Poll: Obama-Romney race tied; Obama supporters appear more energized
June 1st, 2012
04:00 PM ET
9 years ago

Poll: Obama-Romney race tied; Obama supporters appear more energized

Washington (CNN) - The race for the White House remains very close, according to a new national poll, partly because neither President Barack Obama nor Republican challenger Mitt Romney have a clear advantage on issue number one - the economy.

A CNN/ORC International survey released Friday also indicates that Obama supporters are more energized right now than those backing Romney.

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According to the poll, 49% of registered voters say that if the November election were held today, they would vote for Obama, while 46% say they would cast a ballot for Romney, the unofficial GOP presidential nominee. The president's three point margin is within the survey's sampling error. Obama had a nine point advantage in CNN's last national poll, which was conducted in early April.

"Which candidate better understands how the economy works? That's a tie as well - 45% pick Obama, 45% choose Romney," says CNN Polling Director Keating Holland.

According to the survey, one in five questioned say neither candidate can fix the economy, with another one in five saying the economy will recover regardless of who wins in November. Among the rest, once again there is no clear advantage - 31% say economic conditions will improve only if Romney wins; 28% think things will get better only if Obama stays in office.

The poll was conducted Tuesday through Thursday, before the release Friday morning of the May unemployment numbers. According to the disappointing report from the Labor Department, the nation's unemployment level edged up to 8.2% last month, with only 69,000 jobs created in May.

According to the poll, the economy, by far, remains issue number one. Fifty-two percent said that it's the most important issue facing the country today. The deficit, at 18% is a distant second.

Over the past few weeks, the Obama campaign has been hammering Romney's business experience at Bain Capital, the private equity firm he co-founded. Did their strategy work?

"The public splits down the middle on Romney's business experience as well," adds Holland. "Fifty percent say that Romney has the right experience to reduce unemployment and improve the economy if he were elected, with 45% saying he does not."

The poll also indicates that Americans' views of the economy haven't gotten any better or worse since the spring. In March, the number who thought the economy was in good shape jumped from 18% to 31%, but there has been no additional movement since then. Sixty-nine percent say economic conditions are poor.

Although the race for the White House is essentially tied, Obama does have one big advantage: His supporters right now are far more enthusiastic about him. More than six in ten Obama voters say they strongly support the president, while only 47% of Romney voters feel that way about their candidate.

Nearly three-quarters of those questioned say they've made up their mind about who they will vote for in November, with one in four saying it's possible they could change their mind.

In the battle for crucial independent voters, the poll indicates Romney holds a 51%-39% advantage.

The president's approval rating continues to hover around the 50% mark. Fifty-two percent give Obama thumbs up on the job he's doing in the White House, with 47% saying they disapprove of how he's handling his duties.

The survey also indicates Americans are divided in the battle for Congress, with 48% saying they would back the Democratic candidate in their congressional district and 45% saying they would support the GOP candidate.

The CNN poll was conducted by ORC International from May 29-31, with 1,009 adults nationwide, including 895 registered voters, questioned by telephone. The survey's overall sampling error is plus or minus three percentage points, with a sampling error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points for registered voters.

Also see:

Obama campaign launches assault on Romney's Massachusetts record

Obama campaign releases third set of Spanish ads

Gonzales says Romney must make personal connection to Hispanics

Wisconsin guv up in third straight poll

soundoff (344 Responses)
  1. Marty

    Please no more Obama! ****Romney 2012!****

    June 1, 2012 04:49 pm at 4:49 pm |
  2. Rags

    Somebody said: "Romney 2012". What's that mean? The year Rmoney lost again? The age he will be when he stops trying to be President?
    Anybody that votes for that loser is a loser themselves.

    June 1, 2012 04:49 pm at 4:49 pm |
  3. B

    Given the choice between an ex- one term governor who loves to fire people and was 47 out of 50 in job creation for a single state vs a president who has stop the bleeding of job loss with a steady growth of job creation for the past several months in spite of republican obstructionism at every turn, I'll keep President Obama.

