2016 polls: Clinton tops Christie in three major states
March 4th, 2014
08:51 AM ET
9 years ago

2016 polls: Clinton tops Christie in three major states

(CNN) - Hillary Clinton tops Chris Christie, Rand Paul and Paul Ryan in hypothetical showdowns in three states, according to new multi-state survey.

And a majority of voters questioned the polls by Roanoke College in Virginia, Rutgers-Eagleton in New Jersey and Siena College in New York state, say they have a favorable view of the former secretary of state and name her most often as the one eligible person that they'd most like to see as the next president.

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The surveys indicate Clinton topping Christie, the two-term New Jersey governor, by 36 percentage points in New York, where she served eight years as a U.S. senator, by 8 points in Virginia, and by 10 points in Christie's home state, in possible 2016 presidential election matchups.

According to the polls, which were released Tuesday, Clinton leads Paul, the first-term senator from Kentucky by 43 points in New York, 14 points in Virginia and 29 points in New Jersey. And she's ahead of Ryan, the House Budget Chairman and 2012 GOP vice presidential nominee, by 37 points in the Empire State, 11 points in the Old Dominion, and 25 points in the Garden State.

New York and New Jersey are reliable states for Democrats in presidential elections, with Virginia a crucial battleground.
The survey indicates Clinton with a 64% favorable rating in New York, 59% in neighboring New Jersey, and 56% in Virginia.

"It's early, very early, but in these three states worth 56 of 270 electoral votes needed to win, Hillary Clinton is well-liked, the top choice by margins of four or five to one in New York and Virginia and named more than twice as often in Governor Christie's home state," said Don Levy, Director of the Siena College Research Institute.

"Head to head, she is untouchable in New York, has majorities in New Jersey and a lead in the potential battleground state of Virginia over not only two lesser known Republican hopefuls, Paul and Ryan, but over Christie who can no longer muster 50 percent favorable in any of the three states."

Clinton and Christie were basically all tied up in Virginia in a separate survey from Christopher Newport University that was released Monday.

Clinton's said she'll decide by the end of this year whether she makes a second bid for the White House. Virtually every poll indicates she'd become the overwhelming frontrunner for the Democratic nomination if she runs. Christie, Paul and Ryan are among a large group of Republicans who are considering 2016 campaigns for president.

Polling indicates no real frontrunner among the potential GOP contenders. Christie's poll numbers both nationally and in his home state have taken a hit because of the George Washington Bridge controversy that's ensnared his administration.

The next race for the White House officially doesn't get under way until after November's midterm elections. It's fair to say that at this point, such surveys are often heavily influenced by name recognition.

The Roanoke/Rutgers-Eagleton/Siena College Study was conducted jointly by the Institute for Policy and Opinion Research at Roanoke College, the Eagleton Center for Public Interest Polling at Rutgers, and the Siena College Research Institute and were conducted February 22-28, 2014. A total of 707 Virginia registered voters were questioned by telephone, with a sampling error of plus or minus 3.7 percentage points. Seven-hundred and twenty-nine New Jersey registered voters were questioned by telephone, with a sampling error of plus or minus 3.8 percentage points. And 814 New York residents were questioned by telephone, with a sampling error of 3.7 percentage points.

CNN Political Editor Paul Steinhauser contributed to this story

Filed under: 2016 • Chris Christie • Hillary Clinton • New Jersey • New York • Paul Ryan • Polls • Rand Paul • Virginia
soundoff (149 Responses)
  1. Meki60

    Are you talking about wieght or ugliness?

    March 4, 2014 11:22 am at 11:22 am |
  2. joe

    do not trust either one of these people. It does not take a lot of research into their backgrounds to see how absolutely frightening it would be to have them in office.

    March 4, 2014 11:27 am at 11:27 am |
  3. Al-NY,NY

    Palin Power

    There is only one person that people need and should vote for: Sarah Palin!

    ugh. Who opened the door to the asylum???

    March 4, 2014 11:28 am at 11:28 am |
  4. mcwreiole

    Wow, we've got some really frustrated lefties here this morning. All that bravado, all that name calling, all that gutter dwelling...they must realize that our President Obama looks like an inter-galactic fool

    March 4, 2014 11:30 am at 11:30 am |
  5. R Long

    Liberals, listen closely, Christie will not be running against Hillary. Also, you currently arent listening to someone remind the American people of one word, BENGHAZI, every night on TV ads.. This bumbling administration has her signature on it and thats what youre going to hear in 2015 and 2016. Once we take the senate back in 2014 because of Obamacare, Republicans will show they have a better plan and all of those wonderful clips of hillary saying "what does it really matter now?" after lying to those parents of those killed in Benghazi. I look forward to it. Please, let these polls roll on so that even fewer blacks will vote after the Tyrant is thrown from office. Its amazing the failure liberals will tolerate from their chosen ones and yet scream of the failures from the past Conservatives. Youre lacking in morals, character and most importantly, intelligence.

    March 4, 2014 11:32 am at 11:32 am |
  6. Pete/Ark

    way too early ... for ANY OF THEM ....

    March 4, 2014 11:34 am at 11:34 am |
  7. Chris

    If Christie topped Clinton, we would most likely never hear from her again. 😉

    March 4, 2014 11:38 am at 11:38 am |
  8. sly

    Hillary Clinton will be a fine President, and America will thrive just like the last time we had a President Clinton.

