Poll: Who Americans think will win presidential election
May 15th, 2012
10:18 AM ET
10 years ago

Poll: Who Americans think will win presidential election

Washington (CNN) - Americans are pessimistic about the current state of the economy, but optimistic about what things will look like a year from now, according to a new poll.

A USA Today/Gallup poll released Tuesday also indicates that a majority believe President Barack Obama will beat presumptive Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney in November's general election.

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Seventy-one percent of people questioned rate the current economic conditions as poor, but 58% say those conditions will be good a year from now.

According to the poll, regardless of which candidate they support, 56% say that Obama will win re-election, with 36% saying that Romney will come out on top in November.

The survey indicates that Romney's favorable rating has jumped to 50%, with his unfavorable rating down to 41%. By a 52% to 46% margin, the president has a favorable rating.

Fifty-five percent say the economy would get better over the next four years if Romney were elected president, with 46% saying the economy would improve if Obama was re-elected.

The USA Today/Gallup poll was conducted Thursday through Sunday (May 10-13), with 1,012 adults nationwide questioned by telephone. The survey's overall sampling error is plus or minus four percentage points.

- CNN Political Editor Paul Steinhauser contributed to this report.

Also see:

Ron Paul to end active campaigning

RNC, Team Romney roll out debt attack on Obama

Leading progressive group attacks Romney over women's issues

Obama headlines two high dollar fundraisers in NYC

Filed under: 2012 • Mitt Romney • Polls • President Obama
soundoff (29 Responses)
  1. Wes B.

    I wish people had better memories. Romney simply wants to bring back all of the standard GOP policies that got us into this financial mess in the first place.

    Please, if you're going to vote, please remember how the GOP policies brought this nation to its knees in 2007 and 2008 before Obama was ever even elected.

    May 15, 2012 10:23 am at 10:23 am |

    The President will win hands down. The economy may be issue number one, but when it comes to national security, I think majority of Americans still take their safety and security as a priority. Frankly, Willard has no foreign policy experience and he comes of like a neo-con. We don't need an emptty suit in the White House who gets dictated to by generals. We need a President who can stand by their convictions and make the tough decisions necessary to keep us safe.

    May 15, 2012 10:25 am at 10:25 am |
  3. Larry L

    Americans have been turned-off by the obstructionist Republicans of the Congress and radical attempts to dismantle our government. Once Americans realize how Republicans plan to trash Social Security and Medicare, they will avoid the GOP and their fat-cats.

    May 15, 2012 10:28 am at 10:28 am |
  4. rosiejones

    Someone should tell the right-wingers this news. If one listens to them, Romney has this in the bag. Who's telling the truth, or maybe I should say: Who's making the best guess?

    May 15, 2012 10:29 am at 10:29 am |
  5. tryanothername

    Polls; keep dreaming, when Romney debates Obama and brings up the Obama agenda and the Democrats record in Congress since 2007 it’s over; the polls don’t even matter. American voters are tired of the media propping up, covering up for Obama and can’t wait to show up and vote him out. The Democrats / liberals didn’t see the 2010 Republican landslide win coming and Democrats / liberals don’t see the 2012 landslide Republican win coming.

    May 15, 2012 10:29 am at 10:29 am |
  6. Dominican mama 4 Obama

    Another poll....another dollar.
    Obama 2012. Seriously America.

    May 15, 2012 10:30 am at 10:30 am |
  7. Blindersoff

    Were there any doubt?

    May 15, 2012 10:36 am at 10:36 am |
  8. gayle

    " I think "Anyone", who is not a millionaire, who votes in the Republikan Party in November is a self-destucting "FOOL"!! (In exception to evangelicals, their intelligence is in "Question" Bigotry and Discrimination at its finest!!!!! Obama 2012!!!

    May 15, 2012 10:37 am at 10:37 am |
  9. Expat American

    In 2008, the country first inbreds accused the President of being a Muslim, a terrorist and not born in the United States (oh, and he also didn’t wear a flag pin). Now the hot topic is gay marriage.

    Not once have the tea party poor white trash smegma patriots acknowledged the failures of the Bush Cheney war criminal administration or the obstructionist liars of the past 3.50 yrs.

    Like there isn’t a single poor white republican buying a big screen plasma tv for their trailer with Democratic Party Food Stamps.

    May 15, 2012 10:40 am at 10:40 am |
  10. Myviewis

    Oh yes, Obama has Hollywood celebs, Jay Z backing, more money than Romney, he's more elite, prestigious than Romney. Obama is upper class and Romney cannot compete with that.

