CNN Poll of Polls: All knotted up between Obama and Romney
April 18th, 2012
10:39 AM ET
9 years ago

CNN Poll of Polls: All knotted up between Obama and Romney

Washington (CNN) - With six and a half months to go until November's presidential election, it's basically all tied up between President Barack Obama and all-but-certain Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney, according to an average of the four national surveys conducted entirely after former Sen. Rick Santorum of Pennsylvania suspended his campaign on April 10.

A CNN Poll of Polls compiled and released Wednesday indicates that, on average, 47% of registered voters in the four polls say they back Obama, with 45% supporting Romney, the former Massachusetts governor who is making his second bid for the White House. With each poll having a sampling error greater than Obama's two-point margin over Romney, it's fair to say that the race can be considered a dead heat.

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The announcement by Santorum that he was suspending his campaign was widely seen as the moment when the presidential campaign entered a new phase, moving from a primary fight to a general election battle. Even though former House Speaker Newt Gingrich and Rep. Ron Paul of Texas continue their long-shot bids for the nomination, Romney is now generally considered the presumptive GOP presidential nominee.

The four surveys are from CBS News/New York Times (conducted April 13-17), Gallup's daily tracking poll (conducted April 12-16), CNN/ORC International (April 13-15), and Reuters/Ipsos (April 12-15).

As the CNN Poll of Polls is an average of other surveys, there is no sampling error for the results.

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Romney campaign 'bracketing' aims to 'step on president's message'

Dems, Republicans make their picks in election to replace Giffords

Romney chimes in on Secret Service, GSA

Filed under: CNN Poll of polls • Mitt Romney • Polls • President Obama
soundoff (78 Responses)
  1. Bill

    Wait didn't CNN just two days ago have a poll showing a 9 point advantage for Obama, and 52% of the vote. Nope CNN doesn't have a bias at all.

    April 18, 2012 10:44 am at 10:44 am |
  2. king

    Well folks Romney's momentum is too strong at the moment, when all these gullibles start to coelessen around Romney, this going to be even tougher. I think the president is a underdog right now, polls swing right and it swing left, lets see where it swing this election. If we have another 2010, we all going to be in trouble.

    April 18, 2012 10:50 am at 10:50 am |
  3. Rudy NYC

    The news media likes polls. I look at them as meaningless commercials when I am watching the big game on TV. They are something to laugh and shout about, and quickly forgotten about until the next round of commercials.

    April 18, 2012 10:52 am at 10:52 am |
  4. Anonymous

    This can't be correct. I believe these are attempts to influence the masses. No Way that Romney is even remotely close to Obama. The problem for ROMNEY is that WE ALL SAW AND HEARD him during the Republican debates, and how this man truly "flips -flops" on issues. He does not have Presidential offerings; The "IT" factor is completely lacking. No one gets excited by this guy ....

    April 18, 2012 10:52 am at 10:52 am |
  5. Data Driven

    Makes sense: CNN's last poll seemed like an outlier.

    But if I were a Republican, I wouldn't get too excited. 8% unemployment and $4 gasoline, and Romney isn't ahead of Obama by 10? Romney makes John Kerry look as exciting as Teddy Roosevelt.

    April 18, 2012 11:01 am at 11:01 am |
  6. insight iowa

    who does these polls? I'm on here daily and never seen a "vote here" button.

    Republican voting straight democratic ticket in 2012. Giving him the house and senate. Lets get something done.

    April 18, 2012 11:06 am at 11:06 am |
  7. mdturn1

    This is a "PLANT" story .... Don't believe it for a second. There is no way that Mit Romney is tied with Obama. This is how CNN loses credibility by running stories like this. Get the facts STRAIGHT! The majority of the logical, rational thinking population will not get behind this guy .... Doesn't have the "IT" factor, and more importantly he does not exhibit the mental fitness that goes along with being a president. I predict a BIG WIN FOR THE DEMOCRATS in november. (I AM AN INDEPENDENT)

    April 18, 2012 11:17 am at 11:17 am |
  8. dnokc

    What happened? Yesterday CNN had Mr. Obama with a 9% lead!

    April 18, 2012 11:18 am at 11:18 am |
  9. judy

    are we sure that the people polled are alive and well.? I mean mormons baptise everyone and thats why their numbers are so great.

    April 18, 2012 11:18 am at 11:18 am |
  10. yneemee

    If CNN is reporting a story like this, you can bet that the reaility is that Romney is way ahead of Obama but CNN will try to minimize the damage to their preferred candidate any way they can.