    These are good times for America: record stock markets, Obama killed our #1 enemy, record 401k, 40% deficit reduction in 2014.

    I expect another progressive President will be elected to represent the majority of Americans. Obviously Crook Christie is not that person, and it is clear he will not run for President. He will be lucky to stay out of jail.

    March 4, 2014 11:39 am at 11:39 am |
  9. tom l

    @The Real TP,
    "They were the ones praising Putin a few months ago,"


    Please do not mistake praising for giving an honest and accurate assessment.

    March 4, 2014 11:40 am at 11:40 am |
  10. Smitty

    @Timmy, you and Obammy have something in common its called Ignorance !!!! As Usual you bring nothing but excuses for the inept one, point and blame is Obammys game.

    March 4, 2014 11:43 am at 11:43 am |
  11. Larry L

    The problem with the GOP remains. They said and did crazy things to secure the radical right-wing as their base – and it worked when the Tea Party took control of the GOP. But now all they've got is the crazies and the Republicans are (once again) discovering an America comprised of moderates, progressives, and even a few rational conservatives. They've done all they can to exclude women, minorities, the GBT community, the poor, and now even military retirees. They can't change because their core values are the problem.

    March 4, 2014 11:49 am at 11:49 am |
  12. Lindsey

    Christie is a Romney do over! The Republican party will never win the presidency until they nominate a candidate who is a true conservative. Christie is not a true conservative. He is just like the Bushes were; big government lovers. Just like Romney too! As far as I'm concerned, the Republican party is through!

    March 4, 2014 11:50 am at 11:50 am |
  13. Old Dominion Boy

    So sick of all of the politics plaguing Virginia! It's only 2014 for crying out loud! At least leave us alone for 2 more years!

    March 4, 2014 11:52 am at 11:52 am |
  14. Bill from GA

    From CNN: " a majority of voters questioned the polls.."

    I wonder how you found that out. Did you 'poll' them?
    And if the voters questioned the polls, are we still supposed to trust these polls?

    March 4, 2014 11:53 am at 11:53 am |
  15. Lindsey

    Rand Paul would eat up Clinton in a general election! Of course it doesn't show in polls now but once Americans listen to him they will flock to him. We really need a leader like him to right our ship which has been adrift for so long!

    March 4, 2014 11:54 am at 11:54 am |
  16. Bill from GA

    Tampa Tim – " Its 9 am, where is the feckless leader, John McCain? "

    Haven't you heard??

    John McCain HAS feck!

    Lot's of it!!

    March 4, 2014 11:56 am at 11:56 am |
  17. StormySyndrome

    315 million people in the US and the best the Democrats could do is Clinton and Christie??? No wonder the world laughs at the US.

    March 4, 2014 11:57 am at 11:57 am |
  18. just saying

    and i'm sure hillary clinton was in even better shape in 2007 and 2008 when she got her clock cleaned in the democrat primary by an inexperienced chicago dog catcher. the american people really do dislike the annointing of a president instead of the election of one.

    and with this latest russian flareup, hillary clinton is going to have to rewrite her short resume to remove the legendary failure of the russian reset. she is as big a foreign policy failure as obama is.

    March 4, 2014 11:58 am at 11:58 am |
  19. Anastasia Beaverhausen

    President Hillary Clinton. Yes.

    March 4, 2014 11:59 am at 11:59 am |
  20. bgg

    I love reading these amateur knee jerk reactions to polls. It's quite humorous.
    In 2016 Clinton will be old news (literally) and other, more fresh candidates will be more exciting choices to voters.
    Most early frontrunners fizzle for various reasons and one reason is they become a boring choice.

    And the fact is Hillary Clinton is far too old and far too corrupt to be President.

    March 4, 2014 12:00 pm at 12:00 pm |
  21. Jose Hose-B

    Correct me if I'm wrong, but isn't it nonsense to conduct polls when none of the subjects has even announced candidacy for 2016? Probably a bunch of liberal schools trying to impact the election way before it is acceptable. Democrats and their liberal tribe have an audacity that knows no bounds!

    March 4, 2014 12:02 pm at 12:02 pm |
  22. Anonymous

    she will not win even though she will be the democratic candidate when the election is held by the end of 2016,because she getting old.

    March 4, 2014 12:06 pm at 12:06 pm |
  23. Jerry

    In order for us to have a meaningful election we would have to shut down the left wing of the DEM and LIBs; the mainstream medis. They are ALL biased against America and what is right for the country.

    March 4, 2014 12:07 pm at 12:07 pm |
  24. bricha

    A few months ago Christie looked like he could become the Republican front runner, making this poll somewhat relevant. The problem is, Christie has not had a favorable couple of months, I would be surprised if he even runs anymore.

    Let's be honest at this point it is Hilary against a whole bunch of comparative no-bodies.

    March 4, 2014 12:08 pm at 12:08 pm |
  25. Truth

    "Folks, don't focus on what polls say. Concentrate on how to avoid voter suppression and stopping all mischiefs the other side do. Without taking that path, they can never win any election."
    as the demoncrarts can't win an election without folks voting 5-10 times, dead people voting for them etc

    March 4, 2014 12:09 pm at 12:09 pm |
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