Florida polls show Romney retaining lead
January 29th, 2012
11:35 AM ET
10 years ago

Florida polls show Romney retaining lead

(CNN) – New polls released over the weekend show Mitt Romney maintaining a lead over this three Republican presidential rivals in the final days before Tuesday's Florida primary.

The former Massachusetts governor leads former House Speaker Newt Gingrich by double digits in the surveys, while former Pennsylvania Sen. Rick Santorum trails the pair. Texas Rep. Ron Paul, who has chosen not to campaign in Florida and spent Saturday in Maine, is further behind the pack.

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One poll that came out Sunday morning and straddled the Thursday night CNN debate in Jacksonville, showed Romney at 42%, Gingrich at 27%, Santorum at 16% and Paul at 11%.

If Santorum were to leave the race, the NBC News/Marist poll showed Romney and Gingrich splitting his support, with Romney's backing rising to 49% and Gingrich's to 33%.

According to the poll results from after the CNN debate, Santorum got a 5% boost while Romney lost three percentage points and Gingrich dropped four points. Paul's support didn't change following the debate.

Romney also led in a Tampa Bay Times/Miami Herald/Bay News 9 survey of likely GOP voters conducted Jan. 24 through Jan. 26 – before the CNN debate – and released Saturday evening. Romney received 42% to 31% for Gingrich, 14% for Santorum and 6% for Paul.

And an American Research Group survey, taken entirely after the latest televised debate, showed Romney in the top spot with 43% support from likely GOP primary voters, followed by Gingrich with 32%, Santorum with 11% and Paul with 8%.

A last-minute surge would have less of an impact in Florida, which allows early voting and absentee ballots for the primary, than in some other states. So far, more than 400,000 votes have been cast, according to the Florida Department of State.

The NBC survey of 3,141 likely Republican primary voters was conducted between Jan. 25 and Jan. 27, and has a sampling error of plus or minus four percentage points. The Tampa Bay Times/Miami Herald/Bay News 9 poll of 800 people has a sampling error is plus or minus 4.5 percentage points. The ARG survey of 600 likely GOP voters was conducted between Jan. 27 and Jan. 28 with a sampling error of plus or minus 4 percentage points.

Also see:

Florida governor: Why Latinos back Romney

Santorum cancels events after admitting daughter to hospital

Voight, McCain join Romney for lighthearted rally

Ron Paul's caucus focus

Filed under: 2012 • Florida • Mitt Romney • Newt Gingrich • Rick Santorum • Ron Paul
soundoff (70 Responses)
  1. vhalen

    I am for the following candidates in this order. Romney, Santorum, Paul, Obama. I can live with about any candidate in any party...just so long as its not Newt. Anything but Newt. I am surprised so may comments think Romney is a 'salesman', but if I am going to buy something, he strikes me as a moral person, good ideas, and leadership or record of being able to achieve those ideas. His Wealth is no reason to be lambasted, or we might as well kick out all the candidates, business leaders, celebrities and athletes....starting with Oprah!

    January 29, 2012 04:57 pm at 4:57 pm |
  2. johnborg

    If Santorum would drop out and endorse Gingrich, Gingrich would probably get the nomination (and I'm sure Santorum would get a nice job in the administration). The next few states, such as Nevada and Maine, aren't really Religious Right type of states, so I'm not sure how Gingrich will do. But the entire middle of the country, Texas to N. Dakota is easily won by Gingrich.

    January 29, 2012 04:58 pm at 4:58 pm |
  3. cisom

    Obama will not balance the national debt because his supporters hardly care about it. Mitt put Massachusetts back on financial track, his supporters expect him to balance the budget. He is our best chance for fiscal sanity.

    January 29, 2012 04:58 pm at 4:58 pm |
  4. nathan

    Electability lol? The latest NBC/WSJ poll has Obama over Mitt 49 – 43% nationally.

    January 29, 2012 05:18 pm at 5:18 pm |
  5. Kingfisher

    If 11% of the state wants Ron Paul for president he should receive 5 delegates. Just as in SC where 60% of the votes were thrown in the trash. The election process is nothing but a sham to install the RNC's choice. America is dead.

