Polls split on race in Ohio, Florida
November 3rd, 2012
12:11 AM ET
10 years ago

Polls split on race in Ohio, Florida

(CNN) – New state polls in Ohio and Florida are divided about the state of the presidential race in these two key battlegrounds.

In Ohio, arguably the most important of the battlegrounds, a NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist poll released Saturday showed Obama with 51% of likely voters and Romney at 45%. The CNN/ORC International Poll released Friday found the Buckeye State slightly tighter and within the sampling error: 50% for Obama to 47% for Romney.

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It's a slightly different picture in Florida, where two polls show a close race but split on who has the advantage. The NBC poll showed Obama with a slight advantage over Romney, 49% to 47%, while a Mason Dixon Poll conducted in the same time period, Wednesday and Thursday, had Romney at 51% and Obama at 45%.

Obama enjoyed a high approval in both states of his handling of Superstorm Sandy, which battered the East Coast this past week and caused both campaigns to cancel campaign events.

The NBC/WSJ poll found that among likely voters in Florida - a state which has seen hurricanes and major storms - 70% approved of his response to Sandy, while 11% disapproved. Seventy three percent of likely voters in Ohio approved and 7% disapproved.

The two states are the largest prizes listed as toss up states on the CNN Electoral Map, and both will see attention from the candidates in the final three days before Election Day.

Obama holds an advantage among early voters in both states, according to the NBC/WSJ polls, while Romney enjoys the advantage among those who plan to vote on Election Day. The survey found 63% of Florida voters plan to vote before Tuesday or already have voted.

However the Mason Dixon Florida poll - conducted for Bay News 9, Central Florida News 13, Tampa Bay Times, Miami Herald, and the El Nuevo Herald - found Romney with a 53% to 45% advantage among those voting absentee and a 50% to 47% among those voting early in-person.

Voters were nearly tied - putting the candidates within two points of one another - on who would best handle the economy, according to the NBC/WSJ survey. Romney has the slight advantage in Florida, while the slight advantage goes to Obama in Ohio.

Both states also have races for the U.S. Senate. In Florida, the NBC/WSJ poll found Democratic Sen. Bill Nelson is ahead of Republican Rep. Connie Mack, 52% to 43%, and in Ohio, Democratic Sen. Sherrod Brown has an advantage over Republican State Treasurer Josh Mandel, 50% to 45%.

The NBC/WSJ poll in Ohio included 971 likely voters and had a sampling error of plus or minus 3.1 points. Their Florida sample included 1,545 likely voters with a sampling error of plus or minus 2.5 points. Voters both NBC/WSJ polls were reached by telephone on October 31 or November 1.

The Mason Dixon poll included 800 likely voters reached by telephone in Florida and was conducted between October 30 and November 1. It had a sampling error of plus or minus 3.5 points.

- CNN Political Editor Paul Steinhauser contributed to this report

Filed under: 2012 • Florida • Ohio
soundoff (49 Responses)
  1. john

    Romney will be totally defeated come tuesday because of his radical policies and lies.Ryan is going to loose the vice presidential bid as well as his own crogressinal seat and he will be unemployed after tuesday.Both are liars and too radical for 21st century America.

    November 3, 2012 03:25 am at 3:25 am |
  2. visitorscoop

    We should all , as Americans, be proud of having Barak Obama as our prez. He is wiothout doubt one of the top statesmen in the world today an will in retospect in the future be considered one of the best presidents in history.

    November 3, 2012 03:27 am at 3:27 am |
  3. PK

    Romney's done.

    November 3, 2012 03:42 am at 3:42 am |
  4. J.V.Hodgson

    Time for Romney to get worried 5% down in Ohio and 2 % down in Florida even you poll Obama him a 3% lead.
    If both those go to obama electoral college wise its a landslide.


    November 3, 2012 04:18 am at 4:18 am |
  5. simplefaith


    Please , please vote for President Obama. I fear for you because if Mitt Romney becomes President he will do away with FEMA and when you have one of those hurricanes, there will be no government assistance. He will slash monies going to support states and who knows where the money will got to.itizens, please listen to my plea. Mitt Romney was director of a company that committed fraud on Medicare. Mitt Romney is ruthless and would sell his soul to the devil to win the Presidency. Please vote President Obama. He cares about your welfare give him a chance to prove what he started to accomplish. God bless the USA.

    November 3, 2012 06:18 am at 6:18 am |
  6. Josaphat Daniels

    Obama Rocks, romney sucks.

