August 9th, 2012
04:00 PM ET
10 years ago

CNN Poll: Obama holds 7-point lead over Romney

Washington (CNN) - Mitt Romney's unfavorable rating is up, most Americans think the Republican presidential challenger favors the rich, and it appears the number of people who believe that the economy will not get better if Romney is elected has edged up slightly, according to a new national poll.

But a CNN/ORC International survey released Thursday also indicates that Romney's supporters are increasingly getting behind the presumptive GOP nominee.

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It all adds up to a seven point advantage for President Barack Obama over the former Massachusetts governor, with 52% of registered voters questioned in the survey saying that they'd vote to re-elect the president and 45% backing Romney.

"Among independent voters, the poll indicates President Obama has a 53%-42% lead," CNN Polling Director Keating Holland said. "The president holds a nine point advantage among women voters and a smaller six point edge among men."

The good news for Romney: Four months after he wrapped up the race for the GOP nomination, 56% of Romney voters say they strongly support him, up from 47% in May. Sixty-one percent of Obama voters say they strongly support the president.

Since the start of the general election in April, the Obama campaign and Democratic groups have launched attacks on the presumptive Republican nominee, and the survey indicates that they appear to be working.

While Romney's favorable rating has remained steady (47% now compared to 48% in July), his unfavorable rating has jumped from 42% last month to 48% now. The president's 56%-42% favorable-unfavorable rating now is little changed from July.

Among independents, the poll indicates Romney's image has taken a beating. In May, only 40% of independents had an unfavorable view of Romney. Now, 52% of independents have a negative view of him.

Other findings: Sixty-four percent of all Americans, and 68% of independents, think Romney favors the rich over the middle class. And 63% of the public thinks Romney should release more tax returns than he has already made public, a figure which rises to 67% among independents.

"These are all signs that a summer of negative campaigning on the part of the Democrats seems to be taking its toll on the presumptive GOP nominee," says Holland.

Most significantly, it appears that Romney's image as a can-do guy on the economy may have also been hurt. In May, 50% of all Americans said that the economy would get better if Romney were elected. That's now down to 45%, two points below Obama's number. It's likely that all of this is the result of the Democrats' efforts to paint Romney in an unflattering light, but so far Obama has avoided any blowback from that strategy, as evidenced by no rise in his unfavorable rating.

Who do Americans think will win the election?

Regardless of which candidate they support, 63% think Obama will win re-election, with one third saying Romney will win.

"That may not translate directly into votes, but it is worth noting that in August of previous election years, the public accurately predicted the winner in 1996, 2000 and 2008, and in 2004 George W. Bush and John Kerry were tied," adds Holland.

Control of Congress is also up for grabs in November. According to the survey, 45% say the country would be better off if Congress were controlled by Democrats, with 39% saying things would be better if the GOP ran Capitol Hill.

The CNN poll was conducted by ORC International Tuesday and Wednesday (August 7-8), with 1,010 adults nationwide, including 911 registered voters, questioned by telephone. The survey's overall sampling error is plus or minus three percentage points.

CNN Political Editor Paul Steinhauser contributed to this report

- Check out the CNN Electoral Map and Calculator and game out your own strategy for November.

Filed under: 2012 • CNN/ORC poll • Mitt Romney • President Obama
soundoff (430 Responses)
  1. SirQL8

    Hate to say it, but short of a major Obama flub, this is gonna be the largest margin of victory ever. Obamaslide.

    August 9, 2012 05:05 pm at 5:05 pm |

    VERY good news! Go Obama! It would be absolute disaster on many levels if Mitt Romney was elected President. Obama is doing a far greater job than people give him credit for and he has my full support.

    August 9, 2012 05:05 pm at 5:05 pm |
  3. Brian

    Romney keeps talking about "jobs." Maybe he should get at job. Then he could afford to pay his ten years of back taxes.

    August 9, 2012 05:05 pm at 5:05 pm |
  4. Twins1994

    The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Thursday shows Mitt Romney attracting support from 47% of voters nationwide, while President Obama earns the vote from 43%. Four percent (4%) prefer some other candidate, and five percent (5%) are undecided.

    August 9, 2012 05:05 pm at 5:05 pm |
  5. Rob

    Of course it is! He is a SHOO IN! TO LOSE!

