Poll: Barrett, Walker would face close matchup in Wisconsin recall
Republican Gov. Scott Walker faces a June 5 recall election.
May 2nd, 2012
03:39 PM ET
8 years ago

Poll: Barrett, Walker would face close matchup in Wisconsin recall

(CNN) - A new poll released Wednesday indicates Republican Gov. Scott Walker is in a tight race with Milwaukee Mayor Tom Barrett, the likely Democratic challenger in Wisconsin's June 5 gubernatorial recall election.

While the Democratic primary takes place next week, the Marquette University Law School poll shows Barrett leading Dane County Executive Kathleen Falk by a wide margin of 38% to Falk's 21%.

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If Barrett becomes the Democratic nominee, the poll indicates he narrowly edges Walker among registered voters by one percentage point, with 47% to Walker's 46%.

Among likely voters, however, the results flip and Walker pulls ahead by one percentage point with 48% to Barrett's 47%, according to the poll. Both margins fall well within the sampling error.

Should Falk win the Democratic primary, she would find herself trailing against Walker, the poll shows. The Wisconsin governor, according to the survey, takes 49%, compared to Falk with 43% among likely voters.

Democrats, largely backed by labor unions, launched a recall challenge against Walker after he sided with a February 2011 bill that cut most collective bargaining rights for state employees.

The race has largely consumed Wisconsin politics and airwaves in recent months, as national groups and public figures weigh in on the contest. GOP star and New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie traveled to the state on Tuesday to offer his support for Walker at two public events.

The poll also measures the political climate for the presidential election in November. While Obama won Wisconsin in 2008 by a wide margin over Sen. John McCain, the Badger State is expected to be a battleground state in the fall due to Republican gains in the 2010 midterm elections.

According to the survey, 51% of voters say they would choose Obama, while 42% prefer Romney. The margin represents a slight change from Marquette's last survey in late March, when Obama held a 48%-43% advantage over Romney.

Wisconsin Republicans chose Romney in the April 3 primary, with 44% backing the former Massachusetts governor, while 37% chose former Pennsylvania Sen. Rick Santorum.

For the poll, Marquette interviewed 705 registered Wisconsin voters by phone between April 26 and April 29. The margin of error is plus or minus 3.8 percentage points.

For questions on the Democratic recall primary, 451 respondents said they would vote in the election, with a margin of error of plus or minus 4.7 percentage points. Meanwhile, 561 respondents said they would vote in the June general recall, with a margin of error of plus or minute 4.2 percentage points.

- CNN Political Editor Paul Steinhauser contributed to this report.

Also see:

Michelle Obama swings West for fundraising push

Christie uses GOP star power to help embattled Walker

White House says Afghanistan trip not political


Filed under: Mitt Romney • Polls • President Obama • Wisconsin
soundoff (55 Responses)
  1. Bill

    Walker will be summarily removed after the June 5 recall election, if he is not indicted first. Goodbye loser governor.

    May 2, 2012 03:40 pm at 3:40 pm |
  2. Gurgyl

    Walker is a crazy idiot. Get rid off this guy, you are benefitted.

    May 2, 2012 03:42 pm at 3:42 pm |
  3. BEACHBUM3

    the sooner the recall that takes place that oust this crazy assed republican the better for the people of the state of wisconsin an the people of this nation for surely noone would ever again want this induvsual to ever again serve in public poliitical office anywhere else in this country with his far far far far far right winged nut views with regards to public sector employees. thank you

    May 2, 2012 03:46 pm at 3:46 pm |
  4. S.B. Stein E.B. NJ

    Walker seems to be an ideologue who doesn't fully understand what he is doing. I think that he took something that had nothing to do with the budget and claimed it would help when it didn't. It cost the state more when you factor in the special recall elelctions. This would explain why he and Christie get along because they are both out of touch with being practical.

    May 2, 2012 03:46 pm at 3:46 pm |
  5. The Greedy Old PIgs declared class war on US!

    Go Wisconsin voter and throw that GOBP psychopathic snake out. Money is on the way!

    May 2, 2012 03:47 pm at 3:47 pm |
  6. vic , nashville ,tn

    “Wisconsin lost 12,500 jobs during Walker's first year in office”

    Walker is Romney’s Hero Good luck GOP

    May 2, 2012 03:49 pm at 3:49 pm |
  7. Namejkane fl live from teapublican moon base no taxes, no regulation no health care, free gas.

    All republican bums should be thrown out of office in Nov, start with wis, then fl and on and on. All losers. Republican clowns.

    May 2, 2012 03:52 pm at 3:52 pm |
  8. Marie MD

    Next in line should be grotham who introduced a bill, which passed, that men have to make more money than women doing the same job because men will marry and start families so they need the extra money. Another blow to women all over the US.
    Keep it classy and real tea tards. Your time will come in November. Why do these thugs don't see that if it wasn't for women they would be crawling on this Earth pretending to be real human beings?

    May 2, 2012 03:54 pm at 3:54 pm |
  9. Namejkane fl live from teapublican moon base no taxes, no regulation no health care, free gas.

    Walker good for president of somila , no unions there and take Fatboy with you.

    May 2, 2012 03:56 pm at 3:56 pm |
  10. Jan930

    Walker is a snake in the grass.

