2016 polls: Clinton tops Christie in three major states
March 4th, 2014
08:51 AM ET
9 years ago

2016 polls: Clinton tops Christie in three major states

(CNN) - Hillary Clinton tops Chris Christie, Rand Paul and Paul Ryan in hypothetical showdowns in three states, according to new multi-state survey.

And a majority of voters questioned the polls by Roanoke College in Virginia, Rutgers-Eagleton in New Jersey and Siena College in New York state, say they have a favorable view of the former secretary of state and name her most often as the one eligible person that they'd most like to see as the next president.

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The surveys indicate Clinton topping Christie, the two-term New Jersey governor, by 36 percentage points in New York, where she served eight years as a U.S. senator, by 8 points in Virginia, and by 10 points in Christie's home state, in possible 2016 presidential election matchups.

According to the polls, which were released Tuesday, Clinton leads Paul, the first-term senator from Kentucky by 43 points in New York, 14 points in Virginia and 29 points in New Jersey. And she's ahead of Ryan, the House Budget Chairman and 2012 GOP vice presidential nominee, by 37 points in the Empire State, 11 points in the Old Dominion, and 25 points in the Garden State.

New York and New Jersey are reliable states for Democrats in presidential elections, with Virginia a crucial battleground.
The survey indicates Clinton with a 64% favorable rating in New York, 59% in neighboring New Jersey, and 56% in Virginia.

"It's early, very early, but in these three states worth 56 of 270 electoral votes needed to win, Hillary Clinton is well-liked, the top choice by margins of four or five to one in New York and Virginia and named more than twice as often in Governor Christie's home state," said Don Levy, Director of the Siena College Research Institute.

"Head to head, she is untouchable in New York, has majorities in New Jersey and a lead in the potential battleground state of Virginia over not only two lesser known Republican hopefuls, Paul and Ryan, but over Christie who can no longer muster 50 percent favorable in any of the three states."

Clinton and Christie were basically all tied up in Virginia in a separate survey from Christopher Newport University that was released Monday.

Clinton's said she'll decide by the end of this year whether she makes a second bid for the White House. Virtually every poll indicates she'd become the overwhelming frontrunner for the Democratic nomination if she runs. Christie, Paul and Ryan are among a large group of Republicans who are considering 2016 campaigns for president.

Polling indicates no real frontrunner among the potential GOP contenders. Christie's poll numbers both nationally and in his home state have taken a hit because of the George Washington Bridge controversy that's ensnared his administration.

The next race for the White House officially doesn't get under way until after November's midterm elections. It's fair to say that at this point, such surveys are often heavily influenced by name recognition.

The Roanoke/Rutgers-Eagleton/Siena College Study was conducted jointly by the Institute for Policy and Opinion Research at Roanoke College, the Eagleton Center for Public Interest Polling at Rutgers, and the Siena College Research Institute and were conducted February 22-28, 2014. A total of 707 Virginia registered voters were questioned by telephone, with a sampling error of plus or minus 3.7 percentage points. Seven-hundred and twenty-nine New Jersey registered voters were questioned by telephone, with a sampling error of plus or minus 3.8 percentage points. And 814 New York residents were questioned by telephone, with a sampling error of 3.7 percentage points.

CNN Political Editor Paul Steinhauser contributed to this story

Filed under: 2016 • Chris Christie • Hillary Clinton • New Jersey • New York • Paul Ryan • Polls • Rand Paul • Virginia
soundoff (149 Responses)
  1. ritmocojo

    Get used to it Konservatives.

    March 4, 2014 12:53 pm at 12:53 pm |
  2. mike

    Ugh...if this is the best lineup of candidates we as a country can come up with, we're in trouble. I can't stand Hillary, but if the GOP can't put up something other than Christie or one of these teanut lunatics, she's gonna win by a landslide.

    March 4, 2014 12:55 pm at 12:55 pm |
  3. george

    Rigged. President will be some one we all hate.

    March 4, 2014 01:00 pm at 1:00 pm |
  4. The Dead Critic

    The "Dumbing Down of America" continues......

    We REALLY need a voting TEST in this country to qualify people to vote.

    March 4, 2014 01:01 pm at 1:01 pm |
  5. ShawnDH

    Of course Clinton tops Chris Chorruptie (and she tops every other Republican as well). Is this news?

    March 4, 2014 01:04 pm at 1:04 pm |
  6. bill

    show us the RESET BUTTON hillary gave russia

    March 4, 2014 01:05 pm at 1:05 pm |
  7. Not Too Hard To Understand

    Well, hell, the way Christie's numbers are death spiraling, I'm pretty sure that by the end of the month my numbers will be better than Christie's.

    March 4, 2014 01:05 pm at 1:05 pm |
  8. ShawnDH

    Smitty whined: "Good work on that reset button Hilly !!!!! You and Lurch should be ashamed."

