North Carolina moves in CNN Electoral Map
August 27th, 2012
06:28 PM ET
10 years ago

North Carolina moves in CNN Electoral Map

(CNN) - CNN Monday turned the important battleground state of North Carolina from "lean Romney" to true "toss up" on its Electoral Map, following the release of a new CNN/Time Magazine/ORC International poll that indicated the race for the state's 15 electoral votes was a dead heat.

The move by CNN comes one week before the Democratic convention kicks off in Charlotte, North Carolina.

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The poll, released earlier on Monday, indicates it's all knotted up in the Tar Heel state, with 48% of likely voters supporting Republican challenger Mitt Romney and 47% backing President Barack Obama.

Other polls from other organizations conducted earlier this summer also indicated a close contest in North Carolina.

"It's hard to imagine the perfect storm that helped then Sen. Obama narrowly carry the state in 2008. But at the moment the polling shows a tossup, and both campaigns say their numbers are in the same ballpark as our survey," says CNN Chief National Correspondent John King. "That, plus all the attention Democrats are about to give the state, gives us ample reason to move North Carolina to tossup."

"It's a must win for Romney, and even top Obama aides privately say it is a lot harder to see it going blue this time. But Romney can't take it for granted and the poll backs up what we see in the recent ad wars in North Carolina: It's a tight battleground," adds King.

Obama was the first Democrat to carry the state in a presidential election since 1976.

North Carolina now becomes the ninth state CNN considers a true toss up, joining Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Nevada, New Hampshire, Ohio, Virginia and Wisconsin. CNN considers Michigan, New Mexico, and Pennsylvania as states that lean towards Obama, with Arizona, Indiana, and Missouri as states that lean towards Romney.

With North Carolina's move to true "toss up," the CNN Electoral Map now suggests Obama leading in states with a combined 237 electoral votes, Romney ahead in states with a combined 191 electoral votes, and states with 110 electoral votes are up for grabs. Two-hundred and seventy electoral votes are needed with win the White House.

- CNN's Political Editor Paul Steinhauser contributed to this report.

soundoff (445 Responses)
  1. Megan

    Sasha, how could any one who supports the human ra ce, support someone who thinks it is ok to vacuum ba bies out of the wo mb.

    August 27, 2012 10:19 pm at 10:19 pm |
  2. bobby frank

    I bet alot of Republican women get in that voting booth and show Romney/Ryan that they don't buy what they are trying to force down their throats! All Women deserve their reproductive freedom ...period.

    August 27, 2012 10:19 pm at 10:19 pm |
  3. They Pit You Against Eachother

    If you truly, deep down in your heart, believe in either presidential candidate or either political party, I pitty you. You are sheep, believing blindly in anything that supports your predetermined opinions and refusing to actually ponder anything that appears to be opposes it.

    August 27, 2012 10:20 pm at 10:20 pm |
  4. Bob

    As the campaign goes on it is steadily becoming more and more obvious that voters will have to chose between two vastly different visions for the future of this country. Romney and Ryan are telling people that giving the rich more tax breaks and further deregulating their businesses will lead to wealth and prosperity for all. If this sounds familiar it's because it's the same mantra that Reagan and the Bushes chanted. Help the rich and we will all be better off. Obama would like to shut the door on tax breaks for the rich and corporate subsidies and spread the national wealth around a little more, maybe even let everyone have health care for a change. He would even like to see education get better and be affordable for all. The choice couldn't be much clearer. Under Reagan the rich prospered while earning for workers stagnated, then declined. The same thing happened under Bush Jr. Reagan left a record national debt for Clinton to deal with. Bush set yet another one and left an economic disaster for Obama to deal with. Since then the Republicans in Congress have refused to pass any legislation that helps workers or the poor. Every piece of legislation they've introduced would benefit the rich at the expense of the poor. Meanwhile, the rich continue to watch their portfolios grow and the poor continue to watch their earnings and benefits shrink. Romney and Ryan are making it quite clear that they want more of same. Obama wants a little bit of the national wealth to get into everyone's hands, even the ones who are unable to work or take care of themselves. So this fall voters must decide if they want America to be a land of exceptional opportunities for the rich and a desperate struggle for survival for those who must work for a living, or a land of opportunity for everyone. As of the latest government figures there weren't really all that many rich people, (around five percent of the population) but over fifty percent of American households didn't earn enough to make ends meet and qualified for federal assistance. It will be interesting to see what kind of future the voters choose this fall.

    August 27, 2012 10:21 pm at 10:21 pm |
  5. Charlotte, North Carolina

    Let's go Romney. I cannot wait until the DNC comes and leaves. I mean DA****

    August 27, 2012 10:21 pm at 10:21 pm |
  6. Patrick

    I'm sorry for being so crass....but you know I go through and read these comments and something is painfully clear...The division between Obama supports and Romney supporters isn't world views, isn't necessarily social class, isn't race or all those other things you might assume are easily applicable. The defiing attribute seems to be IQ level/and how well informed people are. (There was even a collegiate study concerning FOX news watchers that supports this. FOX News watchers were the worst informed Americans, google it.)

    Seems as if Romney supporters just accept what Rush Limbaugh, Romney, FOX news, etc.. say as fact. And when someone begins to question what they believe to be truth they just point fingers and say "evil doers". It's sad really, because most of the people that are defending and supporting Romney are the same ones that he will rape and pilfer if he ever got elected. It's kinda like a dog wagging his tail and licking his veterinarian right before he is euthanized. There is nothing more painful than listening to the rants of those with really strong opinions based on very limited information/facts.

    Please Romney supporters, stop trusting everything you hear. Do you research, educate yourself before you vote.