    November 3, 2012 06:44 am at 6:44 am |
  7. Dadedi

    I have this hunch that O will win Florida. Does anyone else feel the same way? Ohio of course will be won too but something tells me that Florida smells good too. If anyone shares this feeling too please let us know.

    November 3, 2012 06:46 am at 6:46 am |
  8. Forward!


    November 3, 2012 07:45 am at 7:45 am |
  9. Marry

    The President and we can do it FOR ALL of the American people to move forward! Go, have fun, go and VOTE. Take the family, take your neighbors, take a friend – it is so important for our country and OUR DEMOCRACY! The Presidency is not for sale to the “few”! We will vote against that GOP/Romney plan by the vote of the many!

    November 3, 2012 07:47 am at 7:47 am |
  10. Sane in Maine

    Cool! Only four more days of having to see and listen to Romney. He should try out for executive director of the 2016 Olympics because he saved the Olympics in Salt Lake and I bet he can do it again.

    November 3, 2012 07:53 am at 7:53 am |
  11. Rick McDaniel

    Polls are no longer reliable. Sandy destroyed the models.

    November 3, 2012 08:23 am at 8:23 am |
  12. Drake

    Interesting, it looks as though Romney's post debate bounce may be dissipating. If Florida goes for Obama that's pretty much where the election would end, Romney could sweep every other swing state and still lose the White at that point. Though obviously you can't put too much stock in a poll where the difference between the candidates is less than the margin of error.

    November 3, 2012 08:29 am at 8:29 am |
  13. McShannon

    Who earnestly speaks for the plight of the poor, the homeless, the sick and hungry? President Obama stands out not Mitt Romney. Define who a Christian should be the characteristics of caring for others and realize that a president of the USA represents all races, faiths and lifestyles. He is correct in not wanting to impose every Christian ruling according to the conservative interpretation of the bible because he represents all Americans and yet in his own walk can and does represent an image to be emulated. We see the charlatan in Mitt Romney as he is none of the above.

    November 3, 2012 08:47 am at 8:47 am |
  14. Steve

    Romnewy is a Liar.

    His own party leaders have stated this for years, he stole the nomination by his pandering and lies.

    His Lies are even outside the norm for political candidates. Newt directly callde dhim a Liar, as did Perry, Santorum, etc.

    His Lies are extreme.. not just hopeful thinking, but bald faced deceptions. He changes day to day, dependent on his current audience. A white lie or hopefulness may be forgiven, but the pandering of this man is simply ridiculous.

    He is unfir for office, any office. Who can trust this man?

    November 3, 2012 08:57 am at 8:57 am |
  15. Newfie

    Go Obama!!!

    November 3, 2012 09:40 am at 9:40 am |
  16. jkane sfl a vote for lady parts romney the tax cheat and lyin lady parts ryan willcut your moms medicare and soc sec . .can you afford to pay for them???

    It appears that in Florida that the lines are getting longer on the last day of early voting and some people will not get to vote ,but the braindead gop forgot that some of their own voters won't get to vote ,to bad!!!!

    November 3, 2012 09:59 am at 9:59 am |
  17. Marie MD

    The old people in Florida will be knotted up if they vote for the men who want to privatize social security and give them vouchers to try to find an insurance company who cares about them as they get older.
    Then again, without medical insurance they won't live long enough to see what a mistake it is to vote for the mutant from Kolob. Death panels anyone?

    November 3, 2012 10:02 am at 10:02 am |
  18. charles owaba damini

    Yes, the difference between the two candidates in this two states is realy a cause for concern, but am still optimistic Obama will take the day.

    November 3, 2012 10:28 am at 10:28 am |
  19. jvan

    pre.obama 2012 forward

    November 3, 2012 11:02 am at 11:02 am |
  20. Peace

    Chris Christie can be a tough individual, but at the same time he is a person who is very understanding regardless of party affiliation. If we could have at least 10 people like Christie, the country should have stepped 100 feet forward.

    November 3, 2012 11:35 am at 11:35 am |
  21. bcrunner

    President Obama will still be our President come Tuesday night and come January 20th of 2013 and I am happy. Governor Romney is a liar and a flip flopper! I don't want anyone with his character in the White House!!

    November 3, 2012 12:36 pm at 12:36 pm |
  22. JB

    I don't think so

    November 3, 2012 12:40 pm at 12:40 pm |
  23. Chris

    Rasmusen has romney with lead in Ohio plus 2 advantage.

    November 3, 2012 12:53 pm at 12:53 pm |
  24. Name salim danjuma keana

    a devil you know is worth better than the Angel you don't. forward ever, backward never !! Come 6th november. VOTE Obama

    November 3, 2012 01:19 pm at 1:19 pm |
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