CNN's GUT CHECK | for October 21, 2013 | 5 p.m.
– n. a pause to assess the state, progress or condition of the political news cycle
BREAKING: NEW CNN POLL SPELLS TROUBLE FOR GOP… Republican House members, especially Speaker John Boehner, received disturbing news Monday when a new national survey showed the party brand is badly damaged one year before the midterm elections. While there is a lot of road to cover before November 2014, several Republican strategists expressed frustration to us about how the debt ceiling and government shutdown was handled. One veteran Republican remarked, “If this isn’t rock bottom, I don’t know what is.”
• 54% of the country thinks it is “bad for the country” for the GOP to control the House.
• 75% of the country does not think most Republicans deserve re-election (54% of the country does not think most Democrats deserve re-election)
• 63% of the country thinks that Boehner should be replaced as speaker (55% of conservatives said Boehner should go as well as 69% of independents).
• 56% of the country thinks the “views of the Republican Party are too extreme” (42% of the country thinks the “views of the Democratic Party are too extreme)
DON’T GET TOO EXCITED, DEMOCRATS: “The people who say the House is 'in play' are getting a little over their skis,” Charlie Cook, editor of The Cook Political Report, said on MSNBC. “We have 43 competitive races rated right now on the Cook Political Report. Democrats would have to win 41 out of 43” in order to take control of the House.
OBAMA: “NOBODY’S MADDER THAN ME”: "Nobody's madder than me about the website not working as well as it should, which means it's going to get fixed," President Barack Obama said at a White House event about the problem-prone rollout of the Obamacare website. Saying there was no "sugarcoating" the difficulty logging in, long waits, repeated failures and other problems, Obama added that tech industry experts were being brought in to help workers going 24/7 to solve resolve the website woes. – Tom Cohen
NUMBER OF THE DAY: 1,308. The number of days since Obama signed Obamacare – or the Affordable Care Act – into law on March 23, 2010.
SAME-SEX MARRIAGE: New Jersey Republican Gov. Chris Christie is dropping a legal challenge to a court ruling abolishing the state's ban on same-sex marriages, despite stating in a release that he “strongly disagrees” with the court’s decision. With the ruling, New Jersey became the 14th state of allow same-sex marriages. – Bryan Koenig
MARKET WATCH: Netflix stock soars in after-hours trading after projecting higher sales and profit for the current quarter.
Who is the only sitting Republican House member who is rated as a toss- up for re-election by Stuart Rothenberg and Charlie Cook?
Did you miss it?
Leading CNN Politics: Cruz: Senate Republicans are ‘single-most damaging thing’ for the GOP in 2014
"The single-most damaging thing that has happened to Republicans for 2014 is all of the Senate Republicans coming out, attacking the House Republicans, attacking those pushing the effort to defund Obamacare and lining themselves up opposite of the American people," Cruz told CNN Chief Congressional Correspondent Dana Bash in an interview in San Antonio. – Ashley Killough
Leading Drudge: Obamascare: Woman Falls Ill In Rose Garden
President Obama's speech Monday morning was briefly interrupted when a young woman standing behind him appeared to come close to fainting. The president turned around to make sure she was alright, saying, "I got you, you're ok," before she was helped away by others nearby. – Real Clear Politics
Leading Huffington Post: 'Nobody's Madder': Obama Vows to Fix Obamacare Problems
President Barack Obama said Monday that there's "no excuse" for the technical problems that have plagued the rollout of the Obamacare health insurance website, and promised all Americans would have access to health coverage under his law. – Jeffrey Young
Leading New York Times: Christie Drops Appeal of Ruling to Allow Gay Marriage
Gov. Chris Christie’s decision, a reversal from his position that voters should decide the issue, effectively removes the last hurdle to making same-sex marriage legal in New Jersey. – Marc Santora and Kate Zernike
Leading Politico: Shutdown fuels Republican primaries
Political handicappers expect Republicans to keep the House in 2014. But plenty of GOP lawmakers will still be slugging it out in tough races next year — they’ll just be hitting one another in a growing number of primaries propelled by the party’s nasty split over the federal shutdown and debt crisis. – Alex Isenstadt
The political bites of the day
- Another local paper blast Obamacare website -
THE LOS ANGELES TIMES EDITORIAL BOARD IN A MONDAY EDITORIAL: “The new federally run health insurance exchanges have stumbled badly in trying to sign up customers online, stymied by both design flaws and inept execution. The failures are mind-boggling and inexcusable, especially considering how much time the government had to prepare.”
