Poll: Obama advantage in Virginia
October 27th, 2012
09:23 PM ET
9 years ago

Poll: Obama advantage in Virginia

(CNN) - President Barack Obama has an advantage in the battleground state of Virginia, a new poll released Saturday shows.

Likely voters in the Old Dominion State split 51% for Obama to 47% for GOP challenger Mitt Romney in the Washington Post poll out Saturday. Obama's advantage is just outside the poll's 3.5 point sampling error.

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The candidates' efforts to campaign here in the final days could be hampered by Hurricane Sandy, who is expected to bring heavy wind and rain to Virginia and surrounding states over the next several days.

Romney canceled a slate of Sunday campaign events in "a cautionary move so resources would not be diverted," Romney spokesman Rick Gorka said. Vice President Joe Biden canceled a Virginia Beach event scheduled for Saturday.

Underscoring the importance of the state's 13 electoral votes, 44% said they had been contacted by the Obama campaign, and 41% said Romney's team had reached out to them.

Especially important to Obama's 2008 win were the suburbs in northern Virginia. The area within approximately an hour of Washington, D.C. gave him his advantage while the rest of the state split nearly evenly, allowing Obama to snap a GOP streak of 10 consecutive presidential wins there.

Likely voters in Virginia said the economy was the most important issue to them, while military spending, the federal budget deficit, and Medicare followed. Obama and Romney were within two points of each other, 48% and 46% on the top two issues - Romney with the slight edge on handling the economy and Obama with the advantage on handling military spending.

Four percent of likely voters said they had already cast an absentee ballot, and the survey showed 41% of likely voters said they planned to cast an absentee ballot. The state does not allow in-person early voting, as do some other states.

The poll includes telephone interviews conducted from October 22, the night of the third and final presidential debate, through October 26. The poll included 1,228 likely voters.

- CNN's John King and Ashley Killough contributed to this report

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Filed under: 2012 • Virginia
soundoff (54 Responses)
  1. Anonymous

    51% Obama 47% Romney is NOT a "slight" advantage. Stop making a fool of yourself, CNN. That is a strong lead for Obama with only 9 days until the election.

    October 27, 2012 09:25 pm at 9:25 pm |
  2. GOP = Greed Over People!

    To all you neo-cons yammering about "skewed" polls, you might want to check sites that aggregate individual polls.

    I think Fox carried RCP in '08, so go there, where they know what "god has willed", click on the electoral map and then click on no toss up states.

    You will see that with one exception(Nate shows VA for the President, but we won't quibble) the map looks like Nate's.

    They show the President with 290 electoral votes.

    With only 270 needed, it looks like all you cons will still be yammerin' about making him a "one term" after his inauguration I'm 2013, except this time, you will be correct.

    October 27, 2012 09:39 pm at 9:39 pm |
  3. Johnny DC

    No plan for Social Security. No plan for immigration reform. No plan to save Medicare. No real plans to stop Iran from developing nuclear weapons. No plans other than to "fare share" the wealthy.

    No plans for any of these things. Yet Obama still leads. Simply amazing.

    October 27, 2012 09:42 pm at 9:42 pm |
  4. Reggie from LA

    Hmmmm. 47%. Is that number suppose to ring a bell for some reason? Maybe that "some reason" is how he got to 47%. Should be less as far as I'm concerned. His childhood dream to be president has pushed Mitt Romney to the edge. He should have dreamed of creating a better America for ALL people, not just his selected "some".

    October 27, 2012 09:53 pm at 9:53 pm |
  5. Tony

    Not sure who or where to ask. I heard some of our personel requested help on Sept 11 (at the ambassy) and help was was denided. Is this true, how can this story be confirmed?

    October 27, 2012 10:03 pm at 10:03 pm |
  6. Victory

    Trust is a big factor which determines Presidents. Changing your mind and just telling people what they want to hear to get elected is not welcome in the US. People are more educated than that: 47% and later 100%; Critics of US policies and later I agree 100%, Criticizing China and you're still making money there to avoid paying tax here, Blaming Iran but your Chinese Cies do business w/t Iran's Cies. He forgot to talk about Troops in Afghanistan in his acceptance speech, nor mentioned them during the debate, friend of big oil Cies (Chevron gave you 2.5 millions)....Who does he think Americans are???

    October 27, 2012 10:06 pm at 10:06 pm |
  7. Alan Karns

    Get ready, here comes all the reasons the polls are wrong. For the past couple weeks we did not need to hear this while Romney was doing well. The polls were fine then, but WHOA, look out now.

    October 27, 2012 10:15 pm at 10:15 pm |
  8. Ed1

    Obama must not be to concerned about Jeep moving their product to China and like GM used our tax dollars to do so.

    In a statement by the GM CEO China represent 70% of their business and our tax dollars paid for a lot of it too.

    I think Obama has shipped more jobs to China than any other President we have ever had and by the way Chrysler with their bail out money from the tax payers cost us an additional 1.3 billion in losses.

    October 27, 2012 10:16 pm at 10:16 pm |
  9. porchhound

    Another D+12 poll for Obama? Where does it go from here? D+20? Both Gallup and Rasmussen have him dropping 7 points in two days in approval...he is well over 50% NON-APPROVAL!!

    October 27, 2012 10:31 pm at 10:31 pm |
  10. Yes we can move Forward...

    Yes we can move Forward, beyond the Bush-era policies that created the worst economy since the The Great Depression and support the Obama policies that are helping the US to stabilize and grow again.