    August 9, 2012 05:06 pm at 5:06 pm |
  6. Sametestsameresults

    In my state MN we have had great voter turn out year after year infact usually number one in the nation. We have same day registration in which a water bill and a registered neighbor voter vouching for you will get you a ballot. The GOP and Tea Party (yes the same folks that handed the 2000 election over to a partisan judge) want everyone to believe their is voter fraud, yet all the data gather is contrary to this being an issue at all. With the percentage of voter fraud hanging out in the .001% category that percentage has never changed an election. So you have to ask WHY they want to have photo ID and want to PAY for it through the government. (which of course is not funded). The reason might be answered by asking yourself WHO doesn't need or have a current ID in our society. 1. Retired old people do not need ID, the often do not drive any more and are not required anymore to prove who they are. 2. Young college age kids and 1st time voters, these are the folks who move alot, don't yet understand how to find polling places have too much going on in their lives to pay attention till the last day or so before elections. 3. handicapped persons who cannot drive rarely need a license or state ID to be updated and current. Tell me what party these hypothetical groups are going to vote for? Then look at what party has introduced these bills all over the country and it all adds up. Go Obama!!

    August 9, 2012 05:06 pm at 5:06 pm |
  7. Calcommuter

    When Skippy W Bush was campaigning, most of the country didnt know who this guy was except he was the ex President's son and a Texas governor. The headlines were about how much money was in his campaign war chest, not his accomplishments or worthiness to lead. It was a record amount at the time. SO, a little known governor with ties to oil and Saudi Arabia, and who couldn't spell CAT if you spotted him the C and the T is elected because he had money to campaign. There's a lesson to be learned here people. Romney hasn't shown us anything except he has money and wants he and his rich friends to keep it. And Jeb Bush is thinking about 2016. Be afraid, be very afraid..

    August 9, 2012 05:06 pm at 5:06 pm |
  8. Ray

    Why is this the top news and was so important it sent a push message to my iPhone? Can the lib media be any more biased, by giving free advertising to their guy about a completely biased poll? And CNN wonders why they've lost's why. Only poll that counts is in Nov. Most folks I talk with that voted for Obama before claim they were duped and won't fall for it again. Ask yourself if you are better off now than 4 years ago. After my wife's job loss which took almost a year to get a new job for less money, house devaluation, etc... I can say we're not.

    August 9, 2012 05:06 pm at 5:06 pm |
  9. bluedogboy

    Commonwealth Care (aka Romneycare) is his greatest legislative achievement and he can't run on it. In fact, he is forced to run away from it. Can't wait for the first debate when Obama thanks him for it.

    August 9, 2012 05:06 pm at 5:06 pm |
  10. Bushy Walrus

    Any economic angst we are experienceing right now is squarely on the shoulders of the neo-cons and tea baggers. The best ideas that could really work are just stonewalled by these people for one resaon andone resaon only. Make Obama look bad. Well, its backfired on them. you people need to get the GOP back to some semblance of order and then put forth a candidate for President. Mittens is a dead fish flip-flopping on the beach in the hot sun. Put him out of his misery already! Or, just show his tax returns....same difference.

    August 9, 2012 05:06 pm at 5:06 pm |
  11. Name Adetunji Tobi

    I think president obama is doing well for now and it worth recommendation ,if given another chance he could do more better

    August 9, 2012 05:07 pm at 5:07 pm |
  12. Kicker

    Can we just not have a President? Seriously. I think it might be better for everyone.

    August 9, 2012 05:07 pm at 5:07 pm |
  13. dd

    basicly....we the american people are SCREWED...we have a corrupt,wasteful,agenda filled gov't that cares little for's all about their personnal political gains,their page in history books,power hungry thugs in suits...that will lie,cheat,and steal to get what they want....sadly i think it's too late to stop the train wreck.

