Poll: Obama up 52%-44% in key swing state
September 18th, 2012
03:51 PM ET
10 years ago

Poll: Obama up 52%-44% in key swing state

Washington (CNN) - A new poll indicates President Obama with an eight point lead over Republican nominee Mitt Romney in the crucial battleground state of Virginia.

According to a Washington Post survey released Tuesday, 52% of likely voters in Virginia say they support the president, with 44% backing Romney. Among the wider pool of registered voters, the poll indicates Obama with a 50-43% advantage over the former Massachusetts governor.

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The poll was conducted September 12-16, entirely before Monday's release of secretly recorded clips of Romney speaking at a private fundraiser in May that critics charge portray him as out of touch with ordinary Americans. Those clips have dominated coverage of the campaign trail over the past 24 hours.

Then Sen. Obama won Virginia by two percentage points in the 2008 election, becoming the first Democrat to carry the commonwealth in a presidential contest since 1964. This cycle Obama has made eight swings through the state (not including quick visits to suburban Washington, DC in northern Virginia) since the unofficial start of the general election in early April, with Romney making eight tours through Virginia. Both campaigns, as well as the super PACs and other independent groups backing the candidates, have flooded Virginia airwaves with campaign commercials.

Thirteen electoral votes are up for grabs in Virginia.

The president's eight point lead among likely voters in the new poll compares to a five point advantage he held over Romney in an NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist survey in Virginia that was released last week.

The poll also asked about some of the other presidential choices on the ballot in Virginia. Former GOP Rep. Virgil Goode Jr. of Virginia has qualified on the ballot as a member of the Constitution party, as have Libertarian nominee Gary Johnson and Green Party nominee Jill Stein. With those candidates factored in, Obama is at 48% among registered voters, with Romney at 40%, Johnson at 4%, Goode at 2% and Stein at 1%.

The Washington Post poll was conducted by telephone, with 1,104 adults in Virginia, including 934 registered voters, questioned. The survey's sampling error for both registered and likely voters is plus or minus four percentage points.

Also see:

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– Obama camp wastes no time highlighting Romney tapes

– Hatch might 'die before his term' ends, opponent charges

– Biden on Romney tape: 'words speak for themselves'

Filed under: 2012 • Virginia
soundoff (43 Responses)


    While Paul Ryan is right up the block from me at CNU, I'm sure he can see the Obama billboards everywhere. I don't know what made him decide to come to Newport News.

    September 18, 2012 03:56 pm at 3:56 pm |
  2. Donkey Party

    Don't get complacent with polls, smart voters, especially with the right-wings' hell-bent desire to suppress votes. Do your civic duty, get out and VOTE! And remember right-wingers, your special voting day is November 7th, mark your calendar, or put another notch in a tree, or whatever method you simpletons use to keep track of dates.

    September 18, 2012 04:00 pm at 4:00 pm |
  3. Rudy NYC

    If you think Romney is looking bad now, just wait until he reneges on releasing his 2011 tax returns just before the election.

    September 18, 2012 04:07 pm at 4:07 pm |
  4. bb

    Another poll im sure its accurate keep oblunder in office and end america, why isnt this jerk trying to create jobs??
    Why isnt working on a strategic plan for the middle east??? must be partying again with letterman, leno ?? jay -z??
    all the 1 % who he says he hates ??? wake up evil is in the whitehouse

    September 18, 2012 04:09 pm at 4:09 pm |
  5. truth hurts

    A lot of federal government workers live there. Not a surprise really. Voting to keep their overpaid redundant do nothing jobs.

    September 18, 2012 04:10 pm at 4:10 pm |
  6. DumbasRocks [R]s

    Willard cannot wear an athletic supporter thick enough to keep his gonads from hurting as a result of the sustained self-attack he has launched on himslef over the last 3 weeks. For the rest of you, his furry little followers, you couldn't afford such a fur-lined protector, and therefore you must resort to the old but accurate adage: no brain, no pain.

    September 18, 2012 04:12 pm at 4:12 pm |
  7. aalisa31

    Well the tide is rolling in... the ship has sunk.. only the tip is showing.. buh bye.... Mittens!

    September 18, 2012 04:17 pm at 4:17 pm |
  8. @GuileOfTheGods

    I'm surprised CNN didn't take those numbers and announce a tie like they did last week. Glad their math adds up.

    September 18, 2012 04:18 pm at 4:18 pm |
  9. thetruthandnothingbutthetruth

    some people don't want to run a small business!

    September 18, 2012 04:19 pm at 4:19 pm |
  10. VEW2012

    Keep-on Keeping on-
    Obama-Biden 2012

    September 18, 2012 04:19 pm at 4:19 pm |
  11. beevee

    Romney might as well give his concession speech now and go home and save millions of dollars of his donors' money and heart ache at the end. The guy is not a presidential material.

    September 18, 2012 04:22 pm at 4:22 pm |
  12. v_mag

    What's that crumbling sound I hear? The Romney campaign?

    Maybe by election day Rob-money will just forfeit and save himself the embarrassment of having to call and congratulate the President of the United States, Barack Obama, the man he and his surrogates have called every name in the book. Then, Rob-money can join George W. Bush in whatever bunker he's been hiding in for the past 4 years.

    September 18, 2012 04:23 pm at 4:23 pm |
  13. DENNA

    Mitt's handlers might want to discourage him from talking "off-the-cuff". At the rate Mittens is going, he'll be lucky to get 35% of the vote. His comments on people dependant on the government included not only the dreaded, hated, poor, it included retirees, veterans in vet hospitals, kids needing student loans to attend school to better themselves, etc. Apparently he really does not like anyone who is not rich. Funny, he doesn't seem to have a problem with corporate welfare. Now Mittens, when will you and Munster talk about this much anticipated economy boosting plan you claim to have?

