Poll: It's a lead for Obama in PA
November 3rd, 2011
10:02 AM ET
8 years ago

Poll: It's a lead for Obama in PA

(CNN) – President Barack Obama leads all of his potential Republican challengers in hypothetical 2012 matchups among Pennsylvania adults, according to a new poll.

The Franklin and Marshall College poll released Thursday in the battleground state, shows Obama ahead of potential rivals Mitt Romney, Herman Cain, Rick Perry and Rick Santorum, but the results are closest when the president is paired with Romney.

Obama leads the former Massachusetts governor 35% to 26% and Cain, the former pizza executive, 38% to 24%. He enjoys a 20% lead over Texas Gov. Perry, 40% to 20% and a 13% advantage over former two-term Pennsylvania Sen. Santorum, 38% to 25%.

But the percentage of those who are still undecided remains high, with between 26% and 30% of individuals in each head-to-head match up unsure of who they will back in November.

Democrats hold a tremendous voter registration advantage over Republicans in the Keystone State, which is sure to be a focal point in the next election cycle. Obama won the state with 54.7% of the vote in 2008 and Sen. John Kerry won there with 51% of the vote in 2004. In the 2010 midterm elections, Republicans captured the governor's office, a Senate seat and five House seats from the Democrats.

However, 52% of the state's voters said it is time for a change in the White House, while 42% said the president deserves reelection.

The poll surveyed 525 Pennsylvania adults, 419 of whom were registered voters, between Oct. 24 and Oct. 31. Among the adults the sampling error is plus or minus 4.3 percentage points and among the registered voters it is plus or minus 4.8 percentage points.

- CNN Political Research Director Robert Yoon contributed to this report.


Filed under: 2012 • Pennsylvania • Polls • President Obama • Republicans
soundoff (42 Responses)
  1. Anonymous

    Obama will win in 2012. Mark my words. Elections are about choices and the GOP has a batch of losers up against the Prez.

    November 3, 2011 10:11 am at 10:11 am |
  2. itchypalms

    Blacking out Ron Paul again I see. Match up Ron Paul vs. Obama and see where that goes.

    November 3, 2011 10:20 am at 10:20 am |
  3. Russ

    So what does this tell us about the GOP candidates? They are beating themselves into a hole and covering it up with their BS. As with a lot of sports teams, they're beating themselves!

    November 3, 2011 10:24 am at 10:24 am |
  4. lynn

    I agreed..! We got to get out and VOTE..! President Obama deserves another term."2012"

    November 3, 2011 10:25 am at 10:25 am |
  5. Dominican mama 4 Obama

    We've got your back Mr. President.
    You're helping Americans open their eyes to the fact that the TeaPublicans do not care about our country or its' people, only themselves and their wealthy benefactors.
    Keep fighting the good fight sir.

    Obama 2012. Seriously America.

    November 3, 2011 10:26 am at 10:26 am |
  6. Jules

    Romney has Bork as an advisor? Did you see Bork's interview in a recent news weekly. Romney better dump that guy, cause if he doesn't, that interview is going to really hurt Romney.

    November 3, 2011 10:31 am at 10:31 am |
  7. drc

    Barack will not even get 50 percent, the little boy is done.

    November 3, 2011 10:32 am at 10:32 am |
  8. joe

    as an independent i could never see myself voting for any of the current GOP field. every single one of them pale in comparison to president Obama. since i do not consider myself a so called paritsan i feel i can objectively say that president Obama has been a steady, effective leader since he has been in office. i am proud he is our president.

    November 3, 2011 10:35 am at 10:35 am |
  9. Obama has to go

    When you poll only dems of course his will have the lead

    November 3, 2011 10:36 am at 10:36 am |
  10. Lynda/Minnesota

    Well, if you didn't get enough of GW Bush the first eight years, might just as well vote for Romney. Willards staff is a virtue who's who of ex Bush advisors. We all know how well that worked for America.

    Obama/Biden

    November 3, 2011 10:42 am at 10:42 am |
  11. Rudy NYC

    itchypalms wrote:
    Blacking out Ron Paul again I see. Match up Ron Paul vs. Obama and see where that goes.
    ------------
    No, that is not how it works. If Dr. Paul wishes to be included in a poll that pits him against Pres. Obama, then you should pull out his wallet and pay for it himself. Now you know why Dr. Paul never seems to be included in polling questions,and I want to know why neither his campaign nor supporters haven't figured that out yet. This is not the first time Dr. Paul has run for President.