    August 27, 2012 10:21 pm at 10:21 pm |
  7. imvotingforobama

    I'm voting for Obama, but no matter who wins I will be having a great time. If Obama wins then I can laugh at all the racist GOP who will have to deal with having a black man in the WHITE house for 4 more years. If Romney wins then I will laugh at all the racist GOP who lives will be miserable at the end of four years of a Romney presidency.

    August 27, 2012 10:23 pm at 10:23 pm |
  8. tammy

    Im a women and I vote for Romney

    August 27, 2012 10:24 pm at 10:24 pm |
  9. Kathleen White

    I want to see more red turning yellow then blue! Romney will help the 1% but the rest of us are screwed... Looking at the shady details of his tax plan reveals my family will pay almost $2,000 more in federal income tax, while a typical CEO will get a PERSONAL tax break of over $80,000. The only job he'll create with that sum is perhaps someone to garden his estate, as assistant for his spoiled wife who may just refer to all of us as "you people".... Clearly we are nothing more than pawns to the Romney/Ryan ticket. Also, I prefer to decide what I will do with my body and ALL rape is "forcible" ....

    August 27, 2012 10:25 pm at 10:25 pm |
  10. alfonds

    If I were President Obama, I would be scared that North Carolina is going Romnieeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeee. I wonder if the first lady Ann Romney will re-decorate the White House. She probably will take all the plants out of the Garden first and re-plant new vegetables.

    August 27, 2012 10:25 pm at 10:25 pm |
  11. Secession

    Just looking at that map is depressing. The red states line up so well with under-educated, red neck, neanderthals it is frightening. I wish they would just reapeat 1860 and secede. Please, go away and leave us alone. We don't want your bigotry and we don't want your cheap white trash

    August 27, 2012 10:25 pm at 10:25 pm |
  12. tammy

    im a women and i vote for Romney!

    August 27, 2012 10:25 pm at 10:25 pm |
  13. packerfans

    Obama was not voter good in four year ago but Hillary Clintion order her voters support to Obama was helped from her to beat Mccain. Now this time Obama will not win on November. Jfk President s daughter say Obama ,He is lair and worse!! Do not vote for Obama claim king above the Law and support same Marraige against Federal Law. We don't vote king or Babylon America !!! We vote President Untied States with vow the Law and man &wife peroid!!

    August 27, 2012 10:26 pm at 10:26 pm |
  14. James

    Romney has hitched his wagon to a tea-partier and there is no way moderates, independents, women and minorities are going to buy into that type of extremism.

    August 27, 2012 10:26 pm at 10:26 pm |
  15. steve

    economy economy economy!
    that's all that matters!

    August 27, 2012 10:28 pm at 10:28 pm |
  16. C-Dub

    Anyone find a paradox that the states with the highest unemployment will vote Obama and the states with the lowest unemplyment will vote Romney?

    August 27, 2012 10:29 pm at 10:29 pm |
  17. John P. Tarver

    As the disaster called Obama slowly fades into the sunset.

    August 27, 2012 10:31 pm at 10:31 pm |
  18. bro

    cause all the hype is on the RNC,wait till the DNC and the tide will turn big time for Pres Obama

    August 27, 2012 10:31 pm at 10:31 pm |
  19. Because Whatever

    For the love of America, will politicians quit ripping each other's throats out and get something done? What the hell does it matter if they're Republican or Democrat they're American. As long as we don't have a super-facist or super-socialist I'm okay; just get us out of this mess. Both sides much rather would see the other side fail than for America is succeed and the way I see it both have screwed people over pretty bad in times past, but obviously Obama hasn't been a good president. I want Romney to win not because I like him or all of his views (both sides have their merits and mistakes) but because Obama has done a bad job in the presidency. Romney really screwed people over when he outsourced jobs as a business decision, but plenty of great presidents have made massive business errors. I'm not sayin,"Romeny will be an FDR and a JFK." but I think he won't be as bad as Obama has been.

    August 27, 2012 10:32 pm at 10:32 pm |
  20. Gail

    pro-choice HEALTH REASONS!!! Medication side affects Get smart Repubs. It wiill save sanity and lots of monry in the long run.

    August 27, 2012 10:32 pm at 10:32 pm |
  21. Grace

    @ Randy...just what did you mean by black democratic politicians...future black..etc etc..shame shame

    Romney/Ryan win big in 2012!!! Socialist liberal democrats losing momentum, bad news for black democratic politicians in the future as future black politicians will have the stigma of a failed disastrous Obama administration to deal with.
    August 27, 2012 07:35 pm at 7:35 pm |

    August 27, 2012 10:35 pm at 10:35 pm |
  22. abciv

    Luckily most people will realize the economy will trump whether we get to pay for a woman's birth control pills or not. 15 Trillion $ cannot be allowed to increase. Romney 2012.

    August 27, 2012 10:35 pm at 10:35 pm |
  23. Deedra

    Female democrats for Romney 2012 !!!!

    August 27, 2012 10:36 pm at 10:36 pm |
  24. kevintruth

    Really,obama tight in N.C. who did they poll his twitter account. CNN puts the story and company owner on that says he can prove 70% of Obama twitter accounts are fake.wait until the democratic men are exposed supporting abortion to keep poor blacks from being born. The tapes are there. keep your powder dry Republicans .It is going to be fun exposing rich white proabortion white men. Men shouldn't be involved in women reproduction decisions . especially if they are financing support to keep poor from procreating.

    August 27, 2012 10:37 pm at 10:37 pm |
  25. John

    Romney and the GOP are sinking. They only have the white male base and the 1%. They do not care about anyone else and have declared war on women. The GOP are no longer a national party.They re being run by the right wing crazies who are destroying all that America once stood for. The GOP have lost their way.....

    August 27, 2012 10:37 pm at 10:37 pm |
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