Poll: Obama retains advantage in Pennsylvania
October 11th, 2012
03:27 PM ET
10 years ago

Poll: Obama retains advantage in Pennsylvania

(CNN) - President Barack Obama's advantage over his Republican challenger in Pennsylvania is now at eight points which is right on the edge of the sampling error, according to a new poll.

Mitt Romney, however, won last Wednesday's debate by a wide margin, the survey shows.

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The Philadelphia Inquirer/Susquehanna Bank Poll released Thursday found Obama at 50% and Romney at 42%. The same outlet's poll found Obama with an 11 point lead following the party conventions. The survey was conducted October 4-8, in the days immediately following the first debate between Obama and Romney last week.

A poll released on Tuesday by Siena College found the race significantly closer: 43% for Obama, 40% for Romney. That survey was conducted partly before and partly after last week's debate.

A CNN Poll of Polls assembled on September 28, shortly before the debate, found the incumbent ten points over his challenger.

Just under two out of three likely voters in Pennsylvania (65%) thought Romney won that debate, while only 15% said Obama won. Vice President Joe Biden and GOP candidate Paul Ryan face off on Thursday night.

One in three voters said they were more likely to support Romney as a result of the first debate.

Pennsylvania is marked as leaning in Obama's direction this year on the CNN Electoral Map.

Obama won by 10 points in 2008, and Sen. John Kerry, also a Democrat, won by 3 points in 2004.

This poll included 600 likely voters in Pennsylvania and was conducted from October 4 to 8.

- CNN's Paul Steinhauser and Gregory Wallace contributed to this report

Filed under: 2012 • Pennsylvania
soundoff (26 Responses)
  1. The Prophet

    One does not need to an economist to understand which direction is America heading, just look at Government budget, 24% Defense_Healthcare 22%_Pensions 22%_Welfare 12%_ and only 3% for Education? some Government like to keep control over how much is learned by the public which translated means (poor), you draw your own conclusions.

    October 11, 2012 03:35 pm at 3:35 pm |
  2. Sniffit

    "sident Barack Obama's advantage over his Republican challenger in Pennsylvania is now at eight points which is right on the edge of the sampling error, according to a new poll.

    Mitt Romney, however, won last Wednesday's debate by a wide margin, the survey shows. "

    Breakdown of a lede:

    1. Obama shown to be heavily leading in PA...but but but but but "please don't believe this means there's no horse race."

    2. Insert attempt to justify horse race blather with non-sequitor reminder of "Mittens' debate performance" narrative.

    3. Ignore the fact that the two facts/statistics combined show that Mittens' debate performance failed to change anything for him in PA, which is a very VERY bad sign for him.

    October 11, 2012 03:41 pm at 3:41 pm |
  3. rosoc

    Read today that Caifornia did not post thier unemployment #s and thats why it fell !!!

    October 11, 2012 03:44 pm at 3:44 pm |
  4. jinx88

    LMAO!! 8 points is on the edge of sampling error? What is this writer talking about? 3 points is on the error of sampling error.

    October 11, 2012 03:45 pm at 3:45 pm |
  5. Doug

    Pennsylvania is like an aged piece of cheese, rotten on the edges but the middle is still quite good.

    October 11, 2012 03:46 pm at 3:46 pm |
  6. The Prophet

    Its not enough to win the Election this time around, what the next president needs to win, is the heart and minds of every American to restore the what was once a country of pioneers the ultimate destiny for prosperity in this one and only world.
    i know what America needs, because i see it every day, do you?

    October 11, 2012 03:50 pm at 3:50 pm |
  7. Al-NY,NY


    Pennsylvania is like an aged piece of cheese, rotten on the edges but the middle is still quite good.

    Philadelphia in the east. Pittsburgh in the west. Alabama in the middle........."quite good".........ha!

    October 11, 2012 03:52 pm at 3:52 pm |
  8. Borderless

    Maybe Pennsylvania will leave the evil empire once they see Racist Joe get trounced by Ryan tonight.

    October 11, 2012 03:53 pm at 3:53 pm |
  9. Elephant Memory

    So a eight point lead for President Obama is on the edge of a sampling error. Must be a 2 year old doing the polling the
    numbers are all voer the place. I am least likely to support Romney after the debate. I never know which Romney will show up.

    October 11, 2012 03:53 pm at 3:53 pm |
  10. Woman In California

    600 likely voters really?