    October 27, 2012 10:32 pm at 10:32 pm |
  11. marie99

    Why isn't CNN covering the story of Navy Seal Wood asking not once not twice but 3 times for help the nite of the attack.Why isn't CNN questioning who told the CIA not to go in and assist those 4 Americans? Why is CNN giving Obama a free ride on this story? Would the CNN reporters feel differently if it were their son, husband, father of brother being slaughered by terrorist and our government said, sorry you are on your own. We have a political campaign going on right now and this does not fit in with our plans."? America deserves better from her government, Americans deserve better from Obama. Wake up CNN and start reporting the good, the bad and the ugly as it is not as you want people to think it is.

    October 27, 2012 10:32 pm at 10:32 pm |
  12. bibi

    The map is shrinking heavily for Mitt-loff, in a few hours it will be official that bo will be prez for 4yrs

    October 27, 2012 10:32 pm at 10:32 pm |
  13. NameNC_Right

    He is a punk trying to distract the sheeple of the US

    October 27, 2012 10:34 pm at 10:34 pm |
  14. Larry L

    Virginia is why Romney is trying to say we need many more ships – pork for the defense contractors in Virginia. Romney knows far more about being a draft dodger than the role of CINC. This storm will have Karl Rove excited and trying to find a way to blame the weather in the President. Republicans will find fault in the response regardless of what really happens and will likely create some conspiracy regarding FEMA etc.

    October 27, 2012 10:37 pm at 10:37 pm |
  15. joe

    Forward 2012 Obama/Biden

    October 27, 2012 10:43 pm at 10:43 pm |
  16. Meg

    Fact check?
    OF COURSE Virginia allows early in-person voting and it's going strong!

    October 27, 2012 10:44 pm at 10:44 pm |
  17. Morning1Su,

    Virginia voters the President has our best interests in his heart and mind. He will continue to make steady progress. As for Mitt Romney, we do not know where he stands. He has no Foreign Policy experience and Paul Ryan too. I fear these two characters will not know what to do in a global crisis. President Obama has the intelligence to know to study all the facts before taking actions. I cannot trust Mitt Romney because he has lied so many times that I cannot leave my grandchildren in jeopardy with a dellusion leader of the United States. At least with President Obama has never weavered from his plans and strong enough t stick up to adversity and we all know he had some really bad times with the Republicans in Congress. God bless the USA.

    October 27, 2012 10:45 pm at 10:45 pm |
  18. Name

    A woman calling the president retard offending those diagnosed with mental retardation.
    A man saying God intended birth from rape to be more important than the female victim of the rape.
    An older guy saying that Colin Powell makes important career decisions only based on the pigment of a skin cell. An insult on his résumé.
    And a candidate that calls 47 % of the population self proclaimed victims.

    It seems they can't hide who they are and how condensendent they are with their fellow human beings. But then they ask those they insult for their vote? Wow!

    October 27, 2012 10:46 pm at 10:46 pm |
  19. America1st

    Virginia lives and breathes government dollars. Obama brings jobs there. No brainer.

    October 27, 2012 10:49 pm at 10:49 pm |
  20. Starrider1

    Those defense contractors are all going to lose their jobs with Obama. I think the poll is not accurate or these miltary and defense contractors don't understand that Obama is going to cut the military.

    October 27, 2012 10:51 pm at 10:51 pm |
  21. America1st

    Virginia has a split personality. No other state rakes in more money and has so many jobs to lose by voting for Romney who will cut federal "non-discretionary" funding. That is more than a 100,000 consultants in that area paid well. And the spill over factor is equivalent to what would have happened in Detroit had Romney been president and let GM and Chrysler go belly up yet voting to save wall street. No, he isn't going to take Virginia. That's a no brainer to go to Obama.

    October 27, 2012 10:51 pm at 10:51 pm |
  22. el rob o

    This is a complete lie. Obama is going to bankrupt VA with the sequester and CNN knows it! CNN is campaigning for Obama so they are creating lies like this.

    Hey CNN, we see through you!

    Why doesn't CNN cover the Benghazi-gate story? While CNN pushes the liberal agenda, most Americans that want to know what's really going are watching Fox News.

    October 27, 2012 11:00 pm at 11:00 pm |
  23. Bulletproof

    1-MITT wants several tax cuts in trillions dollars + additional Naval ships for some trillions+ reducing deficit. If anyone is to believe that, he is either blinding doing so, or is Obama hater

    2-MITT was for that, then against that, now for the same: Flip flopping and telling everyone what makes him feel good is not American-like; certainly not REPUBLICAN-like. I LKE John McCain and Bush; at least these are true Americans-like Republicans.
    GO Obama, Go!!!

    October 27, 2012 11:06 pm at 11:06 pm |
  24. Name cali d.v

    virginia voter, don't u listen to the news about california go ahead and vote for obama you'll next in line with high taxes and bigger lines for foods stamps oh let me remind u no jobs good luck go ahead vote for that knucklehead since he's been in office we Californians are worst off, gas is 4 dollars 69 cents my job had to cut my hours from 40 to 16 thank you Obama let's do it again

    October 27, 2012 11:12 pm at 11:12 pm |
  25. skflaherty

    I doubt the accuracy of this poll. Romney will most likely win VA, NC, CO, NH, and FL- and if he can pick up Wisconsin or Ohio he will be the 45th president. Don't believe the media's polls. They want Obama to win again and will skew them.

    October 27, 2012 11:18 pm at 11:18 pm |
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