Boehner says one-in-three chance GOP could lose the House
April 23rd, 2012
08:07 PM ET
11 years ago

Boehner says one-in-three chance GOP could lose the House

Washington (CNN) - House Speaker John Boehner is sounding some alarm bells, saying "there's a one-in-three chance" Republicans could lose control of the House of Representatives in 2012.

Boehner sounded less than confident he would retain his gavel in an interview slated to air Tuesday on Fox News.

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"I would say that there is a two-in-three chance that we win control of the House again but there's a one-in-three chance that we could lose and I'm being myself, frank," Boehner told Fox News, according to a transcript of the interview.

Until now the speaker has not raised any concerns about his party's chances to keep control of the House this fall, and it's unusual for a top party leader to publicly express a pessimistic outlook.

But a spokesman for Boehner's political arm said the speaker was being "candid" and his comments were a deliberate move to remind supporters and potential donors that House Republicans need support this fall.

"We're looking at both sides of the coin," Cory Fritz told CNN. "Of course there is a chance that we could lose and we want to make sure we're doing everything we can so that our members have the resources they need so they can run and win."

Fritz noted there's a perception among some supporters that the "House is kind of lock," but he stressed "it would be mistake for anyone to take that for granted."

Supporters and donors have largely focused on the race for the White House and taking control of the Senate rather than House races. House Democrats would have to pick up 25 seats to retake the majority in the House.

Boehner also told Fox, "we've got a big challenge and we've got work to do."

A senior House GOP leadership aide echoed the need to highlight the importance of the House to the party's agenda for 2012.

"If you're a Republican, no matter what you want to do it's not going to matter if we don't keep the House," the aide said. "We've got to be prepared and people need to realize that."

In the interview, the speaker pointed out there are 32 districts in states where "there is no presidential campaign going to be run, no big Senate race." Specifically Boehner called 18 Congressional districts in California, New York and Illinois "orphan districts," where Romney is not expected to win, and said they are "frankly pretty vulnerable."

Asked about the House GOP candidates in those districts, Fritz said, "The goal is to get others to see that we have a lot of members in these states that need help."

So far Democrats have shown some optimism about the odds of regaining the majority in the House, but have been careful not to sound overconfident.

Asked last week to predict if Democrats could win back the House, their campaign chief, New York Rep. Steve Israel told CNN, "the House is in range."

The number two House Democrat Rep. Steny Hoyer told reporters last month if the economic recovery continued, "our chances are reasonably good that we can take back the House."

Also see:

Giuliani endorses Romney, downplays being running mate

Huntsman compares GOP to Communist Party of China

RNC formally backs Walker in recall

Filed under: 2012 • John Boehner
soundoff (331 Responses)
  1. LikeHorseMeatBetter

    those of you disparaging Fox News or as you all so put it with such wit and intelligence "Faux", did u happen to see where CNN cite it's source?
    Yep that's right this article and all that is in it came fr.... (drum roll please....) FOX NEWS!!!!
    LOL!!! I guess Faux news lies except when it is what u want to hear. But then again what Boehner is saying is that there is a 66% chance he will maintain power but shhhhh! don't say that part. Fuzzy math shhh.

    April 24, 2012 03:45 pm at 3:45 pm |
  2. Rudy NYC

    LikeHorseMeatBetter wrote:

    ...I see the koolaid gang is in full force. Considering this Obama admin has not passed a budget in over 3yrs where exactly are you getting your facts. Defecit spending is up by over 30%. Unemployement was 7.2% when Obama took office. He spent over $1Trillion in stimulus and promised the unemployment would not go above 8%......
    Confabulation above. Hear the facts.
    Deficit spending is down from the final year of Bush FY2009, $1.5T
    Unemployment was 7.8% the week Obama was inaugurated.
    We all know the The Stimulus was only $700B.
    Gas was more expensive in 2008, returning prices reflect economic recovery.

    Barack Obama never made that 8% prediction, which is why you Hannity has never shown you video of him saying it. An Obama transition team member made that 8% prediction in early Dec. 2008 when unemployment was 6.5%. It was based upon 2008 figures from the Bush administration that we know now were misleading and under reported the true damage to the economy. For example, GDP was being reported at -2% when in fact it was nearly -9%.

    April 24, 2012 04:00 pm at 4:00 pm |
  3. Another Day in the RW Idiot Mines

    "lets get a REAL man in the white house....not some angry black guy......"

    Ah, the motherlode of idiot. This is the sort of ignorant racist the GOBP cult is counting on to win the election. At least he's funny, though, calling ole Flipper "The Robot" Rmoney a "real man."

    April 24, 2012 04:01 pm at 4:01 pm |
  4. Another Day in the RW Idiot Mines

    "Unemployment is higher, the deficit is higher and spending is much higher or are you ignorant of facts."

    The igorance is all yours, Jude. Stop watching Fakes News and educate yourself. The high deficits are predominantly due to the disastrous economic and war policies of your GOBP cult. This is not up for debate, it is fact, as is the decreasing unemployment rate.

    April 24, 2012 04:03 pm at 4:03 pm |
  5. A Southern Lady - North Carolina

    I watched Fox news to determine if it truly is the "propanda arm of the Republican party". Every single anchor bashed the President constantly. They told their stores in such ways to make the President look bad. Then I went to CNN, ABC, NBC and CBS to hear their stores on the same subject and I was absolutely shocked at how different they were than Fox. And when you look at who is on Fox – Palin, Beck, Hannity and other far-right republicans, I see clearly that Fox is, indeed, the propanda arm of the Republicans and they will never have me as a viewer. Each time they said "Fair and balanced" i truly land to laugh.

    April 24, 2012 04:12 pm at 4:12 pm |
  6. Another Day in the RW Idiot Mines

    "Sorry but unemployment was 7.8% when Obama was inaugurated. It is verifiable through all your favorite media outlets that extol the idiocy of Obama's message daily. No doubt Bush spent terribly but that was baby stuff compared to the anti-prosperity President."

    Sorry jude, the only "baby stuff" is the context-free GOBP cult nonsense you're trying to spread. The unemployment rate was trending up dramatically the year before office, yet you try to argue an arbitrary date, like President Obama's inauguration, is the appropriate way to measure his performance. You extreme rightwing nutjobs make the same mistake regarding the deficit, as if picking the inauguration date magically makes all the GOBP malfeasance, misfeasance, and outright corruption in favor of the wealthy disappear. Don't be such a liar, stand up and be proud. If you're a GOBP cult member then you endorse all the un-American "screw the poor, feed the wealthy" policies of your party, right? So own it! Don't duck it. Proclaim your party's irresponsibility far and wide. It's yours to live with and will go down in the annals of history permanently.

    April 24, 2012 04:16 pm at 4:16 pm |
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