ruppert

    Digging up a poll from 2 weeks ago to manufacture good news for Obama?

    notice that all the good news polls for Obama are with tiny sample sizes. Like the dKos pollster Public Policy. They're trying to lay the groundwork for Obama to steal another election.

    Check out Rasmussen, the best pollster in the game, Obama is losing 46-41 to a Republican and is having problems crossing 45%.

    And the only Republican to beat Obama in polling is Herman Cain. Herman Cain is feared by liberal Democrats because he will destroy their stranglehold over African-Americans, and when African-Americans put interest ahead of party, they'll vote for Cain, a successful rolemodel over Obama, a loser who never held a job in his life.

    October 26, 2011 03:04 pm at 3:04 pm |
  9. Romney, he changes his positions as often as his magic underwear.

    Wake me when its time to vote.

    October 26, 2011 03:05 pm at 3:05 pm |
  10. Wire Palladin, S. F.

    Maybe Arizonans, along with Ohioans have figured out what the republican candidates have to offer. Herb wants an electric fence that can . . ."kill you," along the border, Mittens wants everyone in Arizona who's house is underwater to lose it, and let rich investors rent it out. Ponzi, Mittens, and Herb all want to privatize social security. The republican big three all want to give tax breaks to the wealthy, and want the middle class and poor pay more. Maybe this is a red state that is sick of republican class warfare.

    October 26, 2011 03:08 pm at 3:08 pm |
  11. Sniffit

    "Poll: Romney & Cain on top in Arizona"

    Huh. And here I've always sort of thought of Mittens as more of a bottom in light of all that submissive flip-flopping he does all the time....

    October 26, 2011 03:09 pm at 3:09 pm |
  12. CBR

    Another poll – how unfortunate. The polls are not really reflective of anything. IT is all in how the questions are asked.
    We need to rebel against them.

    Mike – just who is the candidate you think is best. You seem to believe that one person could solve our problems but that person must deal with do-nothing representatives and senators.

    October 26, 2011 03:12 pm at 3:12 pm |
  13. Sniffit

    "45-40 over Romney (5 point margin), 44-38 over Perry (6 point margin), 45-38 over Cain (7 point margin), and yet:

    "All of Obama's margins are within the poll's sampling error."
    "The survey's overall sampling error is plus or minus 4.1 percentage points."

    Am I missing something?"


    Yes, you're missing that advertising revenue is the new arbiter of truth. CNN is desperately afraid of offending Crossroads lest Crossroads decide not to spend any of the $100M+ from the rich and corproations that they promised to dump on our elections processes to misinform the public.

    October 26, 2011 03:15 pm at 3:15 pm |
  14. vic , nashville ,tn

    Mainstream Media will knock Herman Cain out from the race because he didn’t have the money

    October 26, 2011 03:18 pm at 3:18 pm |
  15. Larry

    Just wondering if Cains 9-9-9 plan includes social security. If it does I will pay more taxes than I do now

    October 26, 2011 03:18 pm at 3:18 pm |
  16. Max

    Simple Math in Arizona poll's analysis: 4.1% sampling error

    Obama vs Romney: 45 -40 = 5 (outside the 4.1 sampling error)
    Obama vs Perry: 44-38 = 6 (outside the 4.1 sampling error)
    Obama vs Cain: 45-38 =7 (outside the 4.1 sampling error)
    ...and yet the analyzer said all these are 'within' the sampling error. Ain't they ALL 'outside of' 4.1% points??????

    Obama is way ahead of each of these dumb bells. The poll is obviously done by some other republican dumb bell. Do we expect anything better with respect to their math? As Obama puts it himself 'this is simple math' Isn't it?

    October 26, 2011 03:20 pm at 3:20 pm |
  17. ObamaCares

    So wrong razmata, it's Obama in 2012. We all know that these caharacters will take America down the toilet. Look at what they are already proposing.

    October 26, 2011 03:29 pm at 3:29 pm |
  18. Tia Maria

    Go Cain!!!

    October 26, 2011 03:33 pm at 3:33 pm |
  19. plantingfeet

    Did you know?: Bill Clinton didn't even enter the presidential race till October 1991 and was considered a weak candidate at first. We are in October, Ron Paul is already at 9-10% in national polls and consistently moving up. He's not corrupt and he fights for our liberties. Ron Paul has my vote and my donation (investment).

    October 26, 2011 03:34 pm at 3:34 pm |
  20. ConservaFASCISTS/TEAliban/TEAhadists

    The flip flop twins lead in TEAtard Arizona should be the headline. Let's see how Nevadans feel about Willard's stance on foreclosures. This poll must have been taken before he made his heartless comments. As far as Can goes, HA!!!

    OBAMA/BIDEN 2012
    E. WARREN 2012

    October 26, 2011 03:38 pm at 3:38 pm |
  21. Bill

    Hey Gary Ruppert-

    Rasmussen is notoriously slanted to the GOP and everyone knows that (excepy you apparently). I suggest you take a look at RealClear poitics. They use all national polls and come up with an average for the given topic. They show Obama beating any of the current GOP challengers. And funny, out of the ten or so polls used, Rasmussen is the only one showing Obama losing. Hmmmm. Need to broaden your horizons Bub.

    October 26, 2011 03:39 pm at 3:39 pm |
  22. Curious about why you split out independents

    Where would Ron Paul be if you did NOT arbitrarily split out independents who can vote at the caucus as well? Ahead of Perry in double digits? Just a guess of course...

    October 26, 2011 03:39 pm at 3:39 pm |
  23. ConservaFASCISTS/TEAliban/TEAhadists

    *correction* Arizonans

    October 26, 2011 03:40 pm at 3:40 pm |
  24. Lynn

    Another commenter pointed this out.........how are Republicans within the margin of error with re: to the president? Wishful thinking on the part of CNN?

    October 26, 2011 03:41 pm at 3:41 pm |
  25. S.B. Stein E.B. NJ

    I would like to see a survey that is much larger than 1000 people. It is becoming Cain vs. Romney. Could we have a debate without them for a change to get more of the other people heard? Ron Paul, who I don't agree with much on, needs some more time like Santorum.

    October 26, 2011 03:42 pm at 3:42 pm |
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