    April 18, 2012 11:20 am at 11:20 am |
  11. Dave

    That's crazy. Even with the economy in a slump, Obama should be walking away with this. Even Romney's own party doesn't like him... they're just so tied up in playing "team sports" with politics that they'd kick out the guy who's been doing a decent job repairing a massively broken country inherited from Bush (and further wrecked by the credit-rating-wrecking "Tea Party" morons who we got stuck with in 2010). If Romney wins, we'll just end up with a president that absolutely nobody is happy with. That's a bad, spiteful move. And Romney inspires no confidence whatsoever... the only plans he has are the ones that got us in this mess in the first place. If we go back down that road we'll be like Greece within a couple of years.

    Obama's far from perfect, but that it's even a contest is absurd. How ignorant is this country?

    April 18, 2012 11:20 am at 11:20 am |
  12. GrammB

    We seem to always be campaigning. I think we should change the presidency to 8 years with no reelection possible. We get a full term president without all the campaign crap and expense. The seated president could maintain the country and act on our behalf while someone else is campaigning. The money that is spent on these campaigns would go a long way towards feeding and educating children. Just a thought.

    April 18, 2012 11:21 am at 11:21 am |
  13. jeremy

    fox news has polls stating they have the most viewers or something like that, but does that really mean anything?

    April 18, 2012 11:21 am at 11:21 am |
  14. Martha in CF

    I don't believe this BS for one second. Obama will be reelected President. The country is doomed if Romney gets in.....

    April 18, 2012 11:21 am at 11:21 am |
  15. once upon a horse

    these CNN polls seem to change like the weather and appear not to be very reliable. I just wonder who they are asking when they do these polls.

    April 18, 2012 11:21 am at 11:21 am |
  16. Leopold

    The CNN/ORC poll is the maverick. If you don't include that one, which had an unrealistic spread, then Mr. Romney definitely has the edge. It will be close nonetheless, but Romney has gained a great deal of momentum since he all but locked up the nomination. He is a strong candidate, is really coming on, and the democrats know it.

    April 18, 2012 11:21 am at 11:21 am |
  17. Evangenital

    My vote goes to Obama.

    April 18, 2012 11:24 am at 11:24 am |
  18. Tom

    Stange, this numbers mirror the poll released by Fox News on Sunday that was ridiculed by several CNN contributors.

    April 18, 2012 11:24 am at 11:24 am |
  19. John

    Come on Now. Yesterday, Obama was 10 points ahead and now they are tied. Who is taking these polls. Do you switch off to Dems one day and then repubs the next. Obama is going to clean the floor up with this guy and everyone knows it.

    April 18, 2012 11:25 am at 11:25 am |
  20. Taran

    "I am so in," Michelle Obama said toward the end of her remarks. "I am going to be working so hard. We have an amazing story to tell. This president has brought us out of the dark and into the light."
    Another "this is the first time in my life I'm proud of my country," moment.

    April 18, 2012 11:26 am at 11:26 am |
  21. chaing

    Stop with the polls. They are meaningless as they change constantly. It's like watching the stock market day to day. Drives one crazy!

    April 18, 2012 11:27 am at 11:27 am |
  22. Blindersoff

    Don't fall for the devil's trick America, we are not to be controlled by these puppet masters. The news media along with the political process is trying to hype the candidates up as if the election is as simple as a sporting event. 1 for this side and 2 for the other side, 3 for this side and still 2 for the other side. How quickly minds changes from one hour to the next. Stand your ground America. todays candidate is that same candidate from yesterday and will be still the same tomorrow. Romney will always be Romney (cordless, fake and forever trying to Etch-A-Sketch his way out and in) Obama will always be progressive favoring and implementing social reform promoting new liberal ideas establishing a relatively progressive government favoring and promoting change through innovation.

    April 18, 2012 11:28 am at 11:28 am |
  23. travis

    It was only a matter of time until this happened following Santorum dropping out.

    This is going to be a wild ride.....potentially razor close.

    Unfortunately......we are probably in for a negative campaign like we have not seen in our lifetimes.

    April 18, 2012 11:28 am at 11:28 am |
  24. Sheila

    I will be giving money to the Romney campaign. You should, too! Tell your friends.

    April 18, 2012 11:30 am at 11:30 am |
  25. joe

    It's about time CNN started reporting the truth instead od catering to the far left

    April 18, 2012 11:31 am at 11:31 am |
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