    May 2, 2012 03:56 pm at 3:56 pm |
  11. pkbkr

    Can't wait to get rid of this guy! He doesn't tell the truth with anything! Hope Barrett wins BIG! He sure has my vote! He should have won the first time, and would have if Walker had told his plans for our state! Deceitful man!

    May 2, 2012 03:57 pm at 3:57 pm |
  12. Rudy NYC

    "GOP star and New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie traveled to the state on Tuesday to offer his support for Walker at two public events. "
    --------------–
    I see that they are bringing in Christie the Gov.
    What was that quote/threat he made at a rally in WI a month or so ago? Something about "Jersey Style"?

    May 2, 2012 03:58 pm at 3:58 pm |
  13. Jan930

    Walker thought he was talking to one of the Koch brothers. What he was saying should show the people how this man really is.

    May 2, 2012 03:59 pm at 3:59 pm |
  14. Thomas

    Talk about an inexperienced , incompetent poster boy for big interest !
    You watch , Walker will be indicted for misuse of funds. He will do very little time , then he and his friends enjoy the good life
    Politicians such as Scott Walker were elected for one reason , to do nothing , it's obstructionism for the intent of capital gain.
    Sott Walker

    May 2, 2012 04:01 pm at 4:01 pm |
  15. Joel

    It's very entertaining (and sad) for those of us watching this spectacle with a rational frame of mind. Walker supports a very moderate (ya, that's right moderate, actually look up whats in it, it doesn't even come close to Right to Work, in place in many US states) and he his called a Nazi. Most of the rhetoric was put out by the major unions, which enjoy monopoly status and will fight to the death to keep it that way. Get a little perspective people.

    May 2, 2012 04:10 pm at 4:10 pm |
  16. LIP

    Given enough time, Unions will destroy what is left of this so called economy

    May 2, 2012 04:11 pm at 4:11 pm |
  17. mane

    Walk Walker please Wisconsin!

    May 2, 2012 04:12 pm at 4:12 pm |
  18. Democrat Class Warfare - Destroying the economy, destroying the country

    Dream on Democrats. Walker's job is safe. The people of Wisconsin want nothing to do the Democrat Party of hate and division that will sell the taxpayers out to the unions. Walker represents ALL the people. The Democrat is owned by the unions.

    May 2, 2012 04:16 pm at 4:16 pm |
  19. Joe M.

    If Wisconsin recalls Walker, they deserve what they get – a return to being ranked in the 40's out of the 50 states in "ease of doing business".

    May 2, 2012 04:20 pm at 4:20 pm |
  20. carryaBIGstick

    Walker will lose by more than one or two points. The people who slept in the 2010 elections won't get fooled again. I also like how President Obama according to this poll, has a SLIGHT change from the last poll: "According to the survey, 51% of voters say they would choose Obama, while 42% prefer Romney. The margin represents a slight change from Marquette's last survey in late March, when Obama held a 48%-43% advantage over Romney." Does almost doubling the 5 point lead from last month to 9 points in 30 days appear slight? Common sense will once again prevail in Wisconsin and America.

    May 2, 2012 04:22 pm at 4:22 pm |
  21. Tom

    It's sad that this Walker guy is so hated in his own state he's had to have other people come in and show support for him and has been begging for additional funds to fight the people donating in his own state.

    May 2, 2012 04:28 pm at 4:28 pm |
  22. Joel

    @carryaBIGstick

    "Does almost doubling the 5 point lead from the last month to 9 points in 30 days appear slight?"

    Yes, yes it does, in fact, its not even slight, in insignificant. A 4 point shift over 30 days in nothing in public opinion polling, esp. 6 months out.

    May 2, 2012 04:30 pm at 4:30 pm |
  23. alyarby

    Electing a Democrat is like electing a kid with both fists in the cookie jar. But apparently, from reading the lazy maniacs who are posting here, that is what the slovenly proletariet wants. Yessirree, it's gonna be one Third World continent around here mighty soon if Walker loses and Obama wins. Democrats = spendthrift with absolutely no understanding whatsoever of economics. Go for it you loonies.

    May 2, 2012 04:30 pm at 4:30 pm |
  24. The Greedy Old Pigs declared class war on US!

    "Politicians such as Scott Walker were elected for one reason , to do nothing , it's obstructionism for the intent of capital gain."

    Actually, Walker did far more than do nothing. He went on the attack on issues he hadn't even raised with voters before the election. He was the corporate predators "inside man" to experiment with. Time to shut that experiment down.

    May 2, 2012 04:36 pm at 4:36 pm |
  25. Marcus

    Joel – I got a little 'perspective' when I saw all those people rallying against the law. They kept saying: 'OK, we pay our part. Of course, we did not wanted to have to... but since we must, so we will! But don't touch my union rights!'
    Walker's answer? 'They don't want to pay their part!'
    Over and over again, guys and gals willing to sacrifice (and saying it on TV, radio waves and web) and a liar trying to make ME believe that he was telling the truth and everybody else was lying when all I had to do was check what was in that law...
    So I saw it with a 'perspective', and I say 'Take a walk, Walker, and don't let the door hit you when you leave...'

    May 2, 2012 04:37 pm at 4:37 pm |
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