    May 15, 2012 10:51 am at 10:51 am |
  11. Myviewis

    And on top of that Ann Romney looks like plain Jane next to Michelle Obama who dresses impeccable with the finest fabrics and uses the best designers and Michelle surrounds herself with the elite while Ann Romney seems to be stuck with grandkids.

    May 15, 2012 10:58 am at 10:58 am |
  12. Core republican Values

    The fate of the republicans depends on deception, lies, and misleading propaganda. I think Obama will win because in the end, Americans will vote integrity over hypocrisy.

    May 15, 2012 11:01 am at 11:01 am |
  13. Zee

    i would've voted Ron Paul and im guessing he was that other 8% and just think this poll isn't asking who do you support if it was that he would recieve well over 15% and most likely more than 20%

    May 15, 2012 11:03 am at 11:03 am |
  14. fayse

    I definetly will be voting for President Obama. And I definetly will not be voting for any Tea Party Congressman /woman or Tea Party Senators. I would never vote for anyone that signed the Norquist pledge.

    May 15, 2012 11:08 am at 11:08 am |
  15. once upon a horse

    polls are really not much to go by. The only people that like polls are when the results give a positve view of who or whatever they support.

    May 15, 2012 11:11 am at 11:11 am |
  16. lreed580

    The NYT/CBS poll shows 31% don't know enough about Romney to form an opinion of him. Many are not following the elections and won't until next fall. So much remains to be seen.

    May 15, 2012 11:12 am at 11:12 am |
  17. B.

    Most Americans understand what is going on and agree that the economy is slowly coming back, but it -Is coming back.

    Romney would, more than likely, destroy even that growth and reverse the trends to serious conditions that could be catastrophic. That, lumped together with the European situation could be the final straw!

    Romney is being led now by the Tea Drinkers to the extreme and extreme is not what we need right now.

    As steady hand on the Tiller is Obama.

    May 15, 2012 11:14 am at 11:14 am |
  18. v_mag

    ...and why do people think Rob-money will lose? Because Willard = George. Flip Rob-money is the same as Bush. He's endorsed by the Bush crime family, he has never distanced himself from the disasterous Bush policies of war and more for the rich, and he will sink the country again, like Bush did. There is no contest among thinking individuals. Obama may be a long way from perfect, but he's miles ahead of Rob-money.

    May 15, 2012 11:15 am at 11:15 am |
  19. Nobama

    This poll is the most worthless trash!!
    It does not make any sense! People think economy is the top issue and they believe Romney will do a better jobs on economy than Obama. Yet 56% think Obama will be reelected!!!
    Are we really stupid????

    May 15, 2012 11:25 am at 11:25 am |
  20. GL

    The USA Today/Gallup poll was conducted Thursday through Sunday (May 10-13), with 1,012 adults nationwide questioned by telephone.

    Give me a break. Gallup poll needs to update their system to include young voters with cell phones before putting out this garbage.

    May 15, 2012 11:26 am at 11:26 am |
  21. tibs

    Hopefully it will be Obama.

    But either way the economy is going to get incredibly worse within the next couple years. There are no two ways around that unfortunately. However, if we act right and shrink government power in response instead of increase it, we will come out sound on the other side.

    When the time comes, remember that there is no system so far discoverned that can hold a candle to the productive powers unleashed by free market capitalism. Do not turn to statism. Do no turn to central economic planning.

    Turn to freedom and our future will be bright.

    May 15, 2012 11:29 am at 11:29 am |
  22. Rick from florida

    The question is do we allow President Obama continue the job he started by electing another term. Do we elect a new president and start all over again by tearing down all that has been accomplished? We gave republicans 8 years. The fair thing would be to give democrats the same. Insane thinking right!!

    May 15, 2012 11:30 am at 11:30 am |
  23. Old Folks in Florida

    Don't touch my medicare.

    May 15, 2012 11:30 am at 11:30 am |
  24. Rudy NYC

    Fifty-five percent say the economy would get better over the next four years if Romney were elected president, with 46% saying the economy would improve if Obama was re-elected.
    That 55% have been completely bamboozled by the smooth talk, and taught what to think. The Romney/Ryan budget plan would destroy or cripple the very programs that kept this nation from sliding into an extended economic depression back in 2008.

    The Romney/Ryan plan would also inflate the annual deficit and the national debt far faster than anything that Pres. Obama has proposed. Republicans are still playing that some old card called "trickle down economics".

    May 15, 2012 11:31 am at 11:31 am |
  25. Tired of republican lies

    Obama/Biden 2012!!!! We sure as he!! cannot go backwards!!!

    May 15, 2012 11:34 am at 11:34 am |
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