    September 18, 2012 04:24 pm at 4:24 pm |
  14. Darryl

    Glad to hear Pres.Obama is ahead of Romney. I'm also glad the people of this country have seen and heard all the Obstruction that's been going on sence the POTUS took office right from the beggining. Trying to make the POTUS a 1 term President. Mr. Romney & Mr. Ryan have made things quite clear what they intend to do and who's going to benifite and who's not going to. Romneys and Ryans plans to turn Social Security over to Wallstreet and get rid of Medicare with the voucher program ect. Romney & Ryan are very dangerous people who want to change the foundation of this country as we know it fundamentally for good. I personally believe Mr. Romney would Govern this country on the strong Mormon beliefs and his core values that were instilled in him by the Mormon Church. NOT-GOOD !

    September 18, 2012 04:26 pm at 4:26 pm |

    A lot of federal government workers live there.
    There sure is. The Pentagon, CIA, Ft. Lee, Oceana Naval Base, Little Creek Amphibious Base(Home of ST6), Ft. Eustis, Ft. Story. Are these governmnet workers you're referring to???

    September 18, 2012 04:30 pm at 4:30 pm |
  16. Anonymous

    Rudy NYC

    If you think Romney is looking bad now, just wait until he reneges on releasing his 2011 tax returns just before the election.

    After that fundraiser of his, he's going to have to renege. He's boxed himself in now, hasn't he? It's doubtful he ever had any intention of releasing anything more to begin with. We still haven't seen all of his 2010 returns.

    September 18, 2012 04:31 pm at 4:31 pm |
  17. The Real Tom Paine

    -truth hurts

    A lot of federal government workers live there. Not a surprise really. Voting to keep their overpaid redundant do nothing jobs.
    Well, as someone who keeps posting redundant, do nothing posts, you ought to be an expert on a meaningless existance, eh?

    September 18, 2012 04:32 pm at 4:32 pm |
  18. cali girl

    What's that crumbling sound I hear? The Romney campaign?
    Ha Ha Ha , I thought it was another earthquake until I realized, oh, it was just Robmey.........

    September 18, 2012 04:32 pm at 4:32 pm |
  19. IndependentMom

    For several weeks now we have been hearing about how Romney's campaign is in disarray, how there is infighting and people arguing. Also, we have seen Romney just make an utter fool of himself on the world stage with his insults hurled at our closest ally, the U.K. Romney's failure to comprehend when to ......shut up.... in light of the deaths of Americans and now..... yesterday the release of the video showing Mittens .....insulting......47% of Americans! The man is failing.

    I am an Obama supporter, my husband is a business owner, let's say we are doing.......very well! Thank you! We have never taken a cent from the government! We are happy to pay our fair share of taxes, which by the way.... is a lot more than Mittens pays!

    We are Independents (former Republicans) who will vote again for ......... President Barack Obama! Mittens can retire to one of his many homes!

    September 18, 2012 04:35 pm at 4:35 pm |
  20. NameFrank

    Get out the vote and let's ensure the Presidents' victory.

    September 18, 2012 04:35 pm at 4:35 pm |
  21. insight iowa

    It's over Mitt and we didn't even have to see you 10 years of tax returns. I wish we could just go to the polls tomorrow and get this over with... we need to get rid of the House Republicans ASAP so we can start moving this country forward!!!

    September 18, 2012 04:41 pm at 4:41 pm |
  22. Marie MD

    Let's face it. The twit believes that the 47% he is talking about are NOT just regular, white, the military, police officers, firefighters, black, latino, women, gay, poor, middle class Americans. He thinks those of us in that 47% take money from the government without having ever put anything into the pot.
    His daddy told him that he needed to first learn how to run a business (I wonder if he told him to fire Americans workers and send their jobs overseas along with his millions) then he needed to run for public office, possibly president.
    You can tell he is NOT comfortable and maybe he is self destructing because running and campaining might seen like fun (not for him, but he wouldn't know fun if it slapped him in the face) but now that we are 49 days away from the voting he is probably thinking oh my, I don't really want the job. I want to be able to go to my mansions and be free.

    September 18, 2012 04:43 pm at 4:43 pm |
  23. Meka

    As long as Romney continues to open his mouth....President Obama will be Re-elected!!!
    OBAMA/BIDEN 2012

    September 18, 2012 04:48 pm at 4:48 pm |
  24. Pete

    Romneys steadily going down in the polls and Pres.Obama really hasn't changed his message has he.He did say Romney shots from the mouth first and aims later,didn't he,facts again!!!Or Ryan politicing for his old congressional seat in Wisconsin,he looks optimistic doesn't he,like a rat running from a burning house before it goes down,right!!Romney the multiple choice candidate should of taken a speaking course,one that teaches you not to stick your foot in it so often...I'm glad he's raising so much money for damage control,he'll need it after his momentus speech of the virtues of the 47% voters for Pres.Obama or how I screwed up my presidencial election by Florshiem in mouth!!Hey Romney check where your feet have been, it could get nasty tastin!!!

    September 18, 2012 04:49 pm at 4:49 pm |
  25. Dominican mama 4 Obama

    cali girl

    What's that crumbling sound I hear? The Romney campaign?
    Ha Ha Ha , I thought it was another earthquake until I realized, oh, it was just Robmey.........
    .....And his campaign crumbling like a two-month old cookie left out in the Arizona sun! LOL!
    Smile Mr. President, smile.
    You got those gray hairs and wrinkles working your butt-off on our behalf.
    We've got your back in November. Fear not.
    Obama 2012. Period.

    September 18, 2012 04:49 pm at 4:49 pm |
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