Texas Senate runoff expected to be close
July 31st, 2012
07:00 AM ET
11 years ago

Texas Senate runoff expected to be close

(CNN) – In an election year with notable Senate primary upsets, Texas may well be the next state with a narrative ending in victory for a conservative grassroots underdog.

Voters head to the polls Tuesday to choose between Lt. Gov David Dewhurst, Gov. Rick Perry's number two for nearly a decade, and Ted Cruz, a former solicitor general making his first run for office.

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Heading into Election Day, the Texas political scene is buzzing over some polls showing Cruz, a tea party favorite, with an advantage over the more widely-known Dewhurst. However, Dewhurst's campaign points to an internal poll that indicates their candidate has a narrow margin over Cruz.

Both campaigns say they feel confident about the early voting turnout, with Cruz's team urging one final push.

"All indications are that our voters are excited and encouraged, but now's not the time to let up. We need every conservative across the state who hasn't voted to show up at the polls tomorrow," said James Bernsen, a spokesman for Cruz.

Dewhurst was the frontrunner-with Cruz not too far behind- heading into the state's May primary, but the lieutenant governor failed to cross the 50% threshold needed to clinch the nomination, forcing the race into a runoff.

The Texas summer simmered with the heated contest held to replace retiring Sen. Kay Bailey Hutchison. The race quickly turned negative, with both campaigns releasing a steady stream of attack ads and the two candidates exchanging jabs in a fiery debate last month.

Cruz's campaign touts high-profile endorsements, a few of whom recently showed up for the candidate in the Lone Star State. Former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin, South Carolina Sen. Jim DeMint, and 2012 GOP presidential contender Rick Santorum all headlined events for Cruz this weekend.

At a Houston rally on Friday, Palin and DeMint especially fired up the crowd with anti-establishment, anti-Washington undertones, similar refrains from those heard during the midterm elections two years ago.

"2010 was just a step in that long march towards the real reform that we need," Palin said. "Texas will you keep fighting? Will you keep marching for the real reform that we need in Washington?"

While Dewhurst has spent more than three times the amount of his opponent this cycle, Cruz has been bolstered by millions in outside spending from national groups like FreedomWorks, Club for Growth and Senate Conservatives Fund.

Dewhurst's campaign, meanwhile, highlights his support from local conservative leaders and organizations, not national groups. In a television ad released mid July, Dewhurst's team capitalized on anti-D.C. fever and turned it back against his opponent.

"(Cruz) is a lawyer trained in Washington. Half the money supporting Cruz comes from Washington," the ad's narrator said, later adding: "Lawyer Ted Cruz in corrupt Washington? He'd fit right in."

Gov. Perry has also been vocal in defending Dewhurst. Some political analysts view the race as a referendum on Perry, who critics accuse of lacking conservative credentials–a noteworthy twist given that the Texas governor entered the 2012 presidential race last year under the guise of being the more conservative option over Mitt Romney.

Whoever wins Tuesday's contest will likely win the Senate seat in November. Political handicappers Charlie Cook and Stuart Rothenberg both rate the reliably red state as safe for Republicans.

Filed under: 2012 • Texas
soundoff (10 Responses)
  1. Wire Palladin, S. F.

    Anything is possible in Texas, they elected Perry didn't they?

    July 31, 2012 07:33 am at 7:33 am |
  2. Nick

    I'm just glad to see they have run-offs in Texas. However, it would still be an improvement to switch to what Schwarznegger brought California, all candidates of all parties on same primary ballot with top two vote getters running-off, even if they are in the same party.

    July 31, 2012 07:50 am at 7:50 am |
  3. Al-NY,NY

    who cares? This third world country-state is knuckle-dragging, mouth-breathing, red-meat central for the GOP.

    July 31, 2012 08:11 am at 8:11 am |

    Their both crooks and Texas is a foreign country isn't it ,or should be !!!

    July 31, 2012 08:16 am at 8:16 am |
  5. The Real Tom Paine

    Yep, its a battle of wits between unarmed opponants. Ordinarilly, it would be amusing to see which extremist clown the GOP would pick, but, as usual, the conservatives will only tell you what they are against, rather than what they are for or what they plan to do. No optimism, not a trace of Reagan, only the Apocolypse. Its sad and pathetic to see them reduced to a punchline as opposed to a governing strategy.

    July 31, 2012 08:42 am at 8:42 am |
  6. Rudy NYC

    This race is a microcosm of the divisive turmoil that is raging through the Republican party.

    July 31, 2012 09:07 am at 9:07 am |
  7. Mike Texoma

    I expect Texas has had just about all it wants of the Perry administration, including Dewhurst. So, if the Republicans field an even more radical radical than Dewhurst for Senate, the Democrat could have a shot. The Senate races are statewide, not district by gerymandered district.

    July 31, 2012 09:22 am at 9:22 am |
  8. v_mag

    I wonder how far to the right Texas will lean before it self-corrects? Or self-deports to an independent nation? Or, self-destructs?

    July 31, 2012 09:29 am at 9:29 am |
  9. Puddin

    I wouldn't vote for either of them because of their ads repeated, it seems, every few minutes on our TV Channels. Dewhurst, apparently, is well-funded, and began his ads ages ago. Cruz began his ads just recently, but they, too, air every few minutes. My son has a remote, as do I, and we started a game to see who could beat whom to the mute button. What a waste of money for these two. One can only stomach just so many of these political ads. Then t's a "turn-off" literally.

    July 31, 2012 09:31 am at 9:31 am |
  10. Draka

    Both candidates have fallen all over themselves to out label each other as conservatives in their commercials . How about letting me decide who is most conservative thank you !

    July 31, 2012 09:38 am at 9:38 am |