    Reset from what? Hillary is arguably the most respected and liked politician in the country. I have no idea who "Lurch" is supposed to be, but I'm sure he's also more respected and liked than any Republican alive today.

    March 4, 2014 01:06 pm at 1:06 pm |
  9. JLW Patriot

    These words will ring out in 2016 to remind America what value Hillary puts on American's lives. "At this point, what difference does it make?" Let lib-hate comments begin. I'll be at lunch.

    March 4, 2014 01:08 pm at 1:08 pm |
  10. Willllburrrr

    Amazing ANY poll has baby blimp even listed in it. Shows how weak the rightie's stable of stumblebums is this time around.

    March 4, 2014 01:08 pm at 1:08 pm |
  11. James C

    @The Real Tom Paine... "Reduced to name calling"? Really? The Democrats toss around "Rethuglicans", "Teabaggers" etc. all the day long, so don't lecture us about name calling. The Bengazzi charge is legit. People died and Obama and company came off as being clueless. Hillary scored an F for lack of leadership abilities in her handling of that issue. This administration has been stumbling from one issue to another, occasionally they succeed but more often they fail. Another Clinton in the White House with good old Billy boy with time on his hands prowling the hallways hitting on interns would be disastrous.

    March 4, 2014 01:11 pm at 1:11 pm |
  12. Reggie53

    Remember 2008.....Hillary was leading Obama and then you democrats turned against her and hated her so much because you wanted to make history with the first black president being elected. So instead of Hillary we got a unqualified, who is still unqualified in 2014 to be our president. I do not take these polls seriously because you democrats turn on each other so much that I hope Hillary is not setting her hopes up too high.

    March 4, 2014 01:13 pm at 1:13 pm |
  13. tim

    If we have to pick between these two, I will lose all hope for America and I will flee the country.

    March 4, 2014 01:24 pm at 1:24 pm |
  14. Really?

    Oh well Tom P., you completely missed the point and you assumptions are incorrect. I was pointing out that due to a void in global leadership that this Administration has created (and that includes Hillary), the U.S. has allowed a thug like Putin to fill it. this shows why Hillary is a poor choice for president since it will be more of the same failures. Obama has shown that he will not even consider working with the GOP and that is why he cannot run this government properly. even if he disagrees they are still elected officials and every one has to work with people they don't like from time to time. However that shouldn't prevent things from getting done. BTW, it is a fact that Obama was a community organizer, look it up. Sorry if you thought it was insulting to him. Maybe you have buyers remorse, huh?

    March 4, 2014 01:28 pm at 1:28 pm |
  15. Fr33th1nk3r

    "There is only one person that people need and should vote for: Sarah Palin!"

    Maybe to be the next centerfold in Playboy, but that's about it.

    March 4, 2014 01:31 pm at 1:31 pm |
  16. Crashman

    So we have the results of a survey showing which non-candidate may do better than another non-candidate in an election that doesn't happen for another 2-1/2 years. This is big news?

    March 4, 2014 01:36 pm at 1:36 pm |
  17. Tampa Tim

    Do wingnuts remember when the shoe ducker let Putey have Georgia?

    March 4, 2014 01:36 pm at 1:36 pm |
  18. GenPatton

    Stupid is as stupid does. Americans love freebies and that's what the Dems give. They don't care about the cost, and don't mind paying the mortgage payment to China.

    March 4, 2014 01:37 pm at 1:37 pm |
  19. TONE

    The Dead Critic

    The "Dumbing Down of America" continues......

    We REALLY need a voting TEST in this country to qualify people to vote

    You mean Republicans right.

    March 4, 2014 01:38 pm at 1:38 pm |
  20. kelly

    i don't understand, what about BENGHAZI!!! you know, the most important news story in the history of humanity!!


    March 4, 2014 01:39 pm at 1:39 pm |
  21. tet1953

    Just think...only 32 more months of these projections.

    March 4, 2014 01:40 pm at 1:40 pm |
  22. Lilli

    WOW!! The Obama haters are still at it....amazing!!

    Hillary 2016

    March 4, 2014 01:41 pm at 1:41 pm |
  23. Eardley Ham Woodbury, MN

    If I am forced to choose between Hillary and Christie, I will simply stay home. Probably stay home anyway since the country is run by the corporations and the 1%ers, none of whom can be de-elected.

    From an almost democracy to a plutocracy run by the moneyed few in fifty years. Uprising anyone? The peasants against the plutocrats–won't happen in my lifetime (I'm 75).

    March 4, 2014 01:42 pm at 1:42 pm |
  24. Chris

    When did NY become a major state for presidential elections? Its going to be a blue state. Always is. It may be a lot of electoral votes but no one campaigns there because its not in contention. And Republicans certainly don't factor NY electoral votes into their path to winning a presidential election.

    March 4, 2014 01:44 pm at 1:44 pm |
  25. Daggers

    Great, CHRISTIE IS A BULLY. Clinton for president.

    March 4, 2014 01:46 pm at 1:46 pm |
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