Polls suggest double digit lead for Nelson in Florida Senate battle
September 25th, 2012
04:50 PM ET
10 years ago

Polls suggest double digit lead for Nelson in Florida Senate battle

(CNN) - A new poll is the third this month to indicate Democratic Sen. Bill Nelson of Florida with a 14-point lead over his Republican challenger, Rep. Connie Mack.

According to a Washington Post survey released Tuesday, the two-term senator has the support of 54% of likely voters in the Sunshine State, with Mack grabbing 40%.

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Two other non-partisan, live operator polls conducted over the past two and a half weeks also have Nelson up by 14 points: Fox News (Nelson 49%-Mack 35%) and NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist (Nelson 51%-Mack 37%).

A Mason Dixon poll released earlier this week indicated Nelson leading 48%-40% over Mack. Some partisan polling indicates a closer contest.

While Nelson has a lead in Florida's Senate race, polling suggests the battle for the state's 29 electoral votes is much closer. A CNN Poll of Polls that averages the last five non-partisan live operator surveys of the presidential contest in Florida indicates President Barack Obama with a 49%-45% advantage over Republican nominee Mitt Romney.

"The Florida Senate race was always going to be competitive given the swing nature of the state, but even Republicans were initially skeptical they could knock off Bill Nelson and have always had concerns about Connie Mack's campaign," said Jessica Taylor, senior analyst and reporter for the non-partisan Rothenberg Political Report. "With voters starting to come off the sidelines, the race has now normalized somewhat, and it looks like Nelson is gaining the lead he was expected to have from the beginning. The presidential race is still going to be close, but Mack probably needs a Romney surge to defeat Nelson, and that looks highly unlikely."

Democrats currently control the Senate 53-47, but they're defending 23 (21 Democrats and two independents who caucus with the party) of the 33 seats up for grabs in November.

Filed under: Bill Nelson • Connie Mack • Florida • Senate
soundoff (21 Responses)
  1. Gurgyl

    God bless you, Florida. Yes, on Obama12.

    September 25, 2012 04:51 pm at 4:51 pm |
  2. Claudia, Houston, Tx

    Kick butt Florida, all you senior citizens let these Repugs know you're just as smart as they are, trying to slip through the back door attacking seniors medicare knowing their main target is to get rid of social security. Kick Butt Seniors.

    September 25, 2012 04:59 pm at 4:59 pm |
  3. once upon a horse

    while you're at it Florida PLEASE make sure that Allen West is sent packing as well......we have enough do-nothing goofballs in the House.

    September 25, 2012 05:15 pm at 5:15 pm |
  4. Dan B

    Bias poll. I read it. The only double digit number is the percentage of over polled Dems

    September 25, 2012 05:16 pm at 5:16 pm |
  5. MaryM

    Thank you Florida.

    September 25, 2012 05:16 pm at 5:16 pm |
  6. sayer

    I'm proud of Florida.

    September 25, 2012 05:24 pm at 5:24 pm |
  7. DumbasRocks [R]s

    Dan B - That's the VERY nature of polls, you moron. One side is polled more frequently, and thus wins the poll, due to the fact that the parent population being polled has more people of one side. THAT is the VERY thing that polls are supposed to measure!

    If I took an ape, cut out half its brain, and then had sit slackjawed in front of a radio tuned to the Limpbutt radio show for a week...I'd have a [R].

    September 25, 2012 05:28 pm at 5:28 pm |
  8. the situation

    Dan B
    Bias poll. I read it. The only double digit number is the percentage of over polled Dems

    September 25, 2012 05:16 pm at 5:16 pm |

    Tears of you Repubs is pure bliss! So I guess Nelson 14 point lead according to the Repubs mouth piece, Fox News is also Liberal Bias too, Right! Florida is going to be blue, blue for Democrats and blue for the Repubs tears of failure! Too bad Jeb is Katherine Harris is not around to throw votes away into Gator Alley! Lol!

    September 25, 2012 05:30 pm at 5:30 pm |
  9. v4865


    September 25, 2012 05:34 pm at 5:34 pm |
  10. Sniffit

    "Bias poll. I read it. The only double digit number is the percentage of over polled Dems"

    People self-report as registered Dems at a higher rate than peolpe self-report as being Republicans. Ergo, a random sample of the population will produce more Dems than GOPers. Forcing it to be 50/50, when that's not representative of the population, would in fact be bias in favor of the GOP. Numbers don't lie. Stop crying about it.

    September 25, 2012 05:35 pm at 5:35 pm |
  11. Gurgyl

    @onceuponahorse–please do not say goofballs, say garbage, please. God bless you, say harsh on GOP idiots-they sunk USA.

    September 25, 2012 05:35 pm at 5:35 pm |
  12. Luke Brown

    Nelson is an honest guy, who actually wants to use public office to do good.

    I have known him for 30 years, and can tell you he is one of the most decent politicians you'll ever meet.

    September 25, 2012 05:38 pm at 5:38 pm |
  13. Bernard obryant

    It show that democrat in some state have the lead over republican in florida and battle ground state republican like romney made mistake by picking at the 47 percent

    September 25, 2012 05:48 pm at 5:48 pm |
  14. Pete

    Mack running on his fathers name,his bar brawls,can't pay child support,house almost foreclosed,DUIs and he's running for senator.O yah we have that other bum Rick Scott the healthcare CEO fraud as governor,who plead the 5th 85 times in court,but if these ignorent ,pathedic voters mostly seniors who fall for his crap again like they did for Scott,voting for Mack then people in Florida really deserve them,ignorence unparalleled since Gore lost to that drunkin genius Bush with stolen votes in 2000. Are yah proud Florida,don't do it again!!But republicans are good at that, losers voting for losers,they'll never learn!!

    September 25, 2012 05:52 pm at 5:52 pm |
  15. Bill

    Again, the down ballot poisoning by the Romney ticket. Nelson would have won anyway, but now with Romney and Ryan looking and acting like Laurel and Hardy, the victory is assured. Get over it GOP. And yes, Alan West is toast and has no business holding elected office.

    September 25, 2012 05:55 pm at 5:55 pm |
  16. Sniffit

    "Jeb is Katherine Harris"

    Is that kida like "Finkle is Einhorn"?

    Oh, and I forgot...OF COURSE it "oversampled Democrats"....after all, FL is busy trying to purge likely Dem voters off the registration rolls. Totally forgot. Yep...these polling outfits really need to start taking into account all the GOP voter suppression when taking their samples.

    September 25, 2012 06:01 pm at 6:01 pm |
  17. Electric Mayhem

    Dear Republicans,

    Buy lots of kleenex, you are going to need it.

    Love from the Democrats.

    September 25, 2012 06:36 pm at 6:36 pm |
  18. Namejkane sfl a vote for the gop will cut your moms medicare and soc sec .can you afford to pay for them???

    Send all the gop goofballs packing ,Scott next.

    September 25, 2012 07:35 pm at 7:35 pm |
  19. GI Joe

    Republicans are in panic mode.

    September 25, 2012 07:55 pm at 7:55 pm |
  20. Georgia Girl

    Good for you Florida. He appears to be a stand up guy that is willing to work across the isle. I echo some of my fellow posters and implore you to get rid of that idiot Allen West. He has had his 15 minutes of fame at your expense.

    September 25, 2012 08:55 pm at 8:55 pm |
  21. Name

    We need to retake the house!

    September 25, 2012 09:06 pm at 9:06 pm |