Romney ahead in N.H.; race for second less certain
December 15th, 2011
12:21 PM ET
11 years ago

Romney ahead in N.H.; race for second less certain

(CNN) - Mitt Romney's lead in the first-in-the-nation primary state was confirmed in a second New Hampshire poll Thursday, but the standings of his closest competitors are less certain.

An American Research Group survey released Thursday shows Romney in first place at 35%, the day after a poll from Suffolk University showed him at 38% in the Granite State.

The ARG poll showed Texas Rep. Ron Paul behind Romney with the backing of 21% of registered Republicans, and former House speaker Newt Gingrich in third with 16%. The survey was conducted December 11-14.

The Suffolk poll, which gauged preferences of likely voters in the Republican primary from December 10-13, showed Gingrich in second place with 20% and former Utah Gov. Jon Huntsman rising to third, with 13%.

In the ARG poll released Thursday, Huntsman was behind Gingrich at 13%.

The differences in the two polls come down to who was questioned. The Suffolk poll asked people likely to cast votes in the New Hampshire primary, which include both Republicans and registered independents, who are able to cast votes on either a Democratic or Republican ballot. ARG polled registered Republicans and registered independents separately.

In the survey of New Hampshire independents, ARG shows Ron Paul ahead of the pack at 30%, followed by Huntsman at 25% and Romney at 22%. Paul's supporters in New Hampshire also trended young, according to the survey.

The American Research Group poll, conducted by telephone, questioned 600 likely voters in the Republican primary, including 362 Republicans and 238 independents. The sampling error was plus or minus 4 percentage points.

Filed under: 2012 • Jon Huntsman • Mitt Romney • New Hampshire • Newt Gingrich • Ron Paul
soundoff (15 Responses)
  1. Truth and Nothing But the Truth

    Romney will win NH but it won't be an impressive showing because the vote will be split so much. His real test will be down south. Newt might knock him out down there. Not Ron Paul appeals that much to southerners.

    December 15, 2011 12:30 pm at 12:30 pm |
  2. Rudy NYC

    I wish they would conduct a debate with everyone seeded by the results of this poll. Let's see Dr. Paul roll up his sleeves and operate on Romney and Gingrich.

    December 15, 2011 12:38 pm at 12:38 pm |
  3. ShawnDH

    Romney is a deeply, DEEPLY flawed candidate, but it's clear to everybody who doesn't live in 1990s Rightwingnutistan that he's FAR more electable than that disgutsing turd Newt.

    December 15, 2011 12:45 pm at 12:45 pm |
  4. LMMinMD

    Everyone keep an eye on Huntsman. Do not be surprised if he keeps rising in the polls and becomes a threat to the leaders. I think he may be the next non-Romney to surge, which would not be all bad since he is the one Obama's team is most worried about. It is hard to say someone sucks when they were considered your expert on foreign trade with China and the ambassador under your administration.

    December 15, 2011 01:01 pm at 1:01 pm |
  5. Al-NY,NY

    Mittens BETTER win NH...big or he is in real trouble. He'll do alot better there because of his MA links but in Iowa and in the south, where the zealots runs the show.....not so much

    December 15, 2011 01:01 pm at 1:01 pm |

    Huntsman needs to keep up his attacks on Willard. I seriously think he can pull out an upset in N.H. If he keeps hammering home the message that Romney is a flip flopper, he'll move up in the polls.

    December 15, 2011 01:17 pm at 1:17 pm |
  7. Jariv

    In a poll by Rasmussen of 700+ people in Iowa shows Romney ahead. 23% for Romney, 20% for Gingrich, and Ron Paul at 18%. Go Mitt !!! Romney will win Iowa, NH, and I do not know about Florida, but I think he will too.

    December 15, 2011 01:20 pm at 1:20 pm |
  8. mittensonkittens

    Gingrich, Huntsman team would be good.

    December 15, 2011 01:22 pm at 1:22 pm |
  9. Sniffit

    "Romney ahead in N.H.; race for second less certain"

    Race for second? Pfffff...the entire GOP primary is a race for the bottom.

    December 15, 2011 01:35 pm at 1:35 pm |
  10. Anonymous

    "It is hard to say someone sucks when they were considered your expert on foreign trade with China and the ambassador under your administration."

    Yes, but it's easy to say he sucks for supporting the Ryan plan.

    December 15, 2011 01:38 pm at 1:38 pm |
  11. NC

    I say none of the above are wanted by the republicans. They are doing robo calls this week asking what peole think about Jeb Bush.

    December 15, 2011 01:47 pm at 1:47 pm |
  12. GOP = Greed Over People

    I"n the survey of New Hampshire independents, ARG shows Ron Paul ahead of the pack at 30%, followed by Huntsman at 25% and Romney at 22%"

    Too bad indies, insanity is the most valued GOP attribute in this election cycle..

    December 15, 2011 01:54 pm at 1:54 pm |
  13. Sandy

    Don't be fooled by Huntsman. His ideas are the same failed policies of the rest of the republicans. His attitude is different, but his policies are the same.

    December 15, 2011 01:55 pm at 1:55 pm |
  14. mittensonkittens

    Obama is running the country like he is president of Student Council, not president of the USA. He wants to "school" us, and charm us, but has no clue how to lead. All the GOP candidates have more ability and more political sophistication than he.

    December 15, 2011 02:02 pm at 2:02 pm |
  15. hollaye

    I am a Republican and I will not vote for a man that is a philanderer with an adultress wife, 23 years his junior, who cheated on two of his wives, a Washington insider and his totally a self absorbed human being. If he is nominated I will be sitting this one out.

    I hope the republicans do not make the same mistake they did four years ago and nominate a Washington insider.We will have to clean up a bigger mess . This Country is in a dangerous situation and we need someone that has the experience in business and has strong character to win Obama and that is not Gingrich.

    December 15, 2011 02:16 pm at 2:16 pm |