Poll: Obama up 52%-44% in key swing state
September 18th, 2012
03:51 PM ET
10 years ago

Poll: Obama up 52%-44% in key swing state

Washington (CNN) - A new poll indicates President Obama with an eight point lead over Republican nominee Mitt Romney in the crucial battleground state of Virginia.

According to a Washington Post survey released Tuesday, 52% of likely voters in Virginia say they support the president, with 44% backing Romney. Among the wider pool of registered voters, the poll indicates Obama with a 50-43% advantage over the former Massachusetts governor.

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The poll was conducted September 12-16, entirely before Monday's release of secretly recorded clips of Romney speaking at a private fundraiser in May that critics charge portray him as out of touch with ordinary Americans. Those clips have dominated coverage of the campaign trail over the past 24 hours.

Then Sen. Obama won Virginia by two percentage points in the 2008 election, becoming the first Democrat to carry the commonwealth in a presidential contest since 1964. This cycle Obama has made eight swings through the state (not including quick visits to suburban Washington, DC in northern Virginia) since the unofficial start of the general election in early April, with Romney making eight tours through Virginia. Both campaigns, as well as the super PACs and other independent groups backing the candidates, have flooded Virginia airwaves with campaign commercials.

Thirteen electoral votes are up for grabs in Virginia.

The president's eight point lead among likely voters in the new poll compares to a five point advantage he held over Romney in an NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist survey in Virginia that was released last week.

The poll also asked about some of the other presidential choices on the ballot in Virginia. Former GOP Rep. Virgil Goode Jr. of Virginia has qualified on the ballot as a member of the Constitution party, as have Libertarian nominee Gary Johnson and Green Party nominee Jill Stein. With those candidates factored in, Obama is at 48% among registered voters, with Romney at 40%, Johnson at 4%, Goode at 2% and Stein at 1%.

The Washington Post poll was conducted by telephone, with 1,104 adults in Virginia, including 934 registered voters, questioned. The survey's sampling error for both registered and likely voters is plus or minus four percentage points.

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Filed under: 2012 • Virginia
soundoff (43 Responses)
  1. lolo

    @ Truth Hurts, now I see why you are so angry. You hate government workers. Now it is their fault why the jobs are gone. Blame W and the rest of the Klan, because he and Romney shipped your job overseas to pay less wages and fill their pockets to the brim. You better stop looking at Fox and do your own research. Right now you are talking out the side of your neck.

    September 18, 2012 04:51 pm at 4:51 pm |
  2. Rick McDaniel

    Polls mean little. Votes is what counts.

    September 18, 2012 04:53 pm at 4:53 pm |
  3. OnceGreatNation

    WMD's have been found!!! Woefully Misguided Democrats that is!!

    ROMNEY/RYAN 2012...for AMERICA!

    September 18, 2012 04:53 pm at 4:53 pm |
  4. DENNA

    @ – The Real Tom Paine

    -truth hurts

    A lot of federal government workers live there. Not a surprise really. Voting to keep their overpaid redundant do nothing jobs.
    Well, as someone who keeps posting redundant, do nothing posts, you ought to be an expert on a meaningless existance, eh?
    I agree. On the days when I have time to waste blogging, I can find "truth hurts" posting all over the place and the posts are always nasty and negative. Got to be a Teatard. Yeah, I said it. Peace and Love to Ya. 🙂

    September 18, 2012 04:56 pm at 4:56 pm |
  5. Robert

    Soap box, ballot box, bullet box. Justice comes from the barrel of a gun.

    September 18, 2012 05:01 pm at 5:01 pm |
  6. Momoh

    Dejavu...i tot i was dreaming. It wasn't Romney caught on tape. It wasn't me..oh Romney. What a scorn. Party's over.

    September 18, 2012 05:09 pm at 5:09 pm |
  7. DENNA

    I wonder when R/R will TALK about their plans for America. The more they try to avoid talking about it, the more afraid we should be. As a middle class retiree, I would really like to know what loopholes they will close. How are they planning to bring jobs home. The 2010 Republicans elected to congress promised the same thing. Heck, while they are busy pointing fingers at President Obama over the numbers, I think it would be nice if they took some blame since they PROMISED JOB, JOBS, JOBS! Fooled us, didn't they?

    September 18, 2012 05:10 pm at 5:10 pm |
  8. Sniff.S #its

    And how many percentage points is the poll lean on the dem side again? 10? 15?

    September 18, 2012 05:13 pm at 5:13 pm |
  9. Claudia, Houston, Tx

    For all you Obama haters, Romney will buy an island and he will be your King and his five(5) sons will be your Prince because the 47%, which don't count to Romney, this land belongs to us.

    September 18, 2012 05:14 pm at 5:14 pm |
  10. The REAL Truth...

    Not even the RIDICULOUS VoterID garbage perpetrated by the right is going to prevent this...

    Voter fraud – as defined by the GOP – is a political solution looking for a non-existent problem. The "myth" that the Dems use dead people, illegal aliens and so on to vote is as real as the unicorn next to Willard.
    There have been 62 reported voter fraud cases in TX (the idiots leading this charge) since 2002. According to AG Greg Abbot, "voter fraud is a serious problem in the state of Texas,” There are MORE COUNTIES in TX than voter fraud cases in the last 10 yrs. According to the Texas Secretary of State’s office, since 2004 there have been 39,072,039 ballots cast in major elections in Texas. Doing the math on that, if you assume that all 62 of the AG’s cases are valid, the percentage of fraud by comparison is .0001 percent.
    Take that nationwide and we DO NOT a voter fraud issue..

    September 18, 2012 05:15 pm at 5:15 pm |
  11. Larry in Houston

    polls don't mean a whole lot right now – wait til the debates – then wait til the week before the election – this election may end up like reagan vs. carter – polls had them at a dead heat – all the way up to the day of the election – Reagan defeated Carter by a landslide – This year, Romney may barely nudge Obama for the win, but that's all it's going to take – Just 2 or 3 states – electoral wise – buckeye state – sunshine state – & the keystone state is going to be the answer to this election.
    Vote Democrat 2012 – for the middle class

    September 18, 2012 05:16 pm at 5:16 pm |
  12. DJ

    They only way they did this was that they really oversampled dems 32/24/35 D/R/I. My bet is there will more GOPers voting than dems

    September 18, 2012 05:16 pm at 5:16 pm |
  13. Sniffit

    "My bet is there will more GOPers voting than dems"

    Did you miss the news reports of the Voter ID laws being shot down so far?

    September 18, 2012 05:25 pm at 5:25 pm |
  14. B.

    They say Romney "retools," or the latest expression for "Etch a Sketch" ...

    This guy is has to keep changing things to keep from being nailed down to anything meaningful.

    Moving target.. He will tell us all what we want to know After the election –

    September 18, 2012 05:29 pm at 5:29 pm |
  15. DENNA

    LOL judging from Romney's many slip-ups recently, I am beginning to think he is in the tank for President Obama and is trying to eliminate himself from contention.

    September 18, 2012 05:34 pm at 5:34 pm |
  16. Gurgyl

    Any sane will vote for Obama12
    PS: I am unbiased. True.

    September 18, 2012 05:36 pm at 5:36 pm |
  17. Al-NY,NY

    Rick McDaniel

    Polls mean little. Votes is what counts.

    hey Cletus....shouldn't it be.."Polls don't mean nuthin' right abouts now. It's them votes that does count. Amurka number wun"

    September 18, 2012 05:38 pm at 5:38 pm |
  18. CryBabies

    @ Denna....Your "wonderment" will be answered soon.

    September 18, 2012 05:47 pm at 5:47 pm |
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