    January 29, 2012 05:20 pm at 5:20 pm |
  6. Randy, San Francisco

    Not surprising that Romney is holding a lead because of the support of the GOP establishment and Wall Street money. As a member of the 1% of wealthiest Americans, you would expect him to buy the nomination.

    January 29, 2012 05:33 pm at 5:33 pm |
  7. Peace

    In the last nomination cycle, Romney was clever enough and quited before burning a lot of his fortune. This time he pretends everything is OK while it is not. Come Nov. he is going to regret very much how brutal and unfair it is, to try occupying the highest Office on earth!

    January 29, 2012 05:37 pm at 5:37 pm |
  8. Conservatism

    I don't get it. We have a proven conservative candidate in Rick Santorum and carry's little baggage, if any. The majority of the population want to get rid of Obamacare and they are supporting candidates that have supported components and modeled Romneycare? We need a clear cut distinction to Obama or the Republicans are going to lose again. When will this party learn Conservatism wins elections not electability.

    January 29, 2012 05:44 pm at 5:44 pm |
  9. brian

    yes, and the polls also show that people believe that Elvis is still alive.

    January 29, 2012 05:45 pm at 5:45 pm |
  10. yogi

    GOP: Screaming to cover how very dumb they are. No class, no integrity, no dignity.
    There is only one solution: Obama 2012

    January 29, 2012 05:47 pm at 5:47 pm |
  11. angel611

    Now if Obama was not leading the election by 65% and 35% of Republicans did not say they do not want any of the candidates,, this story might be worth reading.

    January 29, 2012 05:49 pm at 5:49 pm |
  12. Macmaven

    Either one will lose to Obama due to catering to the status quo and having too many skeletons waiting to burst out of the closet upon cross examination. What a waste of campaign dollars.

    January 29, 2012 05:49 pm at 5:49 pm |
  13. curt

    Romney Shmomney he is one of those people that got so lucky in his career that thinks anyone can do what he did.... Profit off cutting thousands off jobs

    January 29, 2012 05:51 pm at 5:51 pm |
  14. curt

    Romney he is one of those people that got so lucky in his career that thinks anyone can do what he did.... Profit off cutting thousands of jobs

    January 29, 2012 05:51 pm at 5:51 pm |
  15. Hair bear

    Well it looks like Mittens just might buy this one! I still think if floridians wake up and smell the roses, they just may come to there senses and vote for Newt!

    January 29, 2012 05:53 pm at 5:53 pm |
  16. billy

    They both say everthing that you want to hear. Sounds just like Obama promise you the moon for your vote -fact 😉

    January 29, 2012 05:53 pm at 5:53 pm |
  17. chainsmoker

    Isn't it nice how our leaders are picked by whoever has the MOST MONEY. Forget values, morals and common sense (war, fiscal responsibility, ect). Why don't we just vote for the guys who made millions off our foreclosed homes? Good job, America! Keep making wise decisions!

    RON PAUL 2012

    January 29, 2012 06:05 pm at 6:05 pm |
  18. Four and The Door

    ...So go ahead and ignore the offshore accounts, the errors in the federal filing form, and ruthless corporate vulture mentality that will cut our families job – and vote for the dude with the nice smile.
    The dude with the nice smile and a plan for America that gets the economy back in growth mode, puts people back to work and actually reverses the runaway debt level instead of continuously raising the ceiling. America really has no choice but to do these things. The future of our nation is too important to squander on hopes that we can find enough billionaires to tax our way through perpetual mismanagement. Unemployment was not a program intended for 99 week benefits.

    Mitt Romney has the management skills, the understanding of real-life economics and the vision of our future to guide America back where it is working for everyone, not just the bankers and politicians. I will admit...he is not a slob. He is a reliable, intelligent and ambitious man ready for the challenge of getting this country back on track.

    January 29, 2012 06:05 pm at 6:05 pm |
  19. Anonymous

    i was ready to hit the road for Romney. Now, i don't know...

    January 29, 2012 06:26 pm at 6:26 pm |
  20. whoppi

    obama or romney , they are one in the same

    January 29, 2012 06:36 pm at 6:36 pm |
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