June 10th, 2012
12:31 PM ET
11 years ago

Emanuel: Race will come down to 5 states

(CNN) - Chicago Mayor Rahm Emanuel, the first White House chief of staff in the Obama administration, says he expects the presidential race to be a "close election" in November.

"I think it's going to come down to a handful of states. ... It's five states, 500 precincts. That's what I believe," Emanuel said in an interview that aired Sunday on CNN's "Fareed Zakaria GPS."

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Emanuel didn't elaborate on the exact states he had in mind but emphasized the election would come down to which candidate could best appeal to major groups across those battlegrounds.

"Who is going to fight for who in that Oval Office?" Emanuel asked, pointing to differences in President Barack Obama's and presumptive GOP presidential nominee Mitt Romney's positions on the auto and financial industries and the housing crisis.

He said: "To the president, those are people holding onto their entire American dream, as they see it. And they're really different people with different experiences with different views about how to shape the future of this country. And I think that's going to be the fundamental core piece of what this election is about."

In the fight for the White House, a candidate needs to secure the magic number of 270 out of 538 electoral votes to win.

CNN estimates that based on states where Obama has a solid lead, he would have 247 votes, and in the same manner, Romney would have 206 votes from states in which he currently holds the lead.

According to CNN's electoral analysis, the remaining 85 votes are divided among 15 states listed as either tossups or leaning toward a candidate. The seven tossup states include New Hampshire, Virginia, Florida, Ohio, Iowa, Colorado and Nevada - while another four states lean toward Obama and four toward Romney.

Also see:

Axelrod weighs in on Obama's private sector comments

Romney video goes after Obama's comments on economy

Daniels, Walker want Romney to go bold

McCain: Obama responsible for leaks, Holder has no credibility

Watch Fareed Zakaria GPS Sundays at 10am and 1pm ET. For the latest from Fareed Zakaria GPS click here.

Filed under: 2012 • Rahm Emanuel • TV-Fareed Zakaria GPS
soundoff (15 Responses)
  1. Thomas

    I'm sorry to say , I hope Romney wins.

    Maybe it needs to become worse before it becomes better.

    We learned nothing from eight years of GW Bush.

    Romney , thats do it again !

    FLA , thank you Rick Scottt !

    June 10, 2012 12:49 pm at 12:49 pm |
  2. Severely Moderate

    Rmoney's job plan is to LAY OFF more firemen, more policemen, more teachers; INCREASE defense spending, and STOP Wall Street regulations.

    Must be a SEVERELY conservative job plan!

    June 10, 2012 12:59 pm at 12:59 pm |
  3. Pete

    Just be careful of Florida,if Rubio and Jeb Bush have their way it could be another theft much like it was done when Jebs brother ran for president against Kerry,remember the head of elections was questioned ,then resigned,votes thought lost were found showing Kerry actually won,but being he threw in the towel,thinking he was defeated it was never challenged in courts,that's why Floridas republicans are fighting for voters supression tactics,its being done by the governor and his minions state wide...

    June 10, 2012 01:00 pm at 1:00 pm |
  4. Claudia, Houston, Tx

    Democrats, white, black, hispanic, asian, indian, old and young STOP PAUL RYAN BY NOT VOTING ROMNEY.

    June 10, 2012 01:05 pm at 1:05 pm |
  5. Myviewis

    It will be a close election, mainly because people are realizing how out of touch Obama and Axelrod are with the reality that teachers, police and fire fighters are not private sector jobs but public sector jobs and that everyone in the unemployment line would have to become a teacher, police officer or fire fighter to get the jobs Obama and Axelrod are referring to. It still does not answer the question how helping hire more of these specialty, trained people in the public sector will help the private sector job seekers. Definitely Obama and his advisors are out of touch with reality.

    June 10, 2012 01:08 pm at 1:08 pm |
  6. njbchicago

    I'm not sorry to say that Romney will win! This country needs someone that can stand up to the mess we are in! This President can't do that and that's why Emanuel won't say unequivocally that Obama will win. He's no idiot. It's time the people of this country stood up and elected someone who will compromise once in a while and not blame just one party but both for the shape we're in and hold all accountable for getting results. Romney is that man.

    June 10, 2012 01:13 pm at 1:13 pm |
  7. Gurgyl

    Bain capital idiot destroys my nation-I do not want that idiot.

    June 10, 2012 01:18 pm at 1:18 pm |
  8. Singring And The Glass Guitar

    Romney leans so far right, he keeps falling off his seat.
    Its going to be fun watching him try to paddle back to the middle.

    June 10, 2012 01:25 pm at 1:25 pm |
  9. biologixco

    President Obama is a National HERO.
    Took down Bin Laden.
    Has Al Qaida on the run.
    Have Americans forgot the lessons of 9/11?
    The economy may be bad, but its an UGLY world out there...
    President Obama has been the rudder of our ship in the world.

    June 10, 2012 01:33 pm at 1:33 pm |
  10. Anna

    All the more reason we are need to be assured onlyUS citizens vote. Obama and his party are such hypocrites when it comes to voter id's. They don't think it's fair when voting, but if you want to see Michelle at a book signing you have to have a photo id and give your ss#.

    June 10, 2012 01:52 pm at 1:52 pm |
  11. Mike in Texas


    It is sad that it may come down to that. We may have to have a Republican controlled DC to show those who vote for Republicans how bad their policies are. However, there will still be dense uneducated people who won't come to grasp with reality and still vote for the Republican Party.

    June 10, 2012 01:53 pm at 1:53 pm |
  12. Paul iN Virginia

    OBAMA is clearly out of touch with the AMERICAN people, we should of VOTED for HILLARY and we wouldnt be in this mess. OBAMA is clearly in way over his head, he came into this thing with no experience in running a lemonade stand no less than running the largest ECONOMY in the WORLD.....

    June 10, 2012 02:02 pm at 2:02 pm |
  13. jacob

    Let Americans all pray together so that Obama can lose the election. thank you.

    June 10, 2012 02:19 pm at 2:19 pm |
  14. Irma in North Carolina

    Thomas you need to post your comment on fox news they would love to have you over there. It would really be terrible if Mitt gets in the white house, what would the older people, the poor and the middle class people do. Lets hope the american people see through this flip flooper.

    June 10, 2012 02:27 pm at 2:27 pm |
  15. Milton K. Wiah

    Mr. Thomas do not be sorry for what you believe in. One important thing in this election is to elect someone who has
    specific programs to better the lives of the ordinary Americans. I have not heard a single line from Romney to
    suggest what he is going to do if elected. Just to remove Obama is not what the American people want to hear.
    They want to hear what Mr. Romney has to offer which will be different from the Obama's.
    Not many people share your opinion. Of course if you are a Republican, you want to man to win. George Bush
    ruled for eight years despite......Romney can be president with his Bain Capital experience....As a Governor he......
    It is not a shame to be one time president, some many before him served one term. Life goes after that.

    June 10, 2012 02:39 pm at 2:39 pm |