    October 11, 2012 03:54 pm at 3:54 pm |
  11. Jeff from Newton

    So basically this article is telling us the debate had little if any impact in PA. It says Obama lost his 2-3 point post-convention bump, which is always known to be temporary. If anything, this is encouraging news for Obama, as it shows that even though most people agree that Romney "won" the debate, it hasn't changed his image as a flip-flopper with a loose association with the truth, who will say anything to get elected. He really comes across as the most untrustworthy man in politics.

    October 11, 2012 03:55 pm at 3:55 pm |
  12. Sniffit

    "8 points is on the edge of sampling error? What is this writer talking about?"

    He's talking about "don't mind the fact that we failed to simply report the sampling error itself...please just believe our interpretation of it."

    October 11, 2012 03:57 pm at 3:57 pm |
  13. fryuujin

    voter restrictions, not done. dang it the GOP just lost Penn. like they had a chance. what a group of rejects.

    October 11, 2012 04:03 pm at 4:03 pm |
  14. n

    These fair weather nut jobs who change their votes every other day, are like drift wood floating aimlessly down the river, wherever and however the direction of current, there you will find them drowning in the Romney cage of lies and heading over the pending waterfall of doom.

    October 11, 2012 04:10 pm at 4:10 pm |
  15. TXCOUGAR09

    i never know which OBAMA will show up during the debate. In texas, we are anti obama all the way. hes shown poor leadership, he showed up a month after the BP spill in 2010 and his performance last week was disgraceful. if you vote for him you are voting for a communist. Romney is our future to getting people back to work because isnt that the whole point of the election? geez people get it together!!!

    October 11, 2012 04:14 pm at 4:14 pm |
  16. Marie MD

    Just as long as the tea baggers who claimed that with he new voting law the state was procured for the twit. They are still lying to people in A about what they need to vote.
    In OH some rich family has paid for billboards in poor counties to scare them into not voting with $10k signs and jail time.

    October 11, 2012 04:16 pm at 4:16 pm |
  17. Mike

    Did the government issued these shirts? or did these guys go to the same store?

    October 11, 2012 04:19 pm at 4:19 pm |
  18. Jeff from Newton

    So after Romney's debate "win" has settled into the numbers, when looking at the averages of state polls, and only ones taken exclusively after the debate, Obama STILL leads in Ohio, Florida, Virginia, Michigan, Wisconsin, Iowa, and Pennsylvania. So if the election were held today, Obama would win with a minimum of 323 electoral votes, a BIG win.

    But funny how the corporate controlled media is trying to paint the picture that somehow Obama is behind. When Romney has the best possible week he could imagine, he is still behind. Not surprising, given how unlikable and untrustworthy he comes across.

    October 11, 2012 04:21 pm at 4:21 pm |
  19. Woman In California

    Well the DOW sure likes Willard as it continually keeps plunging. I can't wait for this creep to disappear and leave my stocks alone.

    October 11, 2012 04:23 pm at 4:23 pm |
  20. Gurgyl

    After watching 47% comment–you got to a dope or drunk to vote for GOP idiots. We don't have people who become ill who die in their apartment because they don't have insurance, no you go to Hospital get treated paid by CHARITY, OR GOVERNMENT OR BY HOSPITAL". -MITT ROMNEY, in today's statement,
    PS: read Huffington post, CNN please drag on this subject. C

    October 11, 2012 04:25 pm at 4:25 pm |
  21. Doug2

    PA is like Mitt Romney. Looks great from the outside but rotten in the middle.

    October 11, 2012 04:39 pm at 4:39 pm |

    So Obama is still winning in PA, and MI wth an 8pt lead, VA with a 5pt lead, and Ohio with a 6pt lead....and he's leading in the GOP Rasmussen Poll....so just where is Mitt Robme bounce if any?

    President Obama 2012!!!


    October 11, 2012 04:39 pm at 4:39 pm |
  23. Name Ilen Akpojero

    Can the press ask Mitt Romney why none of his 5sons sons served in the military. The public has a right to know, because if Mitt is elected he will be sending other children to war if necessary.

    October 11, 2012 04:45 pm at 4:45 pm |
  24. GI Joe

    Pennsylvania and Ohio go to Obama.

    Romney loses.

    October 11, 2012 04:56 pm at 4:56 pm |
  25. rla

    This is about the next four years and if you want a nation after four years you need to vote ROMNEY! Just show how we are better after four years and explain the plan Obama has to get this country right???OppppS can't - not to worry vote ROMNEY or vote lemming!

    October 11, 2012 04:58 pm at 4:58 pm |
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