Poll: Obama tops Romney by nearly 2 to 1 in N.Y.
September 13th, 2012
10:34 AM ET
10 years ago

Poll: Obama tops Romney by nearly 2 to 1 in N.Y.

(CNN) - No surprise here!

In the battle for the White House, New York remains dark blue.

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According to a new Quinnipiac University poll, 62% of Empire State likely voters say they're backing President Barack Obama, with 34% supporting Republican nominee Mitt Romney.

The survey, released Thursday, indicates the president leads Romney by 35 points among women and by 20 points among men. Obama tops the former Massachusetts governor by 19 points among independent voters.

"The only reason President Barack Obama or Gov. Mitt Romney will come to New York is to raise money. Unless something unforeseen happens, the poll numbers say it's an Obama blow-out," said Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. "Besides his usual close to unanimous vote in the black community, Obama also carries the white vote in New York. Men like him a lot; women like him even more."

President Ronald Reagan's victory in New York in 1984 was the last time a Republican carried the state in a presidential election. Obama won 63% of the vote in New York in his 2008 victory over Sen. John McCain.

Twenty-nine electoral votes are at stake in New York.

The poll indicates that the state's U.S. Senate contest could also be a landslide for the Democrats. According to the survey, incumbent Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand leads GOP challenger Wendy Long 64%-27% among likely voters.

The Quinnipiac University poll was conducted September 4-9 (during and after the Democratic convention), with 1,486 likely voters in New York questioned by telephone. The survey's overall sampling error is plus or minus 2.5 percentage points.

CNN Political Editor Paul Steinhauser contributed to this report

Filed under: 2012 • Mitt Romney • Polls • President Obama
soundoff (57 Responses)
  1. S.B. Stein E.B. NJ

    If I recall correctly, the 1984 election had every state go for Reagan except for Minn. The question for me is about the different groups that were polled in the NY survey; were those questions asked of the same groups in other states? How much do these other groups in different states match their counterparts in NY?

    September 13, 2012 10:42 am at 10:42 am |

    OBAMA 2012! A man with a good mind and heart!

    September 13, 2012 10:46 am at 10:46 am |
  3. Wake up People!

    While I'm happy that President Obama is up in the polls, am I the only one that is SICK of them? My goodness, they poll on a daily basis and about everything and nothing. The only poll that counts will be Nov. 6.

    September 13, 2012 10:48 am at 10:48 am |
  4. BLKMANinAmerica

    President Obama all the way in 2012!

    September 13, 2012 10:54 am at 10:54 am |
  5. Al-NY,NY

    We NY'ers know what we are talking about....Texas, AL, SC, etc...not so much

    September 13, 2012 10:58 am at 10:58 am |
  6. Boo

    I love New York!

    September 13, 2012 11:02 am at 11:02 am |
  7. Listening

    Like it matters. The election is over. We have a president that has never made a mistake. Not even one. I wish everyone could see how perfect he is. Can't wait till he eliminates all conservatives in congress. They are the cancer to america. Why should Dems ever compromise when they are right everytime? The media gets it. The rest need to jump on the bandwagon and follow suit.

    September 13, 2012 11:06 am at 11:06 am |
  8. gt

    wow...i cant believe a democrat is leading in new york....

    September 13, 2012 11:06 am at 11:06 am |
  9. helen

    Um - This is definitely not news. But it is an attempt by CNN to generate "insecurity" among GOP voters nationwide. NYers typically voter for losers .. see Spitzer.. Cuomo 1 and 2.. some might even argue Pataki. NY will of course go for Obama but as NY goes so goes the opposite in the rest of the country. You are also not reporting the huge lead Romney has among independents.

    September 13, 2012 11:08 am at 11:08 am |
  10. eroteme

    This is understandable. After all, he is running against a murderer and felon, or so Democrats have claimed, among other things.

    September 13, 2012 11:11 am at 11:11 am |
  11. Berhane G/yesus

    I hope that you will be a winner. I think you score more points than Mr Romney.

    September 13, 2012 11:12 am at 11:12 am |
  12. Padraig

    This is nothing new. New York state has been traditionally a Democratic state with the exception of when Ronald Reagan was president. This is not news.

    September 13, 2012 11:12 am at 11:12 am |
  13. helen

    I wonder who they are polling? I don't know ONE Democrat who is voting for Obama again, that includes my elderly mother who is a lifelong Dem. She is voting for Romney. She is what pollsters call a "1" voter meaning the Dems can always count on her coming out to vote. They have not polled her.

    September 13, 2012 11:12 am at 11:12 am |
  14. Woman In California

    This is great news. I think I'll take my Christmas vacation in NY.

    Obama/Biden 2012

    September 13, 2012 11:13 am at 11:13 am |
  15. GI Joe

    25 days to early voting.

    Romney is a knee-jerk reactionary.

    Obama/Biden 2012 for a level-headed steacy approach in a volatile world.

    September 13, 2012 11:14 am at 11:14 am |
  16. the Situation

    Like this is a surprise! Repubs haven't carried NY since 1984 and won't carry this state for a long time.

    September 13, 2012 11:14 am at 11:14 am |
  17. Romney/Ryan = Bought & Paid For All Along


    We NY'ers know what we are talking about....Texas, AL, SC, etc...not so much
    Sadly, I'm a Texan and agree 100%.

    September 13, 2012 11:15 am at 11:15 am |
  18. Anonymous

    ashamed to be a new yorker

    September 13, 2012 11:15 am at 11:15 am |
  19. The Real Tom Paine


    Everyone kones that NEw York is a cess pool. NEw York City is the crime capital of the world
    I'm sure Rudy Giuliani and Michael Bloomberg would appreciate your imput. The reason that NY has gone blue is that the GOP here lurched so far to the Right here, they made themselves unpalatable to even lifelong Republicans. The NY GOP used to be the bridge people used to span ideological divide, but the GOP strapped dynamite to themselves and destroyed one of the strongest state party organizations in the country. What is left of the party controls the state Senate, and with Andrew Cuomo as Governor, the GOP has actually learned to work with the Democrats, and we are producing real jobs with real wages.

    September 13, 2012 11:18 am at 11:18 am |
  20. ShawnDH

    Romney is toast. He's a terrible, TERRIBLE candidate who is running a completely disastrous campaign. It's kind of sad to watch.

    September 13, 2012 11:18 am at 11:18 am |
  21. Gurgyl

    Yes, on OBAMA12 as of pride all the way!!! God is with you my buddy!!!

    September 13, 2012 11:20 am at 11:20 am |
  22. Delilah

    62% of New Yorkers are smart! Obama 2012

    September 13, 2012 11:21 am at 11:21 am |
  23. Larry L

    Romney's behavior in the midst of this Mid-East crisis convinced many independent voters to support President Obama. Never before has a political candidate behaved so badly at a time when any real patriot would have offered support. Nobody would trust such a childish and selfish leader to serve as Commander-In-Chief.

    September 13, 2012 11:21 am at 11:21 am |
  24. Steve

    And Romney leads Obama by probably 2 to 1 in Texas. What's the point? I'll wait for the "Huge Romney lead in Texas" article which I'm sure will be coming in the interest of fairness .... right? Especially since Texas has more electoral college votes than New York anyway. This article is asinine even for CNN.

    September 13, 2012 11:23 am at 11:23 am |
  25. Are you kidding me?

    As a new Yorker I am happy to see this news. We have some smart people who can see that our president is doing a good job and deserves another term.

    September 13, 2012 11:25 am at 11:25 am |
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