    June 1, 2012 04:50 pm at 4:50 pm |
  4. Sam G

    Latinos for Obama...Lets not forget the Bush admin had 8yrs to screw us up. Obama inherited the mess. I will Vote for Obama!!!

    June 1, 2012 04:50 pm at 4:50 pm |
  5. Nathan

    The true HATRED between Americans makes me sad

    June 1, 2012 04:52 pm at 4:52 pm |
  6. Mike

    Anyone who believes the economy of the nation is decided by a president, any president, policy to a large degree needs to learn more about what shapes economic growth. I'm pretty sure that President Obama cannot control the rising energy costs, which temper growth, or the credit crunch caused by the worse financial meltdown in recent history, which also prevents flow of capital and growth. And I'm certain that President Obama had nothing to do with the European crisis, which has a huge impact on global consumption, which impacts global economy and thus U.S. economy. A president can only do so much. Also, if we do play politics, let's keep in mind a couple of things – Congress blocked more Obama Administration measures that would have eased the situation than any of the measures that Republican members of congress combined actually proposed. Two, Republicans are very open in their mission, which isn't to help the nation dig out of this mess, but to get President Obama out of the white house. This sentiment was proven by the swift change in staff brought to us by the Tea Party – which promised jobs. Instead, they just wanted control, so they could continue to advance social, not economic policies, that their continuance cares about. So, stop complaining about the President and start thinking more broadly in the context of what is going out right in front of you. Evaluate the voting records of those you oppose or support. Don't take a news clip and make it a rhetoric worth fight about. Evaluate Governor Mitt Romney's promises to his state and how many he actually kept. Think. Consider opposing viewpoints and look for supporting facts. Don't complain so much. Do something productive – we need more fist-pumping and less finger pointing in this country. Once you do that, then make a statement and by God – go out an vote.

    June 1, 2012 04:52 pm at 4:52 pm |
  7. nolimits3333

    Romney committed Medicare fraud at Bain Capital.

    June 1, 2012 04:52 pm at 4:52 pm |
  8. BeverlyNC

    When the People finally get Romney to answer a substantive question on an issue, when they hear what his real views on Medicare, jobs, the middle class, the poor, education, and no regulations on any industry, and the promises he has made to corporate billonaires against the interest of the PEOPLE – he will take a great fall. When he has to actually have an intelligent discussion on the issues in the debates with President Obama, Romney will show everyone the non-leader, unqualified, lying fool he is and will ultimately be defeated in a landslide by President Obama. President Obama is the only REAL leader who has never stopped working for the jobs and the rights for ALL Americans. He is the ONLY leader who has presented JOBS, infrastructure and economic solutions which Republicans in Congress blocked ALL! Republicans in Congress have introduced ZERO jobs bills in 3 years but have introduced over 100 bills to take away the rights of workers, the rights of women, and even our right to vote. Republicans are so desperate they are already cheating and lying. Don't believe a word they say. So far nothing they have promised has been even attempted. They are in too much debt to corporations and billionaires to actually serve We the People who elected them. Time for ALL Republicans to go – enough of their lies, betrayal, and intentional destruction and blockage of our economic recovery.

    June 1, 2012 04:52 pm at 4:52 pm |
  9. Marcus

    John – cherrypicking facts regarding a situation is not equal to an honest analysis of said situation.

    June 1, 2012 04:52 pm at 4:52 pm |
  10. joe

    Can we just have the election tomorrow and be done with all this BS?

    June 1, 2012 04:53 pm at 4:53 pm |
  11. John

    Hello delusional Obama supporters. This is HIS recovery, or lack of it.
    Again, just in the last week or so:

    1.) Manufactoring is down
    2.) Pending home sales is down
    3.) Market PMI is down
    4.) Chicago PMI is down
    5.) Philly Index is down
    6.) Consumer Confidence is labeled as in 'severe economic discontent'
    7.) GDP revised down 7% from the first quarter
    8.) Last month's job numbers revised down 33,000

    Get this utter failure out of the White House NOW!