    November 3, 2011 10:42 am at 10:42 am |
  12. TJfore

    Dont warry Mr. President we got your back...2012....

    November 3, 2011 10:43 am at 10:43 am |
  13. Bob in Pa

    Yeah right. In Western Pa it is a 8-2 ratio against Obama. Everyone here wants this communist out of office as fast as possible. The reason for this cover story is to help in the voter fraud perpetuated by the entrenched Democratic party here in Pa.

    November 3, 2011 10:43 am at 10:43 am |
  14. Bessy

    Obama will win in 2012. Not one of the Republicans has a chance. At this moment in time they are " eating " each other up trying to gain momemtum with the voters. The voters have learned a lot since voting in 2010 and they are not going to let that happen again.

    November 3, 2011 10:45 am at 10:45 am |
  15. Former Democrat

    Hahahahahahahahaha!!!!! That might be the funniest thing I've read in a long time. Obama is not going to win Pennsylvania, no matter how many low level liberal polls are used. Hahahahahahahahaha!!!! This is classic, and actually pretty sad and desperate.

    November 3, 2011 10:46 am at 10:46 am |
  16. Dee

    It makes sense the other candidates are for the rich and everything is in disarray.

    If congress will pass the jobs bill then we can see the light at the end of the tunnel. They don't want the President to succeed that is why they are holding the American people hostage.

    We will be safer from the terroist with Pres. Obama, Cain did not know that China had nuclear weapons, Bachman did not know Libya was in Africa and they are trying to shield Romney but he has to come out in the opening and answer some tough questions.

    November 3, 2011 10:46 am at 10:46 am |
  17. Al-NY,NY

    oh boo hoo. "Obama has to go" and drc are sad little tykes because a new poll shows Obama now leading all the GOP candidates. If he was trailing they'd be crowing about how's "he's lost" but now they make the excuses that righties use when polls don't reflect their opinion "not accurate""Flawed" If the results showed it the other way "Goodbye Obama""any GOP will beat him" like the polls are gospel

    November 3, 2011 10:47 am at 10:47 am |
  18. Bob in Pa

    "Democrats hold a tremendous voter registration advantage over Republicans in the Keystone State"
    Then tell me how Republicans currently control the assembly and Govenors office in Pa ? They must be talking old democrats that were never removed from the voter rolls. There needs to be a refreshed voter registration evey 8-10 years to clean up the messes that enable voter fraud.

    November 3, 2011 10:48 am at 10:48 am |
  19. Dave

    I haven't been terribly happy with Obama, but compared to the Republicans lining up to challenge him, I'd vote for Obama in a second. Heck, the current crop of GOP candidates wouldn't be intelligent enough to vacuum the carpet in the oval office without messing it up.

    November 3, 2011 10:49 am at 10:49 am |
  20. S.positive

    President Obama will win in 2012 because the alternative is a failure for America. Still paying for the mistake of Bush and the 2010 congress set up.

    November 3, 2011 10:50 am at 10:50 am |
  21. LegendRx

    The republican supporters rather turn away from the truth about their party leaders failed policy, that they would actually run over their base to worship the rich. Your republicna leaders, instead of letting you ride on the bus (only preserved for the rich), you are being thrown under the bus. Look, there, another one of you are forsakened by your party, Take the first step, open your minds and eyes and simply say, Obama is better choice for the concerns of this great nation. Period.

    November 3, 2011 10:52 am at 10:52 am |
  22. Tony

    Republicans are coming to the realization that they really are stuck with Romney, and there are no principled conservatives who are electable in the Republican field. This poll just shows that no matter how unhappy voters are right now, Republicans still must give them a credible alternative.

    November 3, 2011 10:53 am at 10:53 am |
  23. Penn State

    Wonder how many NBPP have to be out at the polls intimidating voters this time in Pennsylvania.

    November 3, 2011 10:53 am at 10:53 am |
  24. Tbird

    I don't know where they are getting their data, but no one I know in PA is planning on voting for Obama. All I am hearing is ANYONE but Obama.

    November 3, 2011 10:54 am at 10:54 am |
  25. Rick McDaniel

    That's just incredible. Another 4 yrs. of Obama, and this country will be absolutely bankrupted, and we will be in the same spot Greece is in, right now.

    November 3, 2011 10:54 am at 10:54 am |
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