- Sebelius to testify on Obamacare next week -
DEPARTMENT OF HEALTH AND HUMAN SERVICES SPOKESWOMAN JOANNE PETERS IN A STATEMENT TO CNN: “We are in close communication with the committee and have expressed our desire to be responsive to their request. We fully intend for the Secretary and other HHS officials to testify before Congress as early as next week, as they have numerous times in the past, but nothing is confirmed at this time. We have always indicated to the committee that she intended to testify but that she had a scheduling conflict. We continue to work with them to find a mutually agreeable date in the near future.”
- Yea, we don't like either of you -
THE RICHMOND TIMES-DISPATCH ENDORSES NO ONE IN VIRGINIA'S RACE FOR GOVERNOR: "The words that follow should not come as a surprise. During recent months, numerous editorials in The Times-Dispatch have lamented the gubernatorial campaign. The major-party candidates have earned the citizenry's derision. The third-party alternative has run a more exemplary race yet does not qualify as a suitable option. We cannot in good conscience endorse a candidate for governor."
- Dick Cheney opens up about his heart -
FORMER VICE PRESIDENT DICK CHENEY IN AN INTERVIEW WITH CNN'S SANJAY GUPTA: "You wake up every morning with a smile on your face because you've got a new day you never expected to have. And there's a sense, well, of wonderment. Nothing short of magical."
- Holder talks race and the law -
ATTORNEY GENERAL ERIC HOLDER AT A POLICE CHIEF'S CONFERENCE IN PHILADELPHIA: "On a daily basis, you’re charged with maintaining order in communities that are sometimes defined by disorder and by distress. The fact is that a disproportionate number of those communities are communities of color – where young African American and Latino men are at increased risk of becoming involved with our criminal justice system, as victims or as perpetrators. These are communities where too many Americans are trapped in a vicious cycle of poverty, of criminality, and incarceration - and where law enforcement officers work heroically, but often against long odds, to stem a seemingly relentless tide of violence."
What stopped us in 140 characters or less
Timothy P Carney (@TPCarney)
If this is the White House's idea of Obamacare success stories, it's worse than I thought >> http://bit.ly/16qGaPu
Josh Marshall (@joshtpm)
Cruz: Senate GOP The 'Single Most-Damaging Thing' For Republicans In 2014 http://talkingpointsmemo.com/livewire/cruz-senate-gop-the-single-most-damaging-thing-for-republicans-in-2014
john r stanton (@dcbigjohn)
"that might be one thing we could work on" Chamber CEO quips of getting Ted Cruz to "shut up and sit down" http://www.buzzfeed.com/johnstanton/chamber-of-commerce-ceo-ted-cruz-hasnt-proven-he-can-get-any …
Jessica Taylor (@JessicaTaylor)
Griffin retirement is one of most shocking-fmr GOP oppo rschr, seen as rising star. His #AR2 district is least GOP in state, R+8 Romney 55%
Mike Grynbaum (@grynbaum)
De Blasio on Hillary: “There’s literally no one more respected in this country.” http://bit.ly/19ogExG
I am personally responsible for Finland's lead in coffee drinking. – What every country in the world is best at http://bit.ly/H9HXSa
Jed Miller (@jedmiller)
.@pewresearch says 1/3 social media users has checked on someone from past relationship. US spying on France revealed. #nocoincidences
TRIVIA ANSWER from @DanMericaCNN
The polls are nearly unanimous- – the American people can't stand Congress. But according to the two political handicapping publications, there is only one sitting Republican House member in a truly toss-up fight for his re-election: Republican Rep. Mike Coffman of Colorado.
Coffman represents Colorado's 6th district - an area that includes suburban Denver and more rural areas of central Colorado. Both Cook Political Report and Rothenberg Political Report have Coffman's race as a toss-up.
The reason: Coffman's district is D+1, meaning there are slightly more Democrats in the district than Republicans.
Coffman is also running against a formidable opponent.
"Democratic former state House Speaker Andrew Romanoff is a fundraising machine, out-banking Coffman $1.3 million to $1.2 million at the end of September," Cook Political Report writes.
GUT CHECK WINNER’S CIRCLE
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