    August 9, 2012 05:07 pm at 5:07 pm |
  14. Honos

    IThis is all something that has been forthcoming. Both my wife and I agree that there must be some sort of sabotuer in the GOP. Between the Palin/McCain and the Romney, I mean. McCain we understood, Palin we don't hate, but that was a circus. Then to put up some rich guy who stashes money in other countries, who blatantly builds an elevator in his garage for his many cars, and who flaunts his prize winning horses at the olympics. What the heck?!? All while my friends all don't have jobs because of the rich bankers, does the GOP really float that way? I mean no way will I ever vote democratic while they have the wacky stances either. So no GOP thanks, they will win by default because neither of us and many others mind you, will be voting for any party at all. The more this all comes to a boil, the more elections seem rigged afterall and we are all just ruled by lords and corporations. Thanks for making us feel like our freedom is already gone, no really, thanks. And yes we do blame the rich. you're the ones with the money and power.

    August 9, 2012 05:07 pm at 5:07 pm |
  15. SEA12

    So the Obama campaign's efforts to smear Romney in every possible way have worked. Big surprise. There's still something out there called "your record" Mr. President, and that's what we'll be voting on in November. Thanks
    for all the "hope and change" . . . you sure talk a big line, but you walk the same walk as everyone else. The biggest surprise is that this foolish public buys all the crap coming from Team Obama, Harry Reid, and other liars.

    August 9, 2012 05:07 pm at 5:07 pm |
  16. Bootstomper

    Did you see the size of his wife's gold watch while she was watching her horse at the Olympics? They should just retire to there San Diego beach house and watch Donnie and Marie.

    August 9, 2012 05:07 pm at 5:07 pm |
  17. DAVID

    HAY! Do all you conservitive just invent facts? i read what you say and it bores me like wall street "name me one positive thing that Obama did for wall street! dddddddaaaaaaaaaaa! 7,000 to almost 13,000 points. doubling in medicare cost in 2014! thats pretty cheap being as this is going to be covering ALL americans in 2014. your going to loose winny babies and this democrat of 62 years old can't stop smiling! the jig is up on your BS ideology that has failed big time!

    August 9, 2012 05:08 pm at 5:08 pm |
  18. wildernessyes

    Obama has my vote. A good honest man with America's future firmly in focus. Romney does not want everyone to have health care, does not want the rich to pay their fair share, does not want to raise the minimum wage, does not want women to manage their own healthcare, does not give a hoot about our environment, and does not want to be honest and open with the American people.

    He is toast.

    August 9, 2012 05:08 pm at 5:08 pm |
  19. JC

    Because every time he talks his tone makes everything sound so desperate and emotional. and if not that then it sounds condescending....and I like him. Tell him to Call Kevin Daley......Romney Handlers: Check out Kevins "client list" handlers....please

    August 9, 2012 05:08 pm at 5:08 pm |
  20. who cares just drink

    You think it matters either way who gets elected? This country was bought and sold long ago- We live in a plutocracy where the wealthy elite give us JUST enough to keep us complacent. Democracy is just an illusion, and freedom is just a word.

    August 9, 2012 05:08 pm at 5:08 pm |
  21. patch vader

    the key words are "telephone survey" Both of my sons are successafull and in their thirties-neither one has a land line- both exclusively use cell phones. How does that skew the demographic of responders?

    August 9, 2012 05:08 pm at 5:08 pm |
  22. moe smith

    "Most Americans think the GOP presidential challenger favors the rich, and the public no longer believes the economy will get better if he is elected, according to a new national poll"

    Most Americans would be 100% correct in that belief. Romney only favors the rich (and the lobbyists who pull his puppet strings) and the economy wont get better with him at the helm. Lobbyists dont want the economy better. they want it molded how it best suits them. ie: gov't contractors paying off Jr to keep the war efforts going long after he was out of Office so they continued to make money.

    August 9, 2012 05:08 pm at 5:08 pm |
  23. betterdays

    Damage was already done on 9/11. It's been shaky since then. Obama's not helping at all. Doesn't matter who wins in November. Twenty years from now, the whole country will look like Haiti. Maybe ten years.

    August 9, 2012 05:08 pm at 5:08 pm |
  24. Luke,AZ

    Gov. Romney is NOT presidential material, plain and simple. The only people salivating for Gov. Romney is the 1%. President Obama deserves 4 more years just for killing Osama bin Laden during his administration.

    August 9, 2012 05:09 pm at 5:09 pm |
  25. Jake

    Only with CNN. The communist news network. Congratulations Wolf and gang

    August 9, 2012 05:09 pm at 5:09 pm |
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