Poll: It's a lead for Obama in PA
November 3rd, 2011
10:02 AM ET
8 years ago

Poll: It's a lead for Obama in PA

(CNN) – President Barack Obama leads all of his potential Republican challengers in hypothetical 2012 matchups among Pennsylvania adults, according to a new poll.

The Franklin and Marshall College poll released Thursday in the battleground state, shows Obama ahead of potential rivals Mitt Romney, Herman Cain, Rick Perry and Rick Santorum, but the results are closest when the president is paired with Romney.

Obama leads the former Massachusetts governor 35% to 26% and Cain, the former pizza executive, 38% to 24%. He enjoys a 20% lead over Texas Gov. Perry, 40% to 20% and a 13% advantage over former two-term Pennsylvania Sen. Santorum, 38% to 25%.

But the percentage of those who are still undecided remains high, with between 26% and 30% of individuals in each head-to-head match up unsure of who they will back in November.

Democrats hold a tremendous voter registration advantage over Republicans in the Keystone State, which is sure to be a focal point in the next election cycle. Obama won the state with 54.7% of the vote in 2008 and Sen. John Kerry won there with 51% of the vote in 2004. In the 2010 midterm elections, Republicans captured the governor's office, a Senate seat and five House seats from the Democrats.

However, 52% of the state's voters said it is time for a change in the White House, while 42% said the president deserves reelection.

The poll surveyed 525 Pennsylvania adults, 419 of whom were registered voters, between Oct. 24 and Oct. 31. Among the adults the sampling error is plus or minus 4.3 percentage points and among the registered voters it is plus or minus 4.8 percentage points.

- CNN Political Research Director Robert Yoon contributed to this report.

Filed under: 2012 • Pennsylvania • Polls • President Obama • Republicans
soundoff (42 Responses)
  1. mikle

    How Obama can win? On what record? Did somebody has to deserve to be president. This obama has good school, but not brain to be president. He jump one side to another and just kva-kva-kva =vacations.

    November 3, 2011 10:55 am at 10:55 am |
  2. Harris

    Hope Vs Fear in 2012 and we know hope will win.

    Obama Binden 12...

    nuff said...

    November 3, 2011 10:56 am at 10:56 am |
  3. JWR

    If Obama loses, then Pennsylvania will go down with him. Who will Pennsylvania have to fight for them? Romney will make sure the remaining jobs in PA go over seas, Perry had to rely on Stimulus money to create jobs, and Cain doesn't have a clue! Who will fight for Pennsylvania?????

    November 3, 2011 11:02 am at 11:02 am |
  4. si senor

    So how much voter intimidation will be going on at the polls in pennsylvania this time around...

    November 3, 2011 11:07 am at 11:07 am |
  5. Larry L

    President Obama has remained the only adult in the room. He offers solutions and compromise and the Republicans offer obstructions and programs to only help the uber-rich. This is an easy choice!

    November 3, 2011 11:13 am at 11:13 am |
  6. Rudy NYC

    Bob in Pa wrote:
    Yeah right. In Western Pa it is a 8-2 ratio against Obama. Everyone here wants this communist out of office as fast as possible.
    I am sure your figures are correct, and will not cast doubt over them. But, I will point out that your "Gang of 10" are not going to stop the inevitable Obama re-election. He will win PA by an even larger margin than he did in 2008. No one really wants to Romney become CEO of the United States, not even in you.

    November 3, 2011 11:17 am at 11:17 am |
  7. S.B. Stein E.B. NJ

    Did these pollsters ask how well they know the GOP candidates? What was their name reconginiton of all the candidates? Did they include all of the candidates like Ron Paul, Gary Johnson and Michelle Bachmann? It wouldn't be a fair fight if they didn't.

    November 3, 2011 11:21 am at 11:21 am |
  8. Dovetail

    According to the lefties here, why even have an election if Obama is such a shoe in? You shouldn't take anything for granted.

    November 3, 2011 11:21 am at 11:21 am |
  9. SteveAndrew

    Mitt does has two skills. He can say anything in the morning. Later in the day he is like someone else rebutting what he just said as if it didn't happen.

    His other skill is his ability to be all show and no substance. Kind of like a TV star like David Hasselhoff.

    November 3, 2011 11:25 am at 11:25 am |
  10. TxJim

    I think its safe to say that PA is heavily leaning blue again.. too many voters in the cities and the rural voters aren't numerous enough.

    November 3, 2011 11:25 am at 11:25 am |
  11. SuperD

    I just don't understand how people could deduct that Obama is doing a good job. The whole stinking mess lies at his feet and we all are suffering because he will not reject his Liberalism in stark contrast to the results his policies.

    He actually could be re-elected if he would act on some of the Republican proposals, but everything the Republicans bring to the table, he and Harry Reid say NO.

    The party of NO is the Democrats

    November 3, 2011 11:25 am at 11:25 am |
  12. 363 days and no more Obama

    The working people and seniors (most of the population) of Pennsylvania won’t be “Weinered" by Obama this time. What a joke, a bunch of liberal elites from a college trying to express who the people from Pennsylvania support. 363 days to go; the 2012 election is going to be a massacre for Democrats.

    November 3, 2011 11:27 am at 11:27 am |
  13. Kremmers

    And Ron Paul doesn't even exist once again...

    November 3, 2011 11:32 am at 11:32 am |
  14. vic , nashville ,tn

    When you watch and listen what GOP candidates are doing voters doesn’t have choices

    November 3, 2011 11:34 am at 11:34 am |
  15. Laverne

    Of course he will win in 2012!. Republicans will lose and people are predicting if Obama does win, it will be bearly. I think he will win and win big because the "average" American knows this election will be about continuing to move this country forward or being set back 50 years with all the ridiculous extreme views the right and tea party are trying to push off on Americans. The republicans don't deserve to win or be in leadership after signing something as stupid as a Norquist pledge, if they want to act like children they should be treated like children!

    November 3, 2011 11:35 am at 11:35 am |
  16. S.positive

    President Obama will win in 2012

    November 3, 2011 11:36 am at 11:36 am |
  17. diridi

    I vote for him. He killed Bin Laden, Mohmmar Khadaffi, etc, He passed Health Care Reform,, this is the most nation's need and Fin. Reg. Reform, Consumer Protection. etc., He is pulling and ending war in Iraq., which Bush the idiot of GOP created a huge hole out of America's Treasury. He is for poor needy, etc., not for Oil thugs, Corporate thugs, o.k, Manufacturing is coming back....he is on Infrastructure, Green Energy., Hybrid Cars, etc., So my vote for this dude....Obama2012...

    November 3, 2011 11:41 am at 11:41 am |
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