CNN's GUT CHECK for June 27, 2014

CNN’s POLITICAL GUT CHECK | for June 27, 2014 | 5 p.m.
—  n. a pause to assess the state, progress or condition of the political news cycle

ONE YEAR LATER: IS IMMIGRATION REFORM DEAD? Both sides in the heated debate are marking the year anniversary of Senate passage of major immigration reform legislation. Proponents of a comprehensive overhaul vow a weekend of activities trying to put pressure on the House, which has not followed the Senate’s lead, while opponents of that bill are promising to keep up their fight. – Kevin Bohn

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As noted on Inside Politics Friday, House Republicans could try to get something accomplished on immigration reform before a new president takes office, but it seems increasingly unlikely. The GOP split on whether to act on the issue reflects a tension between national and House Republicans over the party’s immediate need to motivate the base for the midterms versus the party’s long-term need to appeal to Hispanic voters in presidential campaigns.

OBAMA: DON’T SEND YOUR KIDS HERE: “Our message absolutely is, don't send your children unaccompanied on trains on through a bunch of smugglers,” President Obama said Friday in an interview with ABC. “That is our direct message to the families in Central America. Do not send your children to the borders. If they do make it, they'll get sent back. More importantly, they may not make it.”

PELOSI HEADS TO THE BORDER: House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi, D-California, will be travel to south Texas on Saturday to discuss the recent wave of undocumented children with Customs and Border Protection officials. Other House members are also heading to the border, and the House Homeland Security Committee will hold a hearing next Thursday in McAllen, Texas.

OBAMA: BOEHNER'S LAWSUIT IS 'A STUNT' ... President Barack Obama called House Speaker John Boehner's plan to file a lawsuit over the President's use of executive action "a stunt," in an interview with ABC News’s George Stephanopoulos. "You notice that he didn't specifically say what exactly he was objecting to. I'm not going to apologize for trying to do something while they're doing nothing," the President said. "You know, the suit is a stunt.” – Becky Brittain

BOEHNER SPOKESMAN MICHAEL STEEL: "The American people, their elected representatives, and the Supreme Court have all expressed serious concerns about the President’s failure to follow the Constitution.  Dismissing them with words like ‘smidgen’ or ‘stunt’ only reinforces their frustration.”

PRESIDENT OBAMA IN MINNEAPOLIS THIS MORNING: “They don't do anything except block me and call me names.”

TEA PARTY LEADER IN MISSISSIPPI CONTROVERSY DIES ... Mississippi tea party leader and attorney Mark Mayfield has died, according to his attorney, Merrida Coxwell. Mayfield was one of the three men charged with conspiring to photograph Sen. Thad Cochran's wife in her nursing home. – Paul Steinhauser

THE BUZZ: CLINTONS’ MILLIONS ARE NOTHING NEW ... Controversy is swirling over reports that Hillary Clinton received $300k for a speech she delivered to UCLA in March. But according to an analysis conducted by CNN Political Research Director Robert Yoon, the Clintons raked in over $100 million in speaking fees between 2001 and 2013.

Gut Check DVR: CNN’s John King will take a trip down the Clinton memory lane that you don’t want to miss. Watch Inside Politics this week at 8:30am on Sunday and again 11:30am. Guests are Amy Walter, Robert Costa, Steve Inskeep and Juana Summers.

Also this Sunday, catch State of the Union at 9:00am and again at noon for an exclusive interview with House Oversight Committee Chairman Darrell Issa to discuss the ongoing IRS controversy. House Intelligence Committee Chairman Mike Rogers will also join CNN’s Candy Crowley to discuss the crisis in Iraq, as will American Idol star Clay Aiken to discuss his run for Congress in North Carolina.

MARKET WATCH: U.S. stocks end mixed for the week. Dow and S&P 500 lose less than 1%, while NASDAQ closes at a 14-year high.

TRAIL TRIVIA
(Answer Below)
Who was the only president born to two immigrant parents?

the LEDE
Did you miss it?

Leading CNNPolitics: The next battle in Washington
We've seen this dynamic before: A mundane and wonky issue that many have never heard of suddenly elevates to national prominence. Remember the debt ceiling and that it was mostly an unknown quantity five years ago? This time it's renewing the authority of this thing called the Export-Import Bank to do business. The obscure independent agency provides loan guarantees to foreign companies struggling to secure financing to purchase goods from American manufacturers. – Leigh Ann Caldwell

Gut Check Full Service:Is this government agency worth saving?

Leading CNNMoney: Obamacare = opportunity for insurers
For insurers, Obamacare spells opportunity: They are flocking to sell more policies on more state exchanges for 2015. In Illinois, for example, 10 insurers are submitting proposals to state regulators to market 504 plans on the Obamacare exchange, a huge jump from the eight insurers that offered 165 plans for this year. – Tami Luhby

Leading Drudge: Immigration Activists To Storm Congress
Immigration activists plan to occupy House office buildings on Friday to protest GOP positions on illegal immigration. United We Dream, a youth-led group that supports expanding protection for illegal immigrants, announced members would protest inside the Rayburn House Office Building at 12:30 p.m. – The Hill’s Mario Trujillo