    June 1, 2012 04:54 pm at 4:54 pm |
  12. CNNuthin

    Why does no one see how corrupt Romney is? It is like living in the movie They Live, and only a few of us can see the horrid alien living under his skin. But you do not need special glasses. Just 20 minutes to look up his records. Lines his pockets at the expense of safety and jobs. Wipes all records before leaving office. The Big Dig Project. Tax increases. School budgets and teacher pay slashed. The man is out for himself and his friends. If you call Obama the food stamp president, wait until you can't even get food stamps and the economic crisis skyrockets and Mittens will say "There is a safety net for the very poor"

    June 1, 2012 04:54 pm at 4:54 pm |
  13. Like it is

    With all he has done for gays, even the "Log Cabin" Republicans should be 100% energized and turnout for the President.

    Increasing women to be a third of the Supreme Court for the 1st time ever and signing the fair pay act for women as his 1st bill should have every woman behind the President. And thatls without the GOPs War on Women and the Dems support for a woman`s right to make the difficult choice to have an abortion.

    June 1, 2012 04:54 pm at 4:54 pm |
  14. Joe B

    Joey B Poll says Obama 48 – Romney 43

    June 1, 2012 04:55 pm at 4:55 pm |
  15. Kevin

    To "B": I guess you didn't read the labor report today... MORE job loss. And, the down tick in unemployment the past few months was not because people went back to work, it was because people stopped looking for work. If you are not actively searching for a job, you are not counted as unemployed. The more people that are too discouraged to look, the lower the unemployment number goes.

    June 1, 2012 04:55 pm at 4:55 pm |
  16. Joi Gibson

    Count me one the President's ardent supporters!!

    OBAMA/BIDEN/FIRST LADY MICHELLE 2012!!!

    June 1, 2012 04:55 pm at 4:55 pm |
  17. Ben

    Obama has my vote because all Romney is is Bush version 2.0.

    June 1, 2012 04:55 pm at 4:55 pm |
  18. Anonymous

    IMO

    Obama is icon of : respect, tolerance, fairness, freedom.

    Romney is icon of : financially successful, smart, ambitious (sometimes portrayed as greed..could be good or bad)

    June 1, 2012 04:56 pm at 4:56 pm |
  19. Justin

    Yep... I remember when McCain was tied too. This will be a blowout for Obama.

    June 1, 2012 04:57 pm at 4:57 pm |
  20. NickAnast

    What happened in Boston yesterday was a staged act of bullying by the coward known as Mitt Rmoney. Apparently, Mitt has grown weary of being heckled by his own supporters (which happened in Pittsburgh and Philadelphia) and has decided to send his goons to heckle Obama surrogates.

    June 1, 2012 04:57 pm at 4:57 pm |
  21. anoel2005

    CNN: poll: Obama & Romney race tied. HAHAHAHA

    tHEY ARE NOT TIED WHEN IT COMES TO THE ECONOMY, WHICH IS THE ALL IMPORTANT ISSUE OF OUR TIMES.

    June 1, 2012 04:57 pm at 4:57 pm |
  22. larry

    Obama is done! Romney 2012!

    June 1, 2012 04:58 pm at 4:58 pm |
  23. winstonsmith

    Who is genuinely excited for Romney? I don't mean they hate Obama with all their hearts and are just planning to vote out of hatred and vengeance, I mean who actually LIKES Romney and thinks he's a genuine guy who really gives a d*mn?

    June 1, 2012 04:58 pm at 4:58 pm |
  24. scott

    Romney will will even thou people like Rags that are losers themselves seem to think different

    June 1, 2012 04:58 pm at 4:58 pm |
  25. Cary

    I would vote for John Edwards over a Mormon anyday! A fake liar of a mormon Romney

    June 1, 2012 04:58 pm at 4:58 pm |
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