Leading HuffPo: Crushing It
It's been two weeks since former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton's Hard Choices hit the shelves, and she's already getting hit for a "disappointing" rollout. Critics say her book is "bombing" and sales are "tanking," news outlets and conservative blogs report. But sales figures for Hard Choices, compared with sales of books penned by potential Republican presidential hopefuls, tell a different story. According to Nielsen BookScan data, Clinton has sold almost 135,000 copies of her new memoir. – Ashley Alman

Leading Politico: How immigration reform died
Immigration reform’s slow but steady failure exposes how an ideologically diverse and powerful network of supporters couldn’t bend the one group that mattered: House Republicans. Proponents turned their attention late to the House because of a longer-than-expected Senate debate, and once they did, the GOP’s political will had faded and hard-liners made inroads with newer lawmakers that were difficult to reverse, according to interviews with several dozen key participants on both sides of the battle. – Seung Min Kim and Carrie Budoff Brown

Seung Min Kim ‏(@seungminkim)
Top senators involved in quiet strategy to kill G of 8-style immigration reform: Sessions, Vitter, Lee, Cruz http://www.politico.com/story/2014/06/how-immigration-reform-died-108374.htm  …

Leading New York Times: U.S. Plans to Reduce Its Land Mine Stockpile
The Obama administration on Friday announced measures to reduce and eventually eliminate its stockpile of antipersonnel land mines, with the aim of joining the global treaty that prohibits them. – Rick Gladstone

HOT SOTS
The political bites of the day

- Obama on GOP lawsuit: ‘They are going to sue me for doing my job’ -
PRESIDENT OBAMA AT AN EVENT IN MINNEAPOLIS: “They are not doing anything and then they are mad that I am doing something. I am not sure which of the things I have done they find most offensive, but they have decided they are going to sue me for doing my job … I might have said in the heat of the moment during one of these debates ‘I want to raise the minimum wage so sue me when I do’ but I didn’t think they were going to take it literally.”

- McDaniel: There are 'hundreds' of runoff irregularities -
MISSISSIPPI STATE SEN. CHRIS MCDANIEL TO CNN AFFILIATE WLOX: "Republicans are supposed to choose the Republican nominee (for) the U.S. Senate. That's not what happened here. Thirty-five to 40,000 Democrats jumped into this race and apparently tried to decide it. They have their own primary. We have ours. What we're looking for right now is irregularities. We already found hundreds, and we're going to keep looking.”

- Bill Clinton, Dick Cheney escalate 'unseemly' tit-for-tat –
BILL CLINTON IN AN INTERVIEW WITH DAVID GREGORY: "I believe if they (the Bush administration) hadn't gone to war in Iraq, none of this would be happening ... Mr. Cheney has been incredibly adroit for the last six years or so attacking the administration for not doing an adequate job of cleaning up the mess that he made, and I think it is unseemly."
DICK CHENEY AT AN ENERGY EXPO IN MONTANA: “If there’s somebody who knows something about unseemly, it’s Bill Clinton.”

- Buddy’s back! -
FORMER PROVIDENCE MAYOR – AND CURRENT MAYORAL CANDIDATE - BUDDY CIANCI ON THE DAILY RUNDOWN WITH CHUCK TODD: “I never met a fence I couldn't straddle."

TOP TWEETS
What stopped us in 140 characters or less

Dan Merica (@danmericaCNN)
What is interesting about Hillary Clinton's UCLA speech: Organizers told me in February that she wasn't being paid.

Jim Morrill (@jimmorrill)
What are the odds? @ThomTillis at Charlotte City Club fundraiser today w/Jeb Bush just one floor below @kayhagan event. #NCSEN #NCPOL #NCGA

jennifer bendery (@jbendery)
Sens. Cornyn, Cruz Pick Gay Judicial Nominee For Federal Court Seat huff.to/1ll1tbo

Brian Walsh (@brianjameswalsh)
@jbendery I never thought I'd see the day when @Schultz44 publicly praised Senator Cornyn. Marking this historic day down in my diary!

Chris Cuomo (‏@ChrisCuomo)
Despite army on the run & political disarray #Iraq ambass says nation deserves/needs our urgent help. Should we? pic.twitter.com/2FYEOTsXYs

GallupNews ‏(@GallupNews)
Faith in Iraqi Government Falls Sharply in Sunni Regions... http://on.gallup.com/1vd4jF0   #Iraq pic.twitter.com/I0U7AB7qY9

Paul Hayward ‏(@_PaulHayward)
You can see why Chiellini is calling Suarez's ban "excessive." Probably doesn't want to be demonised forever by Uruguayans. Not his fault.

Jen Buesinger Sperry (@jenbuesinger)
Our #CNNSotu Panel for Sunday: @stefcutter @neeratanden @MDuppler @LizMair with Candy @crowleyCNN 9aET #CNN

TRIVIA ANSWER from @sarafischer

Andrew Jackson is the only U.S. president who was the child of two foreign-born parents. Both of Jackson’s parents were from Northern Ireland. Six other presidents have a foreign-born parent, including President Obama.

Herbert Hoover’s mother was from Canada. Chester Arthur and James Buchanan had Irish fathers. Woodrow Wilson and Thomas Jefferson had English mothers.

GUT CHECK WINNER’S CIRCLE

(Why aren’t you in it?)
Congrats to Christopher S. Brown (@chrisbrowntv) Erin (@SomeWherErin) and Jessica Niestzche (@jneetch) for correctly answering today’s Gut Check trivia question.

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